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Olaf Heavy Crude


Joined: Sep 09, 2004 Posts: 393 Location: Upstate New York, U.S.A.
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 3:02 pm Post subject: Cost of Heating Oil |
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I don't know about everyone else, but when heating oil costs nearly double over three heating seasons, it is time to get worried.
2003 - $1.20/gallon here
2004 - $1.60/gallon
2005 - $2.30/gallon
Olaf _________________ "I went to the woods because I wished to live deliberately, to front only the essential facts of life, and see if I could not learn what it had to teach, and not, when I came to die, discover that I had not lived." - Henry David Thoreau |
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gego Light Sweet Crude

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Joined: Mar 03, 2005 Posts: 1334
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 4:27 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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Incomes have not and will not keep pace with these increased costs, so you can see how the dieoff will develop. Eventually families will not have enough income to pay for all the increased costs associated with declining energy production, and will be forced to do without. Doing without will ultimately have a deleterious effect on survival and the grave yards will start to fill up until population is down to a sustainable level given the reduced resource base.
There will be many invisible deaths occuring behing closed doors, first with the elderly and poor, but increasingly with the former middle class. But don't worry about the government people, cause they will take enough to keep themselves safe until even they find it difficult to make it. |
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Olaf Heavy Crude


Joined: Sep 09, 2004 Posts: 393 Location: Upstate New York, U.S.A.
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 5:13 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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I was speaking with a co-worker of mine about this and how it affects fixed income elderly especially. Apparently certain low income brackets of elderly receive a stipend to subsidize their fuel expenses (not sure if state or federal program). He indicated to me that this program had remained at a constant funding level with everyone getting the same amount over the last few years, despite the changes in fuel cost. as indicated previously, this will greatly impact the elderly earlier than some others.
Olaf _________________ "I went to the woods because I wished to live deliberately, to front only the essential facts of life, and see if I could not learn what it had to teach, and not, when I came to die, discover that I had not lived." - Henry David Thoreau |
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bruin Heavy Crude


Joined: Dec 09, 2004 Posts: 377 Location: CA, USA
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 6:23 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| Many will most likely move as well to warmer areas. |
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GoIllini Intermediate Crude


Joined: Mar 05, 2005 Posts: 573
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 6:29 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| bruin wrote: | Incomes have not and will not keep pace with these increased costs, so you can see how the dieoff will develop. Eventually families will not have enough income to pay for all the increased costs associated with declining energy production, and will be forced to do without. Doing without will ultimately have a deleterious effect on survival and the grave yards will start to fill up until population is down to a sustainable level given the reduced resource base.
There will be many invisible deaths occuring behing closed doors, first with the elderly and poor, but increasingly with the former middle class. But don't worry about the government people, cause they will take enough to keep themselves safe until even they find it difficult to make it. |
Or buy a few space heaters?
Oh no! It's the end of the world! I can only afford three more weeks of heating oil, but I can't afford to buy three space heaters and pay for the electricity it takes to run them! |
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Ludi NeoMaster


Joined: Dec 27, 2004 Posts: 12582 Location: zombie horde wonderland
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:12 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| bruin wrote: | | Many will most likely move as well to warmer areas. |
How will they afford to move? Move to where? |
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falser Heavy Crude


Joined: Aug 12, 2005 Posts: 321 Location: Arlington, VA
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:30 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| For as long as I can remember natural gas heating has been significantly cheaper than electric. Has this come into alignment now? I happen to be in an apartment with electric heat, will I be spared the excess cost this winter? |
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MD Community Manager

Joined: May 02, 2005 Posts: 3429 Location: Oh really?
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:33 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| falser wrote: | | For as long as I can remember natural gas heating has been significantly cheaper than electric. Has this come into alignment now? I happen to be in an apartment with electric heat, will I be spared the excess cost this winter? |
Electric cost is on the rise also, since much of it is generated with natural gas.
We are in deep trouble on the North American continent with regard to natural gas. _________________ "It's not demand; It's not supply.
It's coming up with credit to buy"
10-Oct-2008
Schultz: I see NOTHING! I know NOTHING!
md@peakoil.com |
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aflatoxin Heavy Crude


Joined: Jul 31, 2005 Posts: 258
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:35 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| Ludi wrote: | | bruin wrote: | | Many will most likely move as well to warmer areas. |
How will they afford to move? Move to where? |
I hope they stay out of the desert southwest. There isn't enough water for our current population as it is. |
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MD Community Manager

Joined: May 02, 2005 Posts: 3429 Location: Oh really?
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 8:49 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| aflatoxin wrote: | | Ludi wrote: | | bruin wrote: | | Many will most likely move as well to warmer areas. |
How will they afford to move? Move to where? |
I hope they stay out of the desert southwest. There isn't enough water for our current population as it is. |
"They" are the problem? You have just pointed to the basis of my pessimistic outlook. When times get tough there will be far too much "they" and not nearly enough "we". _________________ "It's not demand; It's not supply.
It's coming up with credit to buy"
10-Oct-2008
Schultz: I see NOTHING! I know NOTHING!
md@peakoil.com |
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joewp Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Apr 05, 2005 Posts: 1628 Location: Springsteen Country (NJ)
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 9:08 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| aflatoxin wrote: |
I hope they stay out of the desert southwest. There isn't enough water for our current population as it is. |
Ouch. My brother-in-law just moved to Scottsdale for employment reasons (he makes mid six figures, no way I could talk him out of it). You guys are going to be toast.
Literally.
Edit: Changed three to six above to reflect reality. Mid three figure, LOL... _________________ Joe P. United Political Debate
"Only when the last tree is cut; only when the last river is polluted; only when the last fish is caught; only then will they realize that you cannot eat money." - Cree Indian Proverb
Last edited by joewp on Tue Aug 23, 2005 7:58 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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hoplite Heavy Crude


Joined: Oct 22, 2004 Posts: 300
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Posted: Mon Aug 22, 2005 9:59 pm Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| HUrry, call the WAMBULANCE! If they all had invested in efficient (90+%) systems instead of band-aiding 20+ year old equipment the price increase would be manageable. I don't feel sorry for the idiot proles that can't see past their TV guide sitcom schedule. Let'em freeze. |
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JBinKC Heavy Crude


Joined: Aug 14, 2004 Posts: 251
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Posted: Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:22 am Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| It looks like the geothermal heat pump business will be booming |
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basil_hayden Intermediate Crude


Joined: Aug 08, 2005 Posts: 903 Location: CT, USA
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Posted: Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:36 am Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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Let's get real for a moment:
If folks can't afford a tank full of oil, they certainly can't afford a geothermal heat pump system, or a move to a warmer climate.
Having a 90%+ efficient burner in my home isn't going to stop me from paying double the cost of last year's oil bill.
Electric space heaters and the associated electric cost will still be more expensive than a full oil tank.
Speaking from personal experience, it is obvious that something has got to give this winter in the Northeast US - if I have to pay double gasoline and oil bills, other perks will be cut out of the picture, like cable tv, phone, and any food besides chicken and hot dogs. I predict the thermostat will be set at 55F in my home this winter, and I have plenty of sweaters and two Siberian Huskies to keep me warm.
I guess the decision to sign a lock-in contract is now made - time to lock in at 2.25 per gallon and hope the supply is there when it's needed, like February.
It appears I'll survive, but I worry about the retired and elderly. Dieoff scenarios always affect the youngest and oldest first. |
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MD Community Manager

Joined: May 02, 2005 Posts: 3429 Location: Oh really?
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Posted: Tue Aug 23, 2005 11:02 am Post subject: Re: Cost of Heating Oil |
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| basil_hayden wrote: |
It appears I'll survive, but I worry about the retired and elderly. Dieoff scenarios always affect the youngest and oldest first. |
Well that should ease our social security and health care problems, shouldn't it?
(hey it was just a fleeting thought, don't tell me the same thing didn't occur to many of you) _________________ "It's not demand; It's not supply.
It's coming up with credit to buy"
10-Oct-2008
Schultz: I see NOTHING! I know NOTHING!
md@peakoil.com |
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