Joined: Jun 18, 2004 Posts: 715 Location: Western North Carolina
Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 7:46 am Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
Yes, a cynic I am. Dyed in the wool.
But that doesn't mean I'm not living the change I want to see. I've already done a great deal, though there is much, much more to be done.
Pops, a long time member here, has been an inspiration for me (in terms of his response to PO) and inspired me through his action to take like actions. That has been a great thing for me and my family in many ways.
Pops, I owe you a beer and some fresh produce if you're ever in my neck o' the woods.
Hopefully, my "actions speaking louder than my words" will influence others that I know. Undoubtedly, there are a lot of Americans who have a vested economic interest in the status quo. Like Upton Sinclair wrote about people not being able to understand something if their salary depends upon them not understanding it.
I've stopped talking about it, with the exception of this echo chamber, err forum, and now focus on action.
I think PO will become an issue for the mainstream only when its effects are "slapping them in the face" and can't be denied despite the lunatic ravings of the pundits on TV telling us that only wackos believe that oil is finite (even Alex Jones says that).
By that time it may be too late to mitigate the worst effects. Many PO scholars tend to align with that POV. Its easy for someone as deeply cynical as myself to see why.
So, I answer questions when asked, help when requested, and let my family/friends continue living their lives as they see fit. They're either going to come around or they won't. Some posters have gone so far as to say they see them (the uniformed/unaware) as "walking dead people". Perhaps they're even more cynical than myself?
My evangelical zeal to spread the word a few years ago only served to alienate and not enlighten in about 95% of the cases. To entrench the denial response in those people.
Sage advice has been give in this thread, and I for one appreciate it.
PO is the "forbidden zone" in familial and friendly discussions nowadays in my world, unless someone goes there first and asks for my opinion.
I'll leave it to the more convincing and charismatic types to spread the PO message and continue being the change I want to see.
Hope I didn't offend you Omnitir, for that was not my intent.
Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 7:52 am Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
Ebyss wrote:
I thought the same thing, but then I found out about Global Dimming . As soon as we stop pumping oil into the atmosphere, the globe will heat up real fast.
Catch 22. It's a no-win situation. I can't see a way out. That's what scares me.
I have been aware of this problem too. It don't make me more scared than anyother of the huge problems we have created for our selfs. I have faith that we are going to survive but I also think it's not going to be easy and second of all I probably not gonna make it anyway so for that I'm not scared. Some places on the earth will be livable through the caos that's coming, and those people at these places will carry on our blood.
I have no idea how it's gonna fold out but I have faith that we are gonna make it, this just can't be it but maybe it is. _________________ I Love This Planet, I Don't Want To Kill It Anymore!
Man Belongs To The Earth * Earth Do Not Belong to Man
Joined: Apr 03, 2004 Posts: 6375 Location: My Grandkids' Farm
Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 9:52 am Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
Thanks Roy, you may be a cynic but you are a kind one. :>)
I too have been inspired and tutored by many here, not only those who are taking similar paths to ours but also the many others who are taking different actions.
The world is not a homogenous place and people aren't the same either – appropriate technology to urban gardens to suburban villages to small towns to intentional communities to pre-emptive primitivism all will play a role in the transition to come.
I agree with Roy's point that out walking the walk will prove to be much more important than merely talking the talk. _________________ Make a plan and work it:
Joined: Mar 12, 2007 Posts: 890 Location: As close as I can get to the beginning of the pipe.
Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 1:34 pm Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
I want to go back to something UFC said that presents the paradox of major change.
UFCjunkie wrote:
Oil is power! To make a difference we have to change the way we are living and that means cuting down our use of oil. That will lead to disarming and become more vulnerable. This will only make other contrys take advantage of the situation and take control of the remaining oil and with that have more power.
I believe that this has to go all the way, no one will let go until its over, at least thats what I think. So the only thing we can do to make things better is getting in our cars and drive, drive, drive and drive. Or do you have an plane, fly! Anything to get rid of the oil as fast as possible. I believe as long there is oil this will continue, the people who runs the world have been PO aware for decades and the aint going to change there minds now.
I'm not sure I'm ready to just get in my Abbey cadillac and drive off into the sunset at the end of the earth (where's seldom?) just yet. Nor am I ready to head to the bush with my dog sled and my cabin. But UFC is absolutely right, that giving up the old ways too soon will not help us transition to new ones.
The paradox of maximum power is that surviving designs of nature and man maximize energy (emergy) on every scale. So tossing education, wisdom, connections, and skills to go be a hermit in a cabin does not help the transition at all. The paradox is the need to straddle both cultures, and to be a universal citizen for a while. Or maybe longer than a while. My brain is not particularly fond of paradoxes, so I try to think of it as slow movement out of one culture and into another, with a lot of dancing back and forth in the short term. The universal citizen is a concept used in the culture of AK natives up here. The most successful model for AK natives appears to be one where the individual moves fluidly back and forth between native culture in the bush and the dominant culture found in Anchorage and beyond. Not everyone can do that, though.
Posted: Thu Apr 26, 2007 12:50 pm Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
I think this article sums up the current shepple consensus about changing habits, link here
Quote:
A local Board of Architectural Review refused to issue the Saracheks a permit for the solar apparatus, having received a letter from at least 15 neighbors -- among them doctors, lawyers and other presumably well-educated people -- arguing that the panels "would clearly be an eyesore in our lovely Quaker Ridge neighborhood."
What a coincidence. I just posted over there attempting to convince largesarge that his hope in oil sands and tar sands is ill-founded. I don't expect much results at all, but I have this compulsion to try at least once.
I've told enough people about the predicament we're in, and 99.99% of them don't buy it. I tried with some a few times, but if they're not going to care about their own future, I'm not either. This summer I hope to drag my little family kicking and screaming to a place surrounded by farms with a dozen or so acres. After I do that, I'm not bothering telling people any more. They don't want to listen and I'm sick of explaining things logically with evidence and being ignored. If they can't adapt and change, then Darwin says they must go anyway. That's natural selection at it's finest.
Let them go. We'll have to put a generic entry at darwinawards.com for all the people that were told and did nothing. _________________ Joe P. United Political Debate
"Only when the last tree is cut; only when the last river is polluted; only when the last fish is caught; only then will they realize that you cannot eat money." - Cree Indian Proverb
Posted: Fri Apr 27, 2007 6:31 am Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
I have been in the depths of despair about people and the fact that nobody wants to hear anything I have to say about peak oil or anything else for that matter. They prefer to ridicule me and my puny efforts. I feel it's better to do something than sit around and wait for the end of the world. They laughed at Noah. The flood is coming. I can hear the roar now.
Joined: Mar 18, 2006 Posts: 1149 Location: Last outpost of Civilisation
Posted: Fri Apr 27, 2007 6:18 pm Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
Revi wrote:
I have been in the depths of despair about people and the fact that nobody wants to hear anything I have to say about peak oil or anything else for that matter. They prefer to ridicule me and my puny efforts. I feel it's better to do something than sit around and wait for the end of the world. They laughed at Noah. The flood is coming. I can hear the roar now.
Hi Revi
To confess: I spent a couple of late-night hours on this forum at the beginning of this week, and then got so depressed I went down to the kitchen and drained half a bottle of brandy. My wife found this heap on the floor the next morning and then (after several coaxings and coffees) got a long spiel about 'how no-one is listening to us'. (my wife is very tolerent). Then she started smoking again (oops) and we finally ended the day planting out tomatoes and trying to figure out how much wood we needed for next winter.
Sigh, I don't know what the answer is either, this issue of 'talking into a vaccum' is really getting me down as well. But I DO believe things (in some way) will change soon. Just got to hang in there, I guess...
JPL _________________ The three most beautiful things in the world -
a full-rigged ship, a woman with child and a full moon.
Posted: Sun Apr 29, 2007 7:00 am Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
It's never useless informing your family, friends and loved ones about what is going to happen, even if they do think you are alittle crazy for it.
What I tend to do is give each person a full explanation, just the once when I think they are in a receptive frame of mind. That way, I figure once TSHTF or at least begins to, they will at least know what's starting to happen and may come to me for help.
Just don't go telling everyone at work or at the bar/pub about your plans and fears, because they also may show up at your door step sometime
Posted: Sun Apr 29, 2007 4:19 pm Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
Merci, JPL. I talk to my wife and she feels that we just have to keep on keeping on. Maybe the way we live will influence others. We are getting next year's wood together and getting ready for what's coming. I think we'll make it through with the help of our friends. Hope springs eternal. It's nice to see spring happening!
Joined: Dec 18, 2004 Posts: 4144 Location: One Mile From the Columbia River
Posted: Sun Apr 29, 2007 7:22 pm Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
Peak Oil - That brings guffaws and chortles from family members - notwithstanding the fact that they have about 10 minutes of reading and research on the issue under their belts.
Revi, we never learn, do we.
Just when I think I'm done wasting my time trying to awaken people to peak oil, I go and open my big fat mouth one more time. It happened just this afternoon. Someone at my local temple mentioned that another temple has a very small parking lot requiring people to park far away for special events and this may be due to their poor planning.
Well, I suggested that due to reduced oil and gasoline availability we may soon experience increasing prices thereby reducing driving, therefore maybe it wasn't such poor planning after all. One person said, 'what do you mean?' I said, well, as we know, everything is impermanent and that includes oil and therefore gasoline. Oil's getting scarcer, you know, it's running out. Soon it'll be too costly for casual personal trips (or words to that effect). As he started nodding his head and grinning around to the others, I knew I had screwed up again by blurting out a mention of oil depletion.
I should have kept my mouth shut. Not a single person in the group have a clue. Plus, this was a group of really nice and kind people, friends of mine who may now, because of that one series of comments about peak oil, be questioning my ability to organize rational thoughts.
Darn it. _________________ Everything is Impermanent. Shakyamuni Buddha
Joined: Sep 16, 2004 Posts: 4280 Location: Southwest WI
Posted: Sun Apr 29, 2007 9:14 pm Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
Today i sat with a bunch of family members and listened to their annoyances with current gas prices. I think one of my brothers almost is there, although he is still delusional about the future. The rest of them are downright clueless. I speak not a whisper. I'd much rather listen and see if i can see any rays of hope. What it comes down to is a bunch of complaining with no hope of any of us changing the situation...its just too bad they couldn't prepare themselves a little better for the coming "change". _________________ "Oil is going up because we use too much oil, and the capacity to replace reserves is dwindling"
-President Bush 11/07/07
Posted: Sun Apr 29, 2007 9:55 pm Post subject: Re: No use trying to spread the word now
Omnitir wrote:
I mean, what would be the effect if PO was in the public consciousness? It wouldn't matter if some groups refute it, because in this scenario the majority of people are aware of hydrocarbon depletion issues and are concerned enough to make noise about it.
This would mean that efforts for change would be made. Many people would conserve, maybe changing their SUV's for small cars, or even just small things like using more efficient light bulbs etc. (apparently if every US household changed just one regular light bulb to a fluorescent one, it would be the equivalent of taking 1 million cars off the road!).
I've seen several criticisms of economists on the forums, but I think in this respect they have things right. No way will having PO be in the mainstream have a permanent affect on people. People respond to incentives. When gas was high in the 70s, there was an incentive to look for solar and other solutions. Even now if you go to a research library to find solar references, a huge number date from that period.
Gas is getting more expensive right now. We can thank politics, natural resource limits, weather problems, etc. But if shale turns out to be as good as it might be... Or if new oil is discovered somewhere...
Now we all know that when all is said and done that oil is a limited resource. But technologies and discoveries could very conceivably push prices back down for another 2 or 3 decades. It's been just 3 decades since the 70s when people were likewise projecting TEOTWAWKI and for 30 years they were wrong. Gas fell to its cheapest inflation-adjusted price ever. And people respond to incentives, and they bought big cars and lived it up.
If oil falls in price, PO will leave the mainstream again. The economists know this, and on that mark they are dead on. If oil stays expensive then we all respond to the incentive. Is it is enough, fast enough? No one knows. Perhaps not, and we face some tough times ahead.
Which is the future, I know not. I do know it is fun to be scared. It is dramatic. It makes us feel better than our peers. We all like to feel better and smarter than our peers.
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