Joined: Aug 03, 2007 Posts: 3715 Location: Boston Suburbs
Posted: Tue Apr 01, 2008 5:08 pm Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
Does anyone have the numbers on how much fuel per capita is burned in a bus vs. a plane? As bad as it seems with plane travel, I think it's pretty fuel efficient with a full complement of passengers.
Posted: Tue Apr 01, 2008 5:13 pm Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
mos6507 wrote:
Does anyone have the numbers on how much fuel per capita is burned in a bus vs. a plane? As bad as it seems with plane travel, I think it's pretty fuel efficient with a full complement of passengers.
Ask and ye shall receive... _________________ "It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."
Joined: Jun 13, 2007 Posts: 3631 Location: Minniesotuh
Posted: Tue Apr 01, 2008 5:31 pm Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
You are going to have to want to get somewhere Real Bad to fly with Delta:
Delta raises fees for over-phone tickets
Airline raising fees for booking flights over phone, traveling with pets. 31 Mar 2008
ATLANTA (AP) -- Delta Air Lines is imposing new or higher fees on a host of travelers, including frequent fliers, passengers traveling with pets and people booking their tickets over the phone. The fee changes, which go into effect Tuesday, come as Delta and its competitors try to boost revenue to offset record fuel prices. Delta did not say how much revenue it expected from the fee changes, but the parent company of United Airlines said new luggage fees would generate more than $100 million annually. The industry has had mixed success with fare increases.
"Desperate people do desperate things," said Minneapolis airline expert Terry Trippler.
Handling charge: One of the changes most likely to rankle frequent fliers is a new $25 "handling charge" for any Delta award ticket booked through a Delta representative that includes a segment on another airline. In the past, people who redeemed their Delta SkyMiles for free tickets on partner carriers like Northwest and Continental did not pay a "handling charge" whether they booked it on the phone or online. … The "handling charge" would be on top of the fee Delta charges for booking travel over the telephone, which is increasing Tuesday to $25 from $20. …
Delta (DAL, Fortune 500), based in Atlanta, also said carrying a pet in the cabin will cost $100 instead of $75, starting Tuesday. The oversize bag fee will be $150 instead of $100. The unaccompanied minor fee will be $100 on all flights instead of $50 for nonstop flights and $100 for connecting flights.
In February, UAL Corp.'s (UAUA, Fortune 500) United Airlines said it would in May start charging domestic passengers $25 to check in a second piece of luggage. Certain elite fliers are exempt from that fee.
On Friday, Northwest (NWA, Fortune 500) said it would begin charging $25 each way for a second checked bag. It also raised its fee for a third bag from $80 to $100. And it doubled its $25 fee for bags over 50 pounds.
Bring extra baggage--full of money _________________ "RRrrruuuunnnn!!!" ~Apocalypto
Joined: Apr 28, 2005 Posts: 3647 Location: West shore Lake Eire, MI, USA
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 12:42 am Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
Ferretlover wrote:
You are going to have to want to get somewhere Real Bad to fly with Delta:
Delta raises fees for over-phone tickets
Airline raising fees for booking flights over phone, traveling with pets. 31 Mar 2008
ATLANTA (AP) -- Delta Air Lines is imposing new or higher fees on a host of travelers, including frequent fliers, passengers traveling with pets and people booking their tickets over the phone. The fee changes, which go into effect Tuesday, come as Delta and its competitors try to boost revenue to offset record fuel prices. Delta did not say how much revenue it expected from the fee changes, but the parent company of United Airlines said new luggage fees would generate more than $100 million annually. The industry has had mixed success with fare increases.
Tip of the ice berg, none of the majors wanted to go first, but now that Delta did it you can expect the rest to follow in short order to keep Delta from gaining an advantage while they are still taking losses. _________________ Oxygen: - An intensely habit-forming accumulative toxic substance. As little
as one breath is known to produce a life-long addiction to the gas, which addiction invariably ends in death.--Isaac Asimov
Joined: Apr 28, 2005 Posts: 3647 Location: West shore Lake Eire, MI, USA
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 1:50 am Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
Speaking of Champion Air, since all 16 of their aircraft are Boeing 727 which was last produced in 1984, who if anyone will want to buy them for operation rather than scrapping them or parting them out? According to Wiki and other sources their average plane is 27 years old. _________________ Oxygen: - An intensely habit-forming accumulative toxic substance. As little
as one breath is known to produce a life-long addiction to the gas, which addiction invariably ends in death.--Isaac Asimov
Joined: Apr 06, 2006 Posts: 3372 Location: 3 miles NW of Champoeg, Republic of Cascadia
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 2:15 am Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
emersonbiggins wrote:
mos6507 wrote:
Does anyone have the numbers on how much fuel per capita is burned in a bus vs. a plane? As bad as it seems with plane travel, I think it's pretty fuel efficient with a full complement of passengers.
Great link, eb. Was going to chime in about turboprops being the way to go...might get them into Ford Explorer territory if they take it slow! _________________ Cogito, ergo non satis bibivi
I will not abide another toe.
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 4:35 am Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
Much higher costs and failing airlines sounds like a recipe for demand destruction.
Perhaps that would be better phrased as a shifting allocation of consumption of the remaining oil production.
I will guess that there will be a 'burning out of the market' of a number of concuser types as the full impact of $85+ oil is eventualy passed on to final consumers. At the moment truckers, airlines, Chinese refinaries and others are taking some of the pain of off consumers by taking (often involentary loses). I think there may be alot of instability as it depends on the willingness to sustain losses of the $100-$110 oil before the consumers feel the impact and the market reasserts how much of that oil the public is willing to consume. Business meetings in the US can be done by phone and family holidays can be a touch less exotic for the poorer. So as one by one those holding the price of oil back, break and pass on full price the volume of oil required at that price will change dropping its cost and potentialy bringing consumers back into the market.
Volatility of the price and demand of oil will be a hall mark I would guess. The Chinese may have less apatite for full priced oil and Americans for goods produced with full priced oil, families facing repossesion may be a touch less keen to do a driving holiday.
It seems a game of chicken and poker between those buying the oil and those selling it, a raw brutal example of Adam Smiths free hand breaking market distortions.
Joined: Sep 16, 2004 Posts: 4446 Location: Southwest WI
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 10:24 am Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
Pretty soon these:
Will be the new form of oceanic travel. Sure it might take a week and you'll have to bring your own food and water.
I think a river barge is still more efficient then a train, at least in carrying cargo. _________________ "Oil is going up because we use too much oil, and the capacity to replace reserves is dwindling"
-President Bush 11/07/07
Joined: Apr 05, 2005 Posts: 2472 Location: South of Atlanta
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 1:08 pm Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
Have you guys not been paying attention? The government will let the little fish go, but when merger and consolidation dont solve the obvious problems good old Uncle Sam is going to step in and subsidize air travel. Look at what they are doing for the banks!
Air travel is a vital part of the economy and I predict within a few years the government will be propping the industry up for that very reason. Since we aren't doing much to mitigate PO its a viable short term solution. And its the wrong one too, but do you think they care?
Obviously we got some really big problems looming and I used to think some industries would crater well before others. Now I'm not so sure, its like a dam with a few small leaks. Before you know it the leaks get bigger If the root problem isn't addressed. You run out of fingers pretty quick before total failure. I see it happening similarly with the economy and the effects of PO. The failure of any significant portion of the economy brings everything else down with it too.
Maybe the airlines are the canaries, but they wont give you enough time to leave the mine before it caves in or explodes.
Joined: Apr 28, 2005 Posts: 3647 Location: West shore Lake Eire, MI, USA
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 4:52 pm Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
AirlinePilot wrote:
Have you guys not been paying attention? The government will let the little fish go, but when merger and consolidation dont solve the obvious problems good old Uncle Sam is going to step in and subsidize air travel. Look at what they are doing for the banks!
Air travel is a vital part of the economy and I predict within a few years the government will be propping the industry up for that very reason. Since we aren't doing much to mitigate PO its a viable short term solution. And its the wrong one too, but do you think they care?
Obviously we got some really big problems looming and I used to think some industries would crater well before others. Now I'm not so sure, its like a dam with a few small leaks. Before you know it the leaks get bigger If the root problem isn't addressed. You run out of fingers pretty quick before total failure. I see it happening similarly with the economy and the effects of PO. The failure of any significant portion of the economy brings everything else down with it too.
Maybe the airlines are the canaries, but they wont give you enough time to leave the mine before it caves in or explodes.
So AP do you think the US Government will subsidize air travle via fuel rebates or direct subsidies like European carrier receive, or some combination? Or will it be something novel to the US market? _________________ Oxygen: - An intensely habit-forming accumulative toxic substance. As little
as one breath is known to produce a life-long addiction to the gas, which addiction invariably ends in death.--Isaac Asimov
Joined: Nov 07, 2005 Posts: 556 Location: London, UK
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 5:32 pm Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
This isn't an Airline affected by PO yet. I think the clue is in the first quoted paragraph
Old Planes, Loss of customers, Lack of Investors
Any business would suffer from outdated equipment, customer decline and no backing. It's a no brainer that you're going to go outof business.
When the big boys start to really feel the squeeze, that's when PO will begin to bite. They'll carry on dipping into profits in order to exist. But when that becomes a non-viable solution, I'm afraid you can write PO off as a cause for these companies going to the wall.
Yes I know they mentioned the $110 pb situation, but is this affecting other airlines in such a fashion? No. _________________ THE FUTURE IS HISTORY!
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 5:59 pm Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
Continental Airline has gotten into big trouble. Its spring ticket sales are wrapped up in munies, and with the collapse of the ARB market they can no longer access their money. With the credit markets pounded as they are, they may not be able to borrow it short term either.
Quote:
This balance excludes $237 million in par value of student loan-related auction rate securities that were previously classified as short-term investments on our consolidated balance sheets. These securities were reclassified as long-term investments during the quarter.
It wouldn't be surprising, in the near future, to see several majors go straight to Chapter 7. Go straight to jail, do not pass GO, do not collect $200. No Chapter 11.
It looks like AirlinePilot is right, we’re running out of fingers!
Joined: Apr 28, 2005 Posts: 3647 Location: West shore Lake Eire, MI, USA
Posted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 7:46 pm Post subject: Re: PO strikes down 2 airlines - Champion, Aloha
I missed this report back in January, aparently my prediction that the majors will be ditching their least efficient planes has already been happening before our very eyes.
By the end of the year, NWA expects to have 68 DC-9s in its fleet, down from the current 92. The airline had already planned to eliminate some DC-9s this year, but the new projection accelerates that effort. "Everybody is evaluating fleet in the face of current oil prices," William Swelbar, a research engineer at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and author of the blog Swelbar on Airlines, tells the Star Tribune. The Memphis Business Journal (free registration) adds NWA's "fleet of DC-9s, which had interiors remodeled in the 1990s, average about 35 years old and are less fuel efficient than newer models. As oil prices climb, the carrier is hoping to save some money by grounding them."
Grounding 24 oldest DC-9's has to help their fuel budget quite a bit, even if it means working their other same capacity aircraft harder with the new pilots they are hiring. According to Wikipedia they only have 7 airbus 319/320 on order as replacements right now, not sure when those will be delivered.
Just last fall it was reported that NWA had the only large DC-9 fleet still in existence with 109 aircraft, that was already cut to 92 by January and is now being cut even further to 68 by year end 2008.
Northwest Airlines, for example, flies 109 of the oldest jetliners in the country, DC-9s, with an average age of 35 years. Northwest has yet to decide how to replace the DC-9s, which could remain in service another five years or more.
_________________ Oxygen: - An intensely habit-forming accumulative toxic substance. As little
as one breath is known to produce a life-long addiction to the gas, which addiction invariably ends in death.--Isaac Asimov
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