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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Doomer or PowerDowner?
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Doomer or PowerDowner?
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I am a....
Doomer
22%
 22%  [ 27 ]
PowerDowner
23%
 23%  [ 28 ]
Cornucopian
1%
 1%  [ 2 ]
In between Doomer and Powerdowner
41%
 41%  [ 49 ]
In between Powerdowner and Cornucopian
8%
 8%  [ 10 ]
'huh, what?' / none of the above
1%
 1%  [ 2 ]
Total Votes : 118

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Bas
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 5:14 am    Post subject: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Thought it would be intersting to find the ratio between doomers powerdowners on this forum.

Let's say that a:

Doomer = somebody who believes in the almost total collapse of societies, countries with massive die-offs around the world, resource wars the size of a World War, with nukes. Basically armageddon.

PowerDowner = Somebody who thinks that we will face prolonged econonomic depression, some resource wars but contained, some die-off but mainly in third world countries. Societies and countries will remain mostly intact, biofuels and sustainable energy will play a role in a new economic equilibrium.

Cornucopian = Does not believe in the end of abundant oil/thinks technology will save the day.
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Last edited by Bas on Fri Feb 02, 2007 10:52 am; edited 1 time in total
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davep
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 5:18 am    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I'm choosing the Doomer / Powerdowner combo, but I guess both will occur to a greater or lesser extent depending on geography.

I don't think that you need to believe that nukes will be let loose to be considered a doomer. This depends more on who has access to the nukes, and is not a direct result of PO.
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Bas
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 5:25 am    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

davep wrote:
I'm choosing the Doomer / Powerdowner combo, but I guess both will occur to a greater or lesser extent depending on geography.


People that know me know that I'm stubbornly powerdowner, some even despise me for it, but it won't change, you have to have something to believe in even if you don't know if that's how things will go.
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NeoPeasant
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 8:39 am    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Thanks for making the distinction between doomer and power-downer. To a cornucopian, any future other than one permitting a life of high consumption and universal automobility is doom, and anyone predicting such a future is a doomer.
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Bas
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 11:51 am    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

interesting results so far, I thought the people here were more doomer than that...maybe they just shout more eusa_think
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undertaker
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 1:38 pm    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I'm making a speech next weekend advocating powerdown. Not sure the reception I'll et, or more importantly, if people will actually act on what I say. I will lay out what they can do, and I have discovered and cultivated a lot of local resources (mostly farmers and farm related industries that are approachable).

If I don't get good results, count me in as a strict doomer.
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Bas
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 1:56 pm    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

undertaker wrote:

If I don't get good results, count me in as a strict doomer.


Says the undertaker, L laughing6 L
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turmoil
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 2:05 pm    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Just drive less, and eat less meat...it's not that hard for people to do and when prices get high, people will do that anyway.

So much energy is wasted and I have no doubt that when people become aware of this, we will all be powerdowners by 2020, if not sooner.

What's the difference between a powerdowner and an environmentalist? Historical baggage?
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 4:04 pm    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Bas wrote:

PowerDowner = Somebody who thinks that we will face prolonged econonomic depression, some resource wars but contained, some die-off but mainly in third world countries. Societies and countries will remain mostly intact, biofuels and sustainable energy will play a role in a new economic equilibrium.



Not even close. A PowerDowner believes we must downscale every aspect of our lives, restrict per capita consumption, and reduce the population from it's current level. We should develop sustainable energies that do not exceed the earth's capacity to prodcue or absorb.
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Tanada
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 5:34 pm    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

MonteQuest wrote:
Bas wrote:

PowerDowner = Somebody who thinks that we will face prolonged econonomic depression, some resource wars but contained, some die-off but mainly in third world countries. Societies and countries will remain mostly intact, biofuels and sustainable energy will play a role in a new economic equilibrium.



Not even close. A PowerDowner believes we must downscale every aspect of our lives, restrict per capita consumption, and reduce the population from it's current level. We should develop sustainable energies that do not exceed the earth's capacity to prodcue or absorb.


Hmm, Monty, his version is a lot closer to what I mean when I say powerdowner than your is. Perhaps you can do a seperate poll with your defenitions? Might be instructive.
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MonteQuest
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 6:25 pm    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Tanada wrote:
Hmm, Monty, his version is a lot closer to what I mean when I say powerdowner than your is. Perhaps you can do a seperate poll with your defenitions? Might be instructive.


Well, Richard Heinberg is know for his stand on Powerdown.

Heinberg wrote:
Powerdown — The path of cooperation, conservation, and sharing. The only realistic alternative to resource competition is a strategy that will require tremendous effort and
economic sacrifice in order to reduce per-capita resource
usage in wealthy countries, develop alternative energy
sources, distribute resources more equitably, and humanely
but systematically reduce the size of the human population
over time.


This is what a powerdown means, regardless of what others might say it is.
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EnergySpin
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 6:31 pm    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

There are a few other distinctions that have to be made ...
For example how would you classify Amory Lovins Bas?
He clearly believes that the amount of energy we use has to come down, but the services we get from energy do not have to.
I for example believe that the amount of services enjoyed, can in fact increase to a great extent by technological innovations/evolution/adoption of existing stuff in a grand scale but do see the reduction in energy consumption per capita as inevitable (and even desirable considering GCC).
I guess I have tovote for something between a cornocupian and a powerdowner
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Bas
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 6:32 pm    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

MonteQuest wrote:
Bas wrote:

PowerDowner = Somebody who thinks that we will face prolonged econonomic depression, some resource wars but contained, some die-off but mainly in third world countries. Societies and countries will remain mostly intact, biofuels and sustainable energy will play a role in a new economic equilibrium.



Not even close. A PowerDowner believes we must downscale every aspect of our lives, restrict per capita consumption, and reduce the population from it's current level. We should develop sustainable energies that do not exceed the earth's capacity to prodcue or absorb.


it's purely a question of interpretion and my definitions will do fine for this poll, thank you.
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Grifter
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 7:20 pm    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Bas wrote:
MonteQuest wrote:
Bas wrote:

PowerDowner = Somebody who thinks that we will face prolonged econonomic depression, some resource wars but contained, some die-off but mainly in third world countries. Societies and countries will remain mostly intact, biofuels and sustainable energy will play a role in a new economic equilibrium.



Not even close. A PowerDowner believes we must downscale every aspect of our lives, restrict per capita consumption, and reduce the population from it's current level. We should develop sustainable energies that do not exceed the earth's capacity to prodcue or absorb.


it's purely a question of interpretion and my definitions will do fine for this poll, thank you.


I prefer your interpetation because it it made me not a doomer. If I use monte's then I'm back to doomer. Bummer.

I chose between doomer and powerdowner btw.
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 7:42 pm    Post subject: Re: Doomer or PowerDowner? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

None of us neatly slot into a single category of peaknic, or even somewhere between two different categories.

Does powerdowner necessarily mean believing in a dieoff, or is that more doomer? Does believing in possible mitigation of disruptions through powerdown mean purely powerdowner, or does any belief in a relatively smooth transition make one a cornicopian? Does believing in a continuing role of technology in our future necessarily mean cornicopian, or is that part powerdowner?

These definitions that we use are useless. We are all a little bit of everything, it’s just a question of how much percentage of each.


I’ve been told that I’m a cornucopian simply because I believe that future technologies will be of huge importance in shaping the future. I believe in a high-tech future. But I also think we are headed for some difficult times which we will only be able to get through with powerdown ideals. So I guess I’m also somewhere in between powerdownder and cornucopian. Yet most doomers would easily consider me a cornucopian. Likewise, I would consider some people’s ideas of a powerdown to be far more doomer then powerdown. But then I also think that in the long run, advanced technology is our only hope, which makes me part doomer.
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