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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonMobil
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Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonMobil
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thethief
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 8:58 pm    Post subject: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonMobil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

http://ccbn.mobular.net/ccbn/7/1532/1692/

Page 11.

If you look on the pages preceding it's also very interesting. They predict 60% of our energy will come from oil and gas in 2030.

Why would XOM delude themselves or lie when it comes to oil? They have EVERYTHING to lose.
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rwwff
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 9:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

thethief wrote:
Why would XOM delude themselves or lie when it comes to oil? They have EVERYTHING to lose.


The purpose of the document is not about 2030, its about next weeks' share price. Its purpose is to make people feel confident about buying ExxonMobile for long term holding. If people thought that oil was running out, they would be hesitant about holding XOM; which, to be blunt, makes it hard for management to turn options into dollars.
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thethief
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 9:52 pm    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I'm supposed to believe a bunch of clandestine conspiracy theorists over people that have hundreds of trillions of dollars at stake? Give me a break.
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MonteQuest
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 10:02 pm    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

How about Chevron then? From their ad:

“It took us 125 years to use the first trillion barrels of oil. We’ll use the next trillion in 30.”
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MonteQuest
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 10:07 pm    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

thethief wrote:
They predict 60% of our energy will come from oil and gas in 2030.


63% of our primary energy comes from oil and natural gas today.

Guess they figure we aren't going to develop any alternative energies that will make much of a difference. Rolling Eyes

They hope there is just more oil to be had.

ExxonMobil wrote:
Wind and solar energy growth will likely average about 11 percent per year, driven by subsidies and related
mandates. Even with this strong projected growth, their
share of total energy in 2030 will be only about 1 percent.

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Last edited by MonteQuest on Fri Jun 30, 2006 10:33 pm; edited 1 time in total
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ashurbanipal
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 10:11 pm    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Why would Exxon/ Mobile delude themselves and others when it comes to oil? I think you answered your own question (and in fact this is how I originally thought you meant it):

They have everything to lose.

Suppose you have something of great value and you know that soon it will be gone. Wouldn't it be very human to delude yourself about it? Don't most people subconsciously believe that they will live forever?
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greenworm
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 10:14 pm    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
If people thought that oil was running out, they would be hesitant about holding XOM


Why would anyone hold this stock, it's a dog. The shareholders in the last couple of months want answers, cause they see the fat bloated corporate pig Lee Raymonds making off with billions while this hopeless stock barely moved despite the windfall profits. Laughing

I wonder how long shock and awe, terror, hurricanes, more terror, Iranian bombs, etc. etc. can support this bloated price of a commodity?
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MonteQuest
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 10:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

And if you read page 11, you see that they state the inflated USGS "paper barrels" of 3.2 trillion, while ASPO and other geologists think it is closer to 2 trillion.

They also add in the tar sands and oil shale which cannot be compared to conventional oil in price, quality, scalability or production.

And the bottom line here is at what cost?

Peak oil is about the cost of energy, not so much it's availability.
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rwwff
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 10:20 pm    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

greenworm wrote:
I wonder how long shock and awe, terror, hurricanes, more terror, Iranian bombs, etc. etc. can support this bloated price of a commodity?


Long enough for the Chinese and Indians to get in the game and ramp up demand to the point that the price can be sustained till the end of time.

You don't think any of George Bush's friends get quarterly royalty checks from oil and gas leases in Texas?
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MonteQuest
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 10:38 pm    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

They are betting on the come.

Exxon Mobil wrote:
Fossil fuels will continue to provide the majority of energy
through 2030. These are the only fuels with the scale and
flexibility to meet the bulk of our global needs over the
next 25 years...Growth in oil demand will be driven by increasing transportation
needs, especially in developing countries. Oil is uniquely suited
to transport needs; there is no practical alternative to oil on a
global scale in the near term.


They easily make the doomer , "no techno-fix" case and explain the war in Iraq.
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Zardoz
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 30, 2006 11:00 pm    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

rwwff wrote:
The purpose of the document is not about 2030, its about next weeks' share price. Its purpose is to make people feel confident about buying ExxonMobil for long term holding. If people thought that oil was running out, they would be hesitant about holding XOM; which, to be blunt, makes it hard for management to turn options into dollars.


Amen, brother. Nice, concise summation of what it's all about. What we have here is a handful of guys concerned solely about their personal fortunes and absolutely nothing else. They're directing the company's PR department to spout this crap purely to support the value of their portfolios.
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Concerned
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 12:03 am    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

thethief wrote:
I'm supposed to believe a bunch of clandestine conspiracy theorists over people that have hundreds of trillions of dollars at stake? Give me a break.


Wasn't Ken Lay and the gang at Enron talking up the stock while the company was crashing.

Yes they have alot of money invested and they need to get it OUT before the saps (you and me) are left with an IOU and no assett backing.
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SILENTTODD
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 1:41 am    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

OH BOY!

When do they start selling the 24cent a gallon gas again? (what I actually paid in 1972) I want to be the first in line!
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SoothSayer
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 2:48 am    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Ok TheThief, what's your background?

Your only 2 posts in this forum seem to be pushing XOM and disparaging Peak Oil.

Do you have shares in XOM?

Are you simply looking for "good news" so you can get back to your SUV, family, career and pension plan?

(And, yes, you are right there seem to be many Conspiracy Theorists here .... don't know why. It drives me nuts too ... BUT ... the other interests of the forum members does NOT mean that Peak Oil is a fallacy ... sorry about that)
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americandream
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 6:02 am    Post subject: Re: Only 20-25% of oil has been consumed according to ExxonM Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Keep takin em pills
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