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Getting quite frightened...
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rexxz
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Joined: Jun 27, 2006
Posts: 29

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 9:02 am    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

virgincrude wrote:
Rexxzi, over here I am a day behind you guys. Wonder if that'll make any difference as to when the crap hits? Anyway, just keep reading, eventually your alarm level will subside a bit, but I really can't imagine how I would feel if I were as young as you and just found out about Peak Oil, I just feel for you.


To be honest I don't quite know how to handle the situation just yet. I figure I'll educate myself more on the matter, and try to deduce the problem slowly. I don't want to waste any time though, and since time is something we seem to have very little of right now, I can't help but think that maybe I may make an unknowingly foolish decision that I will regret greatly later.


virgincrude wrote:
I just can't help wondering, as I read so many posts from people like you (no money, afraid for the future) when Americans will start migrating. At the moment you're building walls against the Mexicans, who will surely arrive in greater numbers now that Cantarelle is depleting so fast. Here in Europe we have boat loads of Sub Saharan Africans arriving at our shores every day. We used to buy them and ship them ourselves, now they come willingly and pay for the trip in even worse conditions than the slavers. And they work in the same slave conditions. Imagine.

Could it soon be boat loads of WASPs?



I am not sure yet if I want to make plans of moving out of the country. If indeed I feel that sticking it out down here will be possible for me, I may do it. I am looking for the best interest of myself and my partner, though. So if that means leaving, I must...
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EnergyUnlimited
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 9:03 am    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

rexxz wrote:
I think my largest concern, though, isn't really of losing all of these nice little commodities that my life has to offer right now. My biggest, and worst fear is being unable to even survive in a post-peak oil environment. All I want is to retain some degree of stability, nothing more. And of course to do as much as I possibly can to improve the situation as a whole. But right now, I am not having much hope for this.

I fear that because of my financial situation right now(jobless, 18 years old, no credit, no experience, no education) will only make things so much more worse than they can be.


That is a very good starting point.

Because you do NOT own much, than you will NOT lose much either.
One thing less to worry about.

It is imprtant, that you do NOT have any credit capability.
This will only help you, because it will prevent you from incurring debt on yourself (and on your further family).
If you convince your girlfriend not to incurr debt as well, than you have already won big chunk of the game.
However you will realize, that it may be extremely difficult to convince your girlfriend NOT TO go into debt.
Girlfriends are tending to be wasteful and shortsighted, but it is still worth trying...you may succeed...or find another girlfriend.

When PO related mess strike, those in debt will be hit hardest.
Not only their earning capability may be REDUCED quite a lot, but also interest rates will go UP.
Properties prices may also take a tank (due to plenty of properties from repossessions on the market).
A lot of bankruptcies are expected and many peoples will lose EVERYTHING.
Shortly: If you must take a loan, mortgage etc, the amount borrowed should be as low as possible, it MUST be FIXED RATE deal and it MUSTN'T be for consumption but for a reasonable investment only (say SMALL property in promising area, SMALL fuel efficient car etc.).
Depending of state where you will live such loan should be secured or not as bankruptcy law vary from state to state (ask local lawyers, they will help you to decide).
BUT REMEMBER: THE BEST LOAN IS THE ONE YOU DO NOT TAKE.

Job: Military, police and FEMA should do reasonably well and any jobs there would be quite secure.
Energy sector (including nuclear and renevables in particular) will also be seen as critical and much funds from goverment will go there without doubt.
In addition to main job it may be advantage to master any useful craft. This may keep you going for long time (or indefinetely) after a peak.

Best place to live: Small town with STRONG local economy and well organised community. You should live within biking distance from the place, where you work.


Last edited by EnergyUnlimited on Tue Jun 27, 2006 9:10 am; edited 1 time in total
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rexxz
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 9:07 am    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Thank you for your replies, all of you. EnergyUnlimited, I am considering yours mostly. About the credit thing, I didn't really intendt to mean that I wanted it, but was stating that because I had none, it would be harder for me to perhaps purchase the things that I may need to prepare for this(housing, land, etc.).

Oh, and I have nothing to worry about my girlfriend or myself getting into debt. I am educating her on PO while I educate myself on it, and she is being open minded to ideas and information. I think the worst part though will be finding a place to live that has what you mentioned. I don't know how to measure if a community has a strong local economy and self-relience...
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Windmills
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 9:49 am    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

If your girlfriend embraces the idea of Peak Oil, then you've just found a great asset. Having a partner that shares your understanding and vision of the future crises will greatly aid you. If she is with you in this, then you have reason to be more hopeful about your future. The two of you can do more and do better together than either of you could do alone. Right now, Americans lead what they think are very independent lives, apart from their families and friends. I believe we'll all find out just how valuable our families, friends, and communities will become; we'll depend on them for our very survival.
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Sleepybag
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 9:54 am    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

This may seem contradictionary, but the best jobs in the next decades will be in oil-related businesses. A shortage will result in increased need for workers in exploration, platforms, refineries and alternative fuels. Also, Houston might actually be a good place to get a degree in oil related engineering. So, I would advise you to go to Houston, move in with your girlfriend, and learn about geology, drilling and refining.

Off course, I don't know anything about your schooling level or skills, so if you don't understand anything about high school physics you might consider my advice useless. However, try to understand the problem and then figure out how to be part of the solution.
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Aimrehtopyh
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 10:47 am    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

...and don't ever forget where your towel is.

Seriously, seeing the Hitchhikers Guide movie with peak oil in mind helped me to relax ALOT. I still drive my friends and family crazy with my anxiety and everpresent obsession with the subject, but much about that movie makes the fellings of loss and hopelessness more bearable.

Regardless, form here on out it will be a rollercoaster ride like garden-variety depression. The lows can last days or months and even the highs will be marred by your unshakable feeling that something just isn't right.

There is a slight possibility that your girlfriend will trust you or understand the problem well enough to tolerate the oddball behavior you will soon be exhibiting. If your survival strategy includes working out I'm sure she'll be thrilled. If your only response is hours of daily forum scanning and the stockpiling of ammo and canned goods she'll probably split. I was fortunate enough to have hooked up with the daughter of an Air Force cold warrior, so the paranoid survivalist mindset was second nature for her.

Remember that even a few tiny changes in your life will vastly increase your odds of survival during any crisis. (Having a fake canadian I.D. on hand in order to dodge the draft for example.) Those who relocate and make massive leveraged investments based on peak oil theory are rare even around here. Most of us do little more than adjust our lifestyles and find out who within our social network we can really trust when TSHTF.

Congratulations, just by understanding the problem you are miles ahead of 98% of your countrymen.
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"Everyone here is bribed not to kill each other." foodnotlawns
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rexxz
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Joined: Jun 27, 2006
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:22 pm    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

ah, thanks y'all. You know, I am trying to inform friends and family about this, but I have a very verrry bad presumption that my parents(and their siblings) will be very un-open to this reality. It's something I don't want, but what can I do about it?

Oh also, what do you recommend is the best way for someone straight out of highschool to begin their plans for this? Because, as soon as I get over there I will be working, but I won't be making an unbelievably high amount of money(more like bare minimum or something). Jeeeze, just trying to figure all of this out is making me go crazy.
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Fergus
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 2:04 pm    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

rexxz wrote:
ah, thanks y'all. You know, I am trying to inform friends and family about this, but I have a very verrry bad presumption that my parents(and their siblings) will be very un-open to this reality. It's something I don't want, but what can I do about it?

Oh also, what do you recommend is the best way for someone straight out of highschool to begin their plans for this? Because, as soon as I get over there I will be working, but I won't be making an unbelievably high amount of money(more like bare minimum or something). Jeeeze, just trying to figure all of this out is making me go crazy.


Rexxz. Been reading the thread as it developed. You are like many many who came before you. being rather new myself to PO, I read a lot and slowly came to two conclussions. Wether there right or wrong, I dunno, but I dont see a hard/fast crash, more a slow simmer till boil over. Things will happen pains-takingly slow and many pple wont even realize PO is upon them, they wont know why they cant get to work anymore cause they cant fill up there car. But I have been non-materilaistic my whole life. I have never accumulated many 'things' so walking away from it all would never be a big problem, the more materilaistic you are, the harder it will be for you in crunch time. Stay simple and you will find hard times aren't hard on you as they are on the Jones.

2nd thing I realized, without ever telling anyone anything, is you can not tell anyone about Peak Oil without getting crazy stares and pple walking away from you while your still talking. Untill pple start asking 'WTF is going on around here' theres no use in even trying. I put the 'lifeaftertheoilcrash' URL in my e-mail signature line thingy and when pple get around to it they will discover it on there own, or not. I aint gunna try to save anyone till there ready to be saved. My advise on this would be the same. Till someone asks about it, just smile and nod agreeingly as pple whine about there lot in life.

As I read your posts, I saw a lot of my self in your actions. I came here loaded with fear and dread not really sure if I wanted to find out the truth. While I have no idea if I know the truth (I find that all figures are condradicted somewhere and nobody knows how much oil we have in the ground). I have come to an agreement with myself. I just aint gunna worry about it no more. I will keep my eye on the situation and do what I can to make ready so I am not caught totally flat footed, I consider this time an advantage we have to prepare, though I am not sure I want to live through the worst of it, infact I dont think I will be around for the worst of it (getting to be an older guy now). Use the time to your advantage and go about life as you normally would. Things to consider at your age are long term planning, IRA's, 401K's, Buying a house (you may only get 1 shot at buying a house). Other things, dont sweat it as you cant do anything to change the course of human history. Otherwise live your life for the here and now with a distant eye always on the future. Dont bunker down and drop out of life. Till its all gone, the world is a decent place with many attractions and events to particpate in. Dont grow old before your time. Enjoy it while you still have the time to enjoy it, once the crash swings into full force, no more good times for anyone.
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rexxz
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 2:17 pm    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I don't want to invest much in the economical system here, I'll try to cut down on that as much as possible. What I WOULD like however, is to buy a house. That is something very important to me. I need to work out where I am going to buy one, how we can both work in the area that I DO buy one at, and then build my plans around that. It seems to be the wisest choice right now to decide a long term location to live, and to begin planning around that home as soon as possible.
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catbox
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 4:25 pm    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

If I may Chime in here for a few words.....I am down with what you are feeling. I started watching oil 3 years back and after about a year I started getting worried....I almost felt like Chicken Little! Once I would learn something new about PO or the price would go up, I would inform others. I was lucky to have been working with open minded folks at the time and they were willing to here my spiel, but there were also college kids working in our school that were like, "No way! Alternativ fuels will take care of everything!" Some were also pretty sure our government was going to make it all better if it gets bad enough.

Anyway, I simmered down after a bit and started to focus on what my little 3 person family could do at home to prepare for the onset of Peak Oil as well as any economic breakdown that would come with it. It took almost a year before we really got around to dumping the second car, expanding the garden to the point that we can actually harvest and can enough food this summer/fall to survive if need be also at the same time keeping our food costs down, upping our bicycle commuting (we were already avid cyclists thank goodness), put in rain barrels for watering purposes and have been utilizing our irrigation well too, and next will be taking down the skate ramp and recycling the wood and screws to build a fairly sizable green house. We can't afford solar at this point but maybe sooner than later.....that has been our year of prep and change.

It seems as if once we started to put our anxiety into action things got better mentally. I still go through times of anxiety over this...much having to do with the debt we have...and other ignorant humans continuing to go about business like nothings wrong. It's also hard being in the minority of folks who are aware and trying to do something. My own personal goal is to come out of my rather anti-social shell and meet other PO and Permaculture folks this year here in Eugene....this is the toughest one because even though we have the same worries and concerns...and goals...much of the crowed in Eugene's permaculture scene is rather hippy like....At 40, I've been a punk since I was 11 and hippies always bugged me! I know, grow up!
But that's the way I am and i'll have to change and become more community based!

I guess another thing for me as with others, where jobs are concerned...will my job be there? Our business is 80% internet sales (of snow/skate/surf related goods) and we depend on the shipping co's and postal service to get and deliver our goods. I often toy with going back into early childhood education but I left that from burnout. I do have the summer off to hang out with our daughter before kindergarten so I can watch things pretty closely before heading back to my position in the company. So many things!

So, I do understand where you are coming from and it's rough at first but as I said, turning that anxiety into action helped me a whole lot!
This board has helped too. I may not post as much as others but it does feel like a community here and I feel welcome. As someone also mentioned, having a partner who understands PO as well as what is going on in the world is an asset! I have that, it took a while but my wife knows there are hard times on the way.

Overall, I believe where I live is key...Eugene, Oregon. Many folks are progressive people here. Organic farming is part of the culture of this area as well. You can cycle anywhere, housing is still affordable.

Sorry about this being so much about us...but we were where you are today....!

Good luck!

catbox
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SeasonOfPain
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 6:21 pm    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Good replies all around.

If I were to offer a single piece of advice, it would be "stay flexible."

There is no surety whatsoever how this is going to shake out. If you keep looking for "The Sign" you're going to drive yourself nuts. I can't count the number of times I thought "this is it, now the excrement will hit the turbine," and found that the system stretched even further.

There's absolutely no doubt in my mind that a massive economic depression is coming (which may make the actual problem of oil supply a moot point). It will not get better; it will get steadily worse.

To survive through this, you need to be quick on your feet, and not indebted, either monetarily or emotionally to a specific outcome.

Try to get yourself in a situation where you could roll with either a sudden catastrophe (note that there will be lots of local catastrophes as the infrastructure falls apart... think of New Orleans) or a slow spiral of economic hardship (a more classic Great Depression scenario).

It's also okay to occasionally stop and enjoy this lifestyle before it's gone. Stop and recharge. This is best done with a feeling of detachment, of enjoying the moment, rather than becoming attached to what's around you (and trying to preserve it). The less attachment you have to things that cannot last, the less overwhelmed you will be.
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rexxz
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 7:15 pm    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Oh, thank you all for the advice and warm words. I'll take each thing said into consideration! HOwever, what seems to be tourbling me more than anything else about this, is exactly how long it will take for me to even be able to do anything about it. In a month or so, I will be moving to Houston. There I will look for a job. I had originally planned to go to school for audio engineering, now I am thinking it won't be that great of an idea. It's a shame too because that is what I do, it's my life.

I talked to my girlfriend briefly today and she says that her father owns some land in Illinois, and that he has lived on farms his whole life. I am thinking of possibly moving up there, and seeing what we can do. I have absolutely zero idea on how to run an agricultural lifestyle, really. I need to learn as much as I can about doing things like growing my own food, having some live stock, and such.

Also on the subject of buying a house... I have no money! As pathetic as it sounds, I am absolutely clueless on how I would go about even purchasing one, I'm not very practical when it comes to money; I don't know much about it. I know how to spend it, and conserve it but that's about it.

I have hope for good things, and I am constantly thinking on ways to make our future better. But my main issue is; Will I be able to?
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Wednesday
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 7:33 pm    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I was born and raised in Houston. I do not believe that the Houston I know will survive the effects of Peak Oil.

I'd find a safer place to live. Marry your sweetheart and live a simple and happy life in a safer place. I've been slowly convincing my family to move back to central Texas where our mother was raised.
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rexxz
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 7:37 pm    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Ah yeah, the move there will be temporary. I am only going there because she has a stable job there, and I WAS going to go to college there. But now, looks like that ain't happenin'. I desperately need to find somewhere else to relocate.
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catbox
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2006 8:11 pm    Post subject: Re: Getting quite frightened... Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Maybe these can be of help in the connection dept. up in Houston?
I am not sure that you will find anything, but maybe some networking
could take place for you.

http://www.relocalize.net/
http://houstonpeakoil.org/

As a music nut and novice recording engineer, I was thinking about doing the audio thing back in the day and decided to get into an early childhood education program. My friend went for the horticulture degree and uses it... and will use it in the future for sure, now I wish I would have done the same.

catbox
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