Hoarding is exactly what the government is doing right now by filling the SPR, and frankly it's the best thing that could happen. It drives prices up. High prices encourage demand destruction. They also finance new well development. The hoarded oil gives us a buffer to fall back on once shortages become more prevalent. High prices are what we need in order to adapt to what's coming, and the sooner they happen, the better.
Posted: Thu Sep 01, 2005 8:02 pm Post subject: A college campus... the best place to weather the oil storm?
After this hurricane, I've been doing some thinking about what the world would be like while the Peak Oil **** was hitting the fan. I've been at college for two weeks now, and I realized something.
This might be a pretty good place to be during an oil crisis, at least for a while. It's the only time in my life when my standard of living will depend not on the financial resources of my parents or myself, but of an institution with a great deal of money. I'm at Purdue University, a very big campus with an excellent reputation. If Peak Oil hit, I might experience a rise in housing rates and I might have to get an on-campus job (because my parents might be unable to send me much money), but I'm pretty sure the lighs wouldn't go out for a LONG, LONG time (at least a long time after the lights have gone out for most of the general population). Universities have HUGE endowments, and they could certainly sustain operations for a good deal of time. Especially with the scholarship I have, I'm pretty well set.
Now, a BIG concern would obviously be if the draft were declared and few college deferments were given, because of the near-certain draft riots that would ensue.
Still, do you agree with me when I say that a big university would be one of the best places to be during the height of the Peak Oil crisis?
Posted: Thu Sep 01, 2005 9:35 pm Post subject: Re: A college campus... the best place to weather the oil st
no
you're too dependent on other institutions to provide for your basic needs
and a campus is an easy target for looters or other looking to steal your supplies
about the only advantage i can see is that living on campus doesn't require use of a car.
how much food and water can you store in a dorm, if TS really HTF? i've got a week's worth of food and several day's worth bottled water stored under my bed in my dorm room. i should probably get more.
another problem is that the population density is just way too high. your average dorm is packed way more tightly than almost any apartment building. too much population density = threat of disease spreading quickly, high tensions/fights, etc....
if it looks like TS is about to HTF, i'd want to get back to my home in suburbia quickly. it'd be better there than here for many reasons, not the least of which is i would be close to my family.
Posted: Thu Sep 01, 2005 10:42 pm Post subject: Re: A college campus... the best place to weather the oil st
It depends on the decline and certain events...
I expect to get out of college in about 3 years..
You're probably a freshy in engineering or biology-related field? (You say you're at Perdue.. I hear they have a good engineering school there. Good school, but may I suggest that you don't go into Aeronautical Engineering? That doesn't seem to have much of a future.)
Suppose the decline of oil civilization starts at Katrina - you're fracked if you did, you're fracked if you didn't go to college. It most likely won't be a super-dooming scenario enough to hoard food. I expect it to be more economic in the short-term.
Fossil_fuel, if you have a roommate, what does he think of you hoarding food and water? Because that's kinda crazy. If you think society will collapse enough while you're at college that you're going to be hungy and thirsty, then that week's worth of food and water isn't going to make you survive that much longer.
So, all in all, I see Shell has posted all sorts of posters at my school saying that they need "Petroleum engineers, chemists, blah, blah, [10 other majors]". That was one of the points in my life where I started to be like - oh crap, some of the things I read on the internet actually have a base in reality. I actually saw a poster for Shell asking for petroleum engineers to replace the graying population - which I first heard about hear at PeakOil.com.
It's either Aaron or Montequest who predicts what has happened. So far, he looks to be quite accurate in the short term relative to the economy and such. So, I kind of expect a recession and stuff to be widely regarded as 'now' soon enough (especially since Katrina). But, I suspect that the systems that get food and water to Universities and most cities won't go down within a 10 year time-frame.
Posted: Thu Sep 01, 2005 10:48 pm Post subject: Re: A college campus... the best place to weather the oil st
most students keep some food under their bed. i just happen to keep a bit more than most.
i'm about 100 miles from my home. SHTF, i have several options. one includes packing blankets, food, supplies etc and walking home. 100 miles can be traveled in a week, the terrain around here is not very difficult. might even be possible in the winter, although i certainly wouldn't want to try it without more food and warm clothes.
Joined: Aug 14, 2005 Posts: 766 Location: Dead civilization walking
Posted: Fri Sep 02, 2005 3:04 am Post subject: Re: A college campus... the best place to weather the oil st
I've been wondering about college towns like Davis, Ca or Madison Wis. They generally have progressive politics and you're likely to find more informed PO aware folks there who believe in organic gardening. One would think that folks in those towns would come together rather then shoot at each other and loot hospital equipment. Davis is surrounded by chemically infested farmland and Madison should have some cheap land within some distance-just beware of that south central Wisconsin sandy soil area- i don't know exactly where it is. It's gotta be better than LA or some other concrete jungle.
Joined: May 24, 2004 Posts: 3429 Location: California, USA
Posted: Fri Sep 02, 2005 4:06 am Post subject: Re: A college campus... the best place to weather the oil st
Davis California has another useful characteristic: inherent defensibility. There are two ways in and out of town, both freeway exits, and both with excellent visibility. Any time a badguy tries something, i.e. your run-of-the-mill bank robberies and suchlike, the police just wait at the roads leading to the freeway and scoop 'em up like fish in a barrel. As a consequence, the crime rate is low. For community defense, all you'd have to do is blockade those roads and post a sufficient guard force.
There is one fatal flaw with the idea of staying in a university situation in a SHTF scenario: you are not a *citizen* there, nor an *owner,* but a *paid guest,* or in manufacturing terms, you're the "product." Guests have no rights, period. The university admin is the equivalent of senior management, and they can shut the place down and send the "product" packing for home or the hills, and the "product" i.e. y'all students out there, have no say in the matter.
Posted: Fri Sep 02, 2005 5:05 am Post subject: Re: A college campus... the best place to weather the oil st
An college town which specialises in Agricultural, Medical or Engineering subjects might be an asset. Aussies might want to think about one of the campuses of Charles Sturt or University of New England.
I think in the end of a Peak Oil scenario there will be a lot of squatting. Possession will be 9 tenths of the law. So if you are established you should be ok. A lot will depend on whether or not you are a professor or a student.
You might want to consider the comments about getting connected to the wider community in this thread:
"Think seriously about joining your local civil defence organisation, bushfire brigade, voluntary EMT or reseve law enforcement group if your community has one. You are more likely to meet like minded people and if it hits the fan you will be protected by law enforcement and the military instead of working by yourself. You need to connect to the community especially if you are relocating. Do you want to be known as the person who bought a big house just before the Peak or as the person who helped rescue my town in a fire or other calamity. If things get bad you want to be seen as an asset not an outsider."
Posted: Fri Sep 02, 2005 11:38 am Post subject: Re: A college campus... the best place to weather the oil st
RySenkari wrote:
After this hurricane, I've been doing some thinking about what the world would be like while the Peak Oil **** was hitting the fan. I've been at college for two weeks now, and I realized something.
This might be a pretty good place to be during an oil crisis, at least for a while. It's the only time in my life when my standard of living will depend not on the financial resources of my parents or myself, but of an institution with a great deal of money. I'm at Purdue University, a very big campus with an excellent reputation. If Peak Oil hit, I might experience a rise in housing rates and I might have to get an on-campus job (because my parents might be unable to send me much money), but I'm pretty sure the lighs wouldn't go out for a LONG, LONG time (at least a long time after the lights have gone out for most of the general population). Universities have HUGE endowments, and they could certainly sustain operations for a good deal of time. Especially with the scholarship I have, I'm pretty well set.
Now, a BIG concern would obviously be if the draft were declared and few college deferments were given, because of the near-certain draft riots that would ensue.
Still, do you agree with me when I say that a big university would be one of the best places to be during the height of the Peak Oil crisis?
I would have to agree on a Midwestern University as a safe place to be.
I go to... you guessed it... UIUC. There's about 500,000 people and about 1-1.5 million acres of farmland in the thirty miles surrounding UIUC. Something tells me that people will be looting the corn and wheat fields, not the campus.
The draft is a scary possibility, and if it looks like it might happen, I'd suggest trying to switch into engineering or agriculture. You would just be too valuable to get sent to the front lines, rather than get sent out to farms and help folks increase production.
Quote:
There is one fatal flaw with the idea of staying in a university situation in a SHTF scenario: you are not a *citizen* there, nor an *owner,* but a *paid guest,* or in manufacturing terms, you're the "product." Guests have no rights, period. The university admin is the equivalent of senior management, and they can shut the place down and send the "product" packing for home or the hills, and the "product" i.e. y'all students out there, have no say in the matter.
Rent an apartment next year. Make sure it has an electric oven and stove, if it comes down to it.
But besides that fact, I at least get the sense that the administration is filled with Christians and liberals who actually do care about the students. And Champaign & Urbana, as well as West Lafayette, are going to be in such good shape when peak oil hits that everything's going to be OK.
And Perdue, as well as UIUC, are state-gov't run schools (that are also paying for themselves these days). When peak oil hits, not only are the Midwestern states going to see their agricultural economies and value of their exports explode, they're also going to be desperate for skilled folks who can do anything to help increase crop yields. That means that engineers, agricultural science folks, and folks in the atmospheric sciences will be needed and wanted at college campuses. One might argue that we'll lose help from the gov't when peak oil hits, but we've already lost most of it. These days, state schools are running mostly on tuition.
Joined: Nov 24, 2004 Posts: 75 Location: West Lafayette, IN U.S.A.
Posted: Fri Sep 02, 2005 8:10 pm Post subject: Re: A college campus... the best place to weather the oil st
Hi RySenkari!
I'm here at Purdue too! (Physics grad) I've been following PO for a few years now. If you ever want to hang out and talk, I'm game. I've also finally found a house to rent (costs the same as my former 2 bdrm apt) and has a 1/2 acre of land. (2 apple trees, and I planted 3 gardens) If you don't mind some biking/busing/walking, there are good houses a little further out that are within walking distance of all your needs. (If you ever decide that a dorm is not the best place to weather PO.)
I'm not sure what I think of Purdue *campus* as a good place to weather PO, but I think the Laf/West Laf area is a good place to be. I know the Farmer's markets and the Amish around here, I have land and I have crafting skills. And if the worst of PO should happen, a good portion of students would return home, leaving even more local resources for us.
Just my $0.02. Anyway, if you want to hang out at any time, email me mhanafee at purdue dot edu.
Joined: Nov 24, 2004 Posts: 75 Location: West Lafayette, IN U.S.A.
Posted: Fri Sep 02, 2005 8:11 pm Post subject: Re: A college campus... the best place to weather the oil st
Hi RySenkari!
I'm here at Purdue too! (Physics grad) I've been following PO for a few years now. If you ever want to hang out and talk, I'm game. I've also finally found a house to rent (costs the same as my former 2 bdrm apt) and has a 1/2 acre of land. (2 apple trees, and I planted 3 gardens) If you don't mind some biking/busing/walking, there are good houses a little further out that are within walking distance of all your needs. (If you ever decide that a dorm is not the best place to weather PO.)
I'm not sure what I think of Purdue *campus* as a good place to weather PO, but I think the Laf/West Laf area is a good place to be. I know the Farmer's markets and the Amish around here, I have land and I have crafting skills. And if the worst of PO should happen, a good portion of students would return home, leaving even more local resources for us.
Just my $0.02. Anyway, if you want to hang out at any time, email me mhanafee at purdue dot edu.
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum