Posted: Mon Jan 07, 2008 6:04 pm Post subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge
Quote:
I still will win a pint or two
Quote:
will be regarded with reverence, and generally declared to have superior intellect and/or clairvoyant powers, and get abundant respect from the fellow forum dwellers.
I think it's a good hedge. What would you rather have, some beer, or the respect and reverence of a lot of people on a lunatic fringe website?
Posted: Wed Jan 09, 2008 8:18 am Post subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge
Quote:
`Inventory levels in the western world are quite tight,'' said Johannes Benigni, managing director at PVM Oil Associates in Vienna. ``Global oil demand growth is still increasing significantly,'' he said, adding that crude will reach $120 a barrel this year.
These rankings are based on the total differential of each of the three forecasts vs. the current data set, which is only about 8 days. The "close" is the last piece of data reported.
I'll do it later based on the most accurate forecasts in each category.
Posted: Thu Jan 10, 2008 12:19 am Post subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge
pup55 wrote:
(...)
Note to zensui: I am game to play in Euros, but sometime in the next year, your assignment will be to find a source of daily euro/dollar conversion prices that I can paste into an excel spreadsheet.
(...)
type "euro" in google, copy and paste first result (today: 1 Euro = 1.4709 U.S. dollars)
...in Mac OS X there should be dashboard front-ends. _________________ anagami.net
Posted: Thu Jan 10, 2008 12:29 am Post subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge
wisconsin_cur wrote:
zensui wrote:
For the fun of it (1 more variable), could we post predictions in both $ and €? For this, can there be some days more for posting or editing the predictions?
but I don't even have a cute little euro key... Will I have to send my cpu back to china for a new key or will there be a new versions of windows that automatically changes one of those keys that I never use any way into the cute little euro sign?
I think my Spanish keyboard layout is from Spain, that's why AltGr + E = €
I'm about to switch to 99% Unix, basically Mac OS X and Linux... on a Mac you can configure whatever combination of keys to whatever symbol...
For rare symbols (on keyboards) but that are part of unicode, like Costa Rica's currency, I type "colones" on google or wikipedia and copy and paste the symbol:
₡ _________________ anagami.net
Posted: Thu Jan 10, 2008 12:31 am Post subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge
pup55 wrote:
Quote:
I still will win a pint or two
Quote:
will be regarded with reverence, and generally declared to have superior intellect and/or clairvoyant powers, and get abundant respect from the fellow forum dwellers.
I think it's a good hedge. What would you rather have, some beer, or the respect and reverence of a lot of people on a lunatic fringe website?
Since I don't like beer, the respect and reverence of people on a lunatic fringe website _________________ anagami.net
Posted: Thu Jan 10, 2008 6:48 am Post subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge
Quote:
(today: 1 Euro = 1.4709 U.S. dollars)
nope. This only gives the price today. It might change tomorrow.
If I do this on December 31, I will have the maximum and minimum price based on the the "Dec 31" Euro price. I want the maximum and minimum for the year, based on whatever price it is that day.
That's why I need a spreadsheet for the daily Dollar/Euro price. Then, easy to compute the maximum and minimum oil price in Euros for all of the days.
I cannot get excited about looking this up every day. I would rather follow the Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
Posted: Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:00 pm Post subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge
pup55 wrote:
Quote:
(today: 1 Euro = 1.4709 U.S. dollars)
nope. This only gives the price today. It might change tomorrow.
If I do this on December 31, I will have the maximum and minimum price based on the the "Dec 31" Euro price. I want the maximum and minimum for the year, based on whatever price it is that day.
That's why I need a spreadsheet for the daily Dollar/Euro price. Then, easy to compute the maximum and minimum oil price in Euros for all of the days.
I cannot get excited about looking this up every day. I would rather follow the Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
Posted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 9:58 pm Post subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge
I am laid back. You can make predictions any time you want.
However, the longer you wait, the less respect and admiration you will get from the fellow forum dwellers.
Quote:
Pup, anytime you need to see the price of crude in euros let me know. Cheers
Thanks, Mr. Bill, but what I really need is a spreadsheet with the daily prices on it. I can then use it to do the calculations for the entire year, and then calculate the maximum and minimum. I will not need it for 50 weeks, however, so plenty of time to find one.
The EIA gives one for the daily oil price, no problemo.
Posted: Wed Jan 16, 2008 2:45 am Post subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge
Pup55, when the time comes I will just send you the historical data from Bloomberg. I might even be able to load it into a spreadsheet already? Dunno, I am pretty crap at that, but I might ask them to do it for me? ; - ) But in any case the one-year 2008 chart will show the high, low, average and last price anyway in USD, EUR or whatever currency you want. Cheers. _________________ The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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