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Hoarding is exactly what the government is doing right now by filling the SPR, and frankly it's the best thing that could happen. It drives prices up. High prices encourage demand destruction. They also finance new well development. The hoarded oil gives us a buffer to fall back on once shortages become more prevalent. High prices are what we need in order to adapt to what's coming, and the sooner they happen, the better.

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  Topic: Peak-Oil Outlook 2006.
trespam

Replies: 31
Views: 6607

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Wed Dec 21, 2005 11:15 am   Subject: Re: Peak-Oil Outlook 2006.
Weren't people posting predictions for 2005 at the end of 2004? Why not just get those and cut-paste them into this thread? Or better yet, just cross-reference? It would save lots of time. They'd b ...
  Topic: Rigorous Intuition calls Heinberg a nazis
trespam

Replies: 73
Views: 11134

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2005 10:52 pm   Subject: Re: Rigorous Intuition calls Heinberg a nazis

Is calling that fascist a "bunch of bull" Trespam?

Sorry JD, but you negate the many good arguments you make when you call people like Campbell a fascist. Yes, he did put that population screed ...
  Topic: Rigorous Intuition calls Heinberg a nazis
trespam

Replies: 73
Views: 11134

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2005 8:40 pm   Subject: Re: Rigorous Intuition calls Heinberg a nazis
I'm not familiar with this "Rigorous Intution" but I took a glance at his Heinberg article and a few of his other writings.

My conclusion: total bullshit. It's not worth even looking at. He's ei ...
  Topic: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?
trespam

Replies: 59
Views: 6463

PostForum: Psychology   Posted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:55 pm   Subject: Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?
Hah hah hah hah hah hah hah hah hah hah hah. I love it when people refer to themselves as "doomers." Or "cornucopians." I also find it strange that people refer to themselves as "peak oilers." My ...
  Topic: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared
trespam

Replies: 89
Views: 10444

PostForum: Psychology   Posted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 11:42 am   Subject: Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared
Trespam wrote:
My point--obnoxious as it is--is that there is a lot of noise, and a lot of people with barely any credentials at all posting their pet theories about social darwinism and peak oil and ...
  Topic: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?
trespam

Replies: 59
Views: 6463

PostForum: Psychology   Posted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 11:23 am   Subject: Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?
Doomers have good imaginations. Whenever the date of doom moves out, they are able to imagine all kinds of reasons for this to have happened this particular time, but why it won't apply next time.
...
  Topic: ASPO pushes peak date back (again) to 2010
trespam

Replies: 103
Views: 15601

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:04 am   Subject: Re: ASPO pushes peak date back (again) to 2010
All of which leads me to believe that peak oil, when it occurs, will actually resemble more of a long plateau - one in which transitions to new sources can be managed without major shocks or disruptio ...
  Topic: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared
trespam

Replies: 89
Views: 10444

PostForum: Psychology   Posted: Tue Oct 04, 2005 11:34 am   Subject: Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared
My first employer built and ran the original internet (ARPANET)

Wonderful! Lets open a tread "memories from the war"! Smile

Hmmm... Did you actually have an account on ArpaNet? In that case I bow ...
  Topic: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared
trespam

Replies: 89
Views: 10444

PostForum: Psychology   Posted: Sun Oct 02, 2005 9:25 am   Subject: Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared
Is something really big going to happen? Should we all be afraid? As a child of the nuclear age, with air raid sirens and duck-and-cover drills, climbing under my desk, I'd say that the fearful here ...
  Topic: IEA - Peak Oil "dismissed"
trespam

Replies: 57
Views: 6632

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 8:56 am   Subject: Re: IEA - 'Peak Oil' nonsense
Here's a question though that I'd like to have answered. I'm sure it's out there. Can anyone provide me with a paper or study that looks at the entire globe, looks at the geology of where oil should ...
  Topic: Why so few posts in this forum lately?
trespam

Replies: 44
Views: 4293

PostForum: Planning For The Future   Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:42 pm   Subject: Re: Why so few posts in this forum lately?
Perhaps the survivalists are just to busy drooling and chit-chatting over the multi-car pileup that is Katrina. And now they're moving on over to the Rita thread to do the same.
  Topic: Hurricane Rita Current News Thread
trespam

Replies: 472
Views: 65424

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:40 pm   Subject: Re: Hurricane Rita Thread (all new threads will be merged)
I just delivered dinner to a guy who has decided to stay... on a boat.

Worst is that he is compelling his 16 year old ward to stay with him...

What an asshole.

But I'm sure people will cooper ...
  Topic: The long muddle: Reynolds on Reserve Production Ratios
trespam

Replies: 6
Views: 1600

PostForum: Depletion Modeling   Posted: Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:26 am   Subject: Re: The long muddle: Reynolds on Reserve Production Ratios
I agree with the comment that OPEC reserves are unknown. And I think a good summary of the problems with modeling, in general, are summarized in the Conclusions section of "Oil Production in the Lower ...
  Topic: I've Changed My Mind
trespam

Replies: 10
Views: 1744

PostForum: Energy Technology   Posted: Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:49 pm   Subject: Re: I've Changed My Mind
So, I now believe that complete and total collapse is most likely averted (at least for a few more decades, anyways).

So, why don't I feel better ? Sad

Because you've been watching an alcoholic w ...
  Topic: The long muddle: Reynolds on Reserve Production Ratios
trespam

Replies: 6
Views: 1600

PostForum: Depletion Modeling   Posted: Sun Sep 18, 2005 9:49 pm   Subject: Re: The long muddle: Reynolds on Reserve Production Ratios
I am writing my third paper with Prof. Reynolds and mine (and his) understanding is that Hubbert curves are geological/economic in nature, not purely geological. However, this does not change the fact ...
 
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