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Peakoil.com :: View topic - US ready to face full supply cut by Iran
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US ready to face full supply cut by Iran
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KevO
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 10:56 am    Post subject: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Shock

Reuters
Washington: US and world emergency crude reserves could replace a complete shut-off of Iranian oil exports for 18 months, ( Shocked )
There has been concern among energy traders that tough action by the US and other western countries against Iran's nuclear programme could cause Tehran to retaliate by cutting off the country's oil exports.
Such a disruption would remove close to 1.5 billion barrels of crude from the market over an 18-month period, according to the GAO, the investigative arm of the US Congress.

The United States does not directly import oil from Iran, but a shut-off of Iranian oil exports would force countries that do buy Iranian oil to compete with the United States for crude supplies from other producing nations.

"Removing this (Iranian) oil from the market would raise prices everywhere, thus impacting the US economy," the GAO said in its new report on how the US emergency oil stockpile should be operated"
..................................................

No crap Sherlock

FULL ARTICLE HERE

.
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Dreamtwister
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 11:18 am    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

And again, they conveniently forget to mention the ~17 million barrels that float within a stone's throw of Iran every day.
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Gideon
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 11:23 am    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

88

Last edited by Gideon on Sun May 13, 2007 7:41 am; edited 1 time in total
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Dreamtwister
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 11:41 am    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Gideon wrote:
If oil was 500 a barrel, making gas about 25 bucks a gallon, wouldn't the military still buy it?


No, they would take it.

Oh, wait...
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rwwff
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 11:49 am    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

18 months.. interesting.

Start in Feb 07... during an absolutely paralyzed 50/50 congress, ending in August 08; just in time for a euphoric surge over final victory in the middle east. Or alternately, in a battle for our very existence, with the military industrial whosamacallit complex front and center till right before the elections inorder to insure adequate funding for yet another two years.

Rational people.. maybe not.

PNAC ???
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JPL
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 4:46 pm    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

rwwff wrote:
18 months.. interesting.

Start in Feb 07... during an absolutely paralyzed 50/50 congress, ending in August 08; just in time for a euphoric surge over final victory in the middle east. Or alternately, in a battle for our very existence, with the military industrial whosamacallit complex front and center till right before the elections inorder to insure adequate funding for yet another two years.

Rational people.. maybe not.

PNAC ???


So where does that leave "Old Europe"?

Just thought I'd ask that, seeing as I live there...

JPL
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IanC
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 5:39 pm    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Lord help us all.

The PR campaign for the next Gulf War is in full swing. Didn't the Repugs say "You never roll out a new product in August" right before the last war started in the Fall?

Clearly, they are trying to allay any fears about a war with Iran. Expect Iranian expatriates to be trotted-out soon talking about how repressive the regime is and how desperately they need to be overthrown by a benign power. Then comes really rosy news about Iraq so they can justify redeploying troops to Iran.

Eventually, we'll unleash the two entire branches of our military who haven't had their share of wartime promotions and ridiculous wartime spending on another 3rd world country.

Get ready people. Let's try pre-emptive peace.

-IanC
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rwwff
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 5:49 pm    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

JPL wrote:
So where does that leave "Old Europe"?
Just thought I'd ask that, seeing as I live there...
JPL


As far as I can tell, the people with their finger on the trigger think you guys are a bunch of lame backstabbers.

The only guys with loyalty points have North Sea crude for a little while longer....

Maybe we should send lilies?

Perhaps a stocking of some basic Beaujolais table wines might be appropriate for me.
Sad
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Denny
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 6:04 pm    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I'd just love to know how many oil company shares the Bush clan, Cheney, Rumsfeld and even Condoleezza Rice possess. They have managed to zero out Iraqi oil production for all intents and purposes and now they are working on turning off Iran too.

You don't have to be an economics whiz to realize how good this situation can be for the oil companies.
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rwwff
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 6:08 pm    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Denny wrote:
I'd just love to know how many oil company shares the Bush clan, Cheney, Rumsfeld and even Condoleezza Rice possess. They have managed to zero out Iraqi oil production for all intents and purposes and now they are working on turning off Iran too.

You don't have to be an economics whiz to realize how good this situation can be for the oil companies.


Vast mineral wealth down here is held in private hands. Forget the company stocks, start looking up "mineral rights". Those things are dang hard to trace too.
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Denny
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 7:52 pm    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Oh yeah, I forgot another thing, This Bush regime thinks its all good to leave the strategic petroleum reservce depleted. No plan to refill it in the next few months.

Sounds like a plan to me. A plan to assist the oil price to skyrocket at the most opportune moment.


Last edited by Denny on Fri Oct 06, 2006 7:58 pm; edited 1 time in total
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rwwff
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 7:55 pm    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

There used to be a very impolite song...

"We're in the money..."

"We're in the money..."

da da da.....
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GoIllini
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 10:05 pm    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Denny wrote:
I'd just love to know how many oil company shares the Bush clan, Cheney, Rumsfeld and even Condoleezza Rice possess. They have managed to zero out Iraqi oil production for all intents and purposes and now they are working on turning off Iran too.

You don't have to be an economics whiz to realize how good this situation can be for the oil companies.


For your typical guy with a 140 IQ, the war in Iraq is good for the oil companies.

But in reality, it could be hurting them more than it's helping. It's letting countries like Venezuela and Russia renegotiate contracts. Normally, this would provoke CIA or military intervention, but these countries can get away with it, now.

Chevron and Conoco investors are on pins and needles worrying about what Chavez might do to their oil holdings in Venezuela.
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Colorado-Valley
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 07, 2006 12:36 am    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

And I believe that Venezuela has some kind of common defense pact with both Iran and Syria.

They might decide it's a good time to help China fill its new SPR rather than sell oil to the U.S.

So the U.S. SPR gets drained, China's get filled ...

Another great move by the Neocons ...
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AgentR
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 07, 2006 8:56 am    Post subject: Re: US ready to face full supply cut by Iran Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Colorado-Valley wrote:
They might decide it's a good time to help China fill its new SPR rather than sell oil to the U.S.
So the U.S. SPR gets drained, China's get filled ...
Another great move by the Neocons ...


1.) ours is not drained. Its not full, but it is much more full, than not full.
2.) It'd be silly to be filling both at the same time, as that would drive up prices before an election.
3.) The US has actively encouraged ALL importing countries to build SPR's as big as they can, and fill them as quickly as they reasonably can.

The more SPR's there are out in the world, the less power the middle east/Islamic Empire to be, has to dictate policy.
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