We cannot drill our way out of this oil crisis. Since 2000, oil companies working in the U.S. have doubled the number of wells drilled per year.
Although increased drilling has added new oil to the nation's supply, it has not done so fast enough to offset the terminal decline of existing fields.
We are going to have to import more of our oil. Period.
Joined: May 10, 2007 Posts: 2263 Location: napping on the couch
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 6:01 pm Post subject: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
Most arguments for a slow decline or some form of adaptation to declining energy reserves seem to assume that things go right. By that I mean that people transitioning to a low energy lifestyle will not make stupid mistakes (because they are learning) or be beset by bad luck (fires) or the mistakes of others (a buggy garden that exports potato bugs to your own) etc...
The fact is we do live in a world where things break, bugs invade, rain waits, fire burns and humans not accustomed to doing things for themselves make mistakes.
I know the impacts of these circumstances when times are fat. One is discouraged, mumbles under their breath, mopes around the house for a day and then eats a frozen pizza, drinks some micro brews and replaces what was lost at the grocery, seed or building supply store.
What will be the psychological impacts of these setbacks when the cost is much higher? When failure or just bad luck means the kids go to bed hungry (again)?
Peak Oil is a human problem as much as a geological one. When discouragement gives way to desperation and depression?
I don't think the masses will choose the life of a zombie hoard. Perhaps the young and unattached will choose this method of (short-term) survival.
But if you have failed your children, lost everything that you worked for and dreamed of? I would expect an increase in male suicide and suicidal violence. Whether someone decides to take others out with them will depend upon the underlying personality.
Thoughts? _________________ The sage experiences without abstraction,
And accomplishes without action;
He accepts the ebb and flow of things,
Nurtures them, but does not own them,
And lives, but does not dwell.
-Lao Tzu
Joined: Oct 04, 2004 Posts: 4658 Location: Oklahoma
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 6:10 pm Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
wisconsin_cur wrote:
But if you have failed your children, lost everything that you worked for and dreamed of? I would expect an increase in male suicide and suicidal violence. Whether someone decides to take others out with them will depend upon the underlying personality.
Well, we're already seeing the occasional workplace or school mass murder from people who "lose it." As you said, I think it will depend on the person. _________________ The very existence of flamethrowers proves that some time, somewhere, someone said to themselves, "You know, I want to set those people over there on fire, but I'm just not close enough to get the job done." - George Carlin
Joined: Jun 13, 2007 Posts: 2722 Location: Minniesotuh
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 6:17 pm Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
For those who woke up in time, the aftermath, IMHO, will be bittersweet: Sadness at what we had, what we wasted, what we've lost (not just tangible items).
Sweet because we've been slowly preparing ourselves here , mentally and physically, for the only possible outcome, and those we love will benefit from our "enlightenment."
As things get worse, I do think there will be an increase in family members taking the whole family with them, but that will be part of the die-off.
Of course, I could be wrong-but, I don't think so. _________________ "RRrrruuuunnnn!!!" ~Apocalypto
Joined: Sep 16, 2007 Posts: 919 Location: Oklahoma City, USA
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 6:19 pm Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
There were quite a few suicides at the start of the Depression. Many more men left their families to "look for work" and never returned. We'll see a lot more divorces. _________________ What, so I'm in no end game
Move my piece right off the board
Joined: Mar 12, 2007 Posts: 737 Location: As close as I can get to the beginning of the pipe.
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 6:21 pm Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
Psychologically we are used to a no-risk environment. Technology has sanitized everything to the point that there is very little risk, and if there is, there's insurance. As we start to fall back on heating with fire, transportation on foot and more tenuous types of vehicles, exposure to the elements, higher lethal and non-lethal crime rates, log-splitting and chain-saw accidents (the list goes on and on), there will have to be a substantial mental adjustment. And injury rates, permanent disability, and death will go way up. That's all part of die-off. _________________ "For my part, whatever anguish of spirit it may cost, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst and provide for it." --Patrick Henry
Joined: Mar 18, 2006 Posts: 1076 Location: Everywhere
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 7:18 pm Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
Iaato wrote:
Psychologically we are used to a no-risk environment. Technology has sanitized everything to the point that there is very little risk, and if there is, there's insurance. As we start to fall back on heating with fire, transportation on foot and more tenuous types of vehicles, exposure to the elements, higher lethal and non-lethal crime rates, log-splitting and chain-saw accidents (the list goes on and on), there will have to be a substantial mental adjustment. And injury rates, permanent disability, and death will go way up. That's all part of die-off.
I've had a feeling of sadness for most of my adult life, as I became increasingly aware of the damage we were doing to the planet, and to our children's future.
For me Peak Oil brings a feeling of great relief and when I realised a couple of years ago that it was actually happening, it was a great 'punch the air' moment.
That's it really. At last I can potter around in my beloved garden in peace and not have to worry so hard about the future any more. My children can do the same. And that, for me, is a happy thought.
So I guess I am finally a man a peace with his raspberry canes - oh, and do remind me, I must go & prune the late-fruiters this week - they do so benefit from a hard cut-down in the cold weather....
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 7:22 pm Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
I'm not so sure. I think people are doing lots of nonsense in a world were they are completely satisfied, no hunger, no cold no heat..
Often nations perform much better if they have to stand together.
I read of some of the murders in school in the US an Europa recently tends to the same thing. In Australia things are lots better and people are more aware of each other.
Joined: Mar 18, 2006 Posts: 1076 Location: Everywhere
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 7:37 pm Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
alokin wrote:
I'm not so sure. I think people are doing lots of nonsense in a world were they are completely satisfied, no hunger, no cold no heat..
Often nations perform much better if they have to stand together.
I read of some of the murders in school in the US an Europa recently tends to the same thing. In Australia things are lots better and people are more aware of each other.
The era of Nation-States is OVER. Hard stare...(hmmph).
Joined: Dec 27, 2004 Posts: 10760 Location: Village of Idiots
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 8:35 pm Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
I think it is very likely people will become despairing when times get tough. India has had a terrible problem of suicides when farmers have not been able to provide for their families.
It is hard for some of us to hold off despair even thinking about the tough times ahead. I personally dread it. _________________ "...powerdown so soft and fluffy you'll think you're living in a pillow..." - jboogy
Joined: Oct 18, 2004 Posts: 1591 Location: kiwibush
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 9:10 pm Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
I've been a marxist for most of my adult life...one reads Marx and realises that a system based on endless selling of finite resources has no future....it depresses you for you know that it's participants know no better. Thats the sad bit....knowing that we reside in a system that has its own dynamic and terminus and theres little one can do. _________________ Bugger me, I hear oil's runnin out mate!
Joined: Aug 03, 2006 Posts: 3615 Location: Working the Beat
Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 11:35 pm Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
We all like to think of ourselves as cool. The fact is, though, humans are very high strung. Not as bad as horses or hummingbirds, but still we're high strung. Part of what is nice about spending time in nature by yourself is you can get away from all the frantic energy of being around other people and all the wild people energy.
It's not surprising to me that the most enlightened humans are generally considered to be those who can enter into states of deep relaxation and calm whenever they want to.
You tell a human that doom is on the horizon and a lot of them just freak out. They're more like the hare than the tortoise. _________________ We're all Big Wave Riders. Some just don't realize it.
Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2008 12:20 am Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
The problem that I find unsettling is when millions of people lose access to their prescriptions for SSRI medications. The serotonin crash associated with rapid withdrawal from these medications will lead to rampant suicide and most likely an explosion of murder as well.
Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2008 1:01 am Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
I like to think of myself as being pretty tough and resilient, but I wasn't even able to watch March Of the Penguins without leaving the room during the sad parts.
Joined: Jan 16, 2005 Posts: 263 Location: Delft, Netherlands
Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2008 5:40 am Post subject: Re: psychological impacts of discouragement after peak oil
To me it seems you need to get to grips with the phenomenon of 'horror' in the broadest meaning of the word.
For example: the most basic buddhist meditation techniques include meditation on one's own rotting corpse in order to obtain basic wisdom and peace of mind.
By getting your head around pain, death, decay and the general temporal nature of existence you can become a real human being. Unfortunately modern (secular) humanity is encouraged not to think about these crucial aspect of life at all, let alone to begin to understand the meaning of ancient concepts such as sacrifice, humility and nobility. Instead of such fundamental wisdom we have come to rely on a seamingly limitless ocean of fossil fuel derived wealth, cheap and potent escapist entertainment and the massconsumption of high-tech anti-depressive/anti-psychotic designer drugs.
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