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Kaare_Mai
Tar Sands
Joined: May 02, 2004
Posts: 66
Location: Denmark (Scandinavia)
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 Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2005 1:12 pm Post subject: Oil reserve / consumption calc-o-matic! |
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After posting to this thread:
http://www.peakoil.com/modules.php?name=Forums&file=viewtopic&t=9819
I decided to make a little program that people can use to see how long reserves really last by calculating the consumption exponentially instead of using that stupid R/P ratio that is worth a pile of s*** :D
You can get the program here
The program is easy to use and explains itself 
Here's a screenie:
If someone has any suggestions for improvements or finds any errors, then please post them here. |
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Kaare_Mai
Tar Sands
Joined: May 02, 2004
Posts: 66
Location: Denmark (Scandinavia)
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| Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2005 1:13 pm Post subject: |
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| Posted in the wrong forum, please feel free to move this topic to the correct forum. |
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Barbara
Light Sweet Crude
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Joined: May 26, 2004
Posts: 1189
Location: Zoorope
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| Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2005 4:54 pm Post subject: |
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Too bad I'm on a mac.
But anyway, I keep thinking this Aaron place is packed with geniuses.
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khebab
Moderator
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Joined: Sep 27, 2004
Posts: 935
Location: Canada
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| Posted: Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:40 pm Post subject: |
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Sweet! nice work!
A few suggestions:
- put the reserve in Millions of barrels per day or Gigabarrels per year instead of barrels.
- put predefined reserve value estimates (ASPO, USGS, BP, etc.)
- include the historical data on oil production that you can find on many threads in this forum
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Kaare_Mai
Tar Sands
Joined: May 02, 2004
Posts: 66
Location: Denmark (Scandinavia)
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| Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2005 7:13 am Post subject: |
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| Quote: | | include the historical data on oil production that you can find on many threads in this forum |
I am not quite sure i can follow you on this? Include it where? In what context?
The two other points you made will be implmented shortly
Thanks for the input! |
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khebab
Moderator
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Joined: Sep 27, 2004
Posts: 935
Location: Canada
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| Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:37 am Post subject: |
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| Kaare_Mai wrote: | | I am not quite sure i can follow you on this? Include it where? In what context? |
Well in your application I don't know if it's really useful after all. Another approach could be to model demand by a geometric geometric as you are doing but also model depletion with different depletion rates (like the EIA model presented in Help with deconstructing the EIA 2037 peak curve?). It would be nice to have also some graphics but I guess it's a lot more work.
For the different reserve estimates you can check the article discussed in this thread: (Article on Forecasting the Limits of Global Oil Supply)
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