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Peakoil.com :: View topic - stop investing in 401k, Roth IRA????
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stop investing in 401k, Roth IRA????
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solar1
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Coal


Joined: May 04, 2005
Posts: 7

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 2:47 pm    Post subject: stop investing in 401k, Roth IRA???? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Since I am in my late 30s and won't be able to draw from any of these accounts until >2030, should I immediately STOP making investments into these accounts?
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newbie1234
Coal
Coal


Joined: Mar 31, 2005
Posts: 14

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 3:02 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

i would like to know the answer to this as well
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RonMN
Fission
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Joined: Mar 18, 2005
Posts: 2537
Location: Minnesota

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 3:18 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I hate to give financial advice...so i wont tell you what to do with your money...but i'll tell you what i did.

I stopped adding money to my roth IRA...and i lowered my contribution to my 401K (at work) to 1 percent (just so i could stay in the plan). This gives me more money right now & i haven't burned any bridges (i can always change things back the way they used to be).

You need to make your own descisions about your future.
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MicroHydro
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Apr 10, 2005
Posts: 1286

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 3:21 pm    Post subject: Re: stop investing in 401k, Roth IRA???? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

solar1 wrote:
Since I am in my late 30s and won't be able to draw from any of these accounts until >2030, should I immediately STOP making investments into these accounts?


Gold, sliver and platinum bullion can be bought with tax deferred IRA money. Sell the all stocks and bonds with the possible exception of pure play renewable energy stocks:

Evergreen Solar (NASDAQ)
Solarworld (Germany)
Vestas - wind turbines (Denmark)
Gamesa - wind turbines (Spain)

Do not hold on to precious metal mining stocks, as they are adversely affected by high energy costs.

To put your IRA money into bullion contact MONEX.
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Tyler_JC
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Joined: Sep 25, 2004
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PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 3:27 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Considering the fact that I'm only in highschool, I don't think I'm going to bother with a 401k or Roth IRA. I'm rather bitter about the fact that I'm paying into Social Security knowing that I'm not going to get a damn penny out of it.

I don't see the stock market surviving PO. It's all about growth on Wall Street. Any company that stays flat for years is called a bad investment. A stock that falls year after year is a terrible investment. How is General Motors going to increase it's yearly revenue with a decline in net energy?? It's just not possible. I personally think anyone who won't be able to collect anything till past 2035 should bother with a retirement account.

Instead, pay off debt and buy useful tools. Land is also a nice investment. Physical silver and gold might also be nice (silver more so than gold, how do you buy a chicken with gold?).
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MaterialExcess
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Joined: Feb 03, 2005
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PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 3:40 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I'm in my mid thirties and I continue to invest in my 401K and that money is all in stock funds. I think of this as a hedge just in case peak oil doesn't happen, doesn't happen in my lifetime, or doesn't result in a collaspe of the stock market. Preparing for the worst is good, but you should always consider the possibility that the worst might not happen.
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solar1
Coal
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Joined: May 04, 2005
Posts: 7

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 3:54 pm    Post subject: more thoughts Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

tax rates now are probably at the lowest that we will see them. taxes will HAVE to be raised in order to pay off the incredible debt that we have amassed. Couple that with the likelihood that the market is going to move sideways or downward for the next decade or so and maybe it is best to take the tax hit now and invest the money in real estate or gold/silver or solar panels for my house. Another issue is the fact that you cannot get at your money (without a significant penalty) in such accounts until retirement age, which for me, is a LONG way off.
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Ludi
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PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 4:38 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Isn't the penalty on withdrawing IRA funds only 10%, plus income taxes?
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cube
Fission
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Joined: Mar 12, 2005
Posts: 2927

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 5:30 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I stopped contributing to 401k's because frankly I think there's no real future in them. But that's just my humble opinion. That and frankly I think it's coporate welfare and social engineering/ manipulation.

But getting back to 401k's I have a theory as to why the price of stocks are ridiculously overpriced right now. Basically the baby boomers have finally come to the realization that SS (social security) isn't going to save their rear ends. It used to be people in their 20's who'd joke about SS not being there when they get older. Considering where this country is heading right now if you're in your 40's you can consider yourself in the same boat. And if you're in your 50's cross your fingers and hope the US doesn't try to "liberate" another middle eastern nation. That's one reason why people are "investing" their money.

In theory a corporation should be able to survive without stock. The money generated from selling goods and services should be enough to pay their expenses and make a profit. Stock therefore is very good for having extra money to expand...in theory. Now ask yourself this question, "How many companies would be alive today if everybody stopped buying stock?"

EXACTLY. There is one other type of financial scheme that can only survive if people continue to feed it....a pyramid scheme. But anyways don't take my opinion as the bible truth...everybody needs to choose their own road in life for better or worse.

good luck Very Happy
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basketballjones
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Joined: May 17, 2004
Posts: 140
Location: sydney, australia

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 5:44 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

listen to this weeks 'the big picture' on the financial sense newshour.

Jim puplavav has a question via email in which he answers this very question -

http://www.netcastdaily.com/fsnewshour.htm it's the 3rd hour you want to get. Emails are at the end, but it certainly wouldn't hurt to listen to the whole thing since he talks about social security early on too.
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van64
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Joined: May 04, 2005
Posts: 1

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 5:50 pm    Post subject: Say What?? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

You guys crack me up--totally. Let's examine this like the intelligent people behind us: those who will take your place in the 401-k and Roth IRA contributions line and take advantage of the depressed equity prices that your for-gone purchases are creating.

Since 1802, US stocks have returned an average of 8.5% annually. Year in and year out. Put that in your compound pipe and smoke it. This was 60 years before crude oil was even DISCOVERED and commercialized in PA, folks. Sure, there have been good years and bad years: wars and famine and global pestilence. Gold and silver do not come close to returning what stocks return; neither have bonds or treasuries or any other interest-bearing instrument. Land? Well, it's the closest at about 8% annually.

Let's examine the oil industry itself. The oil and gas industry earned a profit margin of 8.5% in the first quarter of 2005, according to the API. This compares to 9.2% profit margins in all other industries during the same period.

Want more? OK: I know you doomsters are a glutton for punishment so try this: For all of 2004, the oil and gas industry earned 7.0% versus 7.2% on all other industries. The computer industry had the highest profit percentage at 15.6%. The oil industry is just an industry like any other. Period. Alternatives will be found and assimilated in the due course of time; such as when whale oil for lighting lamps was replaced by kerosene was replaced by electricity generated from coal, then nuclear. You get the idea.

If you truly believe in peak oil, put your money where your mouth is and purchase oil and gas equities.
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frankthetank
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Joined: Sep 16, 2004
Posts: 4047
Location: Southwest WI

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 6:13 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I took my money out. I'm currently just letting my money go into a high yield (3.15apy) MMA. Its not great, but atleast its almost keeping up with inflation Smile I'm still investigating other options (GOLD, OIL, etc)...I would like to buy some land, but damn they want a lot around here for it!
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arretium
Heavy Crude
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Joined: Apr 04, 2005
Posts: 462
Location: Seattle, WA

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 6:24 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Our savings plans really sucks. We can only invest our 401K in a limited number of mutual funds. All of them suck. All except for one is entirely based on U.S. assets. Hence, if you believe the U.S. market is screwed, not exactly a place you want to put your money in. To make matters worse, no commodities are allowed. There is one international fund, but get this..most of the stocks are European and Japan. And the top stocks held by the international fund? Yup, Honda. Toyota. Phillips. Nokia. Not exactly companies that will fair well post oil when people stop buying autos and cell phones.

We can't even LOWER our percentage invested. We are locked in at the same 5%. In other words, we throw away 5% of our income every month and there ain't a damn thing we can do about it.
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RonMN
Fission
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Joined: Mar 18, 2005
Posts: 2537
Location: Minnesota

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 6:25 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Tyler...i been paying into soc. security for 20 friggin years and i wont see a penny out of it...don't gimme you're wining!

It sucks...yes! but there are more important things...like how to keep y'rself warm in the winter! Crying or Very sad
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DantesPeak
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Joined: Oct 23, 2004
Posts: 5105
Location: New Jersey

PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2005 6:36 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Ludi wrote:
Isn't the penalty on withdrawing IRA funds only 10%, plus income taxes?


Only 10% (if you are less than 59.%) plus federal income taxes and possible state taxes too.

If that doesn't bother you, then also remember once the money is withdrawn and you don't immeadiately invest it in another IRA, you will have to build up your next IRA all over again.
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