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Hoarding is exactly what the government is doing right now by filling the SPR, and frankly it's the best thing that could happen. It drives prices up. High prices encourage demand destruction. They also finance new well development. The hoarded oil gives us a buffer to fall back on once shortages become more prevalent. High prices are what we need in order to adapt to what's coming, and the sooner they happen, the better.

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Oil Industry Boom Likely to Continue
Business News; Market ResearchSeveral of the major oil companies already seemed to be preparing for a possible price reversal.

Exxon Mobil, ChevronTexaco and Royal Dutch/Shell curbed their first-quarter oil production by a combined 474,000 barrels a day, according to the companies. The downturn offset a 500,000-barrel-per day production increase by Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, or OPEC.

That trend "could be problematic" because the global oil supply cushion is already thin, said Refco Group energy analyst Marshall Steeves. "If we don't see non-OPEC production growth ... that's going to put more of a burden on Saudi Arabia and other OPEC members."



AP via Yahoo! News

Posted on Friday, April 29 @ 14:42:20 PDT by Carrie
 
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Most read story about Business News; Market Research:
OPEC IS NO LONGER ABLE TO CONTAIN OIL PRICES

 
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Re: Oil Industry Boom Likely to Continue (Score: 1)
by bobcousins on Saturday, April 30 @ 05:29:09 PDT
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I am wondering why they use the work "curbed". Have there been public statements to that effect, or is it based on a de facto decrease in production? It would seem odd to reduce production at a time when price is on a high. Curbing long-term investment and capital costs makes sense if you expect a downturn, but not cutting operating costs. If I was them I would be selling every drop I could. Cutting production now is like giving money to your competitor.

Demand is widely predicted to grow strongly, so this interpretation doesn't really make sense. What makes more sense would be that they have sold off inventory they were holding and are now supplying at the rate of extraction.

The other explanation of course is that extraction is declining.



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