I think this is the beginnings of an economy based on perpetual growth and fossil fuel energy running headlong into geological energy constraints. Basically I see an undulatory downward path for the rest of my life. From here out, I think any rallies in our economic condition are going to be met with spiking commodity prices that knock us right back down.
Joined: May 31, 2004 Posts: 920 Location: Brno, Czech rep., EU
Posted: Wed Jun 23, 2004 7:48 pm Post subject:
JayHMorrison, for me, you sound like arrogant american who things that USA is the only "right" country in the world, only country that does things right!
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That statement is true. Americans do care more about civil liberties. We gave Europe and Japan the current civil liberties that you enjoy. I find it a bit strange if you care about civil liberties why you dont want them for other countries.... like Iraq.
You liberated big part of Europe and conquered Japan, thank you, but it's not directly related to liberties. There were democracies before WW2 and after without major changes..
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Different media have their own internal standards. You have not offered any evidence to back up such a silly contention that american media is censored or regulated. They will broadcast or publish anything they want, including top secret govt info, whenever they can expose it. Every journalist wants to be the next Woodward to break the Nixon/Watergate scandal. Your claims about a censored or regulated media is just preposterous.
I didn't say it's censored or regulated from outside, it's self-regulated. Major media simply not publish things that would harm feelings of typical american, that is fact. For example when there was million demonstration in Madrid, CNN reported it as a minor protests of isolated people.. This is distortion of facts that I often see in US media.
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The war is not stopped because that would be disasterous and there is frankly no reason to stop it. A few hundred crazy terrorists are not a reason to stop freedom in Iraq. The people of Iraq are about to have the first potentially free and democratic society in the Arab world.
What are you protesting? Protesting because Sadam Hussein was removed from power and Iraq might have a freely elected gov't? Why?
I'm not protesting anything, you are messing arguments don't you? I personally in fact fully agree with current presence of US troops in Iraq, even with extending mission until situation is handled and fully in hands of new goverment. I was just asking why those who oppose it in USA don't protest in the streets??
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Then you see the good and the bad. The US is good. The European is bad.
Well, and what means that? Is that example of "facts" or just show of arrogant american view of the situation?
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You view us as censored, but then you want to censor anyone who has an opinion that disagrees with you. (anti-abortion, evolution opinion, religious opinion, gun ownership)
It is as if your vision of "freedom and civil liberity" should only apply to those people who agree with you. Do you see where that is a problem?
How did you find I want to censor someone? Yes I think that church and state should be separated, that is what I think and this is a base of all modern states. Politicians of course have their own belief but they should not try to pass religious ideas into law.
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Maybe that is where you are confused. America is not a democracy. We are a republic.
Oh well, and currently in state of war, that means that you have a dictator?
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Then you should be supporting the American efforts in Iraq. Who do you think will provide civil liberties to Iraq?
A) America
B) Hussein
C) Nutty Muslim terrorists
None of the above, they must do it by themselfs! You cannot export democracy to people who don't want it. Democracy and it's principles come from people not from outside. But removing Hussein was, without a dispute, right step. Question is, was it done because you care more about civil liberties than any other coutnry, ot just because your goverments find it usefull and you are just to blind to see?
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You are so wrong and you dont even realize it. America is the only source or hope for freedom on the planet Earth. The Europeans, Japan and the UN would never do anything if not pushed by the Americans.
Believe it or not, for many is current America not a symbol of hope, but symbol of imperialism and warmongering. It's just a shadow of shiny statue of liberty as it used to be..
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It is difficult to accept being from a minor democracy (whereever you are from) but I seriously doubt you would be in a free country today if not for America. I dont care where you live, I bet that statement is true.
Well Russians liberated country in war. After war, communists took control (elected in democratic election). In 1968 communists decided to change regime and started big democratic reforms, SSSR didn't like it and invaded us (USA refused to help or even condemn the action). In 1989 another revolution happend this time from people and not from goverment and country was changed to "normal" state after 40 years of communism. USA didn't have anything to do with it.
Since then USA become increasingly disruptive, for example it tries to block certain export trades, and does try to improveit's own at all cost. We didn't want to buy old F16 or F18 and bought more modern european fighters, so USA decided to "retaliate" and extendeded visa duty for indefinite time. Goverment tries to have good relation with USA and people don't like them for it, yes we have fighting unit in Afghanistan and small contingent in Iraq, but it's against will of population. People understand it just as a part of the trade.[/quote]
JayHMorrison, for me, you sound like arrogant american who things that USA is the only "right" country in the world, only country that does things right!
You would be correct in that. The USA is the only "right" country in the world. I am glad we understand each other. NOW GET WITH THE PROGRAM YOU PINKO LIBERAL !!!
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You liberated big part of Europe and conquered Japan, thank you, but it's not directly related to liberties. There were democracies before WW2 and after without major changes..
Are you clueless? Germany, Italy and Japan were all dictatorships.
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I didn't say it's censored or regulated from outside, it's self-regulated. Major media simply not publish things that would harm feelings of typical american, that is fact. For example when there was million demonstration in Madrid, CNN reported it as a minor protests of isolated people.. This is distortion of facts that I often see in US media.
I recall the coverage of European protests. I did not see them being glossed over by US media. Once again, I think you are projecting preconceived opinions about your opinions on the USA, then desperately seeking examples to validate yourself.
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I was just asking why those who oppose it in USA don't protest in the streets??
They do. Have you ever been to the White House? There are protests every day in front of it. They protest the war, the killing of whales, the secret aliens that the US gov't is hiding in Area 51, and all the other nutty wackos who have nothing better to do.
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Well, and what means that? Is that example of "facts" or just show of arrogant american view of the situation?
It meant exactly what I said it meant. The US is great. Your country sucks. I don't even know where you live. But I bet it sucks. GO USA !!!
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How did you find I want to censor someone? Yes I think that church and state should be separated, that is what I think and this is a base of all modern states. Politicians of course have their own belief but they should not try to pass religious ideas into law.
That is the job of a politician. To express his views and get elected based upon his views. If enough people send that person to govern, then it would be expected that he/she would legislate based on the views that he campaigned upon to the voters. If his basis for election was his religious views and the voters liked that, so be it.
Your efforts to ban the views of a religous person just because he/she is religious is censorship. Do you understand that?
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Oh well, and currently in state of war, that means that you have a dictator?
We have a dictator? Bush? Is it possible to kick a dictator out of office? I think John Kerry has about a 60% chance of winning in November. That is hardly a dictatorship.
The fact that the most powerful person in the world (currently George Bush) can be removed without a single shot being fired is amazing. I seriously doubt many countries could do the same. America is unique like that.
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None of the above, they must do it by themselfs! You cannot export democracy to people who don't want it. Democracy and it's principles come from people not from outside.
If that were true, Japan would still be ruled by an Emperor and everyone in France, Poland and a large part of Russia would be speaking German.
Freedom is not easy. I seriously doubt it would exist in Japan or Europe today without America.
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Believe it or not, for many is current America not a symbol of hope, but symbol of imperialism and warmongering. It's just a shadow of shiny statue of liberty as it used to be..
You are a victim of your own local socialist/communist media if you really believe that.
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Well Russians liberated country in war. After war, communists took control (elected in democratic election). In 1968 communists decided to change regime and started big democratic reforms, SSSR didn't like it and invaded us (USA refused to help or even condemn the action). In 1989 another revolution happend this time from people and not from goverment and country was changed to "normal" state after 40 years of communism. USA didn't have anything to do with it.
I think you might be surprised what USA had to do with it. Reagan bankrupted the Soviet Union via the arms buildup in the 80s. The Soviet Union could not keep up and collapsed. That enabled all of the satellite countries to change.
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Since then USA become increasingly disruptive, for example it tries to block certain export trades, and does try to improveit's own at all cost.
That is economic competition. Deal with it. It sounds like you are upset at a lot of things you feel are "unfair". Life ain't fair. Nobody owes you anything.
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We didn't want to buy old F16 or F18 and bought more modern european fighters,
Excuse me? Do you really believe there is any military fighter that is better than US fighters? The Stealth fighter? The Stealth bomber? The F-22 currently under development?
Even our old crap, F-15 , F-16, F-18, could run circles around the rest of the world.
US weapon tech is 10 to 20 years ahead of the rest of the world. We just don't sell you the best stuff. You couldn't even afford it.
Or are you upset because we tried to sell you our used crap? That is just economic competition. Once again. Deal with it.
Joined: May 31, 2004 Posts: 920 Location: Brno, Czech rep., EU
Posted: Wed Jun 23, 2004 8:42 pm Post subject:
I think that you have proved to be enough of "arrogant American" to not further continue discussion with you, just my final remarks:
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Are you clueless? Germany, Italy and Japan were all dictatorships.
Germany was democracy during Wiemar republic (before NSDAP rule). Countries like France or UK virtually didn't change goverment.
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Once again, I think you are projecting preconceived opinions about your opinions on the USA, then desperately seeking examples to validate yourself.
I'm regurally watching coverage from more than one media source I have the chance to compare, you don't.
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They do. Have you ever been to the White House? There are protests every day in front of it.
I was speaking about big protests, like in "not-democratic" Europe, not about hopeless 30 people with transparents..
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It meant exactly what I said it meant. The US is great. Your country sucks. I don't even know where you live. But I bet it sucks. GO USA !!!
Really no need to worry, it's part of that EU thing. No need to worry, I don't know where USA is either, but I heard that it's not far from Mexico
Just stick with your home address it's good enough, trust me
Well I'm now starting to feel like if I'm talking with some ill educated high-schooler or what. You obviously didn't get my joke reference to Roman republic.
There was never an American soldier in Poland, they were liberated by Russians.
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That is economic competition. Deal with it. It sounds like you are upset at a lot of things you feel are "unfair". Life ain't fair. Nobody owes you anything.
Using visa policy as a pressure tool is not an economic competition. It's simply unfair tactis and power politics.
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Excuse me? Do you really believe there is any military fighter that is better than US fighters? US weapon tech is 10 to 20 years ahead of the rest of the world. Or are you upset because we tried to sell you our used crap? That is just economic competition. Once again. Deal with it.
Swedish Grippens are sure 1 generation better than rusty F16 or F18.. whether your mind is capable of accepting it or not..
Considering your arrogance and ignorance, I really suspect you are just some high-schooler, not-yet adult person with very distorted view of reality and very shallow knowledge of basic history and world. I'm feeling really sorry not detecting it earlier and wasting my time..
Grow up man.. I will wait, until then, be happy, and continue waving your flag, while millions are burning it!
I think that you have proved to be enough of "arrogant American" to not further continue discussion with you, just my final remarks:
The truth is kinda painful to handle. I am not surprised that you are giving up. Freedom and self responsibility are difficult to handle. The European socialist economy and welfare state provides you with some handicaps that are stunting your ability to be free. Keep an open mind.
Licho wrote:
Quote:
Are you clueless? Germany, Italy and Japan were all dictatorships.
Germany was democracy during Wiemar republic (before NSDAP rule). Countries like France or UK virtually didn't change goverment.
You spineless twit. Germany was so weak in their democracy that they elected a dictator who took their rights away. That is hardly a ringing example.
And I would hardly call the socialist/communist govt of France a ringing endorsement of democracy or freedom. The French have been the leading country supporting Sadam Hussein since Gulf War I. And why? Because of the criminal oil scams in the UN oil for food program. Plus a bunch of sweatheart oil deals that they worked out with Sadam.
By the way, the UN (the french banks helped) probably committed the biggest financial crime ever in all the money that was looted from the Oil For Food program with Iraq oil dollars over the past 10 years.
Licho wrote:
Quote:
Once again, I think you are projecting preconceived opinions about your opinions on the USA, then desperately seeking examples to validate yourself.
I'm regurally watching coverage from more than one media source I have the chance to compare, you don't.
You see what you want to see and draw biased conclusions from limited sources.
I watch German and English news all the time. I am fluent in german from being a student there for 18 months. They broadcast here because there is a BMW factory close by with many German citizens working in the area. BBC is also available which I watch for financial news.
Don't make such silly assumptions.
Licho wrote:
Quote:
They do. Have you ever been to the White House? There are protests every day in front of it.
I was speaking about big protests, like in "not-democratic" Europe, not about hopeless 30 people with transparents..
Clearly you are seeing only what you want to see. Otherwise you would see the protests that happen on a regular basis in the United States.
Those took me about 30 seconds to find on Google. I am sure there are a lot more for you to find if you would just open your little mind.
Licho wrote:
There was never an American soldier in Poland, they were liberated by Russians.
You were not liberated by Russia. The Polish in Warsaw rose up in revolt against the Germans at the end of the war. The Russians waited across the river and let the Germans kill all of the Poles so that the Russians wouldn't have to.
Then the Russians came in and killed all of the doctors and educated Polish people who remained. Then they set up a puppet government as a buffer state between the Soviet Union and the FREE western Europe that the United States established.
The Soviet Union also took a large piece of eastern Poland and make it part of what is now Ukraine. That was nice of those Russians wasn't it?
You have a lot to learn about freedom if you actually believe that the Soviets "liberated" Poland at the end of WW2. From your earlier comments, I guess I should not be surprised.
Licho wrote:
Quote:
That is economic competition. Deal with it. It sounds like you are upset at a lot of things you feel are "unfair". Life ain't fair. Nobody owes you anything.
Using visa policy as a pressure tool is not an economic competition. It's simply unfair tactis and power politics.
My wife is Polish so I know about your visa requirements. She moved here to the United States in 1993. We have to have visa requirements for Poland. All of the Poles would leave and come to America if there were no visa requirements. (hint hint, What does that tell you?)
Licho wrote:
Quote:
Excuse me? Do you really believe there is any military fighter that is better than US fighters? US weapon tech is 10 to 20 years ahead of the rest of the world. Or are you upset because we tried to sell you our used crap? That is just economic competition. Once again. Deal with it.
Swedish Grippens are sure 1 generation better than rusty F16 or F18.. whether your mind is capable of accepting it or not..
The Grippens is 30% built with American technology. We get to veto any sale of it that the Swedish want to make. You really need to do your homework. That took me 1 minutes to find on Google.
Licho wrote:
Considering your arrogance and ignorance, I really suspect you are just some high-schooler, not-yet adult person with very distorted view of reality and very shallow knowledge of basic history and world. I'm feeling really sorry not detecting it earlier and wasting my time..
Grow up man.. I will wait, until then, be happy, and continue waving your flag, while millions are burning it!
[/quote]
Open your mind and stop listening to the communist President (Aleksander Kwasniewski) who is currently your elected leader.
Joined: Apr 17, 2004 Posts: 984 Location: Tulsa, Ok
Posted: Wed Jun 23, 2004 11:13 pm Post subject: Licho
Licho really is in the dark. I watch BBC here on the news. On the local college station they have German news that is translated. I also watch Spanish news as well.
Licho, what up with u anyway. Your hatred speaks loudly! Please don't hate. It will eat you up inside. Get help from a doctor. Physiotherapists are out there. Seek one out. It’s OK; everything will be all right if you just let it go for awhile. Shhh, just let it go. Do a google search. You can find help. It’s OK. Really, if you just let go of your hatred. Remember it’s a state secret that all our bullets and shells are lubricated with pig fat and than only to make the fire better.
TRANSCRIPTS
Professor Robert Jensen discussing media, media & war (Iraq in particular) etc
Video interview in Austin, Texas on 6th February 2003
What’s wrong with contemporary mass media & what should we be asking from them?
I think everybody says the media sucks, the media is bad, I hate the media. These things circulate all over in the US, no matter what side of the fence you are on - on the right or left. Everybody has got complaints about the media, but vague complaints like that aren’t particularly useful. The question is "Why are our media bad?", which means you have to articulate criteria on which you are going to evaluate the media. So the fundamental question is "What do citizens need or want from mass media in a democracy?". That is, what do citizens need so that they can make good on citizenship and actually participate and not simply be sheep? That is the question, and I think that you can really articulate three main things that people need from news media in a complex industrial society like our own.
The first thing people need is an independent source of factual information. By independent, I mean independent of other centers of power, so that your needed information doesn’t simply come from your government, or doesn’t come from corporations, the two main power centers in the world we live in. So you need a reliable supply of factual information. But that is not enough, because everybody understands that facts in and of themselves, random facts, have no particular value. You need a context in which to understand them, historical, political and social. So journalists, while not being historians, who are going to write a book everyday, do need to provide some context for the facts they are reporting. The third thing I think we need from journalists, is to express or to give space for the expression of the widest possible range of opinion in the culture, because everyone understands that the process of belief formation involves rubbing up against other people’s ideas. You don’t figure out what you believe by going into a room by yourself and pondering. Most of us figure out what we believe by engaging other people in their arguments. So those are the three criteria in which I would evaluate news media in a democracy.
I think that the [American news media fails routinely on all three of those, and the place where you see that failure most profoundly is in coverage in general of foreign policy, but specially coverage of foreign policy and foreign affairs that involves militarism, military activity, the US going to war. It is at war time that you see the absolute failure of American journalism, and I think there are a couple of basic reasons for that. One is that we are The Empire. I think it’s important to start understanding America as an empire, and now as the empire. And you may want to ask the question, what does one expect from people in the heart of the empire? Empires aren’t based on dissent and critical activities. Empires are based on power and power operates to enhance conformity. So from the intellectual institutions of an empire, and the main intellectual institutions I am talking about are basically the academy and journalism – the places where knowledge is produced and disseminated – it is hardly surprising that both of those are sites of high ideological conformity to the goals of the empire. You don’t advance in journalism and you don’t advance in the academy by being a critic and a dissenter. It doesn’t mean the institutions shut out everybody who is critical. It means that those people who tend to advance are going to be those who conform to the demands of power. This is not surprising. It is hardly idiosyncratic to the United Sates. I am sure that if you look closely at nineteenth century Britain, at the height of the empire you would find basically the same kind of configurations. In the United States that ideological conformity, which you would expect in any great power, especially in an empire, is enhanced I think, by a couple of other things. One is the nature of media ownership which is now highly concentrated and completely commercialized. That is, the vast majority of people get the vast majority of their information from commercial entities. And those commercial entities are almost always organized around corporate hierarchies. Those institutions have their own interests. And their main interest is in seeing the existing system continued. So again, it is hardly surprising that journalists who come out of a corporate setting, are in some ways connected to, wedded to, the existing system of power. Again, it doesn’t mean that no critical journalism is allowed, what it means is that the basic tenets of the system, the naturalness of capitalism, the appropriateness of corporate hierarchies, the sort of willingness to just subordinate yourself to authority, that is so taken for granted in this culture, that despite all the rhetoric of freedom is a culture that highly encourages subordination to power. It is hardly surprising that out of those institutions you would get that orientation, you would expect it. In fact it would be dramatic if it weren’t the case. And it is the case.
The second one is the professional journalism routines that have evolved over time. As the United States moved originally from really a press connected to the freedom struggle, or at least the freedom of certain people in the culture, into a partisan press, into a penny press - the evolution of American journalism has taken us to a point where journalistic practices, journalistic routines, that is, the way in which day to day journalists go about assembling, writing, producing and distributing stories, has been collapsed into a set of what we call 'objectivity norms' or routines. And the thing about objectivity norms, it is crucial to understand, is they inherently, as they exist today in American journalism, they inherently privilege power. That is, they take as trustworthy and credible sources of information to be those centers of power. So if you look at a report on anything that has to do with American foreign policy, the main sources of information are going to be the White House, the State Department, and the corporate supported think-tanks that are basically in-line with those other two institutions. That’s the picture of the world that emerges, because those are the people that are deemed to be credible and trustworthy sources. You can have dissenting information sometimes included in a story, but it is going to be marginalized, it is going to be dissent from what it is accepted as the obvious way to view the world. Those objectivity routines and norms privilege power, and therefore in combination with the institutional structures, the business plan of journalism, corporate capitalism, the objectivity routines, and the ideological conformity that goes on in the culture, what do you get? You get a press that is fundamentally unable to fully inform citizens about policy.
Joined: Jun 04, 2004 Posts: 25 Location: Palatine, IL
Posted: Thu Jun 24, 2004 1:18 am Post subject:
Quote:
US weapon tech is 10 to 20 years ahead of the rest of the world.
Not always true. Russia has superior missles and has sold the technology to China while refusing to trade their secrets with the US. These missles have recently rendered multi-billion dollar US Aircraft Carriers obsolete.
Though Sunburn can fly 150 kilometers at Mach 2.1 [1,520 mph] at an average altitude of 60 feet, Onyx leaves this performance for dead. Using the same launch tubes as Sunburn, Onyx streaks along its extended 200+ kilometer flight path at a blistering Mach 2.9 [2,100 mph], while hugging the ground even closer at an average altitude of only 45 feet. Onyx is 100% “Fire and Forget”, meaning that once out of the launch tube, flight management is entirely automatic, and you can forget the doomed 93,000-ton aircraft carrier sitting meekly down range, only minutes away from being converted into environmentally-friendly heat and light.
Though SS-N-25 deployment might seem like giant overkill, this is far from being the case, because Onyx differs from Sunburn in one utterly crucial way. So great is the kinetic energy at the point of impact on the target, that Onyx can sink an American aircraft carrier using only a conventional penetrating warhead. Those boffins who might doubt this should calculate the impact energy of 5,500 pounds of missile striking a carrier at a terminal velocity of 2,460 feet per second. Onyx means that Russia or China can sink American aircraft carriers at will without ever having to escalate to nuclear warfare, which gives both countries a massive strategic advantage.
Joined: May 31, 2004 Posts: 920 Location: Brno, Czech rep., EU
Posted: Thu Jun 24, 2004 1:46 am Post subject:
I'm sorry for any other americans I upset, but I just don't like to see position showed by JayHMorrison. I have nothing against ordinary people, but I don't like shows of extreme arrogance combined with ignorance and distortion of reality. Position 'this is the only good country in the world, you all suck and depend on us for your freedom' is simply not based on current reality and not appropriate. Original question this sub-discussion is "do americans care most about their civil-liberties?" was a bit distorted by emotional arguments, but it's hard to prove or disaprove such thing. It's easy to be convinced that it's true, if are all americans bombarded in school and media that this is the most free, and best country in the world. In some ways it is, but do citizens care most about civil liberties, how can you say this?
Ok Jay, so you have a wife and are not a high-schooler, right? Ok so let's clear few things up:
You never mentioned that you are watchin foreign media, so I made an assumption that you don't, this was wrong. You were so quick at stating that "yours is bad, ours is good" that I expected you simply don't watch it. How do you explain difference in reporting of real-world events then?
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Clearly you are seeing only what you want to see. Otherwise you would see the protests that happen on a regular basis in the United States.
I know that there were protests in USA, but your argument was, that itizens of other countries don't care about democracy. So I made anti-war protests as an example. They were still much smaller in USA, considering how big country it is.
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You were not liberated by Russia. The Polish in Warsaw rose up in revolt against the Germans at the end of the war. The Russians waited across the river and let the Germans kill all of the Poles so that the Russians wouldn't have to.
Then the Russians came in and killed all of the doctors and educated Polish people who remained. Then they set up a puppet government as a buffer state between the Soviet Union and the FREE western Europe that the United States established.
The Soviet Union also took a large piece of eastern Poland and make it part of what is now Ukraine. That was nice of those Russians wasn't it?
You have a lot to learn about freedom if you actually believe that the Soviets "liberated" Poland at the end of WW2. From your earlier comments, I guess I should not be surprised.
My argument was that there were no US soldiers involved, and it's still true!
End of WW2 was one big power game, and I don't thing that USSR or USA had liberties of occupied citizens in mind as first. Fact is, that they fought in the same war on same side.
I'm not a Polish, and I don't assume I know everything about it, there was uprising, germans destroyed Warsaw while Russians were waiting.
But things about killing doctors - erm could you provide link??
Also Poland was not made smaller, it was moved, russians took part of it, and polish took similar sized part of germany.
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My wife is Polish so I know about your visa requirements. She moved here to the United States in 1993. We have to have visa requirements for Poland. All of the Poles would leave and come to America if there were no visa requirements. (hint hint, What does that tell you?)
Some would certainly go, but are they moving to freedom or to better economy? I don't care about visa policy, but I don't find it right, to use it as pressure tool for unrelated trade agreements, do you?
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The Grippens is 30% built with American technology. We get to veto any sale of it that the Swedish want to make. You really need to do your homework. That took me 1 minutes to find on Google.
Ermm, could you provide link really? This is nonsense.. I would like to see it with the "veto" and 30% of US involvement in Grippen. If you don't count missiles, it's just Swedish - UK project.
And the fact is, that it's better than F16/F18, this was the argument.
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Open your mind and stop listening to the communist President (Aleksander Kwasniewski) who is currently your elected leader.
Erm, it isn't I'm not Polish, but still this argument is upside-down. Poland is currently one of biggest ally of USA, people are positive to USA right now.
Joined: May 31, 2004 Posts: 920 Location: Brno, Czech rep., EU
Posted: Thu Jun 24, 2004 2:52 am Post subject:
Also Jay, since you did think that I'm from Poland, without any reason (and although I have something different in signature and described parts of history and current events completely different from Polish), I don't believe you fully that you have a Polish wife. Please show me that I'm wrong please ask your wife translate this few sentences:
Przez kolejne lata obserwowali, co dzieje się z badanymi mężczyznami, jaki jest stan ich zdrowia, czy jeszcze palą, czy może już rzucili nałóg, jakiego wieku dożyli, a jeżeli zmarli, to z jakiej przyczyny. Ostateczny raport nie pozostawił żadnych wątpliwości: palaczom groziło co najmniej dwukrotnie większe ryzyko, że nie dożyją siedemdziesiątki i trzykrotnie większe, że nie dotrwają do dziewięćdziesiątki w porównaniu z panami niekorzystającymi z uroków tytoniu. Głównym zabójcą palących okazał się zgodnie z przewidywaniami rak płuc
I would like to get back on the economic and resources discussion.
Licho, you said that oil depletion after peak would be at most 1.5% per year. Actually, what I read mentioned more like 1.5% to 3% per year. You should read the June newsletter for ASPO.
Take a look at the chart on page 2. According to the chart, the lower 48 US states will be producing 3.6 million bpd. By 2010, it will only be producing 2.6. That means that we need to find a new 1 million bpd source by then in order to just break even. That amidst rising demand yearly. Apparantly, the Bush administration was hoping that Iraq will be running at full capacity (between 5-7m bpd) before then to make up the downfall. Also look at Europe's losses of 1.4 million bpd by 2010. Russia will be going up a bit, while the middle east will be staying the same. The only promise for significantly increased production by 2010 is offshore deepwater drilling. The truth is that most recent oil discoveries were offshore finds. The technical problems are cost. While they can provide supplies, they will be driving prices up.
One of your arguments is that people will be working together on alternative energies even during a complete economic collapse. You basically think that people will be smart enough to continue to farm, transport food, and generally help everyone to survive. Well, your faith in the human race is quite ungrounded. Look at all the crap going on in the world today. Look at Nigeria and their fuel price protests slowing their oil production by several hundred thousand barrels of oil per day. The protests in Norway are even worse, halting over 400,000 barrels of oil per day, and threatening to soon halt more than 500,000. What about all those bombs going off on Iraqi oil pipelines? The country had to completely stop it's 1.8 million bpd exports completely for 3 days. They still haven't fully recovered. Now the UK is protesting fuel prices. Are these the people who will still be working hard to transport food so that everybody can avoid starvation? If they are protesting now, imagine how much worse it will get when oil gets significantly more scarce.
Several major US cities cannot support their populations on local farming, even if they wanted. Most major cities recieve food that is transported up to 2000 miles away. Miami is surrounded by swamp protected by environmentalist organizations, but still doesn't have enough local land to support enough farming. Los Angeles depends on irrigation systems because of very poor rainfall, but still depends on fossil fuels for water management, fertilizers, and pesticides. New York is one of the largest cities in the world, and has nowhere near the land to support local farming for its whole population.
You mentioned that biodesiel will be more widely used after peak. Well, in the US, biodesiel contribute's to less than 1 percent of all oil use in the country. There's also the fact that most farms require fossil fuel fertilizers and pesticides in order to manufacture biodesiel. Unfortunately, we won't be able to make nearly enough biodesiel to power the millions of semi trucks that transport the food thousands of miles in order to keep everyone from starving.
You mentioned that a country can take control of its industry as some countries did in WW2. Even in Europe, the population is a lot bigger now than it was during WW2. In the United States with nearly 400 million people, the government is nowhere near capable of taking over food production and transport of food for such a vast country. The world trade is more globalized now. Most countries import food, including Europe. If global trading stopped, and a government was ready to take control of most basic industries, you can still expect a worldwide food shortage, that has historically led to food riots (like in WW2).
Licho, please be more vigiliant about your own sources and evidence that you bring to the table. You don't need someone like me to point out that the ITER is still not proven, takes a decade to build, and only 1 is planned. You can reason that out for yourself. Denmark may be running on 20% wind, but you don't need me to tell you that the country only has a little over 3 million people. You should already be able to see the weaknesses in your arguments without someone else pointing them out.
Many parts of the world are going to experience a food shortage, leading to a die-off. We have 6.4 billion people alive in the world, and scientists say that we will have between 9 and 12 billion people by the year 2020 (depending on who you ask). A single acre of land can produce 4 to 10 times it's crop yield because of fossil fuels. The facts are completely sound on the issues, so I don't see why you have so much resistance to the idea of a die-off. At least if you want to keep arguing, come up with some evidence that doesn't have the glaring weaknesses your evidence has so far. _________________ "If humans don't control their numbers, nature will." -Pimentel
"There is not enough trash to go around for everyone," said Banrel, one of the participants in the cattle massacre.
"George W. Bush loves poor people. He keeps making more of them." -unkn
Position 'this is the only good country in the world, you all suck and depend on us for your freedom' is simply not based on current reality and not appropriate.
It is true. America is the greatest country in history. Your country sucks. I know it is difficult to accept such a blunt statement. Sorry your ego is so fragile. You will get over it.
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How do you explain difference in reporting of real-world events then?
I don't. It is a silly statement to make. To simply say that American media report everything a certain way is false. There are too many different styles of media that you havnt seen. FOX is typically of a conservative style of reporting that leans republican. CBS is typically very liberal. To cast them both together is silly. They are totally different in the slant on how they report things.
We have so many 24 hour cable news channels. (Two versions of CNN, MSNBC, Fox News, CNBC, Bloomberg, etc) There are 3 Network news channels. (ABC, CBS, NBC). There are hundreds of independant newspapers, internets news sources, magazines, etc. The media is so pervasive and each having a different slant on their point of view. If you ever were here and experienced it, you would realize just how silly your statements are.
The same is true of Europe I suspect. To cast all of them as the same is a silly statement for you to make.
I suspect you watch the same two sources in the US and just draw the conclusion that everyone else must be the same. Likely CNN International is one of them. I doubt you see the full range of 24 hour cables news sources in the US. Your country is just too limited. We have 500 channels on TV here. I seriously doubt you get all of your stations, plus all of ours.
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Clearly you are seeing only what you want to see. Otherwise you would see the protests that happen on a regular basis in the United States.
I know that there were protests in USA, but your argument was, that itizens of other countries don't care about democracy. So I made anti-war protests as an example. They were still much smaller in USA, considering how big country it is.
And I disproved your example. If you look at general public opinion, the US population supported the war before the invasion. What's to protest? It was a good war.
We also needed a place to test all of the new weapons we have built in the past 10 years. It is also a healthy thing for our country to kill a bunch of arabs at least once every decade. It helps us to relieve stress.
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You were not liberated by Russia. The Polish in Warsaw rose up in revolt against the Germans at the end of the war. The Russians waited across the river and let the Germans kill all of the Poles so that the Russians wouldn't have to.
Then the Russians came in and killed all of the doctors and educated Polish people who remained. Then they set up a puppet government as a buffer state between the Soviet Union and the FREE western Europe that the United States established.
The Soviet Union also took a large piece of easter