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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Freedonia Market Research Analyzes Global Biofuel Demand
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Freedonia Market Research Analyzes Global Biofuel Demand

 
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Graeme
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PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 9:28 pm    Post subject: Freedonia Market Research Analyzes Global Biofuel Demand Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Freedonia Market Research Analyzes Global Biofuel Demand

Quote:
World demand for biofuels will expand at a nearly 20 percent annual pace to 92 million metric tons in 2011, despite recent concerns about the impact of biofuels on the environment and world food supplies. Market expansion will come from a more than doubling of the world market for bioethanol, and even faster increases in global biodiesel demand. Other biofuels will also experience strong growth, though much slower than either biodiesel or bioethanol. On a regional basis, growth will be driven by a rapid expansion of the biofuel market in North America, particularly for bioethanol. The Asia/Pacific region and Western Europe will experience even faster advances, although absolute gains will trail the larger North American market.

World biofuel production will track increases in demand as most countries seek to foster domestic biofuel industries, both to reduce reliance upon imported oil and to spur domestic economic development. This will continue to favor the development of cereal-based (maize and wheat) bioethanol capacity in North America and Western Europe, as well as sugarcane-based bioethanol production in Latin America. Likewise, biodiesel production will center on soybean oil in the Americas, rapeseed oil in Europe, and palm (and increasingly jatropha) oil in the Asia/Pacific region. Next-generation cellulosic bioethanol and algal biodiesel technologies will become commercially significant in the longer term.


transworldnews
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Graeme
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PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 9:41 pm    Post subject: Re: Freedonia Market Research Analyzes Global Biofuel Demand Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Biofuels are the solution, not the problem

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The world is experiencing a bio revolution. You can see it changing everything from medicine, clothing, auto parts, agricultural crops and fuels that power your car. Biotech medicines can now target specific cancer cells, bioengineering is dramatically increasing crop yields, and biofuels are starting to challenge the OPEC oil monopoly.

Biofuels aren’t part of the problem, they’re part of the solution. Because of this new market and 21st-century agriculture practices — less fertilizer, less water, drought-resistant grains and increased yields on existing agriculture land — more crops are being planted and harvested, increasing supply at a time when, in the United States at least, a legislative cap actually restricts the amount of corn that can be directed toward ethanol production.
Ethanol and biodiesel are the most environmentally friendly and economically viable alternative to today’s oil prices.

The more biofuels we produce and use, the less reliant we will be on oil and OPEC ­and the more we will expose cartel members to the new (to them) idea of competition. It is now possible to imagine a world where fuels will compete against each other in a free market.

The more biofuels we produce and use, the more we will help farmers in both the developed and the developing world. Sugar cane in Latin America and the Caribbean, and switchgrass and jatropha in Africa, are untapped biofuel resources that could help the Third World grow out of poverty. We are talking about a progressive agriculture policy that will help governments reduce or eliminate subsidies by making agriculture a more economical and free-market undertaking.

The more biofuels we produce and use, the less we will pollute our environment and contribute to global warming. The simple and well-documented truth is that ethanol and biodiesel burn cleaner than petroleum-based products.


nationalpost
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PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 9:48 pm    Post subject: Re: Freedonia Market Research Analyzes Global Biofuel Demand Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

"I never forget a face, but in your case I'll be glad to make an exception." G. Marx.

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In the movie, tiny Freedonia ("Land of the Spree, and the Home of the Knave") is suffering from severe financial problems, and government leaders request a loan from wealthy widow Mrs. Teasdale to keep things afloat. The widow agrees on the condition that Rufus T. Firefly, played by Groucho Marx, take control and run the country. In the musical number that accompanies Firefly's first day in office, Groucho lets the audience know how things will run, singing lyrics such as "if you think this country's bad off now/Just wait till I get through with it."
You can say the same about biofools Twisted Evil
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Graeme
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 27, 2008 5:05 am    Post subject: Re: Freedonia Market Research Analyzes Global Biofuel Demand Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

GasHole: Dirty Oil and the Biofuel Myth

Quote:
This week marked the world premiere of GasHole, a new documentary film (narrated by Peter Gallagher) about the history of oil prices and the future of alternative fuels.

Biofuel gossip has been everywhere in the news lately. Bolivian President, Evo Morales, condemned the use of valuable farming land for ethanol at the recent U.N. summit, and Roger Cohen pleaded for a moment of sanity, suggesting in his New York Times op-ed that it may be foolish to universally condemn biofuels.


GasHole rejects the notion that the fuel market is a force of nature - one subject to the "will of the neutral market." Rather, the film carefully documents the process of oil barrel pricing, and reveals the numbers are created by men, the most fallible of creatures, susceptible to greed, selfishness, and sociopathic behavior.

Insanity has led us to this place, where oil is over $4.00 in some areas, and many nations face food crises. So some of the blame can be scraped off biofuels and flopped across the shiny, bald heads of oil barons. Who else can share the remaining blame?

GasHole recaps a thirty year history of alternative fuel promises made by U.S. presidents: Nixon, Ford, Carter, right up to President George W. Bush, who received a standing ovation from Congress when he finally said out loud that America has an oil dependency problem. Leaders are forever promising a vigorous campaign of alternative fuel initiatives. They sucker environmentalists into voting for them every four years, and yet nothing ever changes.

This brings us back to the definition of insanity. Year after year, oil and auto lobbyists are permitted access to votes with their dirty money, so it's no wonder environmental issues continually get bumped to the back burners. Expecting shiny new results when that corrupt system is still in place is insane.

This dangerous combination of unfettered greed, lack of serious leadership, dumbasses, and the unwillingness to collectively sacrifice in the name of a better tomorrow has led to this panicked moment of chaos.

Instead of condemning biofuels, the American people should condemn their Washington leadership and the oil industry: the real thieving pirates behind the food shortage.


huffingtonpost
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Graeme
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PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2008 10:58 pm    Post subject: Re: Freedonia Market Research Analyzes Global Biofuel Demand Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Is Ethanol Getting a Bum Rap?

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First, a reality check on corn ethanol, which isn't quite the villain critics make it out to be. Last year, American farmers grew a record 13.1 billion bushels of corn on 85 million acres. Of that, 22% went to make about 7 billion gallons of ethanol. That still left enough corn to supply the domestic market, increase exports to record levels, and stockpile a 10% surplus. McKinsey principal Bill Caesar estimates farmers will be able to keep increasing corn-based ethanol production to 15 billion gallons in 2015 (a level of output mandated by federal policy) without reducing the amount going for food and feed, and without increasing acres planted. The secret: continuing improvements in yields.

Of course, it's impossible to divert nearly one-quarter of the corn crop to fuel without causing prices to rise. Corn is now around $5.50 per bushel, more than double its price in 2005. But this has had a relatively small impact on the broader runup in global food prices. Higher corn costs add 2 cents to a box of corn flakes, or 11 cents to a gallon of milk from corn-fed cows. Corn prices have little to do with the increases in rice and wheat, and only a small connection to soybean price jumps. "Biofuels are a very, very small factor" in rising food costs, says David Morris, vice-president of the Institute for Local Self-Reliance, a nonprofit group that tries to strengthen communities politically and economically around the world.

Even better is biofuel from feedstocks that don't eat into food supplies, displace crops, or cause greenhouse gas emissions from plowing up forests or prairies. One prime candidate is switchgrass, a perennial prairie plant. Thanks to nine-foot-deep roots, switchgrass in test plots in the American Southeast thrived last summer despite an historic drought. The growth and decay of those deep roots also adds carbon to soil, making switchgrass cultivation a boon to fighting global warming. Ceres figures that its new commercial strain of the plant, with improved yields, could be grown on former tobacco, cotton, and rice fields across the southern U.S. "There are a lot of available acres out there," says Ceres' Hamilton.

Instead of throwing out biofuels, the key is to speed up the transition from corn to crops that offer more benefits. There's a surprisingly simple way to do it: Judge fuels on how much greenhouse gas is emitted during their entire production and transport, including emissions caused by converting land from food crops and other uses to fuel crops. Then ratchet down the amount of carbon that's allowed.


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