How then, do we move backwards? How does a society, with most of the people having no clue of future events, move from being dependent on a vast and intertwined network of goods and services produced by the indigenous people of whereever, to a local resource and renewable energy based society, and do so in the timeframe available (20-30 years using the most liberal extimates, 10-20 with resonable estimates, 5-10 with worst case scenarios), all the while prices on everything increasing, world politics getting more militaristic, governments continuously reducing civil liberties, shortages of goods on the market and weather patterns resembling bad Hollywood movies?
Joined: Oct 18, 2004 Posts: 1715 Location: kiwibush
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 6:27 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
Aaaaahh happy days are here. Now I'm gonna go out and live it up big time cos some dumbass reckons theres enuff Toshibas to power 6 billion bozos. _________________ Bugger me, I hear oil's runnin out mate!
Joined: Mar 07, 2007 Posts: 318 Location: Holland, United Kingdom (of the seven Netherlands)
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 7:56 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
Just look at the date of that article.
It's old. A quote of a comment made on that same link:
"Yeah, so what happened to this any way, there was the press release on March 29th, and then total silence. Was it just Toshiba running it's mouth, or does any one know where there has been something more recent?"
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 9:39 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
This is why I keep saying when its in the stores being used and proven by independent people then its good.
I've heard the reason we don't see these yet it the problem of the batteries exploding, or the risk of exploding. I remember dewalt was going to release a line of power tools using those batteries also but nothing, the whole thing just kind of died suddenly.
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 10:30 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
Come on Guys, read the article carefully.
Quote:
Now Toshiba just has to figure out how to scale it and manufacture it. That latter may be complicated by Toshiba’s closing its Li-Ion battery subsidiary last year and selling the plants to Sanyo. Toshiba plans to produce the battery in its fiscal 2006 (ending March 2007).
That means they will have begun producing in this year, March 2007. The technology is there. It works. They just need to ramp up production, and mass produce it. This takes time to do.
My point is, with advanced batteries such as the one Toshiba has created, we can now realistically create Electric powered automobiles. This solves the bulk of Peak Oil.
It is far easier to create Electricity than discover Oil fields because electricity can be created with renewables. Solar. Wind. Nuclear.
We have enough Oil for everything else besides Transportation. Chemcials. Fertilizer. Plastics. Jet fuel. Transportation ( Cars ) make up most of Oil usage anyway.
This battery is not some laboratory prototype either. It's demonstrable, and real. The next generation Prius will use this battery. And with each iteraration of this battery, it will become better and better enabling full Electric cars.
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 10:34 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
dontworryaboutpeakoil
you don't create electricity, you generate it. It's about converting one form of energy into another. Batteries do not create electricty they store it. Batteries solgve nothing!
Joined: Apr 05, 2007 Posts: 153 Location: Great Britain
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 10:42 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
It think better batteries help in two ways
firstly you get to make more use of regenerated energy from the brakes etc
secondly to a lesser extent the batteries wont run down so quickly.
If this means that the prius starts running at say 100 mpg instead of the current 6-65ish then that is a great result in reducing our demand and so extneding the time we have to manage our way out of PO
So as I think everyone knows its not a new power source, as I suspect no-one has suggested, but it could be a help in giving us more time to solve/manage PO without the "DOOOM" scenarios being predicted.
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 10:43 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
Who said Batteriers are a source of energy? Did I say that?
As I've stated, the problem with Peak Oil is that most of our transportation depend on Oil for fuel.
Batteries are important because it can make electric cars a reality. Currently, Electric cars are not feasible due to poor Battery performance.
With these advanced batteries, that problem is solved, and thus, Electric cars are viable.
Electricity can be generated in many ways. Energy is not the problem with Peak Oil. It is liquid energy that is lacking.
Once the Oil runs out, our economies will collapse because our civilization requires Automobiles and Trucks, and Planes.
I repeat, generation of Electricity is not a problem. The potential for Electric power generation far exceeds our demand. If we utitlize even 1% of the land mass in solar panels to generate electricity, we'd have sufficient Energy to replace Fossil fuels.
You guys do not understand how important these advanced batteries are. With these batteries, an electrical car can be recharged in a minute with the full hundreds of miles of range. That solves the Transportation problem of Peak Oil, which is the bulk of Peak Oil problem.
You pessimists and doomers can deny it all you want, but the future is in these Batteries, and electrical cars.
Yes, if these batteries really work, and they do, we are SAVED.
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 10:46 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
As the article states, these batteries lose less than 1% of their capacity after ONE THOUSAND recharges.
An electric car that is recharged once per week, 52x per year can last 19.2 YEARS after which only <1% capacity is lost. So these batteries will last for a very long time.
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 10:51 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
dontworryaboutpeakoil wrote:
As I've stated, the problem with Peak Oil is that most of our transportation depend on Oil for fuel.
Batteries are important because it can make electric cars a reality. Currently, Electric cars are not feasible due to poor Battery performance.
The problem is much more complex than that. Liquid fuel for vehicles is only a part of what oil is used for. Also, production of such batteries and reclamation/refurbishing of them would require large amounts of energy as well. It could be argued that this would be a wash compared to whats required to exploit oil resources however.
dontworryaboutpeakoil wrote:
Yes, if these batteries really work, and they do, we are SAVED.
Saved from what? The immediate effects of oil depletion? What about natural gas? Fresh water, other resources? A growth based economy cannot continue indefinitely.
I'm all for advances in batteries and I run PV myself but I don't see this as saving the world.
-G _________________ All right, you primitive screw-heads, listen up!
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 10:55 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
gnm wrote:
dontworryaboutpeakoil wrote:
As I've stated, the problem with Peak Oil is that most of our transportation depend on Oil for fuel.
Batteries are important because it can make electric cars a reality. Currently, Electric cars are not feasible due to poor Battery performance.
The problem is much more complex than that. Liquid fuel for vehicles is only a part of what oil is used for. Also, production of such batteries and reclamation/refurbishing of them would require large amounts of energy as well. It could be argued that this would be a wash compared to whats required to exploit oil resources however.
dontworryaboutpeakoil wrote:
Yes, if these batteries really work, and they do, we are SAVED.
Saved from what? The immediate effects of oil depletion? What about natural gas? Fresh water, other resources? A growth based economy cannot continue indefinitely.
I'm all for advances in batteries and I run PV myself but I don't see this as saving the world.
-G
85% of Oil is used for transportation.
If we replaced the conventional ICE cars with Electric powered Cars, our usage of Oil would drop dramatically.
Yes, Oil is used for fertizilizers, chemicals, plastics, medicine, but it is mostly used for Transportation.
Joined: Apr 06, 2006 Posts: 2791 Location: 3 miles NW of Champoeg, Republic of Cascadia
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 11:01 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
dontworryaboutpeakoil wrote:
Electricity can be generated in many ways. Energy is not the problem with Peak Oil. It is liquid energy that is lacking.
Shifting the US auto fleet over to PHEVs would require an awful lot of juice. Our very optimistic poster Starvid estimated something on the order of 185 new nukes.
Here's a new article from TOD: Saving 20 million barrels a day. The 100mpg hybrid car should be here, now! Author talks abouts generation issues, also batteries load-balancing the grid. Cars with timers set to charge in the dead of night would probably be essential. A lot could be done in the way of conservation as well.
Bugaboo #2 is, of course, making these cars affordable, especially seeing how we're headed into recession at the very least.
dontworryaboutpeakoil wrote:
If we utitlize even 1% of the land mass in solar panels to generate electricity, we'd have sufficient Energy to replace Fossil fuels.
Another thing which is easier said than done. At least all of these colossal hurdles will create jobs, if the recession/depression/oil shocks/GW/etc don't make society keel over. _________________ Cogito, ergo non satis bibivi
Walter, there is an unspoken message here.
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2007 11:05 am Post subject: Re: Toshiba's new battery makes peak oil a fantasy for you d
You guys are way too pessimistic. You look for all the reasons why we are doomed. Maybe some of you want our society and civiliation to collapse. This is why I say you guys are doomers and gloomers and pessimists.
We're not doomed.
These batteries are a reality, and will radically change the automobile industry. Even today, more and more cars are becoming Hybrids. These advanced batteries will only improve over time, getting more and more energy dense, and cheaper.
And Full-Electric cars will be a reality.
People will be able to drive up to a gas station, recharge their cars that have 350 miles in range in less than a minute. And drive off.
People don't care if a car is powered by oil or electric. As long as it moves from point A to point B in a reasonably efficient manner, they won't notice.
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