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Peakoil.com :: View topic - What are your predictions for 2008?
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What are your predictions for 2008?
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lateStarter
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Apr 06, 2005
Posts: 999
Location: 38 km west of Warsaw, Poland

PostPosted: Sat Feb 02, 2008 3:21 pm    Post subject: Re: What are your predictions for 2008? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

lateStarter wrote:
My top ten list:

1. Bush will dump Laura after the elections, and move to Paraguay with Brittany (Spears).

2. After the elections, Hillary will dump Bill for Obama.

3. All debt will be written off. A clean slate for all...

4. China will sign contracts for all remaining coal/NG/Oil/uranium/lead/silver/concrete/etc.. remaining on the planet.

5. Post-mortem on Dick Cheney will reveal that aliens have been residing in his colon for more that 40 years.

6. Steven Colbert will be made Ambassador to Belgium.

7. GM will launch a new 1000 HP, twin turbo, 6WD armored vehicle.

8. US citizens will be encouraged to try a new diet regimen labeled as 'the ultimate secret' which consists of: caffiene, nicotine, alcohol.

9. A class '8' hurricane will rip the SE US a new one...

10. Putin gives it all up to join Al gore on the GW campaign trail.


Number 2. Starting to get traction:

2. After the elections, Hillary will dump Bill for Obama.

Quote:
"Because they're both fighting it out through Super Tuesday, I think they are better than ever before," he said. Stephanopoulos entered into a bet with "Good Morning America" anchor Diane Sawyer, wagering that Clinton would pick Obama if she gets the nomination

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wisconsin_cur
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 12, 2008 6:39 pm    Post subject: Re: What are your predictions for 2008? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

wisconsin_cur wrote:
1. Some event will lead my bride to have road to Damascus experience. She will become a nightly consumer of doomer porn and I will, for the first time in our marriage, be the "normal" one in the house.


4. We will read news stories about an gathering "bubble" in agricultural real estate as the rising cost of food and grain leads to speculation in plowable acreage. This will price some of us out of the market until after the popping of the bubble (?2012?).


Re: #1. My wife asked me recently, "do you think we have enough pasta? I think we should buy more." The turning event for her was the coverage our local paper has been giving the issue of resource depeletion.

Re: #4 Prices of farmland continue to jump
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benzoil
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Joined: Aug 26, 2005
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 12, 2008 8:44 pm    Post subject: Re: What are your predictions for 2008? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

wisconsin_cur wrote:
wisconsin_cur wrote:
1. Some event will lead my bride to have road to Damascus experience. She will become a nightly consumer of doomer porn and I will, for the first time in our marriage, be the "normal" one in the house.


4. We will read news stories about an gathering "bubble" in agricultural real estate as the rising cost of food and grain leads to speculation in plowable acreage. This will price some of us out of the market until after the popping of the bubble (?2012?).


Re: #1. My wife asked me recently, "do you think we have enough pasta? I think we should buy more." The turning event for her was the coverage our local paper has been giving the issue of resource depeletion.

Re: #4 Prices of farmland continue to jump


I don't know if running out of spaghetti counts as being a doomer wife, but I'll give you points for progress!
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wisconsin_cur
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 12, 2008 8:46 pm    Post subject: Re: What are your predictions for 2008? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

benzoil wrote:
wisconsin_cur wrote:
wisconsin_cur wrote:
1. Some event will lead my bride to have road to Damascus experience. She will become a nightly consumer of doomer porn and I will, for the first time in our marriage, be the "normal" one in the house.


4. We will read news stories about an gathering "bubble" in agricultural real estate as the rising cost of food and grain leads to speculation in plowable acreage. This will price some of us out of the market until after the popping of the bubble (?2012?).


Re: #1. My wife asked me recently, "do you think we have enough pasta? I think we should buy more." The turning event for her was the coverage our local paper has been giving the issue of resource depeletion.

Re: #4 Prices of farmland continue to jump


I don't know if running out of spaghetti counts as being a doomer wife, but I'll give you points for progress!


you don't know how much spaghetti we already have Smile
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benzoil
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 12, 2008 8:53 pm    Post subject: Re: What are your predictions for 2008? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

wisconsin_cur wrote:
you don't know how much spaghetti we already have Smile


Hopefully less than the amount of rice I have. Note to self: get long grain *not* Basmati. Now I have to eat through another 30 lbs of it before I can make a decent Jambalaya again.
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Jenab6
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Joined: Dec 25, 2005
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 19, 2008 7:00 pm    Post subject: Re: What are your predictions for 2008? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

1. An asteroid will land in the Indian Ocean about 500 miles north of Kerguelen Island, and a tsunami will give a much-needed cleansing to the coastlines of surrounding continents.

2. Yellowstone will explode and dump a meter of volcanic ash across North America west of the Mississippi, and somewhat lesser amounts as far east as West Virginia. A volcanic winter will ensue, which will last for five years.

3. A divine being will descend to Earth in clouds of glory while every eye watches, will place one foot on the land and the other in the sea, look around in confusion, say "oops, wrong planet," and disappear back into the sky.

4. Israel will surprise everybody. Instead of attacking Iran, it will embark on a genocidal conquest of Africa. The US will assist Israel by withholding food relief from Africa. The banking elite will cooperate by financing speculators who will buy up African farmland and use it to grow feedstock for biofuels.

Jerry Abbott
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benzoil
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PostPosted: Wed May 21, 2008 4:23 pm    Post subject: Re: What are your predictions for 2008? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

benzoil wrote:
It's New Year's Eve and the wife and kids are visiting her family, so I'm trapped here with a cold Stella Artois writing a computer program for work that will be useless in X months when the consumer economy pancakes. (No more Stella then!)

James Kunstler just posted his 2008 predictions over on his web site and it occurred to me that this would be an interesting exercise. I'm a little weary of the "Best/Worst" lists for 2007 so let's peer ahead a bit...

What are YOUR predictions for 2008? I'll toss a couple of mine out there for general consumption:

1) No presidential candidate will use the words peak oil during the run up to the main election.

2) Housing market finally throws in the towel once the post-Super Bowl, post-Spring, post-Summer, post-Back to School seasons have come and gone with nary a hit.

3) Peak oil still plays second media fiddle to Global warming. Despite continuing bad news for those of us watching for it, PO will still continue to be a "non-crisis". It will get some play when oil crosses $100/barrel (See #4), but otherwise will be mostly ignored.

4) Economic recession masks true rising price of oil as dollar continues it's slide. Tar sands and corn ethanol enthusiasts confidently inform us that their processes will be economically viable at "current cost of oil plus $15 USD". Also, slowing economy will slow rise in oil use, but not as much as previous recessions.

5) Wild Ass Guess (WAG): Someone takes a potshot at the Democratic Presidential nominee. Hope not, but it's getting weird out there.

6) Mainstream press still won't notice that an epoch is shifting. Thus, average person will still know more about Britney Spears' pregnant sister than why they should probably not buy one of those used Jet Skis you'll see everywhere this year.

7) Another WAG: Drought in metro Atlanta will continue, but disaster will be averted. Sadly, drought in Southwest and central US will be a bigger story this year. It might get missed though, unless there are more wildfires near a major TV market.

Happy New Year!

[Edited for spelling and to note that I'm not a professional prognosticator, but from what I've seen on MSNBC, that's like saying you have an IQ above room temperature.]



Getting along in the year now as Memorial Day approaches, let's see how I'm doing.

#1 and 2: On track.
#3: Nary a blip at $100/bbl, but PO seems to be gaining traction now that oil is over $125 (actually, $133 today).
#4: On track
#5: Glad to continue to be wrong.
#6: On track. Glad to see Christy Yamaguchi back in the news for winning on Dance with the Stars.
#7: Too early to tell. Check back after Labor Day!
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