How then, do we move backwards? How does a society, with most of the people having no clue of future events, move from being dependent on a vast and intertwined network of goods and services produced by the indigenous people of whereever, to a local resource and renewable energy based society, and do so in the timeframe available (20-30 years using the most liberal extimates, 10-20 with resonable estimates, 5-10 with worst case scenarios), all the while prices on everything increasing, world politics getting more militaristic, governments continuously reducing civil liberties, shortages of goods on the market and weather patterns resembling bad Hollywood movies?
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 10:42 am Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
Do you want the honest answer?
I have never stolen anything in my life, even pens from work, I don't intend to steal or hurt anyone...I'm guilty of occasionally going over the speed limit, not always paying council tax on time but generally I'm one of those 'law abiding citizens'.
However..
Now the question you ask I've thought about myself. My plan B is to obtain a house with a fair amount of land, somewhere out the way (Yorkshire, Devon perhaps) and grow everything plus run a wind turbine, run on log burning stoves etc...
However, if the crap did hit the fan, how would you defend it? Now here's a test UK peak oilers...Go out and drive to a remote part of the country, perhaps the lakes, Exmoor, North Yorkshire, Lincolnshire. Park up somewhere that you think is quiet and time how long it takes before someone comes along. They'll be someone along within the hour, almost guaranteed. Possibly even the police, wondering what you are doing. So, the bottom line is there is very few locations in the UK, you'll be able to hide away in should it all go *** up. Therefore you must think about defence - but you're going to need a lot of it.
What would you do if a crowd of 100 people came along, looking for food or shelter? You might be able to deal with a couple of people, but unless you have military training, weapons and defence, I doubt many more. In fact, I doubt in a real crisis the police and the military would last five minutes either - after all, 1000 UK military personnel have deserted forces in Iraq. They’d simply be out numbered.
So I concluded, it's probably worth going for but actually in a real crisis fairly pointless.
Would I steal? Well, here's another test. Don't eat anything for a few days - it's amazing what packets you'll get out of the cupboard. When you start feeling weak, even your most hated foods suddenly start looking rather nicer. Eventually it's either a case of the suicide pills or fight for your survival. Quite honestly I’d get your friends and family and try and leave the country – but where you would go it’s not an easy solution. Good luck. Trust me, the only solutions are national ones in reality else it’s pot luck.
Would I expect to get dealt with harshly? Of course. But that’s the risk you take, and you would expect to have to show at least some force to fight back.
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 11:12 am Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
I think that possible looters would stay in close vincity of towns and cities.
They would first loot supermarkets, groceries etc, then they would rob each other, then with many wounds, they would run out of steam and die off in their surroundings.
They would not go (in any significant numbers) to loot countryside for the reason of luck of transport, and/or stamina required and local folks would "unite forces" to defeat some small groups of looters anyway.
Actual "fight for food" would boil down to massive disruption in towns/cities and their close surroundings.
Joined: Mar 02, 2006 Posts: 1191 Location: England
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 11:45 am Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
I'm one of those 'law abiding citizens'.
Me too.
My plan B is to obtain a house with a fair amount of land, somewhere out the way (Yorkshire, Devon perhaps) and grow everything plus run a wind turbine, run on log burning stoves etc...
That's our plan too. We are already rural ... but need more land.
However having a wizzo smallholding like that could lead to:
- council confiscation
- military confiscation
- unwanted interest from unprepared neighbours
- unwanted interest from disant relatives
- being a target for gangs seeking a safe place to hole up
- being bothered by refugees
Therefore you must think about defence - but you're going to need a lot of it.
Good point. That would need good planning - don't want to get arrested prior to any collapse for possession of heavy duty items.
What would you do if a crowd of 100 people came along, looking for food or shelter?
There are a few options:
- Run away and hide until they hopefully pass through.
- Stay and look poor & hungry (having hidden any goodies) .. and hope the new arrivals are not into rape or forcible religious conversions.
- Stay and fight - but, as you say, that would need heavy duty weapons.
Quite honestly I’d get your friends and family and try and leave the country – but where you would go it’s not an easy solution.
Exactly - somewhere the Isle of Man seems to make sense ... but the locals might not be too keen on boat refugees! Have you any other suggestions?
Would I expect to get dealt with harshly? Of course. But that’s the risk you take, and you would expect to have to show at least some force to fight back.
Which confirms my expectation that many new arrivals would be armed in some way.
All this is leading me to think that only a heavily armed settlement would survive long term. However, as in most places, most of my neighbours would be useless in this role. You would have to set up a dedicated hamlet of like minded souls in advance.
I wonder if it's worth setting up an informal network of like minded well-equipped contacts who would set up camp together when the bad times arrived?
The main snag could be the period between the good times and the bad times ... there could be months or years of increasing hardship and tough policing before things finally fell apart. The powers-that-be ... or personal need ... could have depleted most of your reserves of goodies (& health) before the big crunch came.
Another approach would be to hide away a stash of goodies and forget about them for as long as possible. This would require you to attempt to survive like everyone else ... but at the very end you would leave your locale and set up shop deep in the woods with tents etc.
Or you simply join the police or army and become one of the "bosses" ! _________________ Technology will save us!
Joined: Nov 24, 2005 Posts: 743 Location: The ever shrinking wilds of Norway
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 12:06 pm Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
Living a semi-nomadic lifestyle in the forest would probably be the safest in the UK. Only lighting fires in the night and always move stealthy.
From what I understand the UK teems with roe deer, badgers, rabbits and foxes. All edible. Bows and arrows can help you avoid detection. And the women could gather roots etc. and trap small animals.
Unless you start building castles again that is. They could probably be pretty safe.
Farmers are generally sitting ducks, a hunter-gatherer can find a meal almost anywhere and can move camp if the raiders come too close.
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 12:26 pm Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
SoothSayer wrote:
Serious question for city/town dwellers:
If things got bad would YOU roam the countryside looking for food?
Would you steal it from allotments, gardens & fields?
Would you expect to be dealt with VERY harshly if caught?
Just wondering ... I need to make defense plans
If I had to, sure.
I assume that failure equals execution - I suppose that's a reasonable level of harshness.
My method would be to team up with others, wait until the people came out and got a reasonable distance into open territory, then capture them. They would then serve as a bargaining chip to obtain supplies.
Or, failing that, wound the target and wait for others to come to his/her aid.
Failing that, team up with someone expendable. Send them down to steal. If anyone comes out, terminate them from 100 meters.
To defend against this, expect to keep everyone armed anytime they're out, and clear the terrain out to at least 200 meters. Always send 2 out, one with a loaded semi-automatic battle rifle (telescopic sight, iron sights, 2 20 rnd magazines, 7.62 NATO or better), the other with a 9mm or .40 cal handgun. Some smoke grenades would be nice. PASGT helmets and level III body armor would be nice to have.
Be sure to plan out some areas where you can take cover quickly, while remembering NOT to make them a place that can aid in assaulting the house. I would suggest laying in some sand bags to fortify the house, and putting chicken wire over the windows to resist grenades. _________________ Dieoff. Fun to watch. Better with hot buttered popcorn!
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 12:30 pm Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
Torjus wrote:
Living a semi-nomadic lifestyle in the forest would probably be the safest in the UK. Only lighting fires in the night and always move stealthy.
From what I understand the UK teems with roe deer, badgers, rabbits and foxes. All edible. Bows and arrows can help you avoid detection. And the women could gather roots etc. and trap small animals.
Unless you start building castles again that is. They could probably be pretty safe.
Farmers are generally sitting ducks, a hunter-gatherer can find a meal almost anywhere and can move camp if the raiders come too close.
Torjus Gaaren
A Welsh forestry professional once said that while studying forestry (in Scotland) he'd never really seen a forest until he visited Finland.
Point is that Britain is not such a big island and it is massively overpopulated.
There are very few corners where you could live a survivalist lifestyle in relative solitude. And those would not be in the rolling, pleasant countryside of England. More like a windswept treeless island or windswept, freezing rain mountain glen (both in Scotland).
Scandinavia would be a better bet for that sort of thing.
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 12:34 pm Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
You're right about North Yorkshire by the way. We're really not that remote at all.
All the good places already have small towns and villages dotted around every few miles. There are remote places about, but they're not somewhere you'd want to live thats for sure!
I wouldn't steal from allotments, I would hopefully have my own. Or be making use of my garden. I've no doubt I could roam the countryside, I do a lot of walking, but it wouldn't be as glamarous as it sounds if it's windy as hell and pissing it down.
Last edited by rushdy on Mon May 29, 2006 12:35 pm; edited 1 time in total
Joined: Nov 24, 2005 Posts: 743 Location: The ever shrinking wilds of Norway
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 12:36 pm Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
Andrew
You have a point, but there are forested field edges and small forests to follow everywhere. It shouldn't be a problem. That is where the animals themselves hide so.
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 12:54 pm Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
Torjus wrote:
Andrew
You have a point, but there are forested field edges and small forests to follow everywhere. It shouldn't be a problem. That is where the animals themselves hide so.
Torjus Gaaren
Yes, it's certainly possible if limited numbers of people try it. Roads would presumably be much quieter than normal (no petrol) which would help.
However, if in a crisis just 0.1% of teens and young adults get the same idea (which is quite likely I think, if people are starving in cities) Britain's countryside would be blooding teeming with people.
It's difficult in England to get very far from a major town. Even if there's no petrol a fit person can walk 30 miles (45 km) in a day no prob, and cycle much more. You could never get far enough away from people even if there's no petrol.
That's why just the island or highland glen came to my mind: there you might just be left fairly alone. But not a pleasant or easy environment (that's why they're relatively isolated of course).
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 1:09 pm Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
SoothSayer wrote:
My main worry would be large numbers of - err - multicultural city dwellers coming into the country in vehicle convoys.
We have over a million of this sort of citizen in our local city.
Can you imagine trying to fend of 50 or 100 of their young men armed with butchers knives ... <shudder> ...
I've wondered about this sort of thing a lot. My guess is that most of the city gang types wouldn't consider moving out of town until things are really desperate. So if lucky, most will actually be out of petrol and can't drive or they have only one tankful: that would get them into the countryside and stranded, which would be the danger for you if they run out when near your place.
Basically I'm thinking petrol shortage, while not eliminating this problem, would reduce it greatly and it may last only a limited time period.
This is in say a weeks-long crisis. In the long run you need to be armed. Maybe you should consider joining a gun club if don't already have guns and experience. Then you can own and practise legally and make secret arrangements when a real crisis seems to be approaching. Is it illegal to have licensed guns at home?
Gangs with guns and machetes would be a real problem (even if they're on pushbikes).
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 1:58 pm Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
Hmn, well, you’ve got to look at realistic scenarios here. For a start it’s not all going to go bad in a day. The best lessons to learn are from the fuel blockades and the Arab oil crisis. Let’s remind ourselves how fuel was prioritised. People could still get about on public transport and I guess if it went on any longer the government would have sent to army in for fuel for essential food supplies. Governments do have contingency plans. Obviously given time the economy would have badly suffered.
Would people migrate toward towns and cities, or away? Well, I think like minded people in villages could form some local co-operative with local farmers. Longer term it’s of course a lot more difficult – I certainly wouldn’t want to be without a car in North Yorkshire, but as everyone knows it’s quite possible to survive in cities without one. Growing your own food means if the weather is bad you’ll starve anyway, although I think there’s a place for the allotment culture that went on during and just after the war.
I can’t see any scenario where people would be allowed to ‘starve’ in cities – I mean it’s not going to just be left to the market, the police will occupy fuel stations and certain industry will get special treatment. The worst that’s going to happen is a reduction in speed limits and rationing, for a while, then perhaps a radical rethink of how business is done, coupled with a severe recession.
I would imagine that we’d go back to the canal/rail based localised hub and spoke type systems popular before the 1960s and the only driving would be really by strict license, at least until an alterative is found, and even then we’d perhaps never get back to basing life around private cars, at least in the same way. Obviously business would be hit hard as some (but not all) people struggle to work and local deliveries are disrupted, but I’d imagine there would be a certain amount of (unpopular) prioritisation.
I think the idea of communes in the UK is too far fetched, it’s too heavily populated. I know some people in the cities think when they get out to Slough it’s ‘in the sticks’ but really, even in some of the more remote parts of Yorkshire are not that remote at night there would be the haze of the street lamps of Teeside to the east and West Yorkshire (Leeds/Bradford conurbation) to the south. And that’s about the most remote part of England. Scotland is better, but then you have the bad weather and isolation to cope with. The most remote part of the country is Western Scotland, where you can drive at night it pitch black and be mesmerised by the snow poles.
Which means escape: Realistically, there are not too many places in Europe that are going to offer ‘problem free’ solutions. In France, you have a nuclear powered electricity supply situation, with a half decent electrified rail network for transport solutions. But then French love to strike and I would imagine wouldn’t appreciate outsiders in a national crisis. Switzerland and Austria look tempting, with their power supply mix, transportation, relative wealth and so on, but parts are heavily populated and they are transit countries. If there was widespread migration, these places are not the best to be. Scandinavia is probably the best bet, a ready supply of fuel if nothing else, and few people, but it isn’t the warmest place in Europe.
Outside of Europe, you will have to cope with Canadian/Australian/US/New Zealand immigration laws, and there’s no way they are going to let people in during a crisis. Personally I think the US could be potential hell and may not even survive as a united states. Which leaves dodgy third world, accession or very poor countries - and most of these are going to be hit harder than richer countries which can afford to buy oil.
Personally I’m going to stay put and see what happens, only if it got really bad I’d attempt to move out. Expect to see intense re-organisation rather than absolute panic though over a period of years if some of the predications come true.
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 2:13 pm Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
SoothSayer wrote:
Sheesh - pls stay in Texas Jack ...
Can you imagine trying to fend of 50 or 100 of their young men armed with butchers knives ... <shudder> ...
Now, SoothSayer - I think you'd find my equipment rather useful in dealing with a 100 or so young men with knives.
The key is to terminate the driver in the lead vehicle, then likewise with the trailing vehicle. Then keep up the good work. There aren't many units that remain cohesive after they've taken 10% casualties, fewer still that function after 25%.
I would suggest that you "aim to maim". A target screaming in pain does wonders to enemy morale.
That said, concentrate on hardening your house and making it as fire resistant as possible. Consider having 50 meters of unplanted plowed fields surrounding your position, making progress on foot slower for the opposition. Have a good rifle for distant work and a shotgun for close-in work.
You're right to worry about the scenario you mention. I read about a dreadful situation in Australia where 10-15 multiculturals with machetes killed the males in one family, and raped the women and girls. The police didn't come until long after the attack....as I recall, that was a year ago. I remember thinking how glad I was that Texas allows us to be well armed. Although I have a high regard for the U.K. and Europe, I must say I find the restrictions on weapons distressing. _________________ Dieoff. Fun to watch. Better with hot buttered popcorn!
Joined: Apr 11, 2006 Posts: 62 Location: about to go splat
Posted: Mon May 29, 2006 2:19 pm Post subject: Re: UK: Would you steal food from allotments etc?
Right about now I would be investing in a decent mountain bike. Preferably a decent lightweight hardtail for minimum maintainance. You should be able to pick a new one up for £800. Kona make some very strong bikes. Stock up on parts such as brake pads, tyres (folding), inner tubes, cables, spare chain, and lube etc. Buy some decent all weather cycling clothes and a large 'camelback' waterbladder backpack and start cycling NOW. Train 3 times per wk and try and do at least 20 miles on each ride. Buy some tools and learn bicycle repair too. If escaping the hordes of starving office workers is your main concern, you need to be fit and mobile. Both you and your machine have to be in good shape. Regards bagging food and protection, a bow and arrow like some people have mentioned sounds a bit far fetched. Do you have any bow and arrow making skills?. I don't A lightweight pump action air rifle with a sling on it would be a better choice. Crossman make some decent air arms for a reasonable price, and you could carry a couple of thousand of pellets in your backpack no problem. Also look into a good survival kit which I'm sure you already have. If the trucks stop rolling into Tesco's and souplines ensue, the masses in the city will become desperate and the allotments will get picked over first.
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