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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak
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Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak
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GeneralGreen
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 6:14 am    Post subject: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak
I keep hearing on this forum and many other peak oil forums about Sweden and how many think it is set to be a good place to ride out the peak oil storm. I on the contrary strongly disagree with all I have read by the Pro-peak Swed crowd. Here are the reasons why i think it will par very bad in the coming storm. Lets look at 100 years ago so we can see pre-oil age and compare with 2008 Oil age and see where we heading.
1908-2008
Population
1908- 4,000,000
2008 nearing 9 million "with 2 million immigrants mainly from Africa and Muslim nations' Multicultural nation fail in low energy times. Or if they work they do so under slavery..Haves and have nots.
City-Country
1908- 75% of Sweds lived in the country side.
2008- 75% live in the cities
Farmings and work
1908- 55% of population make living from agriculture
2008-Less then 2%
Resources
Sweden imports all its oil,gas,uranium. it has some coal and lots of Woods-forest, and peat .With a cold climate and a high standard of living, Sweden is an energy intensive country; consequently, one fourth of the energy consumed is for space heating. Sweden has highly developed hydroelectric and nuclear generation capabilities; but little further development of these capabilities is expected.
Swed loves to flaunt itself on how its oil consuption has been in decline...but they fail to say that they used natural gas in its place.In the past thirty years, although natural gas represents a small portion of the total Swedish energy supply, it has been showing a steady increase. Coal has been fazing out in Sweden and when needed again the Sweden dont have the capabilities to easily switch back, Sweden imports near all its coal.
Government-State
Sweden is a welfare state, highly taxed socialized. Has a privatized pension plan fully trusting in the stock market 'unlike the USA'.
The state is extremely liberal, but fully supported and even trusted by the ave Swed "IMHO I see Sweden going communistic" The state relies on taxes to pay it welfare system 'of which most immigrant love to use', health care ect
Hyper Individualistic
If your a social person avoid Sweden! The people are the most individualistic people in the world. And totally selfish. And extremely liberal in their ideology. 30% of the mass of Swedes are on depression medication. For community support in a post peak world don't look for Sweds to give that support.
Sweds are pacifist people. Most love to complain. I expect many to sit in their home alone as they starve to death in the years 2020-2030 time.
This is one of the main reasons 'individualism' I feel they will suffer very dramatically in the years ahead.
Thats a quick basic run down...Lets now look at Sweden's past some more
In the past 300 years Sweden has had 4 major famines. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_famines that each took a large tool on the population.
Thats at a time when 55% of the population were in farm related work and 75% lived in the countryside.
Up until about 1950 Sweden was one of the poorest European nations.
OK..I laid out the basics..and plan to elaborate on each point a bit later...
Sweden is in my top 5 of the worse places to live in Europe in a Post Peak Oil worlds.
Top 10 are in order of worse.
1. The UK
2. Belgium
3. Netherlands
4. Sweden
5. Italy
6. France
7. Spain
8. Portugal
9. Germany
10.Denmark
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Munqi
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 7:04 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Im curious to know why Finland didnt even make the list since Sweden and Finland are very much a like?
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Cashmere
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 7:23 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Where do you live?
What's your citizenship?
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GeneralGreen
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 7:35 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Cashmere wrote:
Where do you live?
What's your citizenship?

EU- Currently in Poland. Got the hell out of the UK!!!! That place is the SS Titanic!
Finland and Sweden are apples and oranges..many factor separate these two, from their people, government, past etc...I think Finland will do OK post peak oil
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Micki
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 7:47 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I don't agree with the Swedes being that selfish and I am suspicious about that % for people on anti-depressants.
Besides from that I also think Sweden in general will be a bad palce. A couple of hundreds of years of mental conditioning and decades of wellfare have turned bulk of the people into lame ass whiners.
Given that a majority is stuck in the city or burbs, there is however good opportunity for the few who are driven enought to move into the forest. Especially North and North West. Plenty of fire wood, game, fresh water lakes, rivers etc.
Personally I hate the cold, so not for me.

Quote:
Im curious to know why Finland didnt even make the list since Sweden and Finland are very much a like?


Geographically and climate wise Sweden and Finland are quite similar. (Finland seems a bit colder though.)
But mentality wise people are very different.
I think finns will be better at adapting to harsh times but a history of sisu (finnish backbone with insane stubbornness and a lot of cursing) and hardship only being 2 generations away (i.e. WW2 + the fact that the country was pretty simple and poor even without the war) I think has created a mentality were finns overcome problems instead of waiting for help. Althought the youth does seem a bit spineless nowadays.

Funny fact thought is that more like 75% of the finns seem to be on anti-depressant. I am of course especially referring to Koskenkorva Vodka. No seriously, finns are very melancholic.
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Olle
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 8:25 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I do not believe Sweden would be particularly great post peak, but maybe you should get your facts right…:

Just a few remarks:

1. We have 9,1 million people

2. A little more than 1 million immigrants, mostly from Europe
here you have the spread.
http://www.immi.se/migration/statistik/20grupper.htm

3. We have no coal

4. We do not use any meaningful amounts of NG

5. We actually use coal (all imported) , but mainly for steel manufacture

6. I loved this one:
"The state is extremely liberal, but fully supported and even trusted by the ave Swed "IMHO I see Sweden going communistic"
Do you know what "contradiction in terms” mean?

7. This one was good also:
"30% of the mass of Swedes are on depression medication"
It is 5-6%, like most countries in the developed world

All the other remarks on how we Swedes behave are obviously your experience, and I can not take that away from you, but maybe you overstate the national character a little bit. Swedes, just like Poles our any other people have great differences among themselves.
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SoothSayer
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 9:14 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
Got the hell out of the UK!!!! That place is the SS Titanic!

Oh dear, why are we in the UK sooooo doomed?
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GeneralGreen
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 9:34 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

SoothSayer wrote:
Quote:
Got the hell out of the UK!!!! That place is the SS Titanic!

Oh dear, why are we in the UK sooooo doomed?

I'll start a thread on that sometime..but seriously...unmmm just think a little bit OK...
You have no colonies left...
62 million people "10 million immigrants"
5 generations removed from hard work and rough times'
A country the size of a post stamp
2% farmers "35% in 1930
A nation with a bigger housing bubble then the USA.
A nation that will need to borrow 500 billion just to pay for imported oil from 2008-2013 'and already deep in debt'
A Island
Depleting natural resources "oil and gas near depleted by 2020
England was self sufficient last in 1640 under Henry VIII...and since him up till the 1790s it suffered famines every 25 years "that killed many 1,000s. That was when it had 60% of its people in farm towns and doing farm work. And a population between 6-12 million
1917 it was 1 month away from mass starvation "then it had colonies , the largest navy and the USA support. And a 41 million population...
You have got to be delusional if you think the UK will even par bad on the cliff event of post peak oil. "it will par horrific"
I estimate a population around 15-20 million by 2040.
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cipi604
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 9:47 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

SoothSayer wrote:
Oh dear, why are we in the UK sooooo doomed?

Cause you live on an overpopulated island with no resources at hand.
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Micki
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 10:00 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
You have no colonies left...

What do the Welsh, Scotts and Northern Irelanders (catholic) have to say about that? Can we see Brittain break up again?
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anarky321
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 10:22 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

only a matter of time; Ireland would be the first to go undoubtedly
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Munqi
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 10:30 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Micki wrote:


Quote:
Im curious to know why Finland didnt even make the list since Sweden and Finland are very much a like?




Geographically and climate wise Sweden and Finland are quite similar. (Finland seems a bit colder though.)
But mentality wise people are very different.
I think finns will be better at adapting to harsh times but a history of sisu (finnish backbone with insane stubbornness and a lot of cursing) and hardship only being 2 generations away (i.e. WW2 + the fact that the country was pretty simple and poor even without the war) I think has created a mentality were finns overcome problems instead of waiting for help. Althought the youth does seem a bit spineless nowadays.

Funny fact thought is that more like 75% of the finns seem to be on anti-depressant. I am of course especially referring to Koskenkorva Vodka. No seriously, finns are very melancholic.


I cant see why mental toughness would be that big of an issue and to be honest, even though i as a finn am very proud of our history i am not proud of the people who would be doing the struggling now. Razz We're just as lazy and spoiled as the swedes these days.

Finland does have the advantage of not having that many immigrants but then, Sweden can use (as it has before) us as a shield against Russia. (not that an attack is likely though)

Other than these things i dont see any real difference with sweden and Finnland.
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eastbay
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 10:33 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

anarky321 wrote:
only a matter of time; Ireland would be the first to go undoubtedly


I doubt it. Low population density, fairly decent soil and weather ... I expect most of the people living in Ireland will get to enjoy the show rather than participate in it.
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dorlomin
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 10:38 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Munqi wrote:
Im curious to know why Finland didnt even make the list since Sweden and Finland are very much a like?
Cause everyone knows post peak they are Finnished......


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DefiledEngine
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 10:45 am    Post subject: Re: Why Sweden will be One of the Worse EU nations Post Peak Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

On that list you provided, Sweden has had 2 famines. The same goes for most European countries.

In most countries there's been a huge shift of population towards the cities, nothing special about sweden there.

What sweden does have is one of the largest amounts of freshwater per capita in the world, incredibly important during post peak. Also, lots of game and forest. Sweden also have large uranium deposits as well as other minerals. Also a relatively low population density.

High individualism is prevalent among most western nations.
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