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XOVERX Heavy Crude


Joined: Apr 18, 2006 Posts: 175
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dissident Heavy Crude


Joined: Apr 08, 2006 Posts: 378
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Posted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 7:53 pm Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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| What is sad is that people will believe what politicians tell them about climate science and not the climate scientists. The so-called skeptics are, by far, not scientists. The handful of scientists that go against the consensus do not have rock solid research on which they stand. Instead they come up with far fetched ideas that wither in the face of scrutiny (e.g. Lindzen's infrared iris, or the supposed lack of a warming trend in satellite observations that was touted a few years back and has been shown to be due to omitting effects from aerosols). |
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Kingcoal Expert


Joined: Sep 29, 2004 Posts: 2330 Location: Pennsylvania, USA
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Posted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 8:50 pm Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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There is scientific evidence for global warming and that evidence is reasonably credible. Most scientists will agree that the earth is getting warmer, abet slowly. What is not settled is whether or not this warming period we are now in is abnormal, let alone caused in any way by mankind. There have been many warming and cooling periods in the earth's history - and man wasn't around to cause them.
There is a point of view that I call the "it's all our fault theory," and people who subscribe to this theory label it "global warming." Global warming is simply that; warming. There is no connection to mankind there; that is a separate theory. You really need to add the two theories together and call it "human instigated global warming." _________________ "That's the problem with mercy, kid... It just ain't professional" - Fast Eddie, The Color of Money |
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Lore Intermediate Crude


Joined: Aug 26, 2005 Posts: 981 Location: "Mad as Hell !"
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Posted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 10:00 pm Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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Then the last couple of decades of warming are a climatic and statistical oddity since they coincidently coincide with sharp increases in CO2. I ask you, what are the chances of that? _________________ The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt |
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rwwff Fission


Joined: Apr 28, 2006 Posts: 2897 Location: East Texas
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Posted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 10:00 pm Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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| Kingcoal wrote: | | You really need to add the two theories together and call it "human instigated global warming." |
Already got a name for it in common use:
Anthropogenic Global Warming, usually abrev (AGW). |
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rwwff Fission


Joined: Apr 28, 2006 Posts: 2897 Location: East Texas
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Posted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 10:04 pm Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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| Lore wrote: | | Then the last couple of decades of warming are a climatic and statistical oddity since they coincidently coincide with sharp increases in CO2. I ask you, what are the chances of that? |
Actually, you'd have to say the chances are unknown. We don't have a long enough historical record of the needed resolution to make any suggestions about odds of coincidence.
Could be 1 in 3; could be 1 in a million. Flat don't know.
OTOH, I don't think odds of coincidence figure highly into the science of AGW. |
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NEOPO permanently banned

Joined: May 15, 2005 Posts: 4144 Location: THE MATRIX
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Lore Intermediate Crude


Joined: Aug 26, 2005 Posts: 981 Location: "Mad as Hell !"
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Posted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 10:08 pm Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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| rwwff wrote: | | Lore wrote: | | Then the last couple of decades of warming are a climatic and statistical oddity since they coincidently coincide with sharp increases in CO2. I ask you, what are the chances of that? |
Actually, you'd have to say the chances are unknown. We don't have a long enough historical record of the needed resolution to make any suggestions about odds of coincidence.
Could be 1 in 3; could be 1 in a million. Flat don't know.
OTOH, I don't think odds of coincidence figure highly into the science of AGW. |
Do yourself a favor... don't go to Las Vegas! I wouldn't want to bet the planet on it. _________________ The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt |
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rwwff Fission


Joined: Apr 28, 2006 Posts: 2897 Location: East Texas
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Posted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 10:12 pm Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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| Lore wrote: | | Do yourself a favor... don't go to Las Vegas! I wouldn't want to bet the planet on it. |
I don't gamble; which is another reason that the "odds of coincidence" arguments are completely unpersuasive to me. CO2 either contributes to GW, or it doesn't; and the science so far indicates that it does. |
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Lore Intermediate Crude


Joined: Aug 26, 2005 Posts: 981 Location: "Mad as Hell !"
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Posted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 10:15 pm Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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| rwwff wrote: | | CO2 either contributes to GW, or it doesn't; and the science so far indicates that it does. |
Exactly! _________________ The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt |
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dwenergyman Tar Sands


Joined: May 06, 2004 Posts: 52
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Posted: Sun Jul 02, 2006 10:40 am Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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I believe any good discussion of global warming should include the story the dimming of the sun. It is important to be aware of a factor that is currently masking the full temperature gains of higher greenhouse gas levels.
NOVA | Dimming the Sun | PBS
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/sun/ |
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dissident Heavy Crude


Joined: Apr 08, 2006 Posts: 378
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Posted: Sun Jul 02, 2006 10:57 am Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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This is an example of the sort of silly coverage of global warming in the media. Citing the opinion of Bernie Rayno, a meteorologist, is not equivalent to citing the opinion of a climate scientist. Mr. Rayno doesn't have the qualifications to make the ridiculous assertion that he does.
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grabby Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Nov 08, 2005 Posts: 1328
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Posted: Sun Jul 02, 2006 11:00 am Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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On my way to work today, the globe was really warm...
It was 85 and it was only 9 am!
This global warming is pretty obvious in the summer. _________________ ___________________________
WHEN THE BLIND LEAD THE BLIND...GET OUT OF THE WAY!
Using evil to further good makes one evil
Doubt everything but the TRUTH
This posted information is not permissible to be used
by anyone who has ever met a lawyer |
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rwwff Fission


Joined: Apr 28, 2006 Posts: 2897 Location: East Texas
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Posted: Sun Jul 02, 2006 11:13 am Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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| dissident wrote: | | Citing the opinion of Bernie Rayno, a meteorologist, is not equivalent to citing the opinion of a climate scientist. Mr. Rayno doesn't have the qualifications to make the ridiculous assertion that he does. |
Nor does Jeanne Salvatore.
Basically, they quote Epstein, who follows the mainstream science line, Bernie Rayno who gives a "not our fault" remark on behalf of accuweather, and Jeanne Salvatore that gives the traditional forecast, ie, (since I saw big thunderstorms yesterday...) "We can expect to see thunderstorms..."
This isn't about GW, its the way the media covers everything. |
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gg3 Expert


Joined: May 24, 2004 Posts: 3428 Location: California, USA
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Posted: Sun Jul 02, 2006 1:16 pm Post subject: Re: The Great Global Warming Whurlitzer |
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The relevant question, that US voters should be relentlessly asking of our elected officials, is, "What if you're wrong?"
If the human-impact advocates are wrong, what happens is economic conversion to non-fossil energy sources e.g. nuclear, wind, solar. Downside impact minimal, since jobs and profits lost in one part of the economy are gained in other parts. And this puts us on better footing to deal with PO.
If the head-in-sand advocates are wrong, what happens is that we do nothing until the climate hits the tipping point, after which things go crash in a manner sufficiently spectacular as to make PO seem like a picnic. And in all probability, the impact would be multiplied by PO.
Either way, PO means a combination of conversion and powerdown, which would be compatible with the conversion needed to deal with climate change. The longer we wait, the fewer options remaining.
As far as economics are concerned, the choice is between "more of the same" if we do-nothing, vs. the potential for another economic boom caused by all the activity in the conversion.
Clearly the do-nothing side is gaining mightily from "more of the same." |
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