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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Food Depletion and Peak Oil
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Food Depletion and Peak Oil
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Utopia
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PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 9:36 am    Post subject: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Well, it's good to see article where people are talking about this, but skip the stocks, you cannot eat them, just buy food.

Though food depletion and peak oil is mentioned in the same article, I'm very surprised.

http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/SuperModels/CouldWeReallyRunOutOfFood.aspx
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Ainan
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PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 9:59 am    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Peak oil and peak food on msn? The end is really nigh. Anyone who can buy stores of non-perishable food should do so now. We live in a golden age where a weeks wages can buy a years worth of food which can be preserved for several years.
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dinopello
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PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 10:06 am    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

The article asks

Quote:
Could we really run out of food?


and

Quote:
The very idea that the modern world could run out of food seems ludicrous, but that is the flip side, or cause, of the tremendous recent increase in the cost of raw wheat, corn, rice, oats and soybeans.


I would just quote Lynch or Yergin or one of those fine fellows and say that the stone age didn't end because we ran out of stones. and so the human race will not end due to lack of food. It will end because.. oh, wait... that doesn't work Confused
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steam_cannon
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PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 10:50 am    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Ainan wrote:
Peak oil and peak food on msn? The end is really nigh.
I love this stuff! If I said a few years ago that mainstream news
would be talking about peak oil and even use the word famine, just a
few years ago that would have been crazy talk! Oh how the times
are changing...

Quote:
Empty global cupboards

Shortages are real. The Financial Times reports that rice stocks
have fallen this year to about 70 million tons, the lowest level in 25
years and less than half the total held in global inventories in 2000.
Wheat inventories, called "carry-overs" in the trade, are at 30-year
lows even though world wheat production was actually up 1% last
year. In the past year, reports show, wheat inventories in the
European Union have plunged to 1 million tons from 14 million tons.

A leading Canadian fertilizer executive told analysts recently that
according to his company's calculations, global grain reserves are
"precarious," at just 1.7 months of consumption, down from 3.5
months of reserves as recently as 2000.
I've been talking about this one for a while, it's interesting other people are noticing this too.

They save the worst best stuff for page 2 Twisted Evil
Quote:
Could we really run out of food? Page 2

Now the really bad news is that we might actually have been lucky
in the past few years
, as global warming has lengthened growing
seasons in the American Plains, sometimes called the Saudi Arabia
of corn. BMO's Coxe notes that the U.S. Midwest has enjoyed 17
straight years without significant crop failure, the longest winning
streak on record. If this fortunate run ends soon, we'll likely face a
worldwide crisis.

Some researchers, including climatologist Elwyn Taylor of Iowa
State University, believe it could happen this year, as La Nina
conditions are emerging at a time when the Midwest has become
vulnerable due to a drought creeping up from the South.


Food prices are already way up in America but not as much as feed
prices because manufacturers, processors and retailers such as
Wal-Mart Stores (WMT, news, msgs) have found ways to hold the
line by cutting expenses. But they can dam up the flood of food
inflation for only so long. Just this week, Procter & Gamble (PG,
news, msgs) announced it was raising prices on many of its foods
products, including Folgers coffee. J&J Snack Foods said it would lift
prices by as much as 12% in April to offset costs, and local
newspapers have been rife with stories about pizzerias both raising
prices and cutting back on crust thickness and cheese quantities.

...If global famine is one bad crop away, then surely there is
an investment angle.

...Coxe's solution: As a first step, shut down all ethanol plants
immediately. "It's criminal to burn corn for fuel when we are out of
food
," he said. In a particularly pernicious development, he noted
that a big boost in demand for soybeans for use as biodiesel in
Europe has driven up the price of palm oil in Southeast Asia, where
it is the main source of protein for the poor.

http://tinyurl.com/3297yy
Ethanol and biodiesel are dead ends or end in death, that shouldn't
come to a surprise to anyone here. Pretty heavy stuff for a mainstream
news article. Good find Utopia.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

And the article doesn't mention it, but besides drought in the midwest:
Megadrought - Southwest to Sizzle for 90 Years
http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/story?id=3352465

And so much more...

No bread on the shelves
http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic35034.html
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billp
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PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 6:20 pm    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
Peak oil overthrows green revolution


cheers

From us in the trench.

Smile
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timmac
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Posts: 136

PostPosted: Thu Apr 17, 2008 9:45 pm    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I just heard on the public radio station that China might stop exporting fertilizers because supplys are running low and cost is way up and they need it all for there farmers,, heard that Europe is there biggest buyer and they will be in a big hurt if they stop selling to them,, it also went on to say that crop production with out fertilizers can drop 1/3 yield,, This just cant happen this fast all of a sudden,, Whats Happening,, Did we peak a couple years ago or what...
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anagami
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 18, 2008 12:18 am    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

dinopello wrote:
(...) the stone age didn't end because we ran out of stones. and so the human race will not end due to lack of food. It will end because.. oh, wait... that doesn't work Confused


Can I add that lines to my signature? Laughing
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hironegro
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 18, 2008 4:21 pm    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I think this has to do more with consequences neo-liberal globalism than peak oil at the moment.
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GASMON
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PostPosted: Sun May 04, 2008 1:45 pm    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

timmac wrote:
This just cant happen this fast all of a sudden,, Whats Happening,, Did we peak a couple years ago or what...


Things coming together.

1 Credit crunch. Banks are short of money.

2 No shortage of oil - were at peak, half gone

3 No shortage of food. (Thailand has 2.1 million tons in store).

4 IS a shortage of cash in banks.

The banks books WILL balance at the end of the day.

We are ALL paying for banks follies, via food & energy.

Gasmon
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FoolYap
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PostPosted: Sun May 04, 2008 7:00 pm    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Ainan wrote:
Peak oil and peak food on msn? The end is really nigh. Anyone who can buy stores of non-perishable food should do so now. We live in a golden age where a weeks wages can buy a years worth of food which can be preserved for several years.


What good does it do to store a year's worth of purchased food, if you can't grow the next year's worth when it runs out?

--Steve
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Ferretlover
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PostPosted: Sun May 04, 2008 7:09 pm    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

FoolYap wrote:
Ainan wrote:
Peak oil and peak food on msn? The end is really nigh. Anyone who can buy stores of non-perishable food should do so now. We live in a golden age where a weeks wages can buy a years worth of food which can be preserved for several years.


What good does it do to store a year's worth of purchased food, if you can't grow the next year's worth when it runs out?


That year will give you time to learn to eat other things-bugs, weeds, etc! Laughing
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Ludi
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PostPosted: Sun May 04, 2008 7:53 pm    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

FoolYap wrote:

What good does it do to store a year's worth of purchased food, if you can't grow the next year's worth when it runs out?


Many people find life precious enough they would very much enjoy one more year of life versus dying right away.
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cube
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PostPosted: Sun May 04, 2008 8:44 pm    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Ludi wrote:
FoolYap wrote:

What good does it do to store a year's worth of purchased food, if you can't grow the next year's worth when it runs out?


Many people find life precious enough they would very much enjoy one more year of life versus dying right away.
I never understood why so many people on this site have a bizarre fixation for the long term storage of food. There must be somebody from Paris reading this forum laughing to themselves: "those silly Americans." BTW it's considered "normal" to buy bread twice a day in Paris in small quantities: once in the morning and again in the evening. That way you're guaranteed to have "fresh" food. This is a standard practice from a country that has a GDP per capita of 30% less than America.

To clarify my position, I believe in the die-off scenario (in the long term) but I never never never understood people who hold food in storage for so long. To each his own but seriously folks, I think a more reasonable response to PO is to simply eat lower on the scale. Cooking your own food from raw ingredients instead eating out and buying frozen dinners and other packaged foods. You'll save enough money to survive PO, IMHO.

my 2 cents
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anagami
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PostPosted: Mon May 05, 2008 12:14 am    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Ferretlover wrote:
FoolYap wrote:
Ainan wrote:
Peak oil and peak food on msn? The end is really nigh. Anyone who can buy stores of non-perishable food should do so now. We live in a golden age where a weeks wages can buy a years worth of food which can be preserved for several years.


What good does it do to store a year's worth of purchased food, if you can't grow the next year's worth when it runs out?


That year will give you time to learn to eat other things-bugs, weeds, etc! Laughing


...or humans. There must be a timer of how much a thread lasts without talking of canibalism... what was the other common subject? was it doom?
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mos6507
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PostPosted: Mon May 05, 2008 2:17 am    Post subject: Re: Food Depletion and Peak Oil Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

zensui wrote:
There must be a timer of how much a thread lasts without talking of canibalism...


I guess that's my queue. Sorry, can't resist.

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