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I think this is the beginnings of an economy based on perpetual growth and fossil fuel energy running headlong into geological energy constraints. Basically I see an undulatory downward path for the rest of my life. From here out, I think any rallies in our economic condition are going to be met with spiking commodity prices that knock us right back down.

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Author Message
  Topic: A changing climate of optimism
kiwiduncan

Replies: 5
Views: 823

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Sun Aug 24, 2008 11:50 pm   Subject: Re: A changing climate of optimism
Given New Zealand's potential to grow trees for biofuel on marginal land unfit for other purposes, Scion believes this fuel can replace 50% of our imported petroleum products by 2030. Such volumes wou ...
  Topic: Yet another American (possibly) moving to New Zealand
kiwiduncan

Replies: 32
Views: 5606

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Sat Aug 16, 2008 10:35 pm   Subject: Re: Yet another American (possibly) moving to New Zealand
guess what the status quo is always changing.

try some research on water

nz will have abundant water and electricity

liquid fuel is more difficult but not impossible

are you sure shi ...
  Topic: Yet another American (possibly) moving to New Zealand
kiwiduncan

Replies: 32
Views: 5606

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Fri Aug 15, 2008 6:46 pm   Subject: Re: Yet another American (possibly) moving to New Zealand
yeahbut check the latest fert applications for 08

guess what urea is produced from

water might be a problem now but won't be in the future

doesn't mean it will be cheap

maybe you sh ...
  Topic: The Urgent Need to Address Future Oil Scarcity in NZ
kiwiduncan

Replies: 8
Views: 1023

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Thu Aug 07, 2008 9:09 pm   Subject: Re: The Urgent Need to Address Future Oil Scarcity in NZ
What's your degree in? If you've still got two years to study you could maybe change it a bit couldn't you? What parts of NZ are you interested in?
  Topic: The Urgent Need to Address Future Oil Scarcity in NZ
kiwiduncan

Replies: 8
Views: 1023

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Wed Aug 06, 2008 4:36 am   Subject: Re: The Urgent Need to Address Future Oil Scarcity in NZ
I'd rather be in NZ than Australia. I won't be surprised if we start seeing a reversal of the NZ to Oz immigration trend in the next decade or so, due the the fact that Australia's expected to really ...
  Topic: How do kiwis feel about NZ becoming a PO 'lifeboat' nation?
kiwiduncan

Replies: 14
Views: 1793

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:44 pm   Subject: Re: How do kiwis feel about NZ becoming a PO 'lifeboat' nati
Well, how about Aussies moving to NZ? We're facing more extreme weather in the future due to global warming, but nothing compared to the droughts and desertification of Australia. I've occasionally ...
  Topic: How do kiwis feel about NZ becoming a PO 'lifeboat' nation?
kiwiduncan

Replies: 14
Views: 1793

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 5:41 pm   Subject: Re: How do kiwis feel about NZ becoming a PO 'lifeboat' nati
I have no intention of moving down under. How would I be any better off there than here?

I went to Pennsylvannia a few years ago. It was pretty nice.

You probably are better off there, especial ...
  Topic: How do kiwis feel about NZ becoming a PO 'lifeboat' nation?
kiwiduncan

Replies: 14
Views: 1793

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Mon Jul 21, 2008 8:32 pm   Subject: Re: How do kiwis feel about NZ becoming a PO 'lifeboat' nati
Ageing hippies breed tomorrows consumers. The less the better...fewer malls etc. So I vote No!

I agree that the big box shopping centres, malls and suburban Noddyland of modern New Zealand are pret ...
  Topic: How do kiwis feel about NZ becoming a PO 'lifeboat' nation?
kiwiduncan

Replies: 14
Views: 1793

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Mon Jul 21, 2008 6:23 pm   Subject: How do kiwis feel about NZ becoming a PO 'lifeboat' nation?
Increasing numbers of Americans, Europeans, Brits and others seem to be taking an interest in migrating to NZ due to the perception that we'd do better than most in a peak oil world. How do people fe ...
  Topic: Peak Oil Kiwis on Facebook
kiwiduncan

Replies: 0
Views: 596

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2008 8:55 pm   Subject: Peak Oil Kiwis on Facebook
If anyone is interested I've set up a Peak Oil Kiwis group on Facebook.

Like a lot of Facebook groups this might just end up being another boring group with very little traffic, interest or contrib ...
  Topic: Emigrating to NZ
kiwiduncan

Replies: 45
Views: 5114

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Wed Jun 18, 2008 9:52 pm   Subject: Re: Emigrating to NZ
Even assuming a 75% drop in production due to a lack of fertilizer, fuels and technology, this drop would be made up for by the fact that we wouldn't be exporting much of our food at all. We'd definat ...
  Topic: Emigrating to NZ
kiwiduncan

Replies: 45
Views: 5114

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Mon Jun 16, 2008 9:46 pm   Subject: Re: Emigrating to NZ
A New Zealander wrote:

Cashmere, you said "you produce much less food than you eat" but I'm having difficulty believing this. Where did you find this out?

I did read somewhere that about 80% of ...
  Topic: Emigrating to NZ
kiwiduncan

Replies: 45
Views: 5114

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Mon Jun 16, 2008 6:59 pm   Subject: Re: Emigrating to NZ
Cashmere, you said "you produce much less food than you eat" but I'm having difficulty believing this. Where did you find this out?

I did read somewhere that about 80% of the food in New Zealand s ...
  Topic: What part of New Zealand are you in?
kiwiduncan

Replies: 5
Views: 1260

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Fri Jun 13, 2008 5:57 am   Subject: Re: What part of New Zealand are you in?
Palmerston North?
  Topic: Are we better off in Australia?
kiwiduncan

Replies: 74
Views: 14942

PostForum: Australia & New Zealand Discussion   Posted: Fri Jun 13, 2008 4:07 am   Subject: Re: Are we better off in Australia?
One to keep in mind is that just north of China is Russia's Siberia. Low population density, huge natural resources and much easier to invade than Aussie.
 
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