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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Nuclear Power Plant in 3 Years
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Nuclear Power Plant in 3 Years
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Heineken
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PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2005 8:51 pm    Post subject: Re: Reality check, guys Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

DriveElectric wrote:
Heineken wrote:

More plants = larger chance of dangerous failure.


Not really. Most of these new designs are safer than anything currently in use. Read the link at the top.


We'll see, Drive. New designs haven't yet been tested in the real world. I do think that as nuclear energy proliferates, the probability of nuclear accidents grows.
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MarkR
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 14, 2005 1:31 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

[q]We'll see, Drive. New designs haven't yet been tested in the real world.[/q]

The full designs, no. However, there is substantial experience with similar designs.

The AP1000 mentioned earlier, is derived from Westinghouse's earlier plants. In fact, every key part in the AP1000 has been used before in previous plants - reactor, valves, piping, heat exchangers, pumps, etc. None of these are new.

It's essentially a different design philosophy. E.g. old reactors need to keep coolant flowing at all times, even after shutdown to prevent meltdown. So there need to be spare pumps, and backup diesel generators to power the pumps and backup diesels on the diesels.

The AP1000 uses a simpler backup cooling system: you've got the reactor producing heat, so it can use the heat to pump the coolant using a gravity pump (the same system that pumps water from your boiler to your hot water cylinder). No mechanical parts to break, and no chance that your power source will fail.

All the new designs use similar techniques to improve safety.

In fact, the NRC when they reviewed the AP600 (smaller version of the AP1000) commented that the risk of a serious accident was approx 10,000 times lower than their current recommendation.
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PhilBiker
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 14, 2005 6:53 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

China ordered four AP1000s last year. I would assume that they are currently in production.
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aahala
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 14, 2005 8:26 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

MarkR wrote:
[q]We'll see, Drive. New designs haven't yet been tested in the real world.[/q]

In fact, the NRC when they reviewed the AP600 (smaller version of the AP1000) commented that the risk of a serious accident was approx 10,000 times lower than their current recommendation.


That's not particularily reassuring. Their present recommendation is
10,000 riskier than it could be. Razz
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turmoil
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 14, 2005 11:25 pm    Post subject: Re: Reality check, guys Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Heineken wrote:
I do think that as nuclear energy proliferates, the probability of nuclear accidents grows.


which reminds me of MS Windows: the more people that use it, the more it gets hacked:roll:(not to mention the fact that MS doesn't do anything about this, so the problem compounds).
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Heineken
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PostPosted: Wed Jun 15, 2005 7:41 pm    Post subject: I hope not the last word Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Sure. It's interesting to note that, as we start seriously contemplating the prospect of summer heat with no air conditioning, everybody, including so-called environmentalists, is suddenly willing to jump on the nuclear bandwagon and "forgive" the potential risks and problems of a world jam-packed with nuclear reactors and nuclear waste.

I don't embrace the idea that newer technology and better designs are going to eliminate the problems with nuclear. The waste problem, for one, still sits there like a giant fat do-do, utterly unresolved. Also, I'm sure there will be all sorts of unanticipated consequences of a nuclear-powered world. Technology has a nasty habit of creating as many problems as it solves.

I think the only realistic answer to our dilemma is to "power down." But we aren't going to do that, we'd rather ride off the cliff.
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Cyrus
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PostPosted: Wed Jun 15, 2005 8:39 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
Sure. It's interesting to note that, as we start seriously contemplating the prospect of summer heat with no air conditioning, everybody, including so-called environmentalists, is suddenly willing to jump on the nuclear bandwagon and "forgive" the potential risks and problems of a world jam-packed with nuclear reactors and nuclear waste.

I don't embrace the idea that newer technology and better designs are going to eliminate the problems with nuclear. The waste problem, for one, still sits there like a giant fat do-do, utterly unresolved. Also, I'm sure there will be all sorts of unanticipated consequences of a nuclear-powered world. Technology has a nasty habit of creating as many problems as it solves.

I think the only realistic answer to our dilemma is to "power down." But we aren't going to do that, we'd rather ride off the cliff.


Thank you. That is the reality. As much as optimists would like to say that we will go to solar, and wind, and go on as normal, IT WONT HAPPEN. We will either kill oursellves with coal or nuclear, or power down. FACE IT.
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Starvid
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2005 12:25 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I do not believe in the power down scenario for a fraction of a second. Those who think it is The Way should make examples out of themselves, showing how well everything will work in their world. Start living according to your own lore.
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Cyrus
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2005 7:56 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
I do not believe in the power down scenario for a fraction of a second. Those who think it is The Way should make examples out of themselves, showing how well everything will work in their world. Start living according to your own lore.


(A bit off-topic, but....)

You know, I really don't understand how some of you fail to see the cold-hard truth that this is a finite world and we are trying to live lives of infinite growth and consumption. There is an end to all natural resources. Whether you believe in bio-disel, or cold-fusion, or wind, or solar, or whatever; as we become fixed on them (which is impossible in my opinion), demand for other resources such as copper, wood, and aluminum will grow, and THOSE RESOURCES eventually deplete. THERE IS NO WAY AROUND IT.

(Sorry, I just had to get that out Smile)


Last edited by Cyrus on Fri Jun 17, 2005 7:58 am; edited 1 time in total
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Doly
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2005 7:58 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Cyrus wrote:
demand for other resources such as copper, wood, and aluminum will grow, and eventually deplete.


The difference is that metals can be recycled and wood is renewable.
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Cyrus
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2005 8:00 am    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:


The difference is that metals can be recycled and wood is renewable.


Well, in the process of recycling metals, you do not get out as much as you put in. Also, with desertification, and global warming, and the massess of dead trees around here (Illinois) I'm doubting whether wood is renewable to a full extent.
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Andy
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2005 5:02 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Cyrus, it is like preaching to the dead. It is exactly why we are doomed to exterminate ourselves. Nobody said powerdown means giving up all the advances made and living brutish lives. What we are saying is that the philosophy of capitalism and exponential growth in a finite world is bound to be proven stupid and impossible.
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RG73
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2005 5:27 pm    Post subject: Re: I hope not the last word Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Heineken wrote:
Sure. It's interesting to note that, as we start seriously contemplating the prospect of summer heat with no air conditioning


I hardly see how this is such a problem. We got by without a/c for 99.999% of human history. All you do is what societies in hot weather areas traditionally do during mid-day heat--take a siesta. Ignoring that we can use passive cooling designs, worst case scenario is that here in Texas in the summer we sit around in hammock under a shady oak and nap all afternoon. Like that would suck. Won't have much in the way of economic growth, but we're not going to die without a/c.


Quote:

I think the only realistic answer to our dilemma is to "power down." But we aren't going to do that, we'd rather ride off the cliff.


Yet another horrible, horrifying prospect! I fail to see the rush to find alternatives to keep our current high powered way of life going. The simplest solution is not to build thousands of new nuclear power plants. The simplest solution is to find ways to cut down energy use. Not a difficult concept. Yeah, we could switch to nuke power--but eventually we'll have peak something else. Better to use all the knowledge we've won because of we've had abundant, cheap energy and figure out how to live with less of the energy and keep our knowledge. Central air and highways ought not be the motivating factors for human existence.
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Heineken
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2005 8:38 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

There are simply too many people in the world, and projections are now for up to 10 billion by mid-century. What percentage of that vast population is going to be served by nuclear energy, even under the most optimistic scenarios for nuclear buildout? 5% might be pushing it.

We need to stop planning vast new engineering projects intended to maintain the inherently unstable structure we've built on this planet. Instead, we need to address the structure itself. A rational species would begin that process by partly dismantling the damned thing. We aren't rational, which is exactly why we're planning to construct hundreds and hundreds of new nukes and debating on electronic bulletins just how quickly that miracle can be accomplished.

We also need to address the problem of our numbers, or nature will do it herself in a most unpleasant way.

But we aren't going to do any of that stuff. All our primary institutions, from the Catholic Church to the good 'ol US government, will keep working to keep the merry-go-round whirling until it blows up.
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Andy
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2005 8:47 pm    Post subject: Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Ah!! It is refreshing to see that there are others who understand the folly of trying to perpetuate the house of cards that we have set up for ourselves. The hard, brute force approach can only work for so long before it crumbles under its own weight. It will only lead to either (1) war and extermination or (2) poisoning and extermination. Our third choice is to get wise and live with an appreciation for the limits around us and make decisons accordingly.
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