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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands
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Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands
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Oil-Finder
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2008 10:20 pm    Post subject: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

--> LINK <--

Quote:
The inhabitants of the Falkland Islands are preparing for a South Atlantic oil rush which they hope will make them among the richest people in the world.

After 10 years of frustrating delays since oil fields containing up to 60 billion barrels of "black gold" were discovered off the islands, oil companies are planning to start drilling within the next 12 months.

The move follows the conclusion of lengthy, but successful, tests by geologists and significant cash injections by two major oil companies which plan to bring rigs to the islands by as early as autumn.

The companies with licences to drill in the area met in Edinburgh on Friday to brief officials from the Falklands' government on their progress, and preparations are under way in the South Atlantic to ensure that the islands can cope with sudden wealth.



[...]
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joewp
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2008 10:47 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

And for your entertainment, built in animosity exists between the nearby country that claims the islands and the former world super power that too claims them.

Quote:

Meanwhile the Argentine government, which still claims the "Malvinas", as it calls the islands, and their oil fields as its own, is also looking jealously at the situation.

A spokesman said: "We reaffirm our backing for the legitimate rights of the Argentine Republic in the sovereignty dispute with Great Britain regarding the issue of the Malvinas."

Buenos Aires has accused London and the Falklands of reneging on an agreement in 1995 to co-operate over exploring offshore reserves, and of resisting its attempts to open talks on the issue.

"The intransigence of Great Britain has not permitted that open and frank dialogue," the spokesman added.


Falklands War II, anybody? new_popcornsmiley
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Oil-Finder
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2008 10:53 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Y'know I read a history of Argentina a few years ago, and the author made an interesting point. Before the Falkland Islands War, in fact the Brits really didn't care all that much about the Falklands, and if the Argentines had merely asked them to start negotiating a gradual handover of the islands to Argentina, the Brits probably would have been open to the idea. But once the Argentines invaded, all of a sudden the Brits remembered that these islands even existed, and started paying attention to them. So, ironically, the Argentines would probably have had a better chance of getting the islands if they hadn't invaded than if they had.
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Cabrone
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 5:08 am    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

You know we're in the brown stuff when Desire Petroleum actually start to do some drilling.

It's taken them 10 years since the last set of exploratory wells but at >$100 p.bbl even this bunch of slackers have woken up and smelt the coffee.
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 9:22 am    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Assuming the company finds major deposits, Whitehall will care a lot more about the otherwise fairly desolate and no longer strategically important islands.

Going to war on the principle of them being our turf is justified, so a resource grab is a piece of cake to get people to accept.
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 2:25 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

This is great news!

Now if only the Brits could find oil just offshore from Gibralter.
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Starvid
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 2:36 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

This one of the few remaining unexplored basins of any reasonable size (think North Sea) in the entire world. There could be some surprises. Smile
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auscanman
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 3:55 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

It's a sign of desperation that places which up until now have been off limits for largely political reasons are being given the green light. Again, a sign that we in the western world would rather risk war than choose the necessary alternatives (decreased population, and simpler lifestyles). There's no way that Argentina won't insist on getting a chunk of the royalties from any oil that might be found. Chavez would undoubtedly come to Argentina's defence in the event of hostilities, as would all the other leftist South American leaders, and before long it would be the UK vs. almost all of South America.

On another note, it will be a shame if the unique and wonderful ecology of the Falklands is ruined.
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Starvid
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 6:28 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I guess the main reasons for not drilling off the Falklands has been due to cost issues, not political ones.

It's a harsh climate down there, and I'm sure the experience from the North Sea will prove invaluable.

Does anyone know what kind of geology they have down there?
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 6:49 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

auscanman wrote:
It's a sign of desperation that places which up until now have been off limits for largely political reasons are being given the green light. Again, a sign that we in the western world would rather risk war than choose the necessary alternatives (decreased population, and simpler lifestyles). There's no way that Argentina won't insist on getting a chunk of the royalties from any oil that might be found. Chavez would undoubtedly come to Argentina's defence in the event of hostilities, as would all the other leftist South American leaders, and before long it would be the UK vs. almost all of South America.

On another note, it will be a shame if the unique and wonderful ecology of the Falklands is ruined.
The UK now has a large garrison on the Falklands and no Soviet Union on its back so it can reinforce that garrison with all the naval and air units it cares too.

All of South America could do little against a single Tornado or Eurofighter squadron backed by an E3 and a Trafalgar SSN on the Falklands.
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 7:00 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

dorlomin wrote:

All of South America could do little against a single Tornado or Eurofighter squadron backed by an E3 and a Trafalgar SSN on the Falklands.


And there isn't much chance of Chavez being able to start up a new branch of the FARC among the Falklanders either.
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Oil-Finder
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 8:25 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Starvid wrote:
This one of the few remaining unexplored basins of any reasonable size (think North Sea) in the entire world. There could be some surprises. Smile

Not, not, and many more "nots" in addition to those.
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lawnchair
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 9:35 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Cost issues are a big one. Crappy weather and a *long* way from resupply. The part of Argentina that's a few hundred miles away has half the population density of Wyoming, and isn't friendly to the Falklands anyway. Any broken part is going to be a three-day multi-million dollar airlift at the best.
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 9:49 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

So they haven't drilled one test well in 10 years, yet they know there is 60 billion barrels there?

We have a test well in the Gulf of Mexico (Jack #2) which we know has signicant (but perhaps uneconomic) reserves of oil, but it has been impractical so far to begin regular drilling. This article gives us no idea of the obstacles to drilling faced here, which being in the ocean, I assume are greater than in the GOM.
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joewp
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 11:30 pm    Post subject: Re: Drilling for oil to start in Falkland Islands Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

The Telegraph giveth, and the Telegraph taketh away. Pump and dump anybody?

Telegraph
Quote:

However, there is no mistaking the fact that this is an incredibly high-risk exercise and some of the more enthusiastic investors appear to have got ahead of themselves. The Falklands government estimates that the chances of finding oil are only between 1-in-5 and 1-in-12.

"Some retail investors have got rather over-excited," explained Tony Alves, an oil analyst at KBC Peel Hunt, Falkland Oil and Gas's house broker. "You can't do a rational analysis because you have no idea of what probability of success to attach to these various ventures. But it's not just about finding oil, that's just step one. Then you need to be able to show you can produce it commercially and get on with it."

In addition, the soaring global demand for rigs makes it unlikely that progress - even at this early stage - will be too rapid.

Tim Bushell, chief executive of Falkland Oil and Gas, said he was hopeful that the he would begin drilling next year.

The problem is not just the shortage of available rigs, it's the expense. The record oil price has also pushed the cost of oil services higher and it now costs up to £250,000 a day to rent a semi-submersible oil rig.

The remote location of the Falklands Islands makes life even more difficult for the prospectors as they will have to foot the bill for the significant expense of transporting the rigs to and from the area.

Analysts estimate that Falkland Oil and Gas and BHP's two well drilling programme will soak up around £45m.


IF they start drilling next year and IF they find oil and IF it's enough to make it worth the cost and IF the price of oil stays up (or goes higher) and IF Argentina doesn't start "negotiations" with a cruise missile and IF a storm doesn't do a "Thunderbird" on the drilling platforms and IF...

Then one day some oil might be gotten out of this prospect, but that's an awful lot of "if"s and it perfectly demonstrates that we are near, at, or even past peak if this and the few other "finds" that Oil-Finder has documented are the best thing we have.

Sorry, Oil-Finder, growth has to stop, it's inevitable. Finite planet with finite resources and all that. That's obviously a point you missed when you skimmed Dr. Bartlet's lecture.
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