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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Did OPEC Oil Supply Rise in may?
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Did OPEC Oil Supply Rise in may?
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FreddyH
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 7:07 pm    Post subject: Did OPEC Oil Supply Rise in may? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
OPEC Oil Supply Rising in May-Petrologistics

LONDON, May 21 (Reuters) - OPEC oil supply in May is expected to rise by 700,000 barrels per day (bpd), led by higher output from members including Nigeria and Saudi Arabia, an industry consultant said on Wednesday.

The increase comes during a month in which oil has soared to record highs and indicates OPEC is again pumping more than its supply limit after a strike in Nigeria lowered output and Saudi Arabia opted to pump more.

All 13 OPEC members are expected to pump 32.4 million bpd this month compared with a revised 31.7 million bpd in April, Conrad Gerber of tanker tracker Petrologistics, told Reuters.

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Twilight
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 7:09 pm    Post subject: Re: DantesPeak forgot to post this (yeah right...) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I saw him post something to that effect about week ago.

Here. In its own thread, no less.

Guerrilla marketing... fees negotiable.

Integrity... priceless.

For everything else there is the Capital One card that lands on your doormat every month.
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Last edited by Twilight on Tue May 27, 2008 7:18 pm; edited 2 times in total
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pstarr
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 7:13 pm    Post subject: Re: OPEC Oil Supply Rising in may Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

FreddyH wrote:
Quote:
OPEC Oil Supply Rising in May-Petrologistics

LONDON, May 21 (Reuters) - OPEC oil supply in May is expected to rise by 700,000 barrels per day (bpd), led by higher output from members including Nigeria and Saudi Arabia, an industry consultant said on Wednesday.

The increase comes during a month in which oil has soared to record highs and indicates OPEC is again pumping more than its supply limit after a strike in Nigeria lowered output and Saudi Arabia opted to pump more.

All 13 OPEC members are expected to pump 32.4 million bpd this month compared with a revised 31.7 million bpd in April, Conrad Gerber of tanker tracker Petrologistics, told Reuters.
Wait a minute. Doesn't Petrologistics track real, in-the-water, actual tankers? How does he know before they ship?
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DantesPeak
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 7:19 pm    Post subject: Re: OPEC Oil Supply Rising in may Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

pstarr wrote:
FreddyH wrote:
Quote:
OPEC Oil Supply Rising in May-Petrologistics

LONDON, May 21 (Reuters) - OPEC oil supply in May is expected to rise by 700,000 barrels per day (bpd), led by higher output from members including Nigeria and Saudi Arabia, an industry consultant said on Wednesday.

The increase comes during a month in which oil has soared to record highs and indicates OPEC is again pumping more than its supply limit after a strike in Nigeria lowered output and Saudi Arabia opted to pump more.

All 13 OPEC members are expected to pump 32.4 million bpd this month compared with a revised 31.7 million bpd in April, Conrad Gerber of tanker tracker Petrologistics, told Reuters.
Wait a minute. Doesn't Petrologistics track real, in-the-water, actual tankers? How does he know before they ship?


They also have some knowledge of ship bookings and ships moving to oil exporters.

Still in the end it's just an estimate.

BTW - Petrologistics saw a decline in Aoril, so the gain in May roughly balances out the loss in April.

If you didn't read a similar thread I started a few weeks back, the extra May supply is not coming to the US.
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DantesPeak
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 7:28 pm    Post subject: Re: OPEC Oil Supply Rising in may Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Actually I was wrong above. Sorry. I reviewed my own posts and noted that May's numbers are actually less than March's.

Thanks for giving us the straight talk on PO - FreddyH!

Have you finally seem the light? Smile


http://www.peakoil.com/post625936.html#625936

Quote:
3/28/08 Oster Dow Jones 16:26:37
March 28, 2008

DJ UPDATE:OPEC Mar Output Seen +0.1M B/D On Iran - Petrologistics

LONDON, Mar 28, 2008 (Dow Jones Commodities News via Comtex) -- (Adds details and analyst comments)

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries is expected to pump around 100,000 barrels a day more in March than in February on increased production from Iran, tanker tracker Petrologistics said Friday.

Output from all 13 OPEC members is expected to average 32.9 million barrels a day, up from 32.8 million barrels a day last month, Geneva-based Petrologistics said in its preliminary forecast.
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Twilight
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 7:40 pm    Post subject: Re: OPEC Oil Supply Rising in may Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

And less than February's. So after some month-to-month fluctuations, America's pleas for OPEC production increases through the year have so far resulted in no net increase, in fact possibly a slight decline, and shipments routed to the Far East? Interesting.

I have to say, smooth edit there Freddy, didn't even leave a timestamp.
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DantesPeak
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 7:53 pm    Post subject: Re: OPEC Oil Supply Rising in may Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Twilight wrote:
And less than February's. So after some month-to-month fluctuations, America's pleas for OPEC production increases through the year have so far resulted in no net increase, in fact possibly a slight decline, and shipments routed to the Far East? Interesting.

I have to say, smooth edit there Freddy, didn't even leave a timestamp.




This is what we get after months of GWB begging at the feet of Mideast shieks - even less.

Now China says it will suck up continuously greater quantities of oil.

There is no doubt now that the US will import less oil in 2008 than in 2007.

Quote:
Sinopec to increase oil import, Su Shulin
(www.chinamining.org)
Updated: 2008-05-27 11:20
Counter:6

China's oil giant Sinopec will continuously increase the import of refined oil to prevent shortage of diesel oil and gasoline this summer, said Su Shulin, president of Sinopec.

Su revealed that although the shortage of refined oil supply appeared again recently, Sinopec would ensure domestic oil supply and increase product oil import this summer.


Sinopec is enduring great pressure under the present situation that the crude oil price is unreasonable and refined oil price is undervalued, but it will restore its profitability as long as the price returns to be rational, said Su.


China Mining
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Mquinon3
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 9:41 pm    Post subject: Re: OPEC Oil Supply Rising in may Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Its' those "harbor spies" Petrologistics uses. They are actually gypsi fortune tellers who use saudi arabian sand to predict the shipments.
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FreddyH
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 10:27 pm    Post subject: Re: OPEC Oil Supply Rising in may Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

DantesPeak wrote:
Thanks for giving us the straight talk on PO - FreddyH!

Have you finally seem the light? Smile


Selective memory, DP? Everyone has known since August that 2008Q2 was going to have 1.5-mbd seasonal softness. I reminded u in February. I told u that Q3 would set new global & saudi records.

It's starting, DP...
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OilFinder2
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 10:38 pm    Post subject: Re: DantesPeak forgot to post this (yeah right...) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Twilight wrote:
I saw him post something to that effect about week ago.

Here. In its own thread, no less.

That was *just* Saudi Arabia. This article is about *all* of OPEC.
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idiom
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 10:40 pm    Post subject: Re: OPEC Oil Supply Rising in may Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Does Oil get sleepy during spring and refuse to come out of the hole?
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DantesPeak
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 10:41 pm    Post subject: Re: OPEC Oil Supply Rising in may Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

FreddyH wrote:
DantesPeak wrote:
Thanks for giving us the straight talk on PO - FreddyH!

Have you finally seem the light? Smile


Selective memory, DP? Everyone has known since August that 2008Q2 was going to have 1.5-mbd seasonal softness. I reminded u in February. I told u that Q3 would set new global & saudi records.

It's starting, DP...


Links???

No, that's not what you said. On March 8, in a similar thread to this one, you said that the oil supply would be increasing soon in the second quarter. Clearly you were quite wrong. I can also find other similar examples. You also predcited a price collapse then. Not only has the price not collapsed, but it has gone up substanially.

Quote:
Their preoccupation at this time is with the delicate balance of supply and demand and the realization that the 1-mbd of new flow over the coming weeks will likely bring the surplus to the same 1.6-mbd magnitude that brought about the 2006/2007 price collapse.


http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic37406-0-asc-0.html


I can see why you don't want to post links to your prior predictions with your record here.
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DantesPeak
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 10:44 pm    Post subject: Re: DantesPeak forgot to post this (yeah right...) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

OilFinder2 wrote:
Twilight wrote:
I saw him post something to that effect about week ago.

Here. In its own thread, no less.

That was *just* Saudi Arabia. This article is about *all* of OPEC.


You're wrong. Go back and read what Twilight said and the links posted by Twilight and myself.
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OilFinder2
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 11:22 pm    Post subject: Re: DantesPeak forgot to post this (yeah right...) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

DantesPeak wrote:
You're wrong. Go back and read what Twilight said and the links posted by Twilight and myself.

???

Twilight didn't say anything in that thread. And neither did Freddy, for that matter (referring to the "him"):
Twilight wrote:
I saw him post something to that effect about week ago.

Here. In its own thread, no less.

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OilFinder2
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PostPosted: Tue May 27, 2008 11:26 pm    Post subject: Re: OPEC Oil Supply Rising in may Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

DantesPeak wrote:
On March 8, in a similar thread to this one, you said that the oil supply would be increasing soon in the second quarter. Clearly you were quite wrong.

How can he be wrong already if we're only 2/3 the way through the 2nd quarter?
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