Don’t worry, just a little bump - $70 is just around the corner. Short traders just keep making those margin calls, mortgage the house if you have to. Fortunes await you! PO is for pansies and doomers. At $70 short some more ..... it is going back to $22 .... the world is awash with oil ........ reality has nothing to do with it, its all in those charts!!!!!!!!!!
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 5:55 am Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
A friend went to trade his late model explorer for an echo. He was offered $100 for the trade. SUV's are going for at least $2000 under kelly blue book price now. That's obviously too high, because even at substantial discounts there are no buyers.
We need a new bumper sticker.
Dummies drive SUV's.
You would have to be brain dead to buy most of the cars the big three are offering. _________________ Deep in the mud and slime of things, even there, something sings.
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 6:20 am Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
Last week, I was told that my husband's 2002 Ford F150 extended cab truck (with all the bells and whistles and in nice condition) had ZERO value as a trade-in on a new car. The dealer suggested I donate it to charity.
Joined: Sep 16, 2004 Posts: 4245 Location: Southwest WI
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 7:26 am Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
MY bro has a 2000 Suburban that he would like to get rid of! Funny. I told him he can give it to me and i'll use it to haul wood. I'll cut off part of the roof so i can load it from the top. The heated leather seats can dry the wood as we fly down the highway getting 10mpg. He did have a good point, he said its probably worth more as scrap.
You could easily get a couple hundred scrap for a big truck. Take of the caddy converters for some more moolah. _________________ "Oil is going up because we use too much oil, and the capacity to replace reserves is dwindling"
-President Bush 11/07/07
Joined: Jun 18, 2004 Posts: 710 Location: Western North Carolina
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 7:43 am Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
Yessir scrap value.
My neighbor scrapped a 96 Isuzu Trooper. He got $135 for the cat, $60 for the AC condenser, $75 for the radiator, $200 for the aluminum wheels, and another $350 for the rest of it the body. A place 30 miles away also gives $150 for any engine and $150 for any transmission so he took the drivetrain there.
Total = $1120
he said he couldn't have sold it for more than $600 as a running vehicle.
Also I notice that people's yard ornaments, I mean junked cars, are disappearing round these parts. This being a not so rich area that used to have lots of yard ornaments....
I saw a very restorable (straight body little rust) 1962 Falcon Sprint on the back of a truck headed into the scrap yard. What a shame.
Dan that was an outstanding analysis of the current big three situation and I agree 100%.
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 8:22 am Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
In a less regulated country, there would be great uses for an SUV.
Dodge Durango V8 should be able to carry 1500 pounds and tow 5500.
5 pax in the SUV (consider it first class), and build a trailer with seating for 20.
Even getting 5 miles per gallon with the combo, you'd still be at 125 pax*miles/gallon... more efficient than (diesel-based) railroads have ever been.
It's just that very few people actually tax the resources of their truck.
I have a truck that only gets about 2500 miles a year on it. Fortunately, my driving record is flawless and I'm in a low-risk area, so it's cheap to keep it insured. Expect the insurance companies to start advertising ultra-low-mileage multi-vehicle plans more, as people keep their trucks and SUVs, but drive them less. _________________ At 1% annual growth, human bodies will incorporate every gram in the observable universe in approximately 10,170 years.
Joined: Jun 20, 2008 Posts: 67 Location: Quebec/Ottawa, Canada
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 8:24 am Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
Roy wrote:
Yessir scrap value.
Also I notice that people's yard ornaments, I mean junked cars, are disappearing round these parts. This being a not so rich area that used to have lots of yard ornaments....
So they are being scrapped for scrap value ?
Canadian gov't is working on a plan to pay $1k or so for 1995 and earlier vehicles to scrap them, as long as they are road driveable and licenced and insured for the last year or so. BC provincial gov't already has a plan in place.
Joined: Dec 06, 2005 Posts: 825 Location: Stopped at the border.
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 10:32 am Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
mobil1 wrote:
Roy wrote:
Yessir scrap value.
Also I notice that people's yard ornaments, I mean junked cars, are disappearing round these parts. This being a not so rich area that used to have lots of yard ornaments....
So they are being scrapped for scrap value ?
Canadian gov't is working on a plan to pay $1k or so for 1995 and earlier vehicles to scrap them, as long as they are road driveable and licenced and insured for the last year or so. BC provincial gov't already has a plan in place.
That must happen in the US too either through taxes or incentives.
Joined: Sep 16, 2004 Posts: 4245 Location: Southwest WI
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 11:24 am Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
lawnchair-
I totally agree. On the flip side, people drive automobiles that have WAY too much torque/hp then they need. I pull a 16ft boat/motor/trailer that totals around 1000pounds no problem with a car that has a little over 100 hp/same amt of torque. I'm sure i could easily tow 1200 or 1300 pounds if i wanted. This while still getting 20+mpg (roughly 25 or so when pulling the boat).
I would love to see a setup like that. You'd need a big trailer to haul a 100 people. Maybe put tall sides on it and make them stand. Be funny as hell to see in winter. _________________ "Oil is going up because we use too much oil, and the capacity to replace reserves is dwindling"
-President Bush 11/07/07
Joined: May 19, 2005 Posts: 759 Location: Merry Ol' USA
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 11:55 am Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
frankthetank wrote:
I would love to see a setup like that. You'd need a big trailer to haul a 100 people. Maybe put tall sides on it and make them stand. Be funny as hell to see in winter.
Great idea, I'd love to see it as well. Kind of a new-age people hauler. I bet cattle'd get a kick out of it: "Gee, it's nice to see them hauling off a load of people to the slaughterhouse for a change". _________________ After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:31 pm Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
U.S. stocks fell sharply Thursday with the blue-chip index enduring its worst June so far since 1930, and plunging to its lowest finish since Sept. 11, 2006, after getting slammed hard as crude soared to new highs and Goldman Sachs disparaged U.S. brokers and advised selling General Motors Corp.
"We're going to move in the opposite direction of oil, and General Motors is going to go out of business, at least according to Goldman Sachs," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Jefferies & Co.
Joined: Sep 16, 2004 Posts: 4245 Location: Southwest WI
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 2:12 pm Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
Hawk-
I agree with you 100%, but if you don't have any money, how are you suppose to pay? A family member (through marriage) works for Chrysler here in WI. I haven't talked to him lately, but next time i'll have to see how things are. I know he was going to take a buyout or something last time i saw him. I know his wife works retail and i doubt has anything for retirement...i'm guessing both are counting on his.
If your an employee with a little common sense, i think the writing has been on the walls for a few years.
The worse part is the upper management clowns that still get paid gobs of money to destroy a company. Nothing new here in the land of the free, home of the brave. _________________ "Oil is going up because we use too much oil, and the capacity to replace reserves is dwindling"
-President Bush 11/07/07
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 4:55 pm Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
Dan1195 wrote:
Their most obvious mistake is that that they all assumed 3-4 years ago that the initial rises in the price of oil were temporary. This widely held belief was combined with the booming sales of large trucks and SUV's by a general public that likewise believed this to be the case. ..
Due to the significant lead time between initial concepts of models and model improvements and the availability of said model in their showroom, most stuff on the lot today was meant for $1.50/gallon gasoline.
Well, I recall hearing how Chrysler at least had fitured how to bring a vehicle from concption on the "drawing board" - actually a CAD screen - into physical production in like 2.5 - 3 years. I recall Lee Iacocca bragging about that way back int he late 80's. So, what we are seeing today as "new" was conceived about the time of Hurricane Katrina. With all their crackerjack economists and deft executive talent, you say they could not have foreseen peak oil? Hell, I knew about peak oil back in 2002 when the Globe and Mail Report on Business magazine had a long article about it, which I researched and came to see the light. I am just regular engineer, not a multi-million a year executive. So, how could I have seen it, and they did not?
They must have been asleep at the switch or something.
By the way, reading that article was maybe the best hour investment of my time ever. It has given me so much insight into market expectations. It has led me to put my limited investments into the right places and take a modest pool of savings into something to retire on.
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 7:54 pm Post subject: Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread
Denny wrote:
With all their crackerjack economists and deft executive talent, you say they could not have foreseen peak oil? Hell, I knew about peak oil back in 2002 when the Globe and Mail Report on Business magazine had a long article about it, which I researched and came to see the light. I am just regular engineer, not a multi-million a year executive. So, how could I have seen it, and they did not?
They must have been asleep at the switch or something.
Chrysler is an embarrassment right now, and on death's door. Walk into a Chrysler showroom today, and the most efficient vehicle they can show you (a Caliber) gets not a whit better gas mileage than a carbureted 1981 Aries K-Car. Except that the K-Car was actually a pretty roomy 5 passenger car (and was available as a wagon). The Caliber, not so much.
That's not to say they weren't making plans for an oil crunch. Five years ago, DaimlerChrysler expected that by today, every Dodge showroom in Podunk, Middle America would sell and warranty the Daimler Smart car, as well as a lineup of smaller captive imports from China (probably Chery Automotive).
Both those deals fell through, for many reasons, leaving Chrysler to sell the bigger vehicles (that they had planned to keep making in North America), and scrambling to put together some warmed-over crap in the car market. Had both deals succeeded, Chrysler (as a very different company) would be doing better than the rest right now. _________________ At 1% annual growth, human bodies will incorporate every gram in the observable universe in approximately 10,170 years.
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