Peak Oil News

 

  Login or Register
 
Menu
 News
 Search
 Topics
 Stories Archive
 Submit News
 Discussions
 Code of Conduct
 Forums
 Forums Search
 Last 24 Hours
 PO 24hrs
 Peak Blog
 Resources
 About Us
 Downloads
 Web Links
 PeakWiki
 PeakPortal
 Focus Search
 Peak TV
 Peak Oil Boston
 Members
 Your Account
 Members List
 Ignore List
 JOIN!
 Private Messages
 
Light Sweet Crude Oil
 
google
 
PeakSpeak
NICKNAME

Download TeamSpeak
What is PeakSpeak?
Peak Oil on IRC
 
Member Quotes
Meanwhile, keep watching for shortage reports, because we should start seeing some sneak in this week, if our doom-o-meter is calibrated correctly.

pup55

Suggest Quote

 
Photo Album
Submit Photo
Peakoil.com is You!


member photos
 
ICM
Cisco & Net App Training
 
Peak Oil News: Forums

Peakoil.com :: View topic - WTH is going on with the markets right now?
 Forum FAQForum FAQ   SearchSearch   UsergroupsUsergroups   ProfileProfile   Log in to check your private messagesLog in to check your private messages   Log inLog in 

WTH is going on with the markets right now?
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next
 
Post new topic   Reply to topic   Printer-friendly version    Peakoil.com Forum Index -> Economics & Finance
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
jdumars
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Apr 02, 2005
Posts: 437
Location: Nashville, TN

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 11:59 am    Post subject: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Everyone is acting like mystically everything that was wrong has suddenly been resolved. Oil dropping, Dow up, financial stocks recovering.

What is going on? What has fundamentally changed? Dante? Mr. Bill? paging all experts...
_________________
Dismantle globally, renew locally!
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website AIM Address
Tyler_JC
Moderator
Moderator


Joined: Sep 25, 2004
Posts: 4428
Location: Boston, MA

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:05 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

People were expecting earnings to be horrible this quarter. Really, really horrible.

As it turns out they are merely awful.

They are beating expectations (who cares if those expectations were of economic collapse?)

When the Markets realize that the economy is NOT recovering quickly, I expect to see the Dow fall below 10,000. Maybe even by the end of the year.

We aren't out of the woods yet, this is merely a dead cat bounce.

Don't forget that $150 billion in economic stimulus checks have allowed consumers to spend more than they earn in the past quarter. All of that money is gone.

Q3 is going to scary.Evil or Very Mad
_________________
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail AIM Address
JJ
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Aug 07, 2007
Posts: 297

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:06 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

ditto...they were ridiculing me at work yesterday...stock markets up, oils down, blah blah... hows that nostradamus...
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
joeltrout
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Sep 19, 2007
Posts: 1091
Location: Land of the Tongva tribe

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:08 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Don't let daily, weekly, or even monthly swings in the stock market get you. They trade on news.

This time the news was bad but not as bad as everyone expected therefore it was good.

joeltrout
_________________
ENERGY is the basis of our industrial civilization and sustains our standard of living. It is the foundation stone of our national wealth. A nation starved of energy.....will be a nation of starving people.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
jdumars
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Apr 02, 2005
Posts: 437
Location: Nashville, TN

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:11 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

JJ wrote:
ditto...they were ridiculing me at work yesterday...stock markets up, oils down, blah blah... hows that nostradamus...


Yeah, I am losing some street cred on this too.

Something Simmons said recently regarding oil price floor has been sticking with me. His idea was, every time there's a new record, that becomes the "floor price" -- so people aren't foolishly waiting for it to go back to $40/barrel and not investing in new infrastructure.

So, these retracements are EXTREMELY damaging even if they are only short lived. People will use this is as an example of why it's a "bubble" and not fundamentals. Never mind that it's only going back to the $120 range and not $80.
_________________
Dismantle globally, renew locally!
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website AIM Address
Tyler_JC
Moderator
Moderator


Joined: Sep 25, 2004
Posts: 4428
Location: Boston, MA

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:12 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Stocks are up today on a mix of cheaper oil, reasonable earnings numbers, and a semi-decent housing starts figure.

Housing starts were good this month (up 11.6% from last month) but we're 26.9% below last June's level.

Housing Starts #

But the gold market wasn't fooled.

Gold is up another $15 today. We're up more than $100 in the past month alone. Smile
_________________
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail AIM Address
eastbay
Moderator
Moderator


Joined: Dec 18, 2004
Posts: 4144
Location: One Mile From the Columbia River

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:13 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

And do not join up with yea brethren of little faith. Oil is heading upward for all the reasons. It just likes to return now and then to pay brief social visits with old prices along the way.

Nothing can stop the march upward other than a catastrophic economic calamity which isn't scheduled to arrive until later.
_________________
Everything is Impermanent. Shakyamuni Buddha
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Peepers
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Jan 01, 2005
Posts: 209

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:13 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I realize America hasn't been around for a long time, but to judge the future of the republic and the global economy on several days' worth of economic news? What in the world is the attention span of these people? Geez, my cat has a longer attention span....
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
HEADER_RACK
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Feb 15, 2007
Posts: 435

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:17 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

DENIAL
_________________
There will come a day when we would have wished to do a little evil for a greater good.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
NTBKtrader
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: Oct 19, 2004
Posts: 591

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:18 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

the sec going after short sellers in financials has also had a large impact i think...Short Sellers
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
heroineworshipper
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: Jul 14, 2006
Posts: 557
Location: Calif*

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:19 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

It's the dot bank boom. Banks are the next big thing. You gotta get in because it's only a matter of time before banks turn a profit and once they start making money, there's going to be a Google bank.
_________________
People first, then things, then dollars.
There will be enslavement & cannibalism.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Starvid
Fission
Fission


Joined: Feb 20, 2005
Posts: 2691
Location: Uppsala, Sweden

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:28 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

So when do you think the DOW hits 4000?
_________________
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
pstarr
Expert
Expert


Joined: Sep 27, 2004
Posts: 7086
Location: Behind the Redwood Curtain

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:32 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

heroineworshipper wrote:
It's the dot bank boom. Banks are the next big thing. You gotta get in because it's only a matter of time before banks turn a profit and once they start making money, there's going to be a Google bank.
Will there be Google money? Will that be better than 'Ebay Notes?"
_________________
director ree rah rip ram. sunofabitch godamn. hidey didey christ almighty. rah rah crap wav
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
emersonbiggins
Moderator
Moderator


Joined: Jul 10, 2005
Posts: 4929
Location: Dallas

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:34 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Tyler_JC wrote:
Stocks are up today on a mix of cheaper oil, reasonable earnings numbers, and a semi-decent housing starts figure.

Housing starts were good this month (up 11.6% from last month) but we're 26.9% below last June's level.

Housing Starts #


Read that this article a little more closely.

A change in zoning practices in NYC is what prompted the increase, all of which was multi-family.

Single-family housing starts were still down 4% M/M (and, of course, Y/Y).
_________________
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

George Carlin


Last edited by emersonbiggins on Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:37 pm; edited 1 time in total
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
HEADER_RACK
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Feb 15, 2007
Posts: 435

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:36 pm    Post subject: Re: WTH is going on with the markets right now? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
After an amazing five-year run when the world saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) increase in value fivefold, prices peaked at 381.17 on September 3, 1929. The market then fell sharply for a month, losing 17% of its value on the initial leg down. Prices then recovered more than half of the losses over the next week, only to turn back down immediately afterwards. The decline then accelerated into the so-called "Black Thursday", October 24, 1929.


Wiki

Intresting
_________________
There will come a day when we would have wished to do a little evil for a greater good.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic   Printer-friendly version    Peakoil.com Forum Index -> Economics & Finance All times are GMT - 6 Hours
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next
Page 1 of 5

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum

Atom News FeedRSS 1.0 News FeedRSS 2.0 News FeedRSS Forums Feed