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Hoarding is exactly what the government is doing right now by filling the SPR, and frankly it's the best thing that could happen. It drives prices up. High prices encourage demand destruction. They also finance new well development. The hoarded oil gives us a buffer to fall back on once shortages become more prevalent. High prices are what we need in order to adapt to what's coming, and the sooner they happen, the better.

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  Topic: Biodiesel versus Ethanol
DoctorDoom

Replies: 22
Views: 2534

PostForum: Energy Technology   Posted: Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:48 pm   Subject: Biodiesel versus Ethanol
Apologies if it's been posted before (I got lost in the numerous biofuel threads here), I found this site quite interesting:

http://journeytoforever.org/ethanol_energy.html

http://journeytoforev ...
  Topic: Why going nuclear is only a short term solution
DoctorDoom

Replies: 124
Views: 10524

PostForum: Energy Technology   Posted: Wed Jun 28, 2006 7:15 pm   Subject: 1999 paper
Although getting a bit old, I found this paper extremely interesting:

http://www.world-nuclear.org/sym/1999/wilson.htm

Talks about the history of the fuel supply issue, breeder reactors, cost is ...
  Topic: Why going nuclear is only a short term solution
DoctorDoom

Replies: 124
Views: 10524

PostForum: Energy Technology   Posted: Wed Jun 28, 2006 12:28 pm   Subject: Re: Why going nuclear is only a short term solution


Vain hope that it will collapse? How about the inevitability that there will be a correction?

Why try and re-power an unsustainable system?

And finally, there is no current conceivable mult ...
  Topic: Mathematics of depletion
DoctorDoom

Replies: 22
Views: 4011

PostForum: Depletion Modeling   Posted: Wed Jun 28, 2006 9:28 am   Subject: Gould's remarks
The actual text of Gould's speech (April, 2005):

http://newsroom.slb.com/press/inside/article.cfm?ArticleID=213


Secondly, the industry is dealing with a phenomenon that is exaggerated by the l ...
  Topic: THE Energy Efficiency & Appliance Thread (merged)
DoctorDoom

Replies: 322
Views: 4046

PostForum: Conservation and Efficiency   Posted: Wed Jun 28, 2006 8:58 am   Subject: Re: Refrigerator efficiency
I'm going to recycle the old fridge with PG&E. I bought a new one that supposedly will average 611 Kwh annually, a good enough improvement. I can definitely see the advantages of going with DC a ...
  Topic: Mathematics of depletion
DoctorDoom

Replies: 22
Views: 4011

PostForum: Depletion Modeling   Posted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 10:51 pm   Subject: Decline rate versus R/P
Here's another take on the same basic issue.

Suppose you have a decline rate R (e.g. R = 8%). This implies that production P asymtotically approaches 0 over an infinitely long time period. Cumula ...
  Topic: Mathematics of depletion
DoctorDoom

Replies: 22
Views: 4011

PostForum: Depletion Modeling   Posted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 8:29 pm   Subject: Re: Mathematics of depletion
So basically you're saying you think we're Fark.

Best,

Matt

I'm saying it appears the 8% decline number was either taken out of context or exaggerated for effect.


Any complete analysis ...
  Topic: Mathematics of depletion
DoctorDoom

Replies: 22
Views: 4011

PostForum: Depletion Modeling   Posted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 12:14 pm   Subject: Mathematics of depletion
I've seen people throwing around alarmingly large depletion rate numbers lately. For example Simmons, using 8%, predicts we'll be down to 25 mbd by 2020. Is this at all plausible?

When I first st ...
  Topic: Greenland ice sheet melt is accelerating
DoctorDoom

Replies: 22
Views: 3412

PostForum: Environment   Posted: Mon Jun 26, 2006 8:40 am   Subject: Re: Greenland ice sheet melt is accelerating

Normal warming, or human-induced this time?


Does it matter? It's a disaster either way.

FWIW studies I've read suggest about 1/3 of net warming since the so-called little ice age is due to ...
  Topic: UV intensity
DoctorDoom

Replies: 3
Views: 1023

PostForum: Environment   Posted: Sun Jun 25, 2006 1:40 pm   Subject: Re: UV intensity
Check out the material on this site, in particular this page:

http://www.theozonehole.com/europeanozone.htm


Upper atmospheric conditions in The Northern Hemisphere are becoming similar to thos ...
  Topic: Britain goes nuclear
DoctorDoom

Replies: 36
Views: 2904

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sun Jun 25, 2006 10:01 am   Subject: Re: Britain goes nuclear
It's not like the price of uranium matters to nuclear power as a whole.


Couldn't have said it better myself. At some point the price will be high enough to make reprocessing irresistable. At so ...
  Topic: U.S. Nuclear Plants to be Built by Hitachi, GE
DoctorDoom

Replies: 25
Views: 2039

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sun Jun 25, 2006 9:58 am   Subject: Re: U.S. Nuclear Plants to be Built by Hitachi, GE

Yeah, I read an article on the same thing a couple days ago.. Its wierd how tens of millions of people who could live anywhere in the US decided to live in a water deprived, geologically unstable, ...
  Topic: BP Global oil report
DoctorDoom

Replies: 5
Views: 1104

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sat Jun 24, 2006 1:50 pm   Subject: Re: BP Global oil report
BP's report quotes "reserves", not "resources". Reserves are by definition "economically produceable", so they are not EROEI negative. "Resources" would be 2x or 3x those numbers, because less than ...
  Topic: Economic growth with declining energy?
DoctorDoom

Replies: 281
Views: 53634

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Fri Jun 23, 2006 6:44 pm   Subject: Gold standard, debt versus investment
What's the difference between going on the gold standard and just going back to barter? Gold is just a commodity like any other. By making it a standard all you do is eliminate the complication of t ...
  Topic: Economic growth with declining energy?
DoctorDoom

Replies: 281
Views: 53634

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Fri Jun 23, 2006 6:20 pm   Subject: Economics - the truly dismal "science"

My definition of economic growth can not be measured very easily with numbers and I'm quite certain there is a technical term for it but I just don't know it.

For example lets assume a steel mill ...
 
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