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We cannot drill our way out of this oil crisis. Since 2000, oil companies working in the U.S. have doubled the number of wells drilled per year.

Although increased drilling has added new oil to the nation's supply, it has not done so fast enough to offset the terminal decline of existing fields.

We are going to have to import more of our oil. Period.

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  Topic: Bye bye photovoltaics: rare earth elements depleted by 2017
TonyPrep

Replies: 43
Views: 2105

PostForum: Current Energy News   Posted: Sat Jul 05, 2008 6:11 am   Subject: Re: Bye bye photovoltaics: rare earth elements depleted by 2
The difference in power draw between these large LCDs and their CRT antecedents isn't as great as you'd think.I second that, having recently looked for an LCD TV to replace our ailing CRT. I automatic ...
  Topic: Bye bye photovoltaics: rare earth elements depleted by 2017
TonyPrep

Replies: 43
Views: 2105

PostForum: Current Energy News   Posted: Sat Jul 05, 2008 6:03 am   Subject: Re: Bye bye photovoltaics: rare earth elements depleted by 2
But to answer your question: I've never been a cornucopian. I do think however that we can stretch resources far enough into time, to the moment when world population stabilizes at 9 billion (2050)The ...
  Topic: Energy and the Mother of Invention
TonyPrep

Replies: 162
Views: 20117

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 4:13 am   Subject: Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention
The green line is total fuel consumption.Eh? The line legend is "Gallons per Vehicle", not total consumption. Its per capita gasoline consumption per vehicle. Green = Red * Blue. Gasoline used = MPG * ...
  Topic: Energy and the Mother of Invention
TonyPrep

Replies: 162
Views: 20117

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 3:18 am   Subject: Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention
The green line is total fuel consumption.Eh? The line legend is "Gallons per Vehicle", not total consumption.
  Topic: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
TonyPrep

Replies: 673
Views: 15900

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 3:13 am   Subject: Re: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
You are misrepresenting what I stated. I never said no oil does not mean no economic growth, I said that no oil does not mean no GDPMy apologies. In that case, it was a pretty pointless exchange and c ...
  Topic: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
TonyPrep

Replies: 673
Views: 15900

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 2:35 am   Subject: Re: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
I never stated, and or meant, that no oil at all would impact GDP to the extent that can't be made up by other stuff. It may be the case, or it may not, I dunno precisely.Then you can't say that it fo ...
  Topic: Energy and the Mother of Invention
TonyPrep

Replies: 162
Views: 20117

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 2:25 am   Subject: Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention
I see from late 1970's to 1990's, MPG increases. I also see fuel consumption dropping during that time. Then I see in the 1990's, MPG flat lines. That's also when the market was flooded with cheap oil ...
  Topic: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
TonyPrep

Replies: 673
Views: 15900

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 10:44 pm   Subject: Re: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
"If oil consumption drives GDP then w/o oil we can't have GDP, otoh if GDP drives oil consumption, then w/o oil we can still have GDP." Seems pretty axiomatic to me.Yeah, I realise that you think it's ...
  Topic: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
TonyPrep

Replies: 673
Views: 15900

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 6:46 pm   Subject: Re: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
not a proof so to speak, as noted by the If suchansuch, then suchandsuch bit. Not a whole lot to to prove there. So, an opinion, not a logical statement. The "if ... then" implied that one follows fro ...
  Topic: World Economy Would Collapse If Oil Hit $200, Deutsche Says
TonyPrep

Replies: 39
Views: 2547

PostForum: Current Energy News   Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 6:40 pm   Subject: Re: World Economy Would Collapse If Oil Hit $200, Deutsche S
Its when we hit the 300-500 range that real problems start cropping up.If you're right, then you won't have long to wait. If $200 oil doesn't tip the world into a bad recession, how will demand drop? ...
  Topic: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
TonyPrep

Replies: 673
Views: 15900

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 5:04 am   Subject: Re: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
Given their track record of either misunderstanding or deliberately misrepresenting different pieces of information, I tend to be critical of what certain posters on this site claim.As I've said befor ...
  Topic: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
TonyPrep

Replies: 673
Views: 15900

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 5:01 am   Subject: Re: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
Clearly it isn't going to be strictly that the economy/GDP drives oil consumption, since they both influence each other to some degreeThanks.
not a proof so to speak, as noted by the If suchansuch, t ...
  Topic: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
TonyPrep

Replies: 673
Views: 15900

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 2:38 am   Subject: Re: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
that doesn't make anything said by anyone a valid claim.Indeed not, yesplease. Of course, anyone can believe anything they want and anyone can demand proof before accepting something, and factoring it ...
  Topic: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
TonyPrep

Replies: 673
Views: 15900

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 2:30 am   Subject: Re: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
If oil consumption drives GDP then w/o oil we can't have GDP, otoh if GDP drives oil consumption, then w/o oil we can still have GDP. Clearly GDP doesn't drive only oil consumption, and I never claime ...
  Topic: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
TonyPrep

Replies: 673
Views: 15900

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Tue Jul 01, 2008 6:37 pm   Subject: Re: Why Technology Will Solve Peak Oil in the End
I don't think it matters which happens first or which drives the other. GDP = Oil Consumption. When the economy goes fast we use more oil when the economy goes slow we use less. You want to grow the e ...
 
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