Oil's energy contribution has declined by about 12% since 1999. The world's economies have also declined by about 12%. (Using conventional metrics, which are time delayed determinations, this will only be seen in hind sight). The massive destruction of asset values now occurring testifies to it happening.
Peak is well behind us, world economies have peaked and will continue to decline.
Joined: Jan 03, 2005 Posts: 1212 Location: western Wisconsin
Posted: Fri Jul 27, 2007 8:25 am Post subject: We need to increase our population (!!?)
Wednesday, July 25, there was an interesting guest on the "On Point" program on National Public Radio, Herbert E. Meyer, who took the position that we need to keep increasing the population of the USA (and other western nations) to counteract the increasing population of Muslim nations. He appeared to have no concern for (or maybe no comprehension of) peak oil, global warming, or other world-wide problems that relate to overpopulation--just that we need more people to keep our place in the scheme of things, worldwide.
http://www.onpointradio.org/shows/2007/07/20070725_a_main.asp
Joined: Aug 26, 2005 Posts: 447 Location: Windy City No Longer
Posted: Fri Jul 27, 2007 8:58 am Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
WisJim-
I heard this program, too. I wondered what in the name of beer this guy is thinking? Talk about laser focus on one issue without looking at the big picture. The major assumption underlying this model is "things will continue as they always have." Of course, given global warming, peak oil, and a host of other issues, maybe a big population won't be a good thing....ya think? _________________ TANSTAAFL
Joined: May 24, 2004 Posts: 3429 Location: California, USA
Posted: Fri Jul 27, 2007 9:34 am Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
First of all, the average birth rate in the Middle East is SEVEN children per woman. There is no way to keep up with that.
Second, the man is obviously some kind of racist.
Third, the birth rate all over the world needs to be decreased to one child per woman or less for a couple of generations if we're to have any hope of avoiding extinction via climate catastrophe.
Fourth, anyone who advocates increasing population has a serious deficiency of Vitamin Lead and should be administered a supplement.
Joined: Aug 26, 2005 Posts: 1009 Location: "Mad as Hell !"
Posted: Fri Jul 27, 2007 10:19 am Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
The problem will most likely take care of itself when the overpopulated Muslim nations, with the poorest of natural resources, are left to pound sand when the oil dries up.
Having several children with no UN aid will be a humanitarian crisis of a whole new dimension. _________________ The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
Posted: Fri Jul 27, 2007 11:12 am Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
gg3 wrote:
First of all, the average birth rate in the Middle East is SEVEN children per woman. There is no way to keep up with that.
Much of those are dying early (or soon will once food aid as well as oil exports are over substantial majority will...), so it could well be doable task if you pay women enough.
I tell it is doable, not desirable to be clear.
Quote:
Second, the man is obviously some kind of racist.
We can expect more of those once limits of growth are recognized.
Quote:
Third, the birth rate all over the world needs to be decreased to one child per woman or less for a couple of generations if we're to have any hope of avoiding extinction via climate catastrophe.
Thats BS. There will be a dieoff for certain but extinction?
A tiny chance perhaps.
Quote:
Fourth, anyone who advocates increasing population has a serious deficiency of Vitamin Lead and should be administered a supplement.
Again, you will see more of those.
Governments will need more soldiers to fight resource wars.
Joined: May 06, 2005 Posts: 210 Location: North Texas
Posted: Fri Jul 27, 2007 12:43 pm Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
The secretary of commerce was on TV a couple weeks ago. Basically he said we need immigrants because they are mostly uneducated and therefore willing to work in the fields for pennies. Americans farmers for the past 50 years have been leaving the farms for city life & college, so there is a vast shortage of people "willing" to do the work.
So it's growth, growth, growth, to "fix" our problems. Of course most people who visit this site know differently and can see the future problems only getting worse.
Joined: Dec 02, 2005 Posts: 6786 Location: Oil-addicted Southern Californucopia
Posted: Fri Jul 27, 2007 7:13 pm Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
Lore wrote:
The problem will most likely take care of itself when the overpopulated Muslim nations, with the poorest of natural resources, are left to pound sand when the oil dries up.
Having several children with no UN aid will be a humanitarian crisis of a whole new dimension.
What is the rest of the world going to do when famine begins to sweep the Muslim world? Deserved or not, there is a tremendous amount of hostility and resentment towards them. That may cost them dearly when they begin to need international aid. _________________ "Thank you for attending the oil age. We're going to scrape what we can out of these tar pits in Alberta and then shut down the machines and turn out the lights. Goodnight." - seldom_seen
Joined: Oct 18, 2004 Posts: 2130 Location: kiwibush
Posted: Fri Jul 27, 2007 10:21 pm Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
Zardoz wrote:
Lore wrote:
The problem will most likely take care of itself when the overpopulated Muslim nations, with the poorest of natural resources, are left to pound sand when the oil dries up.
Having several children with no UN aid will be a humanitarian crisis of a whole new dimension.
What is the rest of the world going to do when famine begins to sweep the Muslim world? Deserved or not, there is a tremendous amount of hostility and resentment towards them. That may cost them dearly when they begin to need international aid.
All because we, without a by your leave, planted a whole heap of Jews on the run from Hitler, in their midst..ironic aye? _________________ Bugger me, I hear oil's runnin out mate!
Joined: Aug 26, 2005 Posts: 1009 Location: "Mad as Hell !"
Posted: Fri Jul 27, 2007 10:35 pm Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
Zardoz wrote:
What is the rest of the world going to do when famine begins to sweep the Muslim world? Deserved or not, there is a tremendous amount of hostility and resentment towards them. That may cost them dearly when they begin to need international aid.
I believe the world will have pretty much atrophied by that time into a bunker mentality as nations pull in their horns, or raise them to take what they need.
Already the UN is saying that they will not have enough food to meet their humanitarian relief efforts next year; so I doubt by the time our converging morass of problems reaches a pivotal point that there will be any international aid to give anyone, deserving or not. _________________ The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
Posted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 4:10 am Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
Trust me, we'll have enough of our own problems. _________________ "One minute I held the key, next the walls were closed on me, and I discovered that my castle stands upon pillars of salt and pillars of sand."
Joined: May 24, 2004 Posts: 3429 Location: California, USA
Posted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 10:27 am Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
Re. The Dude, "spoken like a true homosexual" Ding ding ding! Got it right on the first guess! So hey, how'bout a date? Your bunker or mine?
Re. Americandream, "planted a whole heap of Jews." Today must be weird humor day. What do you get when you plant Jews? Jewsie-fruits? (Is that where they got the flavor for the chewing gum with the similar name?) In point of fact if you look at a map, Israel is a tiny slice of land. And the A-rabs are a bunch of steenkin' hypocrites for not volunteering to take in the displaced Palaestinians.
Re. Muslims: not just Muslims, but anywhere that the population is exploding. Any country whose leaders have half a brain will crank up the drawbridge before they get hit with a tidal wave. And not to forget, pandemics brew where populations stew.
Re. that US govt official and his item about illegal immigrants taking "jobs Americans won't do." The guy is some kind of socialist, and not the kind I can occasionally get along with. If Americans won't do those jobs at the going price, that's what we call a market signal. In this case, the price needs to bid upward until the supply matches the demand. What's so hard about that? These guys are so eager to advocate market measures when the supply of labor is larger than demand, speaking of steenkin' hypocrites, but they can't tolerate it when demand for labor is greater than supply. May they all grow up to discover that their spouses have been making out with their gardeners. ("Honey, you smell like freshly-cut grass... uh, is there something you need to tell me?")
Not enough food: That was bound to happen sooner or later, and it's thoroughly predictable as per Monte's numerous posts about same. If humans multiply like mice, they're going to die off like mice. Nature bats last.
And as for the guy on the radio advocating population growth, I'll be a little more specific and say that for people like that, it's the brain that has the Vitamin Lead deficiency and is in need of direct supplementation. Maybe it'll also improve his memory, at least to the level of those guys who take the witness stand and suddenly develop complete clinical amnesia. One can wish, anyway.
Posted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 1:24 pm Post subject: Re: We need to increase our population (!!?)
gg3 wrote:
Re. that US govt official and his item about illegal immigrants taking "jobs Americans won't do." The guy is some kind of socialist, and not the kind I can occasionally get along with. If Americans won't do those jobs at the going price, that's what we call a market signal. In this case, the price needs to bid upward until the supply matches the demand. What's so hard about that? These guys are so eager to advocate market measures when the supply of labor is larger than demand, speaking of steenkin' hypocrites, but they can't tolerate it when demand for labor is greater than supply. May they all grow up to discover that their spouses have been making out with their gardeners. ("Honey, you smell like freshly-cut grass... uh, is there something you need to tell me?")
I dont think, you are getting it.
Take childminders for example.
If working mom will not get one cheaply, she will rather quit her job to the effect of reducing GDP then pay much more for American childminder.
So such a job will either be done cheaply or not done at all.
You will either accept Mexican or accept loss of part of GDP.
There is a lot of situations like that.
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