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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short
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Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short
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Yavicleus
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:49 pm    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I thought this image was far scarier:



As was the statement:

Quote:
Right now, the oil cartel is pumping at almost flat out levels with Saudi Arabia the only member with significant spare production capacity.


Especially given Simmons' recent comments about Saudi Production.
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rockdoc123
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2005 3:37 pm    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
Rockdoc, it's not so much the fact that gasoline is going to cost more. That'll just be the first effect. It's that a shortage of energy affects all the other products, too. It'll just take a bit longer and won't be as obvious as to why it's happening.


Yup...which is why I think folks will be able to stand quite a run up in fuel prices as compared to the seventies, the other cost increases will be delayed.

The big problem no one has really addressed is we are going to see a further widing of the gap between lower and middle classes and middle and upper classes in terms of disposable income.

Quote:
I agree with this as well as the fact that our economy in the U.S. is BASED on the availability of cheap fossil fuels. Our economy is not really in any position to deal with a sudden RESOURCE REAL VALUE ADJUSTMENT.


which is why we are sitting on the edge of the shitstorm now I'm afraid. Whether your ready or not....here it comes!! Sad
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gnm
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2005 4:12 pm    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

So we can see by that graph that the US uses more total oil than Europe - not accurate unless considered per/capita, and we can also see by that graph that apparently Canada, Mexico, and OPEC members don't use any oil...

Hmmmmm....

-G
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BabyPeanut
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2005 4:56 pm    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

gnm wrote:
So we can see by that graph that the US uses more total oil than Europe - not accurate unless considered per/capita, and we can also see by that graph that apparently Canada, Mexico, and OPEC members don't use any oil...

Maybe they are part of the mysterious "other".
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smiley
Fission
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2005 5:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
average cons index US per capita income 1980: $9,494
average cons index US per capita income 2004: $32,937 increase 3.47 times


Rockdoc. I think you have to adjust this number for the rise of the income spread

Changes in "Gini" Index of Income Inequality in U.S., 1967-2003
Source: Census Bureau (higher number indicates greater inequality)


The rich are getting richer and the poor are, well, staying poor.

But the price of a carton of milk is independent of the number of zero's on your bank account.
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Sgs-Cruz
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2005 5:26 pm    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

rockdoc123 wrote:

Yup...which is why I think folks will be able to stand quite a run up in fuel prices as compared to the seventies, the other cost increases will be delayed.


Ah. In that case, I agree. People will complain as gas hits $1.00/litre, $1.50/litre, $2.00/litre but pay it. It's when food starts to become expensive, or auto parts, or anything else that's energy-intensive to make (which would be, um, just about everything with modern manufacturing) that the real problems will start.
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MrBean
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2005 5:48 pm    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

gnm wrote:
So we can see by that graph that the US uses more total oil than Europe - not accurate unless considered per/capita, and we can also see by that graph that apparently Canada, Mexico, and OPEC members don't use any oil...

Hmmmmm....

-G


I'm assuming here "Europe" means EU, not the continent with fuzzy boundaries. IIRC and too lazy to google, US uses twice as much oil per capita as EU, so with respective populations of 300 million and 450 million, US would still end up using more oil than EU.
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Keith_McClary
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2005 11:40 pm    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

rockdoc123 wrote:

Visine Eye Drops ---- $995.84
Then there's that electrically conducting paint for repairing car rear window defogger grids. $10 for 1.4 ml. Works out to $25,000/gal. Can anyone top that?

(EDIT - corrected data & math)
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Sgs-Cruz
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Joined: Feb 23, 2005
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Location: Kingston, ON, Canada

PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:17 am    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Keith_McClary wrote:
Then there's that electrically conducting paint for repairing car rear window defogger grids. $10 for 1.4 ml. Works out to $25,000/gal. Can anyone top that?


What about brand name thermal grease for computer processors? I just paid $12 for 3.5 grams of it at Quiet PC. At a specific gravity of 0.8 for grease, that's a volume of 4.375 mL.

$12 / 0.004375 L = $2742.86 / L = $10382.85 per gallon. Dammit.
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Tyler_JC
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:34 am    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Well, gold is $445 an ounce.

A gallon has 128 ounces.

And so a gallon of gold costs roughly $57,000.

But gold is a little bit more dense than water... Rolling Eyes
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agni
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:36 am    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Sgs-Cruz wrote:
Keith_McClary wrote:
Then there's that electrically conducting paint for repairing car rear window defogger grids. $10 for 1.4 ml. Works out to $25,000/gal. Can anyone top that?


What about brand name thermal grease for computer processors? I just paid $12 for 3.5 grams of it at Quiet PC. At a specific gravity of 0.8 for grease, that's a volume of 4.375 mL.

$12 / 0.004375 L = $2742.86 / L = $10382.85 per gallon. Dammit.


You guys are well out of the most expensive liquids. For the most expensive liquids, outside of exotic lab reagents, I guess you should look at women's stuff. A casual google search provides Clive Christian Perfume at around $243,200/gal

-A
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savethehumans
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2005 1:48 am    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

It already IS affecting other things. For instance, it wasn't too long ago that my warehouse grocery store sold cans of green beans at 2/$1.00. Last week, they were ON SALE for 3/$2.00!

Snack foods? Last year, a bag of pretzels went for $1.99. Now, $2.18. Ah, and the joy I had in finding a pound of lean ground beef for JUST $3.50!

Notice the prices the next time you shop. If you feel like, "I thought it was less than that," it probably was! Crying or Very sad
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2007
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2005 7:03 am    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Non-Opec production: the IEA oil report from July has an interesting graph for Mexican output which is seen down entire 2006, p. 19. IEA also admits that new wells won't be able to compensate for the Cantarell decline.

Link (pdf)
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Olaf
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Location: Upstate New York, U.S.A.

PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2005 7:49 am    Post subject: Re: Oil surges to 66$/barrel...non-OPEC output falling short Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I'm never going to get my homestead built in time at this rate.

Olaf
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