Hoarding is exactly what the government is doing right now by filling the SPR, and frankly it's the best thing that could happen. It drives prices up. High prices encourage demand destruction. They also finance new well development. The hoarded oil gives us a buffer to fall back on once shortages become more prevalent. High prices are what we need in order to adapt to what's coming, and the sooner they happen, the better.
Joined: May 10, 2007 Posts: 2449 Location: The Entropisphere
Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 7:45 am Post subject: Re: The Reality of Lebanon
btu2012 wrote:
wisconsin_cur wrote:
It would be curious to read the accounts of the day (if one had the time to do the research) to see the emotion of the time about the partition of the Ottoman Empire.
As far as I understand most of the subject nations (in particular most Middle Easterners) were quite happy to be freed from Ottoman rule. However many were dissapointed that Britain and France proceeded to divide the spoils, contrary to the promises made before and during WWI.
T. E. Lawrence himself was quite disgusted by the whole thing.
The Ottomans were not loved there, but Britain betrayed its former allies rather shamelessly.
Btu
It is also my understanding that if there was to be a mandate, the Palestinians wanted the United States to be the colonial power, believing that the United States was the most likely to grant them independence. I don't know about the other Arab groups.
Joined: Sep 24, 2007 Posts: 2584 Location: third from the sun
Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 7:49 am Post subject: Re: The Reality of Lebanon
wisconsin_cur wrote:
It is also my understanding that if there was to be a mandate, the Palestinians wanted the United States to be the colonial power, believing that the United States was the most likely to grant them independence. I don't know about the other Arab groups.
My how times do change
Yes, at that time (WWI and after) the US was known for Woodrow Wilson's doctrine of self-determination, and thus better trusted.
After WWII (creation of Israel etc) the US was viewed as an anti-imperialist power. The US used to be much colder towards Israel until the 1960s.
Many Lebanese fear the bloodshed will spark a renewed civil war as the militant Shiite Muslim group Hezbollah and its allies inflict repeated defeats on the pro-government militias fielded by Sunni Muslims and the Druze minority.
The Christian-led Lebanese Armed Forces, long touted as perhaps the country's last truly national institution, offered little resistance to the Iranian-backed Hezbollah and its Shiite allies. Instead, the army has acquiesced to Hezbollah's conquest of territory and sent soldiers to take over checkpoints handed over by Hezbollah.
A senior Lebanese military officer reached by phone declined to comment on whether the army is cooperating with Hezbollah. Politicians, analysts and fighters, however, said the army's performance suggests that the better-armed Hezbollah has struck a deal with Lebanese military brass.
"They waited for Hezbollah to launch its attacks and prevail, and then they took charge of roadblocks."
"There is a deal between Hezbollah and the commander of the army, no doubt about it."
The coordination with which Shiite militants turned over captured territory to the Lebanese army has led to speculation that army officials had learned of the attacks in advance and allowed them to occur.
Perhaps in response to the mounting criticism, the military issued a statement late Monday that announced it would "halt violations . . . in accordance with the law, even if that leads to the use of force," starting at daybreak Tuesday.
If the army entered the fray, several Sunnis in West Beirut predicted a humiliating and speedy defeat(for pro-western forces). _________________ In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
- George Orwell
Over the last few days, the world has discovered the hand that rocks the cradle in Lebanon. Whether Hezbollah is designated by the US and its allies as a terrorist organization or not, it has shown, without a shadow of a doubt, that it’s in charge.
The various pro-government militias that attempted to thwart its taking over of West Beirut and nearby mountain regions quickly dissolved when faced with disciplined and ideologically committed Hezbollah fighters equipped with sophisticated weaponry.
And much to the chagrin of Lebanon’s Prime Minister Fouad Siniora, the army adopted a hands-off observer stance; although in some cases it liaised with Hezbollah leaders, who after forcibly seizing certain areas handed them over to the military.
When the pro-Western Siniora government decided last week that Hezbollah should be stripped of its private underground telecommunications system — pivotal to its command and control operations during the war with Israel in 2006 — the decision was interpreted by Hezbollah as a declaration of war.
Hezbollah’s Secretary-General Sayeed Hassan Nasrallah went on television to say the Cabinet had been following orders from Washington that as far as he was concerned crossed all red lines. He went to great lengths to explain why Hezbollah’s telecommunication system was important to Lebanon’s national security and was not meant to commercially rival other licensed systems or deprive the government of revenue.
He was also insistent that his group’s take-over of West Beirut did not amount to a coup as he has no interest in ruling Lebanon, which must be governed by people representing all religions and factions, he said. If Hezbollah wanted to launch a coup then everyone would wake up to find its leader either incarcerated or thrown in the sea, Nasrallah warned.
Although he was right in that his intention was not to turn Lebanon into a Hezbollah-run state, his organization’s forced control of the capital, the gagging of reporters and the setting on fire of Saad Hariri’s Future TV station had all the hallmarks of a coup. In other words, he showcased his group’s prowess and sent a clear message: Lebanon is ours for the taking any time we want.
Hariri’s Future movement’s fighters, many of whom are attached to private security firms, backed down when confronted by Hezbollah’s, saying they were unprepared in terms of training and weaponry.
Pro-government, pro-Western Druze leader Walid Jumblatt, known for his anti-Syrian/anti-Hezbollah invective, has been similarly embarrassed. For decades his militia has controlled his mountain fastness but now, he says, he is a virtual hostage in his own home.
“The US has failed in Lebanon and they have to admit it,” he told Time magazine’s Beirut correspondent. “We have to wait and see the new rules which Hezbollah, Syria and Iran will set. They can do what they want.” _________________ In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
- George Orwell
Joined: Oct 18, 2004 Posts: 1630 Location: kiwibush
Posted: Tue May 13, 2008 12:12 am Post subject: Re: Pro-Western Lebanese leaders concede defeat
Presumably we "westerners' have something to gain from these pranks of our "elected" leaders. _________________ Bugger me, I hear oil's runnin out mate!
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 895 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Tue May 13, 2008 12:15 am Post subject: Calls for Siniora Ouster, Jumblatt asked to leave Lebanon
Former Minister Wiam Wahhab said on Monday there was no Sunni-Shiite strife in Lebanon, adding that head of the Democratic Gathering, MP Walid Jumblatt, had driven the Chouf Mountains into a dangerous situation. "Jumblatt must pay for this, and a simple apology is not enough. He has to leave, and we are ready to help him," Wahhab told a news conference. "If the mountains are under threat, my weapons will be ahead of Jumblatt's in defending them," he added. Wahhab also called on the commander of the Lebanese Armed Forces, General Michel Suleiman, to assume his responsibilities: "There is a rebellion in the Grand Serail against his authority. He must enter the Serail and oust Fouad Siniora."
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 895 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Tue May 13, 2008 12:38 am Post subject: Re: Pro-Western Lebanese leaders concede defeat
Apparently, the western media hasn't been told what they are allowed to say yet.
Also, someone should wake Bush up and tell him it's over so he can make a statement.
The media keeps posting Bush comments that make him appear to be out of the loop. _________________ In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
- George Orwell
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 895 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Tue May 13, 2008 12:44 am Post subject: Re: Calls for Siniora Ouster, Jumblatt asked to leave Lebano
Jumblatt's Militia were the only ones that actually stood against Hezbollah, and they lasted for days. If the US is going to form a Lebanon Government-in-Exile, they should form it around him. Siniora just went and holed up in his palace. _________________ In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
- George Orwell
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 895 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Tue May 13, 2008 12:53 am Post subject: Re: Pro-Western Lebanese leaders concede defeat
Wish I had a Satellite over Israel, so I could see if the tanks are rolling yet. _________________ In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
- George Orwell
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 895 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Tue May 13, 2008 8:22 pm Post subject: Surrendering to Hizballah
The U.S. appears unable to grasp that it no longer has any options or reliable partners left in Lebanon. American officials make statements about supporting the democratically elected Lebanese government, but essentially no such government exists. The Lebanese army, many of whose soldiers are Shi'a Muslims and support the opposition, would split apart if pressed into service against Hizballah. The American-trained security services value their lives more than the $300 million in U.S. aid they've received and haven't fired a shot at Hizballah. And like Jumblatt, government ministers are marked men. Meanwhile, the American warship USS Cole is heading to the Mediterranean, but if the U.S. staged any military action against Hizballah, the group could take American hostages in Lebanon just as they did in the 1980s.
Sitting in his garden terrace in Beirut, with just a few family members and loyal retainers, Jumblatt is quickly coming to grips with the new political landscape. "The U.S. has failed in Lebanon and they have to admit it," he said. "We have to wait and see the new rules which Hizbollah, Syria and Iran will set. They can do what they want."
link _________________ In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
- George Orwell
Last edited by Cid_Yama on Tue May 13, 2008 8:33 pm; edited 1 time in total
Joined: May 27, 2007 Posts: 895 Location: The Post Peak Oil Historian
Posted: Tue May 13, 2008 8:32 pm Post subject: Re: Surrendering to Hizballah
How is posting a news story from Time showing the current geopolitical situation in Lebanon 'Speaking up for Hezbollah' or 'supporting them'?
Are you saying my telling the truth is somehow unpatriotic or that the truth is challenging the propaganda of the western media and so makes me a traitor to the Bush Administration's slant on things?
I support and defend the Constitution of the United States. Any violation of that covenant makes THEM the seditionists.
Best get your priorities straight.
Heard of Freedom of Speech? First Amendment in the Bill of Rights.
Constitution of the United States
Bill of Rights
Amendment I
Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances.
It's really getting to be time for people to stand up and defend this country from the likes of you. _________________ In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
- George Orwell
Last edited by Cid_Yama on Tue May 13, 2008 9:07 pm; edited 1 time in total
Joined: Oct 04, 2004 Posts: 2494 Location: Ye Olde Englande
Posted: Tue May 13, 2008 9:05 pm Post subject: Re: Surrendering to Hizballah
I wouldn't accuse Cid of being Pro-Hezbollah.
Posting a story like that is actually significant as it shows one of the main political figures in Lebanon actually admitting the Hezbollah/Syria Iran axis now have control.
I do have a problem with this on the basis that political assassinations have occurred and been blamed on Syria and I see no reason to doubt this. What matters is democracy and that the party that is chosen by the people wins. In affect this is a coup by Hizbollah, unless they won an election outright that I didn't know about. _________________ "The age of excess is over. The age of entropy has begun"
Posted: Tue May 13, 2008 9:15 pm Post subject: Re: Surrendering to Hizballah
stu,
Posting one article isn't anything.... Doing it over and over and clipping the parts supporting an Islam'ists pro-Hizb'allah point of view is propaganda. and in cid's case, in support of an organization of USA defines as a terrorist organization.
And if someone is willing day after day to post pro-hizballah articles on the internet in public, it certainly begs the question what support he gives in private.
Posted: Tue May 13, 2008 9:22 pm Post subject: Re: Surrendering to Hizballah
Cid,
There are no absolute rights. Freedom of speech, and the freedom of association both have limits.
Posting a constant stream of pro-hizballah articles isn't anything... but I fear you walk a very thin line with your support for a terrorist organization.
Remember, any monies given to them, will get you arrested.
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum