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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years
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Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years
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dukey
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 10:34 am    Post subject: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

link
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roccman
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 10:51 am    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

and oil is up about the same...

nope ...no inflation here...move along now...
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anarky321
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 11:21 am    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

energy price increases are not inflation, they are simply a reflection of scarcer supply

read the definition of inflation; its an increase in the money supply, this is not happening now, what we have is a PLUMMETING of the effective money supply due to the collapse of credit; money is getting scarce which is why we're slipping into DEFLATION

forecast for next 5 years

energy up, assets down, commodities down, merchandise down, wages down, consumer spending down, budget spending down, corporation revenues down, tax receipts down

get the picture yet?
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roccman
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 11:24 am    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

anarky321 wrote:


energy up, assets down, commodities down, merchandise down, wages down, consumer spending down

get the picture yet?


hmmmm...really ??

gold at $906 currently...

Over the last 5 years it has risen 100%

Wheat was up 143% last year.

Are you going somewhere with this or just doing laps?
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frankthetank
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 11:37 am    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I think a lot of people realize coal is where its at. Too much time to bring nukes online and too much money. Coal is cheap, plentiful, dirty as hell.

Isn't it really stagflation?
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dukey
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 11:37 am    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

i disagree with the standard definition of inflation
and also how the media look at inflation

the media will tell us that inflation is caused by increases in the price of oil. Okay this is easy to see. But how is increasing interest rates going to fix this ? It's a no brainer. It's not really inflation at all because more money is being allocated to energy production, and less elsewhere. This is just suppy and demand fundamentals. It's how capitalism works.

But think about currency. 100 dollars or pounds today is worth very little, 20, 50 or 100 years ago you could buy a LOT for that money. So there has been a MASSIVE devaluation of the currency. Is this caused by the supply and demand of oil ? No, it's caused by our fractional reserve banking system, and the fact it keeps creating too much money out of nothing. But they will never explain this to the average retard because then they would have to explain the fact banks create money out of nothing. There are no backed assets when they do this.

Raising interest rates stops inflation because it slows down the money creation process at the banks, not because the economy is 'overheating' due to excessive demand, although it some cases it could be a factor, it's not the main reason. It may well be true for oil, but reducing UK demand is not going to do anything globally to the price, it will just damage the economy. Think about that next time you hear the talking heads banging on about inflation.

The way they measure inflation is a joke anyway because they just go out and go shopping at a super market and see how much it all costs. What about mortgages ? Or the cost of houses. This is not part of the inflation statistics and this is where the most money is borrowed, so really it's taking the piss. I'm really sick of idiots on the news giving us the dumbed down version of inflation.
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cube
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 12:10 pm    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

anarky321 wrote:
read the definition of inflation; its an increase in the money supply, this is not happening now, what we have is a PLUMMETING of the effective money supply due to the collapse of credit;
link please

Do you actually have a source that says money supply is contracting or is this purely your own conclusion?

It's more difficult to get a home loan today that is certain. However it's still being given out....just not as much as before and the government is still running a budget deficit. Please explain how it's physically possible for the government to run a budget deficit and also contract the money supply.....that's what I like to know!
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aflurry
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 12:20 pm    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

dukey wrote:
...it's caused by our fractional reserve banking system, and the fact it keeps creating too much money out of nothing. But they will never explain this to the average retard because then they would have to explain the fact banks create money out of nothing. There are no backed assets when they do this.


i think they actually do explain this to the average retard. i mean, i have had it explained to me...

i'm still not convinced that this is some kind of crime or theft on the part of the Fed. a moderate degree on inflation should encourage people to keep money in circulation rather than hoarding it. what's wrong with that?

and why is it required that currency be asset backed? what's the point of sequestering value in some rare inert substance? why not put value into participation and trust?
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dukey
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 12:40 pm    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

it's a crime because money is essentially issued as debt. And as a result it's mathmatically impossible for us to repay all our debts. Money should be spent into the economy, not created out of nothing then given out as loans.

So you see nothing wrong with a bank creating money out of nothing (causing inflation) and loaning it to you. And when you can't pay the interest on the money they can liquidate your assets ? When the bank created that money at no cost to themselves ? LOL

Income tax is almost as amusing because it ONLY pays off the interest on the money the fed created at no cost to themselves then loaned to the government. I mean how farking ridiculous. The only people that should be fine with this are the people that benefit from the system, and that's not you !



gee i wonder where inflation comes from



everything is fine move along
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Schneider
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 2:15 pm    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Funny how the US dept really start to kick just after the us peak of oil production..
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Tyler_JC
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 3:12 pm    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Schneider wrote:
Funny how the US dept really start to kick just after the us peak of oil production..


That's because he's not using a logarithmic graph and he's not correcting for inflation.

Here's a regular graph corrected for inflation:



And another graph that corrects for GDP growth (10 trillion in debt is easier to pay off in a 14 trillion dollar economy than 2 trillion in debt in a 1 trillion dollar economy).



And lastly, and most importantly, debt services as a percentage of GDP.



Bad, but not unheard of.

However, with the short term financing of much of the debt and possibly much higher interest rates in the future to combat inflation...that figure could increase substantially.

Anyway, none of this has to do with coal prices rising dramatically.

Coal is up 600% in 5 years but electricity prices are...essentially flat?
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Concerned
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 3:31 pm    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

roccman wrote:
and oil is up about the same...

nope ...no inflation here...move along now...


600% we should all be running up and down the street dancing throwing rice and confetti...

Imagine all the extra supply that will come on line due to the increased demand.

Happy days are here or soon will be, if only oil and coal can keep going up in price there will be so much available to all of us
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kublikhan
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 3:53 pm    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

cube wrote:
Do you actually have a source that says money supply is contracting or is this purely your own conclusion?
There was a quote from a book I read, The Coming Collapse of the Dollar, that summed it up pretty well. Let me see if I can remember it:
"There are 2 powerful opposing forces at work in the housing market today. The deflationary force of the bubble bursting. And the inflationary force of the increase in the money supply. It is unknown which force will come out ahead. One possible solution is a tie. House prices flat line in dollar terms, but fall in terms of gold." That was written back in 2003 before the bubble burst. It seems deflation is winning at this point. Credit is being destroyed faster than it is being created and housing prices are falling not flat lining. No doubt inflationary measures like increasing the money supply are counteracting this trend. But even if house prices stabilize in dollar value in the near term, they will no doubt continue to fall in real value for some time.
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roccman
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 5:32 pm    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Tyler_JC wrote:


Coal is up 600% in 5 years but electricity prices are...essentially flat?


I see Tyler is checking in from Mars again...
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Tyler_JC
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 13, 2008 6:00 pm    Post subject: Re: Coal price up 600% in the last 5 years Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

roccman wrote:
Tyler_JC wrote:


Coal is up 600% in 5 years but electricity prices are...essentially flat?


I see Tyler is checking in from Mars again...


Your link provides evidence of...what? That price controls are a bad idea?

EIA Average Retail Price of Electricity to Consumers

EIA 2007 Data

Between the year 2000 and the year 2007, electricity prices increased from 8.24 cents to 10.66 cents for residential users.

That's a 3.75% annual increase.

Or roughly equal to the increase in the consumer price index. A 3.75% annual increase in the face of dramatically higher energy feedstock prices is remarkable and shows that the price of coal/natural gas does not have a major impact on electricity prices.

If "real" inflation is higher than that figure, electricity has been getting cheaper, not more expensive. Thus my "essentially flat" comment.
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