Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

crapattack

Russia appears to be in control of the ex-KGB gazprom conglomerate that controls 80% of the world's NG. They have solidified their power under Putin and the killing of journalists is the first clue to where the country is headed. Russia has positioned itself to exert quite a lot of influence over Europe's gas supplies and has no qualms about using this power for political control and intimidation.
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"Ninety percent of everything is crap."
-Theodore Sturgeon

Stay low and run in a random pattern.

List of Civilian Nuclear Accidents

crapattack

BTW I answer both to the poll. It is a symptom and a stepping stone. There is no doubt we will enter into another phase in our energy history, and the reason we have gotten here is because humans have not learned to control our reproduction and consumption. This mess a symptom of that lack of control.
_________________
"Ninety percent of everything is crap."
-Theodore Sturgeon

Stay low and run in a random pattern.

List of Civilian Nuclear Accidents

Ludi

"Humans" had no problem controlling their consumption and reproduction when they lived in finite territories. It's our culture, with the idea of "there's always more over the next hill" that is the problem.
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"...powerdown so soft and fluffy you'll think you're living in a pillow." - jboogy

Twilight · Expert Joined: Mar 02, 2007 Posts: 3076 Location: UK

EnergyUnlimited · Fusion Joined: May 15, 2006 Posts: 3324

Twilight · Expert Joined: Mar 02, 2007 Posts: 3076 Location: UK

Ferretlover

MonteQuest

Ferretlover

Thank you. Economics is definitely NOT my forte! I will check Depletion economics forum--sorry about the different topic.

Ferretlover · Last edited by Ferretlover on Fri Jun 29, 2007 11:46 am; edited 1 time in total

If there is a post peak die off:
1. will there be a need for reproduction reduction efforts?
2. will those aspects of global warming that are presumed to be caused by humans not correct themselves?
3. won’t reduced population benefit environmental conservation efforts?

Won’t isolated pockets of humanity set up their own economies? (Yes, I am still struggling with the economic issues! … sigh…) Could one say that most economies are just “pyramid schemes?”

Unfortunately, I have absolutely No faith in the idea that any changes that require a global consensus will ever succeed. No matter how large the die off will be, there is no way that all humans will ever agree unanimously on anything.

And, I don’t get it re: biofuels-If the amount of available arable land is decreasing, and it takes as much as 8 units of energy to produce 1 unit of biofuel, aren’t? biofuels currently a dead-end?

Won’t space expansion take a back seat in the priorities of the future? (Depressing thought-I wanted to be an astronaut when I was much younger…) It takes fuel to get those orbiters into space… I admit I do not know of what the fuel mixture consists.

Aren’t we humans in this mess because of our faulty thinking/analyzing processes? I don’t understand why so many think that personal attacks are an appropriate response, in any situation or forum, when an idea is questioned. Shouldn’t brainstorming skills be required learning at the earliest possible age?

Ludi

Groups will very definitely need to limit their reproduction to maintain their local population to within the carrying capacity of their local environment, which is likely to be much reduced from its optimum by that time. Control of reproduction was always important to groups with finite territories (tribal peoples).

Global warming will "correct itself" but not for centuries, probably. Humans need to adapt to global warming for the foreseeable future.

Reduced population won't necessarily benefit the environment unless people learn to live within the carrying capacity of that environment. A few people can still make a huge mess of things.
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"...powerdown so soft and fluffy you'll think you're living in a pillow." - jboogy

NotMyBlood · Heavy Crude Joined: Jun 29, 2007 Posts: 306

How long can man continue to plod aimlessly ahead into the abyss?

Thats the only way Man has ever functioned. We need a way to keep warm stumble upon Fire and use it. We need a way to power a car and heat are homes and stumble upon Oil and use it. We adapt to problems. It might mean war, pandemics, tradegies, painful transitions, different "ages", etc etc etc but we continue to find new ways. George Jetson.

azreal60

NotMyBlood · Heavy Crude Joined: Jun 29, 2007 Posts: 306

I will take your recommendation and read the series. I gotta warn you thought if its not interesting , I wont get very far. But I will try.

RdSnt

People, in general, aren't about to change. It's not because they are lazy or malicious, it's simply they don't often have a point of reference to compare what they are doing with what the consequences are.

I fully believe there will be a very nasty die-off, read the above paragraph to see the reason why.
During and after the die-off we will start the cycle all over again. Why, because the vast majority of the survivors will be far too busy attempting to survive to reflect on the future ramifications of what they are currently doing. Quite truthfully most won't give a damn.

I would truly hope that we can maintain some connection to advanced technology, so that we can populate the rest of the solar system.
I do not believe we should go backwards, retreat to some balanced harmony with nature crap. We will die out completely if we pursue that path. I believe we need to move beyond this planet and expand our capabilities.
Our sensible route off the planet is with space elevators. Not at all science fiction, they are currently being developed and are a practical solution.