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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Price of biodiesel?
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Price of biodiesel?
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starm
Coal
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Joined: Dec 02, 2004
Posts: 10

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2004 3:00 am    Post subject: Price of biodiesel? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I was wondering why biodiesel is more expensive than petroleum diesel? I mean soy oil is much cheaper than petroleum oil. If you look on the futures market, (http://www.cbot.com/) you’ll see that soy oil sells at 21 cents a litre which is equal to 33.40 per barrel of oil. Yet biodiesel is almost twice expensive as petroleum diesel at the pump. Is biodiesel much more expensive to refine? With a price of 33.40 a barrel I just don’t understand why the whole world is not rapidly switching to vegetable oil right now?
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marek
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Joined: Jul 21, 2004
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2004 6:47 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Biodiesel is made from fatty acid esters that come from vegetable oil. To break down the fat molecule and extract the acids and separate them from glycerin, you need to use lye and methanol. Methanol is costly so the resulting biodiesel cannot be cheap.
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pip
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Joined: Apr 21, 2004
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Location: Republic of Texas

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2004 8:46 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

If the whole world rapidly switched to soy oil, the price would no longer be $33.40/bbl.
_________________
The road goes on forever and the party never ends - REK
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Dvanharn
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Joined: May 20, 2004
Posts: 235
Location: Sonoma County, Northern California

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2004 9:49 am    Post subject: Energy, water and fertilizer required for soybeans Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Found this interesting site on soybean production. My math & economics skills are old, weak and slow, but perhaps a resident wizard could extrapolate some macro figures from these micro figures for the costs of soybean production. (I don't have time to muddle through right now, and have to go to work at a local alternative energy company where we do PV, wind, hydro and flat-plate thermal.)

Of course, after producing the beans, the "refining" of biodiesel on a large scale is a additional challenge. Perhaps someone has already done calcs on large-scale biodiesel production, but like many other things we discuss here, the issue becomes more complex the further you dig into it.

I hope to buy a VW Jetta TDI station wagon and run it on biodiesel. We have a local biodiesel distributor (an organic farm supply company) with a 500 gallon tank, but that is nothing compared with the total gasoline storage at the 6 or 7 gas stations in town.

Soybean Production & Management FAQ

Quote:
Water and fertilizer requirements for soybeans

It takes about 13,500 gallons of water (@8.44 pounds per gallon) to produce a bushel (@60 pounds per bushel) of soybeans.

A bushel of soybeans contains about 3.75 pounds of N, 0.36 pounds of P, 1.23 pounds of K, 0.38 pounds of Ca, 0.20 pounds of Mg, and 0.46 pounds of S.

Our national average yield is usually a little less than 40 bushels per acre (43,560 square feet). Record yields of about 2.5 times that high have
been reported.


Quote:
Energy requirements for soybeans

Based on a requirement of 9 calories to produce one gram of oil, 4.5 calories per gram of protein, and 4 calories per gram of carbohydrates, and approximate values of 20% oil, 40% protein, and 15% carbohydrate in soybeans, it would take about 4.2 calories to produce one gram of soybeans.


Dave
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starm
Coal
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Joined: Dec 02, 2004
Posts: 10

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2004 10:11 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Ok Someone blamed the high price on ethanol so I looked it up. On the futures market ethanot sells for $9500 for 7750 gallons which is equivalent to $52 a barrel. (I think I read the chart right I'm not sure: http://www.nybot.com/). Now if you consider that biodiesel is made from 10% ethanol and 90% oil, the price of the liquid to make biodiesel should be 52*.10 + 33.40*.90 =$35 per barrel. This still doesn't account for high biodiesel price.
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BorneoRagnarok
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Joined: Sep 18, 2004
Posts: 252
Location: East Malaysia

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2004 8:07 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Starm, how dare you to treat Soya Bean as biodiesel. Mad

That's my favourite drink after I quit drinking milk due to mad cow scares and recommendation from http://www.notmilk.com
I can boast that this year 2004 I only had 2 Panadol for whole year and no other drugs due to the goodness of vegetarian foods plus soya milk with less sugar plus more physical training to prepare for Peak Oil.

According to this site, soya bean only yields 446 litres per hectare compare to 5950 litres per hectare for oil palm. (Vegetable oil)

http://journeytoforever.org/biodiesel_yield.html

No idea about the price of biodiesel but it must be based on the yields/ hectare. From the list above it seem like oil palm provide the best yields per hectare.
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mikela
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2004 10:16 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

BorneoRagnarok wrote:
According to this site, soya bean only yields 446 litres per hectare compare to 5950 litres per hectare for oil palm.

Yeah, but most of us are not lucky enough to live in Borneo Sad
I'm from the United States, and though there are some places that can grow palm trees, avacado, tung, and other tropical/semitropical varieties, they are in demand for food production. The cheaper farmland of the Midwest is probably limited to soybeans, rapeseed, and the like because of the frosty winters.
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starm
Coal
Coal


Joined: Dec 02, 2004
Posts: 10

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2004 10:29 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Why are you guys talking about crop yeilds. I gave you the price of soy oil and ethanol and I was asking why biodiesel is so expensive. Is the cost in refining? I understand that crop yeild is going to become important if there is massive adoption of biodiesel but I'm talking about current prices. I'd like an explanation. I'd like someone to break up the price of biodiesel in its different componants.

Does anyone know why it's so expensive?
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pilferage
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Joined: Nov 21, 2004
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Location: ~170ft/lbs@0rpm (on my bike)

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2004 11:34 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I think it has more to do with demand. If just a few people are buying it then a company producing it will charge more per unit because they can't sell as much...
I've heard of a wide range of pos biodiesel prices ranging from $1.61 a gallon to ~$3.50 a gallon, so it seems like some of the producers are jacking up the price substantially from inital cost because it's a niche market...
kinda like rice cakes! Laughing
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BorneoRagnarok
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Joined: Sep 18, 2004
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Location: East Malaysia

PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2004 1:23 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Starm, sorry to let off the steam. I cannot imagine our Asian staples food or drink become biodiesel. That's why biodiesel cannot scale. It will made Irish potato famine look like walk in the park with 3 servant girls. Razz

http://www.energy.state.or.us/biomass/Cost.htm

Quote:

Biodiesel Production

A major hurdle facing commercial biodiesel production is the cost of producing the fuel. Vegetable oil seed procurement, transport, storage and oil extraction accounts for at least 75 percent of the cost of producing biodiesel. The cost varies depending on the feedstock used. For example, based on the market price for industrial rapeseed grown in Washington and Idaho, the estimated cost of producing biodiesel is $2.56 per gallon of rapeseed methyl ester. Recent estimates put the cost of production in the range of $1.30 per gallon (using waste grease feedstock) to $2.00 or more per gallon using soybean oil.

A blended fuel of 20-percent biodiesel and 80-percent petroleum diesel could reduce the production cost to about $1.10 per gallon, assuming a petroleum diesel cost of 90 cents per gallon and a soybean biodiesel cost of $1.80. Use of lower-cost organic oil feedstock, such as waste food-processing oil or tallow, would further reduce the production cost of biodiesel and biodiesel-blended fuel.


At that time , petrol price per gallon is only USD 0.90 per gallon.
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bentstrider
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Joined: Oct 25, 2004
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Location: Southern California Desert

PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2004 1:50 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Hey ragnarok.
I was born in Illinois, but both my parents are from Borneo.
I understand soy milk is a tasty drink being I've had it on many occasions thanks to the Asian stores in LA.
As far as ethanol and biodiesel goes, I was thinking about turning massive rice crops into jet fuel.
Many have already mentioned hemp(grows like wildfire in Illinois) and other smoke-able dope as good fuel producing plants.
I was guessing rice would be good since it seems to come out by the assload.
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starm
Coal
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Joined: Dec 02, 2004
Posts: 10

PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2004 1:32 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

What? You have to go to the asian store to get soy milk? Here in canada there's always AT LEAST a few shelves of soymilk in all the grocery stores. Most grocery store have about 4 meters of an aisle just for soy milk.

I understand that large scale adoption of biodiesel could be bad for the environment and for the poor. But I am still wondering about the cost of production. I want to understand the economics of it. I don't understand that biodiesel which needs cheaper raw materiels to produce than petro-diesel is more expensive. I mean the distillation of petrodiesel seems to be a process that is much more complicated than the refining of biodiesel which pretty much amounts to simply mixing it with ethanol or methanol (and a catalyst) and waiting.
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starm
Coal
Coal


Joined: Dec 02, 2004
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2004 1:35 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Than again I also don't understand that water which literally falls from the sky can be sold to a higher price than gasoline which has to be shipped from the middle east and refined in complicated process yet...
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bentstrider
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Joined: Oct 25, 2004
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2004 9:36 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Here's why it won't be produced as much.
Too much thumb-twidling and looming over computer models to be done.
Rather than just simply and slowly phasing out petro-diesel with biodiesel.
Now you may be right about soymilk in the regular grocery stores, I just never bothered to look. But it's not like I drink it everyday.
I usually pop multi-vitamin pills and eat junk food all the time.
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Carmiac
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Joined: Jul 20, 2004
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2004 11:14 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

The real problem with your $35 price is you are forgetting to add in a few things, such as processing costs, transportation and profit. Boidiesel production is quite simple for small batches but does not scale up particularly well, so large scale production costs are quite high.
Remember, it only costs the oil companies $6-$10/bbl to produce oil, but the sale price is several times that. I would expect that oil would need to be ~$100/bbl before large scale production would make economic sense. Not long from now it might happen, but not yet.
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