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Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe
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Vortex
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 06, 2007 1:29 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Here is a link to a site which has a lot of information regarding climate, soil and vegetation in Sweden.

http://www-markinfo.slu.se/eng/index.html

The statistic data is from 1961-1990. Not really up to date, but it will give a general background despite the climate changes that have occured after 1990.
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Bas
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 06, 2007 2:42 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Vortex wrote:
Here is a link to a site which has a lot of information regarding climate, soil and vegetation in Sweden.

http://www-markinfo.slu.se/eng/index.html

The statistic data is from 1961-1990. Not really up to date, but it will give a general background despite the climate changes that have occured after 1990.


thanks for the link, could you tell me what crops are commonly grown in your area?
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evilgenius
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 06, 2007 4:00 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I just came from Southern France. I met a fellow that complained about there being too many trees. He said that a generation ago there weren't so many trees because there were more people working the land. He said that so many people had gone to the cities that now a lot of once worked land has trees on it for the first time in generational memory. After he said that I looked around at the land. You can see the tell tale signs of disused terraces here and there. You do see old uninhabited buildings.

It is a rich land. It doesn't get too cold in winter. It does get hot in summer. There are scorpions and a few different kinds of snakes. Local property control can be a pain in the ass but I don't think as bad as say, England. Water is abundant. Trains run most places. Everybody did, however, say that the French are extremely hard to get along with. The French bureaucracy is a nightmare.
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 07, 2007 4:30 am    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

evilgenius wrote:
Everybody did, however, say that the French are extremely hard to get along with. The French bureaucracy is a nightmare.


If you make sure you learn the lingo, you should get along fine. Your best bet is to find a lover who only speaks French. It worked for me Cool
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Vortex
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 07, 2007 1:47 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Bas wrote:

thanks for the link, could you tell me what crops are commonly grown in your area?


Here is a link where you can see the climate zones in Sweden. I live in zone 4. The site is in Swedish only which is unfortunate since it provides a lot of valuable information about crops and spices to grow (and flowers for decoration also).

http://www.odla.nu/metoder/zoner.shtml

Where I live, people usually grow the following without a greenhouse but in a sunny location:

Potatoes. The most important crop.
Jerusalem Artichoke. Easy to grow, hard to get rid off once planted.
Cauliflower. Difficult to grow, easily attacked by bugs.
Cabbage.
Garlic
Tomatoes. Near a wall that reflects sunlight/heat.
Lettuce
Swedish turnip. Can be grown even in zone 7!
Carrot
Radish
Gooseberry
Rhuharb. Demands a lot of fertilizing though.
Sunflower. One of my neighbours grows this one for the seeds. Like the tomatoes, this one prefer being planted near a wall to gain maximum heat and protection from winds.
Red and blackcurrant. Very nice for making juice and mixing with vodka. Possible to make tea from the leaves.
Raspberry. Very nice jam if mixed with bluberries.
Strawberry
Apples
Cherries

In the forests, lingonberries and blueberries are usually plenty so no one here have these in their gardens. This year, I collected a lot of lingonberries. I have a "secret" place where it is possible to collect more than 10 kg in less than 45 minutes.

With a greenhouse, it is of course possible to grow even more exotic stuff. I have thought about making some sort of coil with circulating warm water beneath a rised planting bed. The warm water comes from a solar panel/collector. Perhaps it will be too hot for the plants, but it should be a good thing to have in the early winter, spring, if you want to plant something very early and prolong the season.
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Bas
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 07, 2007 2:10 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Vortex wrote:
Bas wrote:

thanks for the link, could you tell me what crops are commonly grown in your area?


Here is a link where you can see the climate zones in Sweden. I live in zone 4. The site is in Swedish only which is unfortunate since it provides a lot of valuable information about crops and spices to grow (and flowers for decoration also).

http://www.odla.nu/metoder/zoner.shtml

Where I live, people usually grow the following without a greenhouse but in a sunny location:

Potatoes. The most important crop.
Jerusalem Artichoke. Easy to grow, hard to get rid off once planted.
Cauliflower. Difficult to grow, easily attacked by bugs.
Cabbage.
Garlic
Tomatoes. Near a wall that reflects sunlight/heat.
Lettuce
Swedish turnip. Can be grown even in zone 7!
Carrot
Radish
Gooseberry
Rhuharb. Demands a lot of fertilizing though.
Sunflower. One of my neighbours grows this one for the seeds. Like the tomatoes, this one prefer being planted near a wall to gain maximum heat and protection from winds.
Red and blackcurrant. Very nice for making juice and mixing with vodka. Possible to make tea from the leaves.
Raspberry. Very nice jam if mixed with bluberries.
Strawberry
Apples
Cherries

In the forests, lingonberries and blueberries are usually plenty so no one here have these in their gardens. This year, I collected a lot of lingonberries. I have a "secret" place where it is possible to collect more than 10 kg in less than 45 minutes.

With a greenhouse, it is of course possible to grow even more exotic stuff. I have thought about making some sort of coil with circulating warm water beneath a rised planting bed. The warm water comes from a solar panel/collector. Perhaps it will be too hot for the plants, but it should be a good thing to have in the early winter, spring, if you want to plant something very early and prolong the season.


ah, thanks for the info Vortex, I was really wondering about what crops would grow that far north and I must say it was a pleasant surprise to see there is still quite a wide variety. Another question though; what about pears, cucumbers and onions?
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nocar
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PostPosted: Sat Sep 08, 2007 3:22 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Bas, in the Swedish zone 4, I believe it is easy to grow onions, from sets or shallots. Pears and cucumbers are more questionable.

nocar
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:11 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

You can also make a cold frame using a raised bed with panes of glass or plexiglass to cover your plantings. It really heats up. Another thought would be a hot frame made by digging down about 1 foot into the ground and putting in fresh manure. Chicken is really hot. On the top of this put at least 8 inches of soil. Plant whatever tender plants on the top. You can also cover with panes of glass or plexiglass. You would be able to grow many different kinds of plants all year round using this method.
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nocar
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 10, 2007 5:19 am    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Homesteader, where do you live?

Quote:
You would be able to grow many different kinds of plants all year round using this method


No, in northern Scandinavia days are too short and the sun is too low for this, at least Nov-Feb. The sun barely rises above the horizon for a couple of hours, and they it is usually cloudy.

Yet a hot frame, as you described, is a good way to get something growing in March-May, although quite labor intensive. In zone 4 in the Swedish zone system (very different from the US zones), I think the ground does not thaw until May. After that things grow like mad for a couple of months with around-the-clock daylight.

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PostPosted: Mon Sep 10, 2007 6:00 am    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Fredrik wrote:
Ebyss wrote:
If the Gulf Stream shuts down (and all signs point to yes)


Don't say so


The link you've provided merely states that the data collected so far is extremely variable and does not provide proof positive confirmation that the Atlantic Conveyor is slowing at this time. I have a lot of respect for RealClimate, Gavin included, so I just want to make sure that everyone reads the article (and comments) carefully.

Gavin provided the link to RAPID in the comments section, for readers to see the actual science explained.

The Bryden et al study shows some indication of slowing, and has been accepted as a valid finding;
Quote:

Professor Bryden, from the UK’s National Oceanography Centre, was the lead author on a paper published in the journal Nature last year that suggested the overturning circulation had declined by 30% over the past 50 years. That was based on a snapshot of data from the array.

The findings were based on five historical “snapshot” measurements of overturning in 1957, 1981, 1992, 1998 and 2004.

“The issue was how big was the variability in the five snapshot measurements, and that was something we needed to know,” he said.

Using the first year’s data from the array, the researchers were able to adjust their calculations.

“We concluded that there was some evidence of a small decrease but not as big as we reported in the Nature paper last year,” Professor Bryden observed.

“But we have had a decrease… in the order of 10% of the overturning circulation in the past 25 years.”


For an interesting animation of data taken over two years, see http://www.psc.edu/science/OKeefe/OKeefe-movie.mpg

Note the variation in where the current is strongest and where eddies form.
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cephalotus
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 18, 2007 12:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Hello everyone,

what about Germany?

First the "bad facts" (at least for peak oil sceraios)

- 82 million people (quite densely populated)
- one of the largest importer of oil, also high import rates on hard coal, 100% import rate on uranium and high import rate on natural gas
- there is not enough area to get all the energy from biomas

BUT:

- Germany is one of the most energy efficient countries in the world (GDP / energy, only few countries are better, i.e. Japan)
- German GDP has grown by 26% since 1990, but energy consumption has fallen by 4,6%
- Germans are already used to high energy prices (because of high tax on energy), converted to US $ we pay 25-30 cent / kWh electricity and 6-7 US $ for 1 gallon of fuel.
- the agrar sector is quite industrialised but high energy efficient (East German milk needs the least energy in production per litre throughout Europe). Only 1% of the primary energie in Germany is used in the agricultural sector
- Germany produces about 88% of its food (incl. food for animals), but if consumers would eat just a little bit less meat than 100% should be very easily achieveable, if necessary.
On the other hand, a typical German spends only 11% of his/her income on food (and related goods like cigarettes and alcohol, to my knowledge the smallest number in the world), so raising prices on the world market could be absorbed quite easily (at least if you have a job)
- German politics do know about peak oil and global warming and they try to act now. (not hard enough imho, but there is quite a lot going on behind the scenes, if you have some insight knowledge). It starts with the adaoption to climate change (there are lot of studies going on, what trees we will have to plant now, what crops, how high the dams have to be built now, to sustain expected floods in upcomming years and so on...)
- Germany is now worldwide Nr. 1 in the production of wind energy, Nr. 1 in the production of electricity from photovoltaics (which is quite amazing if you look at the rather mediocre solar input of 900W/m²*a-1200W/m²*a here, compared to other nations) and Nr. 1 in the production of "biodiesel" (made from canola).
The growing rates in some sectors of reneweable energies are very high, it was at ~5% for electricity during many years (water), but is growing very fast now to about 14% in 2007 (and water remains at 5%, because almost evrey useable river is used). German government wants to reach 27% by 2020 and 45% by 2030. Most of the rest should come from natural gas and coal / lignite.
Germany wants to get rid of its reamining nuclear reactors till ~2020. This is doable.
- But Germany does not only produce renewable energies, they do also build the machines... Germany is Nr.1 in building wind generators, Nr. 2 in building photovotaik moduls (an extremly fast growing sector here) and Nr 1. (?) in building "biogas" facilities. The time will come (soon) when world demands that kind of energy, because it gets cheaper each year, while fossil energy gets more expensive, German industrie is prepared to build and sell that stuff...
Currently there are about 300.000 employes in that sector and this is growing fast.
German biofuel sector mostly uses "Biodiesel" which is not energy and area efficient (better than ethanol from corn, but not good enough), but there is made lots of effort to make "3rd generation" fueal from biomass, mainly btl (biomass to liquid), which is several times more efficient than biodiesel or ethanol (corn).
But the area is not enough to power our current cars from own production, no matter what we do.
The mobility sector has to switch more to electricity. This can be public transport in cities or railroad (Germany has a very good railroad and public transport system, compared to other countries). It is also quite easy to live without a car. I live in a city and have 3 minutes to walk to work. On that way there are several small stores where I can buy food and things for my daily use. I can walk within 10 minutes to the next railroad station which can bring me to almost every part of Germany within maximum 10 hours and the next s-bahn(?) station is just 2 minutes away.
If I need a car I can rent one, which is a lot cheaper to me than buying one. For my work I can use Toyota Prius hybrids and natural gas driven VWs.
Even if gasoline would cost 10 US$ or 20 US$ / gallon I can live quite happily. If food will cost twice as much as it will cost now it doesn't hurt me to much, if electricity cost twice or three times as much as it does cost now (I doubt that it will get so high, wind power is a lot cheaper to produce now compared to what I pay, of course there are other costs) it wouldn't hurt me, too.
For those that need/want to commute to work by car and those who can't afford 10-20 US $ / gallone an electric car could be a solution (as could be car sharing or public transport).
I hope that the German car industry will adopt fast enough to peak oil. At the moment it doesn't look so, but peak oil could be a huge chance for new cars, that do cosnume much less energy.
A Loremo (German car, maybe in production by 2010) needs less than 2l/100km (>120 miles/gallone)
As long as there is oil available (but just expensive) there will be a huge demand for eneryg efficient new cars, for those taht can not afford to commute with SUV & Co to work.
Peak oil can be a huge chance for the industry and the wealth of a country and its popoulation, if you only react fast enough.

It can be done.

Others may buy weapons and try to fight for the last pieces (and if those ar consume, too, what after that?) or they might invest into fussion or new nuclear power plant systems (plutonium breeding, thorium, because U235 is quite limited), I do think that wind, solar and geothermal energy with some biomass and water, in combination which much better energy efficincy will cost less, will work better, will create many new (good) jobs and can lead to wealth and a better living in this century.

And that's in the middle of Europe, now surrounded by friends (much better than living "in" the frontier between West and East till 1989).
I don't think that I will need a rifle, I just will have to pay a bit more for my energy and maybe a bit more for my food, but will benefit from much less pollution (except global warming, which we sadly can't stop) and a much more secure energy supply than I have now. Maybe the mass consumption will also slow down, but I do not think that this is a bad thing, I don't want / need a new mobile phone every 10 months.

High energy prices could make human work much more desireable thzan it is now and I also do think that this is a good thing. Almost all humans need some kind of productive work to be happy...

best regards

PS: Germany reduced its once quite large reserves on hard coal by 99% (!) in 2004. The coal is still there of course (if everything else fails), but it is not efficient or desierable to use it now, because importing hard coal from Australia & Co is cheaper.
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 18, 2007 1:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

first off, welcome to the forum cephalotus, and thank you for your broad sketch on Germany Smile

Indeed Germany has the most MW's of windpower installed (though I believe a Danish company called Vestas dominates the industry) and Germany dominates the solarpower industry, though I'm not sure that they have the most MW's of solar power installed, it's definately above average, especially for a country so far north as you say. China btw has about half of al solar panel companies in the world and eventhough they are very small, you can reasonably expect that this will be another industry that will be dominated by China in the future, this however does not do away with the fact that of the big countries indeed Germany seems to best prepared for a new energy paradigm, but ofcourse a lot of work remains to be done.

So I think that indeed Germany is very good country to be in if we don't see a total breakdown of society (the issue that prompted me to start this thread) due to peakoil and economic fallout. In such a case I think that none of the continental European countries is a good place to be in, especially the densily populated areas of Germany.

Germany does look to be in a good spot when it comes to climate change, though a potential flood of refugees from southern Europe and Holland (can we come stay over for while? Smile ).

Anyway, for me personally Germany is a reason to stay put where I am now, which is of cycling distance of Germany (I made a few sunday afternoon rides into Germany in the past) and above sealevel.

Once again, welcome to the board and stick around (among other continental European countries, Germany has been sorely underrepresented on the forum thusfar.)
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cephalotus
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 18, 2007 2:13 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Bas wrote:

Indeed Germany has the most MW's of windpower installed (though I believe a Danish company called Vestas dominates the industry)...


Yes, my mistake, Germany is indeed behind Denmark in production of wind energy systems.

There are around 23 GWp installed and "we" do hope for much more in the future (mainly repowering and off shore systems)

Quote:

and Germany dominates the solarpower industry,


Nr. 2 behind Japan, but the industrie is growing extremly fast...

Quote:

though I'm not sure that they have the most MW's of solar power installed,...


It should be more than 3 GWp by now, significantly more than any other country in the world. The USA have been leading in the 90th, the Japanese have been Nr. 1 till around 2004, but German PV started late but furiously...



Quote:

China btw has about half of al solar panel companies in the world and eventhough they are very small, you can reasonably expect that this will be another industry that will be dominated by China in the future,...


Those are solar-thermic- systems and they are quite basic. The "Chinese systems" do work well if you have lots of sun and no winter and if you don't need comfort (and always water temperatures above 45°C to avoid growth up of certain bacteria... "Legionellen" in German).
Those systems are not suitable for Germany, we do need more sphisticated and expensive systems.

Btw, German government plans to force house owners to buy solar thermic systems and generate a minimum of 10% of the energy needed for heating with solar power or other renewable systems...

There is also a quite high standard on insulation and energy efficiency necessary if you want to built a new house. You can get money, if you build a house that is even better or if you insulate your current house, if you invest in new heating systems (like cogeneration plants for heat and power)

Quote:
...this however does not do away with the fact that of the big countries indeed Germany seems to best prepared for a new energy paradigm, but ofcourse a lot of work remains to be done...


Yes, a lot(!) has to be done, we just started (at least in the electricity sector, in the auto-mobility sector it can not even be called a start)

We can succeed if we are fast and brave enough to rebuild the system and if peak oil will start "only" with high prices, not with a lack of supply (if you can pay for it, of course). A lot also depends on the relationship to Russia during the "transition period" (our main source for oil and gas now, amazingly little oil is bought from the middle East).
But Russia needs money, we do need energy, that could work out well for both...

Quote:

So I think that indeed Germany is very good country to be in if we don't see a total breakdown of society (the issue that prompted me to start this thread) due to peakoil and economic fallout. In such a case I think that none of the continental European countries is a good place to be in, especially the densily populated areas of Germany.


I will do everything to avoid a breakdown of civilisation in my country. Btw I work for an energy agency in the sector for energy efficency and future energy systems)

Of course you can also plan to sit in your fortfied farm house, armed with dozends of guns and shooting others, but you still can die from some primitive illness that could be easily cured in a current civilisation.

I don't see it as a "dark future", if energy will cost significantly more than today (just use less to do the same) and if more humans will find work, if farming gets a bit more "natural" and a bit less industrialised and if the highest desire of a human being will not be some monetary luxury, but to live a long, interesting and good life.

Quote:

Germany does look to be in a good spot when it comes to climate change, though a potential flood of refugees from southern Europe and Holland (can we come stay over for while? :) ).


depends. We expect things to become worse overall (more droughts during vegatation period, more floods during winter, mild winters=less energy, but hot summers), but it could be manageable, if it doesn't get to extreme.
I do think that climate change will be a much bigger problem for those in the south, like Italy, Spain, Greece, Turkey, etc...

If you want to come over, feel free to do so ;-)

(btw, I like the velomobil concept, which are much more common in your country than in auto loving Germany)

Quote:

Anyway, for me personally Germany is a reason to stay put where I am now, which is of cycling distance of Germany (I made a few sunday afternoon rides into Germany in the past) and above sealevel.


there are bad sides, too, of course.

Mainly the lack of "social warmth" especially in the "old generation" (imho), some social problems and of course the German whining. If you read our newspapers, you would believe that it is the worst country to live in. I had travelled through half of the world and German people often don't seem to recognice how good and wealthy most of them can live here compared to others...

Btw, one of the most interesting countries for peak oil doomers could be northern Romania (Maramuresh). This is a quite basic kind if living, but I doubt that they would feel it much, if there would be no oil left.
Most of the farming work is still down with animals, transport is mostly by bike, by horse or per pedes.
I had traveld there with my bike for some weeks and I would highly recommend the country and the friendly people.

best regards
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Bas
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 18, 2007 2:34 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

yes I think the "velo-mobile" concept here is second to none in the western world and healthy too Smile

I agree with most of your viewpoints and I like your positive "can-do" attitude. Quite a few of us here lack that attitude and tend to go on the worst case scenario. For those reasons the more positive people here often get shot down, often by personal attacks rather than by sound reasoning, so prepare to stand firm. Also if you think something warrants moderating you can send a personal message to me or other moderators and we'll see if we should do something about it (though we're quite hesitant censoring stuff)

thanks for your information, and indeed Germany is a very well prepared country IMO, which is a point that has never, to my knowledge, been made here on the forum. I look forward to reading more about your "German" perspectives on just about anything Smile
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PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 1:01 pm    Post subject: Re: Best place to be/emigrate to within Europe Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I saw something very interesting today in a newspaper.

A former military building for sale, located in a mountain (think a "vault" from the Fallout games). It is built to withstand nuclear blasts. Inside a 800 sqm room, a 500 sqm two store building is located with all facilities (beds, kitchen, WC etc.).

I do not know how they get the water and how the plumbing works. A similar building (the Swedes did a lot of building like these due to the Cold War) near where I live does have its own water, taken through a deep drilled well.

The entrance seem to be somewhat camouflaged. Inside the blast doors, there is a 120 meter long entrance. The rest of the building is straight to the left, I think the long entrance is built to direct possible blast forces from damaging the main building.

There is a 8600 sqm land belonging to this object, some forest.

Built in 1973 and build cost was 220 million SEK back then, a pretty large sum considering the inflation.

Price now is 150 000 SEK or best offer. If it was located in the town I live, I would have bought it yesterday... Smile
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