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I think this is the beginnings of an economy based on perpetual growth and fossil fuel energy running headlong into geological energy constraints. Basically I see an undulatory downward path for the rest of my life. From here out, I think any rallies in our economic condition are going to be met with spiking commodity prices that knock us right back down.

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Author Message
  Topic: Should we all be going to bed early?
Shiraz

Replies: 10
Views: 1826

PostForum: Conservation & Efficiency   Posted: Sun Aug 06, 2006 11:24 pm   Subject: Re: Should we all be going to bed early?
It might save a bit of power, but is unlikely to have the desired effect with regard to population...
  Topic: ethanol again
Shiraz

Replies: 2
Views: 698

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sat Jul 29, 2006 5:35 pm   Subject: Re: ethanol again
As was pointed out at TheOilDrum, corn futures haven't risen in response to the heat.

As far as ethanol producers are concerned, they can hedge costs by buying forward now if they want to.

The f ...
  Topic: A question about economics.
Shiraz

Replies: 15
Views: 1940

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Mon Jul 24, 2006 8:08 am   Subject: Re: A question about economics.
Jaws is trying to use "employ" as use without depletion in contrast to "use" as use and deplete.

In other words, when you employ a resource, it does not deplete, whilst when you use a resource, it ...
  Topic: Need a day-by-day Crude chart! Please help!
Shiraz

Replies: 2
Views: 808

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Sat Jul 15, 2006 9:05 pm   Subject: Re: Need a day-by-day Crude chart! Please help!
monthly data since 1973 (in excel format)

[url=http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/mer/prices.html]http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/mer/prices.html

daily prices since 1983 (in excel format)

[url=http://to ...
  Topic: Mathematics of depletion
Shiraz

Replies: 22
Views: 4325

PostForum: Depletion Modeling   Posted: Wed Jun 28, 2006 2:11 pm   Subject: Re: Mathematics of depletion
The Simmons 8% comment is a hard one to work out. He knows the context in which it was delivered.

Either Simmons is deliberately misrepresenting here, or he is alluding to the possibilty that a glo ...
  Topic: Gas price, all time high right now!
Shiraz

Replies: 36
Views: 5032

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Wed Jun 28, 2006 2:02 pm   Subject: Re: Gas price, all time high right now!
Hey Pup, care for an update? I don't know where you get the data from.

[url=http://peakoil.com/fortopic1121.html]Gas Affordability Index
  Topic: Overpopulation as source of inflation
Shiraz

Replies: 6
Views: 1012

PostForum: Population & Carrying Capacity   Posted: Mon Jun 19, 2006 4:28 pm   Subject: Re: Overpopulation as source of inflation
See, I thought intercourse was the cause of overpopulation.

And also, the global over supply of labour, the resource most effectively exploited by globalization, has been one of the key factors in ...
  Topic: The mother of all anti-matter debates.
Shiraz

Replies: 13
Views: 1234

PostForum: Energy Technology   Posted: Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:53 pm   Subject: Re: The mother of all anti-matter debates.
10 kg of antimatter per day, at $25 billion per gram, is a measly 2.5 x 10^17 dollars per day. I can't believe we're not doing this already.

Oh I wouldn't worry about that. Everyone knows that anti ...
  Topic: THE Alan Greenspan Thread (merged)
Shiraz

Replies: 770
Views: 1882

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:14 pm   Subject: Re: Greenspan gets it
Just like to remind the locals that Greenspan suggested oil consumption might, in the absence of unforeseen circumstances, peak around 2040. He said this guess was consistent with EIA.

Then he sai ...
  Topic: THE Alan Greenspan Thread (merged)
Shiraz

Replies: 770
Views: 1882

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2006 9:16 pm   Subject: Re: Greenspan
Yes, but his pessimistic case for peaking was "in the forties", and his optimistic case was "who knows when".
  Topic: "Transition Culture" ...and My Comment.
Shiraz

Replies: 30
Views: 3279

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2006 7:48 am   Subject: Re: Dishonest "Transition Culture" Deletes My Comm
The moderators police us, but who polices the moderators?

The contributors do. If the contributors don't like the policy of the moderators, they can saction them by leaving, and not going back.

...
  Topic: Why is there a huge monkey on the site?
Shiraz

Replies: 23
Views: 3379

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2006 7:33 am   Subject: Re: Why is there a huge monkey on the site?
What is Turkish for "Don't shoot the messenger"?
  Topic: Fair price for a barrel of oil?
Shiraz

Replies: 15
Views: 1495

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Tue May 30, 2006 8:29 am   Subject: Re: Fair price for a barrel of oil?
Agree with the philosophical argument. But how would you calculate the fair price of oil?

I don't know.

My main point is to strongly reject the commonly accepted view that the phrase 'unfair mar ...
  Topic: Fair price for a barrel of oil?
Shiraz

Replies: 15
Views: 1495

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Tue May 30, 2006 1:07 am   Subject: Re: Fair price for a barrel of oil?
The great preponderance of modern economists reject the notion that a fair price for oil may be anything other than the current market price.

Economic theorists will also argue that the fair price ...
  Topic: Fair price for a barrel of oil?
Shiraz

Replies: 15
Views: 1495

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Fri May 26, 2006 5:08 pm   Subject: Re: Fair price for a barrel of oil?
Is there such thing as an unfair price for oil?

If there is, maybe people could at least agree on what extremes might constitute an unfair price.
 
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