New coal burning electric plant is firing up next week-just 10 miles from my place-thankfully downwind. Foisted on us as a "co-gen" operation, wood: 5%, coal 95%. We have mountains of coal here in MT so could theoretically revert back to a lovely 19th century smoke-belching civilization. The coal arrives in trains pulled by diesel-electric engines. We used to have an electric railroad but it was torn down decades ago. When I start seeing Chinese steam locomotives I'll know someone's taking PO seriously. And we have SO MUCH untapped wind.
If you build 1 windmill on every square foot of Montana (without blades, cause they are so close together, then you can meet the demands of energy in america for oil alone.
Last edited by grabby on Wed Feb 08, 2006 10:58 pm; edited 1 time in total
Posted: Sun Jan 15, 2006 1:02 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
MonteQuest wrote:
Tanada wrote:
Why would you even consider scrapping Fission plants that work just fine and do not produce greenhouse gasses?
I was a leader in the anti-nuclear movement in the 1970's. There are far too many environmental issues that are unresolved, especially waste disposal. If we commit to thousands more of these plants worldwide to meet our energy needs, Murphy's Law will get it's chance to rear it's ugly head that much sooner.
MonteQuest, you like a lot of other mega-environmentalists suffer from cause overload. It prevents you from seeing outside the doomer box you painted yourself into. You cannot be both anti-nuclear and anti-fossil fuel global warming without creating an argument that is ultimately anti-human race. I have read hundreds of your posts and yet no reasonable solutions seem to have crossed your mind. You are always anti-X whatever. I don't know what your ultimate sustainable goal is but the Pleistocene is over. Human technology in some form or another will be with us forever.
I believe a combination of technolgical, idealogical, and political change will win the day over both cornucopianism and doomerism. For example of all three working in tandum would be a town centered around a nuclear powerplant where 99% of the population lives within a mile or two of the plant. Such a town exists not far from where I grew up Southern NJ. It was a small argicultural and fishing town until in the 1950s when agriculture shifted to larger farms farther West. When the the town was proposed as the site of a new nuclear power plant in 1960 the whole community jumped on board with it. A symbol of an atom was placed on the town seal right next to the plow symbol and the cross. When the Nuclear reactor came on line in 1968 it was one of the first in the nation.
The plant has provided nothing but clean safe power for almost 40 years now without a sigle accident of any kind. All nuclear waste is stored on site and get this: "Nobody cares." The entire town lives and breathes nuclear power which it exports to the large cities of the Northeast. Life in this town will go on much as it always had peak oil or no peak oil. Yes, there is a nuclear reactor less than a mile from downtown but is that really so bad? We know the people who tend it and they are good people some of whom have been in the nuke business for three generations. I read about a family who has a Grandfather who helped build the plant where his sons now work and now his grandchildren work there. The only trouble the nuke has ever created was in the form of protests from the anti-nuke movement who don't have a clue as to what the nuke business is really about.
A good responce to peak oil and peak natural gas could be recreating hundreds of clones of this town. The political, and idealogical prespectives are the only real significant hurtles that prevent this from happening.
Posted: Sun Jan 15, 2006 5:29 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
Novus wrote:
MonteQuest, you like a lot of other mega-environmentalists suffer from cause overload. It prevents you from seeing outside the doomer box you painted yourself into. You cannot be both anti-nuclear and anti-fossil fuel global warming without creating an argument that is ultimately anti-human race. I have read hundreds of your posts and yet no reasonable solutions seem to have crossed your mind. You are always anti-X whatever. I don't know what your ultimate sustainable goal is but the Pleistocene is over. Human technology in some form or another will be with us forever.
Just because a powerdown doesn't seem reasonable to you does not mean it is not the inevitable outcome of us continuing on this unsustainable path. We either powerdown by choice or by default. Reducing the population, embracing renewable energies, and restriciting per capita energy use seems quite reasonable to me.
My ulimate sustainable goal is one that recognizes the ecological limits and realizes we must submit to them.
You see my argument as anti-human race because you seem to appear to be in the 13% minority that believes peak oil is just a stepping stone in energy history and not a symptom of a greater disease.
See my Tip of the Iceberg thread in PO Discussion.
I have made it a point in my environmental career to always review my biases, so as not to be blinded. I have not stopped doing that.
Quote:
A good responce to peak oil and peak natural gas could be recreating hundreds of clones of this town. The political, and idealogical prespectives are the only real significant hurtles that prevent this from happening.
That is a solution in isolation. A techno-fix. Hundreds of clones of this type would enable Murphy's Law: whatever can go wrong will. And with nuclear, it only has to happen once. They are many would choose not to take that chance, no matter the consequences. It also assumes a stable social system into the foreseeable future to safeguard these installations. Our standard of living is not a given right that we must maintain at all costs.
There is no techno-fix for reasons I have made quite clear.
We need a shift to an ecological paradigm and an abandonment of our current world view.
I am not anti-human, but anti-exponential infinite growth in a finite world.
Almost all of the solutions being trotted out are attempts to maintain this status quo, so yes, I will continue to be against them as long-term viable solutions unless they address the other issues I laid out in my Tip of the Iceberg thread; because, nuclear or not, they are not going to go away.
To end on topic, nuclear power is not what is being touted, it is coal-fired plants, which are unsustainable as well and can only prolong the arrival of the peak short-term with unacceptable consequences. _________________ A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.
Last edited by MonteQuest on Mon Jan 16, 2006 11:47 pm; edited 3 times in total
Posted: Mon Jan 16, 2006 9:17 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
0mar wrote:
Coal liquefaction is a moot point.
All supply right now is being used, and all additional supply is already planned for.
The fact is that most people right now don't think we need a significant supply side overhaul. Companies and governments are content in letting supply grow gradually. Outside of a couple pilot plants for CTL, there isn't a whole lot going on in the United States and for the most part, elsewhere. Only South Africa has a real CTL industry.
You can pontificate on what we should be doing or what we could do, but the simple fact of the matter is that we are doing none of those things and won't do a single thing mentioned here or in any other thread until long after we've hit the peak.
There is a lot going on right now with regard to CTL that could pave the way for a dramatic CTL movement. The beginnings will be transforming natural gas-fed fertilizer plants in the Midwest and along the Mississippi. There is an abundance of high sulfur coal in the Illinois basin that currently has no use because of perceived emissions issues. CTL provides a huge use for this coal and opens up a potentially huge market.
Too many people hear the word 'coal' and automatically tune out. The fact is that we will need coal as long as oil & gas prices remain high. With proper scrubbers and emission control technology in place, there is no valid reason not to use a very inexpensive and domestic fossil fuel.
Posted: Mon Jan 16, 2006 10:00 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
Bacchus wrote:
Too many people hear the word 'coal' and automatically tune out. The fact is that we will need coal as long as oil & gas prices remain high. With proper scrubbers and emission control technology in place, there is no valid reason not to use a very inexpensive and domestic fossil fuel.
Other than "global warming" which is a pretty valid reason. _________________ A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.
Posted: Mon Jan 16, 2006 10:12 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
Bacchus wrote:
MonteQuest wrote:
Other than "global warming" which is a pretty valid reason.
Scrubbers and other clean coal technologies dramatically reduce emissions.
Yes, to cut sulfur, nitrogen and mercury pollutants, and some projects are showing ways to reduce greenhouse gases from coal plants by boosting the efficiency at which they convert coal to electricity, but we are talking about the CO2 produced when you burn the CTL in the atmosphere.
We need to decrease our carbon emissions 60% to 70%, not increase them. _________________ A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.
Posted: Mon Jan 16, 2006 10:48 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
MonteQuest wrote:
We need to decrease our carbon emissions 60% to 70%, not increase them.
We do need to work towards reducing our carbon emissions, I agree. CTL is a step in that direction as compared to using petroleum fuels. Additionally, CO2 sequestration is a technological process that could limit carbon emissions while also providing tertiary oil recovery techniques. We also must balance our environmental goals with the financial needs of the people -- such as cheap energy. The uproar we've heard this winter over heating costs is a reminder that when given the choice between affordable energy and environmental protection -- people may very well view environmental protection as a luxury item -- not a necessity. I think this is one aspect of the peak oil issue that has not received a lot of attention, but will.
Posted: Mon Jan 16, 2006 11:24 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
Bacchus wrote:
We do need to work towards reducing our carbon emissions, I agree. CTL is a step in that direction as compared to using petroleum fuels.
How so? Can you provide a study that says using CTL produces less CO2 than burning gasoline?
Quote:
Additionally, CO2 sequestration is a technological process that could limit carbon emissions while also providing tertiary oil recovery techniques.
At what cost, though?
Quote:
We also must balance our environmental goals with the financial needs of the people -- such as cheap energy.
The era of cheap energy is over. That is what peak oil is all about.
Quote:
The uproar we've heard this winter over heating costs is a reminder that when given the choice between affordable energy and environmental protection -- people may very well view environmental protection as a luxury item -- not a necessity. I think this is one aspect of the peak oil issue that has not received a lot of attention, but will.
And they will make that choice at their own peril. Environmental protection is, and will always be, a necessity of life. _________________ A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.
Posted: Mon Jan 16, 2006 11:38 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
MonteQuest wrote:
How so? Can you provide a study that says using CTL produces less CO2 than burning gasoline?
From the Governor of Montana:
A study published in 1999 cited a 45% reduction in net carbon emissions from coal-based liquids compared to petroleum fuels, not counting the enormous potential of developments in CO2 sequestration.
http://governor-brian-schweitzer.dailykos.com/storyonly/2005/10/6/192124/075
I've heard this claim made in numerous industry meetings as well, and believe it to be pretty widely accepted in energy circles. Read about the company Rentech (NYSE: RTK) when you get the opportunity. They are doing some very interesting work right now in this area.
Matt Simmons put it best when he said that we need a bridge to next generation energy technologies. Coal is a bridge. Drilling for new oil discoveries is a bridge. Environmental issues are important, no doubt, but when push comes to shove, the people are going to choose cheaper energy as compared to environmental protection. Financial ruin associated with super-high energy costs simply isn't an alternative that people will accept. With emerging technology in the coal and oil & gas fields, the need to choose between the two (cost vs environment) is lessening each day. That's good news.
Joined: Apr 28, 2005 Posts: 3451 Location: West shore Lake Eire, MI, USA
Posted: Tue Jan 17, 2006 6:21 am Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
MonteQuest wrote:
Bacchus wrote:
Too many people hear the word 'coal' and automatically tune out. The fact is that we will need coal as long as oil & gas prices remain high. With proper scrubbers and emission control technology in place, there is no valid reason not to use a very inexpensive and domestic fossil fuel.
Other than "global warming" which is a pretty valid reason.
The financial costs of coal won't be as benign as people seem to think either. Look at this EIA data DELIVERED COST PER TON
Electric utilities have long standing agreements to draw on but those users who work more short term contracts are feeling the pinch. Coal is shifting back into prominence after decades of low use, higher energy cost across the board are raising its value without changing its supply much as of yet. A lot of coal production has been shut in due to lack of demand, once all those old mines which can be reactivated have been any additional supply has to be a new source, which takes more time and money. _________________ Oxygen: - An intensely habit-forming accumulative toxic substance. As little
as one breath is known to produce a life-long addiction to the gas, which addiction invariably ends in death.--Isaac Asimov
Posted: Tue Jan 17, 2006 12:58 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
Coal is a great short term solution when combined with pumping CO2 into the ground if the CO2 stays in the ground.
US has a lot of bad quality coal. There are many mines that been shut-in due to bad quality of coal. There are also known areas that are not mined. We are not running out of coal anytime in my lifetime.
As a pessimist, I can say if we use coal to replace oil, we will need to find a replacement for coal in a few decades, so cannot be a long term solution. Also, coal production is more energy intensive than oil. So energy prices will continue to increase if we switch to coal. The price will not drop at all if demand does not let up.
Without dramatic technological breakthrough, I fail to see energy prices going down without demand destruction.
Joined: Feb 23, 2006 Posts: 30 Location: Selinsgrove, PA
Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2006 9:14 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
There's no doubt that CO2 emissions need to be cut - dramatically. This is going to limit coal's use, unless a really good way to store carbon is developed.
Carbon Sequestration is less proven than most renewable options, yet people worried about money and cost of everything (like those on Fox News Channel) are always touting it (or at least just "clean coal", I've never heard the words "climate change" uttered on there).
We burn about 1 billion tons of coal per year in the U.S. to make half of our electricity (~1.5 PWh). The concept of electricity from coal hasn't changed much in 120 years, and it is only about 35% efficient. A billion tons to meet only a fraction (albeit a somewhat large one, larger than say wind or biomass) of our energy needs.
IGCC plants, which gasify coal and burn the syngas in a combined cycle plant, are about 50% efficient - not counting grid losses. So the theory is to combine IGCC with sequestration, and you have a clean-coal plant. IGCC works, we know that...but some estimates say that separating the CO2 from the nitrogen, water, and other gases may eat up to 20% of the power plant's output. There goes the efficiency gain from combined cycle. We're back to 30%.
It seems almost unimaginable to be able to store the CO2 GAS resulting from combustion of billions of tons of coal, year after year. We'll fill up the nearby geologic formations, and we'll have to pipe this waste product farther and farther away for storage. I'm picturing it now - putting CO2 from burnt U.S. coal into depleted Saudi oil wells...no way that is sensible.
We won't really be able to capture CO2 when we're burning coal derived fuels in vehicles, ships and airplanes.
We need a little bit of everything, including coal. These two problems - peak oil and climate change, converging at once, are certainly bigger than any other problem we've ever had to deal with.
Joined: Apr 28, 2005 Posts: 3451 Location: West shore Lake Eire, MI, USA
Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2006 9:25 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
nethawk wrote:
There's no doubt that CO2 emissions need to be cut - dramatically. This is going to limit coal's use, unless a really good way to store carbon is developed.
Carbon Sequestration is less proven than most renewable options, yet people worried about money and cost of everything (like those on Fox News Channel) are always touting it (or at least just "clean coal", I've never heard the words "climate change" uttered on there).
We burn about 1 billion tons of coal per year in the U.S. to make half of our electricity (~1.5 PWh). The concept of electricity from coal hasn't changed much in 120 years, and it is only about 35% efficient. A billion tons to meet only a fraction (albeit a somewhat large one, larger than say wind or biomass) of our energy needs.
IGCC plants, which gasify coal and burn the syngas in a combined cycle plant, are about 50% efficient - not counting grid losses. So the theory is to combine IGCC with sequestration, and you have a clean-coal plant. IGCC works, we know that...but some estimates say that separating the CO2 from the nitrogen, water, and other gases may eat up to 20% of the power plant's output. There goes the efficiency gain from combined cycle. We're back to 30%.
It seems almost unimaginable to be able to store the CO2 GAS resulting from combustion of billions of tons of coal, year after year. We'll fill up the nearby geologic formations, and we'll have to pipe this waste product farther and farther away for storage. I'm picturing it now - putting CO2 from burnt U.S. coal into depleted Saudi oil wells...no way that is sensible.
We won't really be able to capture CO2 when we're burning coal derived fuels in vehicles, ships and airplanes.
We need a little bit of everything, including coal. These two problems - peak oil and climate change, converging at once, are certainly bigger than any other problem we've ever had to deal with.
I still beleive the only practicle method of long term carbon sequestration is to deposit crop residues and other bio waste into alluvial deposition sites like the areas off the edge of the continental shelf for the Mississippi and Rio Grande river basins. Any biologically concentrated carbon dumped in these locations will be sequestered for very long geological time spans barring human intervention. Anyone have a figure for crop residues produced in the USA each year, or hell even for the ammount of waste paper we could sequester? Old newspapers might be your best bet, you can bind them into large bales with an internal weighting mechanism to ensure they will sink straight to the bottom and once dropped into the alluvial fan they are well and truely sequestered. _________________ Oxygen: - An intensely habit-forming accumulative toxic substance. As little
as one breath is known to produce a life-long addiction to the gas, which addiction invariably ends in death.--Isaac Asimov
Joined: Oct 26, 2004 Posts: 305 Location: US Empire
Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2006 10:01 pm Post subject: Re: Coal - What are the ramifications?
Thanks all for keeping this thread working.
I quite agree with Monte Quest that Power Down matched with a changed environmental paradigm is the only real answer to the myriad of problems associated with the changes to the Carbon economy that come with the expansion of our energy sources. Replacement on nearly every level turns from one disaster to another. That's the only 'fix'.
However, this will not happen. I believe every piece of burnable Carbon will be consumed in our vast 6.5 Billion member overreach. Much like the Easter Islanders frequently mentioned on this site we have passed the point where we can build canoes to pale off to the mainland. We're stuck... and soon the nightmares that are already spreading across the face of the world will drag us kicking and screaming to a sustainable level. It won't be nice.
The real ramification of continued and increased coal usage is that it puts us farther out onto the ledge we have built for ourselves.
G _________________ Gary Malcolm
US Empire
There is no alternative source for our gluttony. Power down or die.
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