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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Peak oil: Do you want it to occur?
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Peak oil: Do you want it to occur?
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Do you want oil production to peak, sometime in the reasonably near future?
Yes I do
53%
 53%  [ 98 ]
No I don't
46%
 46%  [ 86 ]
Total Votes : 184

Author Message
nutmeg
Tar Sands
Tar Sands


Joined: Dec 16, 2007
Posts: 49

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 11:44 am    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I want peak oil to happen because I can't stand the sight of the useless eaters any more. I want to see a global die-off and/or kill-off and I don't care if I am one of the ones who dies or is killed. I'll make my best effort to survive it, if for no other reason than to see the useless eaters get their comeuppance and dance on the graves of billions and enjoy a massively less populated planet.

Remember the old poster with the two vultures, and one of them says, "Patience my ass . . . I'm going to kill something."
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jeezlouise
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Feb 05, 2006
Posts: 303

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 12:00 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Oil-Finder: I think this is a BS question. Oil production will peak sooner or later (or already has) regardless of what we want. I get the feeling that what you really meant to ask was:

"Do you want to see the violent destruction of civilization within your lifetime so you can participate in it, because you are a minsanthropic doombat?"

Personally, to that, I'd have to say no. But there are plenty of non-doomers on this board who will answer your original question with a "yes" because they'd rather get whatever ill effects of the production backslide over with now, rather than put it off until the world's population is even larger and, as such, the total suffering might be greater.
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Pixie
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Sep 05, 2006
Posts: 344
Location: Oregon

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 2:19 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Lighthouse wrote:
why would anyone want peakoil to happen? Just think at all the hardship which will come when we reach the peak.
..


If oil were to not peak, our numbers and consumption would eventually be curtailed by some form of pollution, which would permanently poison our habitat.

If an organism expands beyond its carrying capacity, it will eventually either consume itself into starvation, or crap itself into toxic overload. This being the choice, I prefer the former.
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Just another tofu-munching bike-riding Rambo(/Rambette)
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bl00k
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Sep 17, 2005
Posts: 175
Location: The Netherlands

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 3:30 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

EnergyUnlimited wrote:

Neither Earth does care about you...
Anyway that statement is a paramount of man's stupidity and shortsightedness.
This view will ensure ruin of all.

That's right, the Earth doesn't care about me, and i'm fine with that. The Earth is what it is.
Quote:

Nonsense.

Quote:

Definition of pollution:
undesirable state of the natural environment being contaminated with harmful substances as a consequence of human activities

'Undesirable'. By whom? Human beings. Th Earth can't be polluted. We see certain things as 'pollution', we call it pollution because it harms the condition of the Earth as we like to see it because that specific condition is best for us to live in/survive.

Quote:

It harms overall life support system, essential for humans and non-humans.

Exactly, 'life support system'. The thing that's essential for humans and non-humans. NOT essential for Earth to exist.

Quote:

Earth will be fine, but thanks to PO and overall peak FF there is a good chance that peoples will continue inhabiting it for much longer then would be possible otherwise.

Maybe, i don't know.
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Twilight
Expert
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Joined: Mar 02, 2007
Posts: 2971
Location: UK

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 3:39 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I didn't want the wheels to skid.
I didn't want the airbag to deploy.
I didn't want the blood on my face.

But I was better off that way than with my foot on the gas a little bit longer.

Peak oil only looks bad until you consider the alternative.

I did not want either. But I hope the brake does enough all the same.
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"The American people are watching the numbers climb higher and higher at the pump and they're waiting to see what the Congress will do." - George W Bush
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Oil-Finder
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: Dec 11, 2007
Posts: 631
Location: Seattle

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 5:35 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Well, these poll results so far confirm what I've already said several times during my brief time here: The majority of you believe in peak oil because you want oil production to peak, not because you truthfully care whether there is a lot of oil left in the ground or not.

In response to a couple of comments, the whole purpose of this poll had nothing to do with whether anyone believes oil production will peak sometime soon or not. I merely want to know what you peak oilers desire. That is the only purpose of this poll.
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Twilight
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Joined: Mar 02, 2007
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 5:50 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I voted no.

But that's a formality.

Here is the interesting part. Do you think it makes a difference?
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"The American people are watching the numbers climb higher and higher at the pump and they're waiting to see what the Congress will do." - George W Bush
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Nicholai
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: Jun 15, 2007
Posts: 565
Location: St.Albert, AB

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 5:58 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Peak Oiler will only debate within his own threads, and will always make a structured circumstance to keep the argument within the bounds that he desires, to achieve the point that he desires.

He says that with billions of barrels left in P2 and P3 oil, we're fine. Nothing else matters, we have lots, problem solved. Sure we're not building the infrastructure needed to offset the massive depletion going on in the world's major conventional fields, but that's not a problem right?

I asked him to show me a chart of every field coming online for every field going into depletion, to prove that there will be a problem-free transition from conventional to unconventional sources. He could not deliver. (ex, for every 0.5 mbd of production lost from Cantarel, 0.1 mbd would be increased in Alberta, 0.1 in Venezuela, 0.1 in Kuwait, 0.1 in Russia, 0.1 in X)

He'll avoid the specifics of my argument once again to offer a heavily linked article with a lengthy generalized argument...just as he always does.
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Pretorian
Light Sweet Crude
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Joined: Apr 08, 2006
Posts: 1334
Location: Somewhere there

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 6:15 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Concerned wrote:
I voted yes.

We have the technology and the wherewithal to change.

- We can use solar and other alternatives like wind. Microwave technology from space would be amazing.
- We can use modern safer nuclear reactor designs as well as the breeder reactors they are working on making commercially viable.
- We can work less hours like the French do and hunter gatherers of old did.
- We can recycle and build things so that they last and not simply throw away to be replaced every 5 years.
- We can share this rich sustainable life with all mankind. e.g. nano solar is now cost competitive with coal. When it scales up it will provide clean energy for all humanity.

What can COULD we do collectively if we HAD stopPED breeding A VERY LONG TIME AGO and move our military budgets to cutting edge energy technology?






Here you go, fixed that forya
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whereagles
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: Aug 17, 2005
Posts: 580
Location: Portugal

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 6:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Concerned wrote:
whereagles wrote:
Lighthouse wrote:
why would anyone want peakoil to happen?


maybe because then we don't wan't to trigger the methane hydride gun?


I think Japan is set to start pulling on that trigger Smile

There was a story going around the other day about Japan mining the ocean for them.


I read that story the other day and can't say I was pleased. In fact, there's a professor where I work whose area of research is precisely... methane hydride extraction.

Oh, and he teaches environmental science... go figure Rolling Eyes
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Oil-Finder
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Dec 11, 2007
Posts: 631
Location: Seattle

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 6:19 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Nicolai, before I gave you a link to The Oil Drum's own megaprojects database. If you aren't satisfied with that, there's nothing more I can do.

As I said before, the purpose of this poll is to ascertain peak oiler's desires. Is there any particular reason why every single thread must turn into a thread on everything and anything to do with peak oil? Or, is it possible to have specific threads on specific topics? I hope the latter.
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Twilight
Expert
Expert


Joined: Mar 02, 2007
Posts: 2971
Location: UK

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 7:01 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

You still have not explained why desires matter.
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Oil-Finder
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: Dec 11, 2007
Posts: 631
Location: Seattle

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 7:29 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Twilight wrote:
You still have not explained why desires matter.

Desires are important because it helps determine why some of you believe peak oil.

If someone wants oil production to peak, they will believe in peak oil and promote it regardless of how much extractable oil was left in the ground. Somebody could discover a trillion barrels of high quality light sweet crude not far beneath the sands of Algeria tomorrow, and such a person would go into denial and come up with all kinds of excuses as to why most of it will never be recovered, etc., even if such excuses weren't true.

I'm accusing such people of dishonesty. Rather than being concerned about the technical/scientific merits of "peak oil" theory itself, in truth they don't care about whether we're halfway through the world supply of extractable oil or not. The only thing they really care about is that we stop producing and consuming so much oil.

As I said in another thread, this reminds me of people who go to church even though they could care less about the religion itself. Instead, they go to church because they like the people, or they like the rituals, or perhaps the architecture of the cathedral, or some other (shallow) reason. This is dishonest. If you go to church, you should go because you actually believe the religion.

Likewise, "peak oilers" who promote peak oil not because they actually care about whether we're halfway through the world supply of recoverable oil, but because they want us to stop polluting or consuming, are being as dishonest as the person who goes to church without actually caring about the religious creed.

For those of you who voted 'no' in this poll, this criticism does not apply to you.
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Nicholai
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Jun 15, 2007
Posts: 565
Location: St.Albert, AB

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 7:50 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Why would I ever WANT to believe in peak oil? I'm 18, I live in the suburbs, I'm going to college, I have very little money to stalk up, I have a nice family and wonderful parents...why would I want to see it all come down?

I understand that the rate of depletion in the world's major fields is much faster than the rate of expansion from our unconventional sources. I also understand that China increased its energy consumption by 20% in 2005 (largest growth in one year in all of human history for an industrialized country) and supply is quickly being outpaced by demand. Demand is growing faster than any other time in history and supply is becoming harder and more expensive to find/produce. Not only that, but Saudi Arabia still isn't revealing its reserve details, meaning that the world is still unsure at what pace we must work to build up our unconventional sources to avoid any major supply shocks.

Alberta will never produce 5 mbd, if you read the Edmonton Journal everyday, you would understand that such a goal (for any long period of time) is madness.
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Oil-Finder
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Dec 11, 2007
Posts: 631
Location: Seattle

PostPosted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 7:57 pm    Post subject: Re: Peak oil: Do you want it to occur? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Nicholai wrote:
Why would I ever WANT to believe in peak oil? . . .

That's not quite the same thing I was asking . . .

I had asked, "Do you want oil production to peak?"

You just said, "Why would I ever want to believe in peak oil?"

If you do not want oil production to peak, then you should have selected 'no' in the poll, and my criticism explained above does not apply to you.

However, a majority of people responding to this poll do want production of oil to peak.

The rest of your reply was off-topic. Sorry.
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