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Peakoil.com :: View topic - whats with solar panels being popular?
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whats with solar panels being popular?
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peak
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PostPosted: Tue Nov 20, 2007 8:47 pm    Post subject: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

if you been in the stock market lately, you'll notice some solar panel stocks have been having a huge run up - particularly Chinese ones.

The dirty secret is that it is 10 times cheaper to ship "e-waste" from the United States to China than to properly dispose of it in the United States. the e-waste ends up in communities - some of it can be used as recycled polysilicon.

for more info about this:
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/10/30/tech/main3430422.shtml?source=RSSattr=SciTech_3430422



what they are doing is sorting through this electronic junk to make solar panels. This keeps the inventory costs low increasing profit margins. Solar panels just cost to much to make and don't provide enough energy. When this scrap runs low - solar companies are going to have to use more pure polysilicon which costs FAR more. Obviously people here are overlooking that the production of cheap solar panels relies on a finite source of silicon scrap - some of which has piled in Chinese neighborhoods where citizens have taken a small amount of money to have electronic junk put on their state owned rented property.

the sun isn't out all the time, why do people have the idea that solar panels are the solution to peak oil when in my view is completely out of the equation? How many cars are out there that run on electricity and use the power from solar panels? Why do I hear people in the finance media say that rising oil prices mean rising solar stock prices?

solar panels on BIG SUV's / on houses with SUV's batteries and everything JUST FINE. at least the idea is not as pathetic as windmill SUV's. SUV's with a windmill ontop of them.

EDIT: I'd also like the mention that there is future growth and demand behind solar panels thanks to the European socialist.

Looks like thin film solar panels they are going to eventually overtake the older solar panel models since they are cheaper to make.


Last edited by peak on Wed Nov 21, 2007 1:22 am; edited 1 time in total
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fiedag
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PostPosted: Tue Nov 20, 2007 9:54 pm    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

peak wrote:
if you been in the stock market lately, you'll notice some solar panel stocks have been having a huge run up - particularly Chinese ones.
.
.
.
EDIT: I'd also like the mention that there is future growth and demand behind solar panels thanks to the European socialist. Opps - this thread should be the in "Energy Technology" forum.


What does the market know that you don't know? Perhaps that this is is going to be enormously profitable, because it's something consumers want?

It's interesting that the European socialists you seem to despise, have created a lucrative new industry. Hey if the Germans or the Spaniards want to pay a little more for their electricity, just so they can create a booming new global industry, it's their choice. I don't hear THEM complaining about the thousands of new jobs in their manufacturing sector!
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SolarDave
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PostPosted: Tue Nov 20, 2007 11:40 pm    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

peak wrote:
How many cars are out there that run on electricity and use the power from solar panels?


At least one!

Mine does!
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dooberheim
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 21, 2007 4:42 am    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

This computer's running on solar-charged batteries. I can do a lot of things from this computer that I used to have to drive to do. So it helps.

Solar panels are not the solution to peak oil. There's no one solution - oil is a unique gift. If we get organized (and stop having kids), we can make a transition in a reasonably orderly fashion. Is we just go on with the crisis-of-the-day mentality we have, we'll make the transition with death and destruction.

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evilgenius
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 21, 2007 5:41 am    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

There is a rising tide of doomsayers against the solar solution. some say what peak is saying, others that necessary raw materials will run out, and some that thin film breaks down before it pays for itself. Is there any truth to these voices, or is it just nostalgic fear? I'm thinking of investing in solar myself, but have been worried that alternatives might be in a bubble. I don't want to get caught at the top when I could wait and buy more shares. Also, not every alt company is going to make it. Any ideas on the best bets to cross the finish line?
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Bas
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 21, 2007 6:31 am    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I have a bunch of solarcompanies in my "favorites" plan to buy a variety of them once we had the stockmarket crashed and they become reasonably priced; I think it will be the premiere sector to profit from peak energy/global warming.

I have good hope on electric cars at least in the medium term, though a car will never run directly on solar, they can indirectly through the grid but it will be pretty pricey (at least for the forseeable future) so we'll still have to drive much less, use more public transportation, bicycles, go through a second big depression, maybe a die off of some sort and size and everything else that we're currently facing. (hey, I'm in a positive mood today Smile )
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WisJim
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 21, 2007 9:01 am    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I've been investing in solar for over 25 years. First, we installed a wind generator to provide 95% of our electricity at a house we built, back in 1977. We added PVs to it as our power "needs" had increased. in the mid-1980s. I installed some of the earliest available modules using thin-film technology in the later 80s, and they were a flop. Still have the 2 Sovonics brand panels, but they are useless. The other PVs, the earliest ones that we purchased, are still working well, as is the wind generator, although we have moved the wind and PV systems, and the family, to a different location, and have added more PVs to the system.

Solar water heating, though, has a shorter payback and should have just as long a life as quality PV panels. Experts say that the warranties on PVs are generally for half of the minimum expected life span, but no one knows for sure how much longer they might keep working. There are PVs available that should keep working for 150 years.

I feel that almost every part of the country should require solar hot water technology to be used for heating at least part of the domestic hot water load. In many situations it can easily provide almost all of the domestic hot water and most of the heat for a reasonable home, if the house is built well and properly insulated. PVs are capable of provided a good portion of the electrictiy required, not the power "wanted", in the same home. I'm of the opinion that if government subsidies were removed from the entire energy business, that PVs and in some areas wind generated power, would be in the long run even more cost effective than they are now. The involvement of the government in subsidizing gas and oil and nuclear power makes figuring real costs too difficult for me.
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peak
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 23, 2007 1:47 pm    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I think the point is not getting across here-

Why use solar panels going to charge electric cars when coal or nuclear power can be used?

There is a reason why a lot of electricity is being produced by coal power plants and not solar power. The sun isn't out 24 hours a day and there are clouds in the sky.
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 23, 2007 2:47 pm    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

peak wrote:
I think the point is not getting across here-

Why use solar panels going to charge electric cars when coal or nuclear power can be used?

There is a reason why a lot of electricity is being produced by coal power plants and not solar power. The sun isn't out 24 hours a day and there are clouds in the sky.


The answer should be obvious.

Who owns the solar panels and who owns the coal plant?

Solar panels are the logical extent of American Individualism. We each get to own and create our own energy source, what could be more America?

Coal plants, on the other hand, are largely owned by massive utility companies 8 towns over. There is no personal connection or personal control over the coal plant for the end user.

If you distrust big business and big government, wouldn't having the ability to create at least some of your own energy help to alleviate your fear?
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peak
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 23, 2007 5:44 pm    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Tyler_JC wrote:

The answer should be obvious.

Who owns the solar panels and who owns the coal plant?


There is no one answer to that question. In the United States, mostly companies own coal power plants. The reason why there are few major power plant facilities is because it is not economically feasible to build solar power plants because energy from coal or dams is cheaper.

And the average American doesn't want to shovel coal or build a nuclear power plant to power their single house so thats why "big companies" do it instead.



Tyler_JC wrote:
Solar panels are the logical extent of American Individualism. We each get to own and create our own energy source, what could be more America?

Coal plants, on the other hand, are largely owned by massive utility companies 8 towns over. There is no personal connection or personal control over the coal plant for the end user.

If you distrust big business and big government, wouldn't having the ability to create at least some of your own energy help to alleviate your fear?


I can't make sense of your reasoning, you give me the impression that power from coal is dominant because the "big business and big government" all don't want people to be individualistic but the same. If you want to spend (waste) a lot of money to power your home using solar panels then go ahead.
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 23, 2007 5:46 pm    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

the expectation of global warming measures may be a large factor as well as that we may see solar become cheaper than coal in the future.
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 23, 2007 5:52 pm    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

The EREOI for solar panels sucks, so I sure wouldn't look to them as any sort of peak oil solution.

They, like biofuels, are a feel-good, green wash, pseudo-solution. Liberals are willing to pay a lot of money to anyone that will help them pretend that their lifestyle is sustainable.
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 23, 2007 6:02 pm    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

smallpoxgirl wrote:
The EREOI for solar panels sucks, so I sure wouldn't look to them as any sort of peak oil solution.

They, like biofuels, are a feel-good, green wash, pseudo-solution. Liberals are willing to pay a lot of money to anyone that will help them pretend that their lifestyle is sustainable.


I disagree, the EROEI has been economical for some time and while not as economical as coal yet, and maybe will never get quite there (unless we run out of coal) it will get close to the EROEI of coal (the EROEI of coal now subsidized by oil)

A liquid fuel would still be a major problem though, we'd still need to take the metro, bus or train mostly instead of the car but I'm pretty sure that solar will be our main powerprovider in the future, at least if we're going to be serious about battleing global climate change but we still might need a lot of hurricanes to destroy the gulf coast before some people will acknowledge that we are not so insignificant that we can't influence global climate systems, sheesh.
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 23, 2007 6:07 pm    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Say what you want about solar, smallpoxgirl. Right now, in November, our water is hot because of solar, we are listening to the radio, and the stored solar (wood) is keeping us warm. Feel good, you bet.

We are those "liberals" that you berate. We save over $2650 per year from the changes we've made in our household's energy consumption. Solar is a big part of it. We use half the fossil fuel we used to.

We're also working on a solar car that can make it's own motive power. Check out Nelson Cole's youtube movie.

www.sunnev.com

The reason that solar is going up? People are beginning to see the peak oil writing on the wall. Solar works. It's one of the very few things that does. A solar panel is like money in the bank, only the solar panel doesn't depreciate like the dollar has lately.
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 23, 2007 7:04 pm    Post subject: Re: whats with solar panels being popular? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Revi wrote:
Say what you want about solar, smallpoxgirl. Right now, in November, our water is hot because of solar, we are listening to the radio, and the stored solar (wood) is keeping us warm. Feel good, you bet.


Yeah. Ok....I guess I've got to qualify. This thread, I believe, is about photovoltaics. Obviously I'm not opposed to ALL solar power. Photosynthesis, e.g. is a wonderful thing. Solar hot water also clearly has a positive EROI. If you've had your photovoltaic panels less than 7 years, then you can't claim to be powering yourself from the panels. You are just drawing down the invested energy that it took to produce the system. Until you've had it in service for 7 years, a photovoltaic system, from an energetics perspective, is best thought of as a storage battery. Energy is invested into the system as it is manufactured, and it is recovered back out over the next seven years. At seven years in service, the EROI hits 1.0 and you can start to talk about it as an energy source. Seven years, BTW, is an average. If you live in Phoenix it will happen quicker. If you live in Seattle, the EROI may well be <1.0 for the life of the system.
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