| View previous topic :: View next topic |
| Author |
Message |
hoplite Heavy Crude


Joined: Oct 22, 2004 Posts: 300
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 8:28 pm Post subject: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/03/29/eveningnews/main1454613.shtml
Pheeww!, I was begininng to think I was gonna have to sell my H1 AND my lifestyle! (I AM a technological cornicopian when it comes to this PO.COM doomer crap). I don't know that THIS is the answer but I'm sure it will be something like this... |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
rogerhb Master


Joined: Sep 06, 2004 Posts: 5315 Location: Smalltown New Zealand
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 8:33 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
| hoplite wrote: | | I don't know that THIS is the answer but I'm sure it will be something like this... |
What's that phrase? "They'll think of something....".
If this does take off I hope they don't do something silly like price it in US dollars...... _________________ "Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
sicophiliac Heavy Crude


Joined: Jun 28, 2005 Posts: 374 Location: san jose CA
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 8:46 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
| Doesnt sugar cane have a better EROEI then corn based ethanol ? If Brazils been using it for such a large chunch of the thier liquid fuels needs it gotta be worth something right? |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
gego Light Sweet Crude

![]()
Joined: Mar 03, 2005 Posts: 1334
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 8:47 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
| rogerhb wrote: |
What's that phrase? "They'll think of something....".
If this does take off I hope they don't do something silly like price it in US dollars...... |
Ditto, plus:
You can also just take the attitude, "Don't worry, be happy." |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
shortonoil Fission


Joined: Dec 02, 2004 Posts: 2752 Location: VA USA
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 8:58 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
sicophiliac said:
| Quote: | Doesnt sugar cane have a better EROEI then corn based ethanol ? If Brazils been using it for such a large chunch of the thier liquid fuels needs it gotta be worth something right?
|
Brazil has lots of sun and lots of rain. Sugar cane doesn’t grow worth a dame in Kansas!
They may think of something but I’ll bet that what ever it is doesn’t include us. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
TITAN Intermediate Crude

![]()
Joined: May 25, 2005 Posts: 506 Location: New Northwest Union
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 8:59 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
| hoplite wrote: | http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/03/29/eveningnews/main1454613.shtml
Pheeww!, I was begininng to think I was gonna have to sell my H1 AND my lifestyle! (I AM a technological cornicopian when it comes to this PO.COM doomer crap). I don't know that THIS is the answer but I'm sure it will be something like this... |
The main problem is, nobody in the United States is really making a serious attempt at implementing ANYTHING like this. I suspect it would take atleast 1 year, probably 2 or 3 to really see any progress in this here in the US, and that's if they started NOW...
We don't have 2 or 3 years... _________________ “You can fool some of the people all the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on.” George W. Bush |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
shortonoil Fission


Joined: Dec 02, 2004 Posts: 2752 Location: VA USA
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 9:14 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
TITAN said:
| Quote: | | The main problem is, nobody in the United States is really making a serious attempt at implementing ANYTHING like this. I suspect it would take atleast 1 year, probably 2 or 3 to really see any progress in this here in the US, and that's if they started NOW... |
Maybe some genius in Washington will think of something that we can do in the next 6 to 8 months - how about invading IRAN! |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Concerned Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Sep 23, 2004 Posts: 1553
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 9:20 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
| hoplite wrote: | http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/03/29/eveningnews/main1454613.shtml
Pheeww!, I was begininng to think I was gonna have to sell my H1 AND my lifestyle! (I AM a technological cornicopian when it comes to this PO.COM doomer crap). I don't know that THIS is the answer but I'm sure it will be something like this... |
Sounds like your clutching at straws or sugar cane in this case. Good Luck you'll need it  _________________ "Once the game is over, the king and the pawn go back in the same box."
-Italian Proverb |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
coyote News Editor


Joined: Oct 23, 2005 Posts: 1851 Location: East of Eden
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 9:31 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
| CBS wrote: | | Wouldn't it be nice if, one day, we didn't have to worry about the ups and downs of the gas markets? |
Yeah... it sure would be.... *sigh* _________________ "If a path to the better there be, it begins with a full look at the worst." — Thomas Hardy |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
pstarr Expert


Joined: Sep 27, 2004 Posts: 7183 Location: Behind the Redwood Curtain
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 10:43 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
Brazil Sugar Cane production shows a cursory postive energy return because several significant energy inputs, virtual slave labor and virgin soils, are externalized and not added into the energy calculations by the producers.
Manual sugar cane production is still more effective than machine production because of cane-damage oxidation. Also, Brazil is a country of extreme income disparity, and there is a pool of impoverished people (mostly dark-skinned) who can be counted on to work for their food and little more.
Also the Pantanal, the largest expanse of wetlands in the world and one of the world's last great virgin marshes is being converted to monocrop sugar production and will deplete and die after this boom.
So this biofuel bonanza is another sham and disgrace. What is new? _________________
ree rah rip ram. sunofabitch godamn. hidey didey christ almighty. rah rah crap  |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
zoidberg Intermediate Crude


Joined: Feb 23, 2005 Posts: 513 Location: Winnipeg
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 11:08 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
Plus a favored tactic is to burn the waste plant matter to power the stuff to make ethenol from the sugar. Essentially, plants grow and everything is taken from the crop and not put back. How many crops will that land produce at that rate?
This is only half a rhetorical question. If anyone can hazard a guess it'd be interesting to know. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Clouseau2 Heavy Crude


Joined: Oct 18, 2004 Posts: 266 Location: San Francisco, CA
|
Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2006 11:43 pm Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
| shortonoil wrote: | sicophiliac said:
| Quote: | Doesnt sugar cane have a better EROEI then corn based ethanol ? If Brazils been using it for such a large chunch of the thier liquid fuels needs it gotta be worth something right?
|
Brazil has lots of sun and lots of rain. Sugar cane doesn’t grow worth a dame in Kansas!
They may think of something but I’ll bet that what ever it is doesn’t include us. |
We also don't have an unlimited amount of rainforest to burn down to make room for more cattle ranches and sugar cane plantations.
Oh wait, Brazil doesn't have that either ...
Actually, according to a recent article, the United States produces more ethanol than Brazil now ... Of course the process is petrochemicals + land == ethanol |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Gazzatrone Intermediate Crude


Joined: Nov 07, 2005 Posts: 559 Location: London, UK
|
Posted: Wed Apr 19, 2006 2:38 am Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
Nice idea in theory but.
1) The dilemma of using land to grow food or land to grow energy. Who's going to be around to use all this ethanol when they've all died of hunger?
2) The mass drive to either convert "regular" cars in order for them to run on ethanol, or switch factory production to making solely cars using ethanol. Consider it has taken 100 years of motoring to get us to this point. With the current cost of base metals I think you are looking at a cost of the production of a new vehicle being so in terms of research and development, that car companies would refuse to change.
3) Will growth be fast enough to produce what would be in ten years time a world demand of in the region of 100mbpd. I don't think so. (see point one)
These ideas work well on small single country scale that have the oppurtunity of growing a resource. But that is the point. Not everywhere can grow sugar cane and we create a new system Peak Land.
The inability to maintain sustainable growth usinng a finite resource i.e Land |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
BrazilianPO Heavy Crude


Joined: Apr 19, 2006 Posts: 199 Location: Australia
|
Posted: Wed Apr 19, 2006 3:01 am Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
Hi everyone. Even though I have been checking this forum for the last two years this is my first post. About Brazil, sugar cane is grown mostly in the northeast of the country, which enjoys lots of sun and rain all year long.
The Pantanal and Amazon forest are being deforested for growing soy bean, wheat and for cattle as well. The workforce is almost slave, just like China. If you leave the large cities, the wages become ridiculously low, but you can still survive because living costs are also ridiculously low. Sugar cane will work for Brazil, India and some other countries, but not for everyone.
Also, soil depletion is a problem, but Brazilian farmers have been very cautious on that, using techniques that minimize (but not eliminate) it. The ethanol program has been going on for over 30 years and is now at its best.  |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
0mar Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Oct 12, 2004 Posts: 1647 Location: Davis, California
|
Posted: Wed Apr 19, 2006 3:09 am Post subject: Re: Sugar cane saves the day (and the world economy) |
|
|
Scale, people, scale!
The US produces more ethanol than anyone else in the world, even Brazil. And all that ethanol the US produces is enough for maybe a couple days worth of imports.
If everything about ethanol was absolutely perfect, it would still take decades before there was actually a significant amount of energy derived from ethanol (ie more than a few tenths/hundredths of a percentage point). _________________ Joseph Stalin
"It is enough that the people know there was an election. The people who cast the votes decide nothing. The people who count the votes decide everything. " |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
|