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Peakoil.com :: View topic - US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war
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US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war
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KevO
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 12:02 am    Post subject: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:

US sets nuclear deadline for Iran

Iran must decide between confrontation and co-operation in the dispute over its nuclear plans, the US has warned.

At talks in Geneva, envoys from the US, EU and UN asked Iran to suspend its uranium enrichment in return for a pledge not to introduce new sanctions.

Iran gave no guarantees it would halt its activities, so the diplomats gave Tehran two weeks to provide an answer.



I guess in two weeks it's either $90 a barrel or $900

US sets nuke deadline
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KevO
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 12:08 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

but in the meantime whilst we await Iran's answer as to whether we should start WW3 or not, the anticipation may well take it past $150.
So the biggest drop in oil prices for 25 years may soon see the highest rise. $150 by Wednesday I reckon but I've always been wrong before
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DefiledEngine
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 12:09 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Doesn't explicitly state that there will be war. Just that they have 2 weeks to think about the latest offer.
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KevO
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 12:10 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

DefiledEngine wrote:
Doesn't explicitly state that there will be war. Just that they have 2 weeks to think about the latest offer.


or?
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Cashmere
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 12:25 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

KevO wrote:
DefiledEngine wrote:
Doesn't explicitly state that there will be war. Just that they have 2 weeks to think about the latest offer.


or?


Face harsher sanctions.

If the U.N. can get a resolution to stop imports of refined petroleum to Iran, that would have a huge impact on Iran.

I'm not sure where Iran gets its oil from, however.
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OilFinder2
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 12:29 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Yawn.
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KevO
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 12:30 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Cashmere wrote:
KevO wrote:
DefiledEngine wrote:
Doesn't explicitly state that there will be war. Just that they have 2 weeks to think about the latest offer.


or?


Face harsher sanctions.

If the U.N. can get a resolution to stop imports of refined petroleum to Iran, that would have a huge impact on Iran.


lol!
And on all of us. Iran would then turn the taps off which would have the same affect as a war only with more US casualties than Iranian ones.
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cipi604
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:06 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

lol ... they don't lose time at all...
It's going to be very interesting indeed.
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Shaka
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:44 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

KevO wrote:
Quote:

US sets nuclear deadline for Iran

Iran must decide between confrontation and co-operation in the dispute over its nuclear plans, the US has warned.

At talks in Geneva, envoys from the US, EU and UN asked Iran to suspend its uranium enrichment in return for a pledge not to introduce new sanctions.

Iran gave no guarantees it would halt its activities, so the diplomats gave Tehran two weeks to provide an answer.



I guess in two weeks it's either $90 a barrel or $900

US sets nuke deadline


If it does drop, the only backlash we will see is the people who love their huge SUV's and Gas-Guzzlers will think they've been given an excuse to go back to driving them.

Either way, it will be interesting to see what happens.
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idiom
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:46 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Well they have their little declaration ready to go with half of capital hill signed on.
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Sys1
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 3:02 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

In case of a USA-Iran war, world economy would collapse in my opinion. Oil markets are so tight since we are post peak that a so huge event would precipitate events.
I remember US destroyed USSR economy by asking SA to increase its oil production. Perhabs their plan this time is to do the opposite in order to destroy Chindia economy with 500 to 1000$ oil, then later (say 2010) going back to business as usual while Chindia would be in the middle of a gigantic civil war.
In this case, oil would collapse to 2 digits price.

What is certain is that China, India and many other countries won't like US to go to Iran. Mankind could then end in an awesome thermonuclear war, but since US government knows their economy is doomed anyway in the short term, they don't have much to loose (in their opinion). It's a bet on a bright future!
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Cog
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 4:39 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Part of the plan might be to ratchet up sanctions until either Iran complies or does something incredibly stupid. If Iran lashes out militarily, the US can always say they tried diplomacy and didn't want this war with Iran. A slightly better outcome then an preemptive attack by the US and Israel.
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heroineworshipper
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 5:28 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Dubya may not be able to pronounce dubya, but he still knows when his oil shares are going down & it's time to goose the market.
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JJ
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 5:43 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Cog wrote:
Part of the plan might be to ratchet up sanctions until either Iran complies or does something incredibly stupid. If Iran lashes out militarily, the US can always say they tried diplomacy and didn't want this war with Iran. A slightly better outcome then an preemptive attack by the US and Israel.


I was thinking the same thing; "we tried diplomacy and it didn't work, even went as far as to try to open a new embassy, blah blah, blah..."
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Fishman
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:04 am    Post subject: Re: US gives Iran 2 weeks or face war Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

We followed along with the EU. Perhaps if say Italy or Turkey recognizes they will soon be in Iran's missle reach it becomes a NATO threat. US will NOT go into Iran alone. We won't get the UN to do anything but I think any strike will be NATO/France backed.
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