Peak Oil News

 

  Login or Register
 
Menu
 News
 Search
 Topics
 Stories Archive
 Submit News
 Discussions
 Code of Conduct
 Forums
 Forums Search
 Last 24 Hours
 PO 24hrs
 Peak Blog
 Resources
 About Us
 Downloads
 Web Links
 PeakWiki
 PeakPortal
 Focus Search
 Peak TV
 Peak Oil Boston
 Houston Peak Oil
 Members
 Your Account
 Members List
 Ignore List
 JOIN!
 Private Messages
 
google
 
PeakSpeak
NICKNAME

Download TeamSpeak
What is PeakSpeak?
Peak Oil on IRC
 
Photo Album
Submit Photo
Peakoil.com is You!


member photos
 
Light Sweet Crude Oil
 
Member Quotes
Like the illusion of Wall Street, with its vast and powerful investment banks, now shuttered, China too is an illusion perpetuated by the Globalists that gave us the 15,000 mile Caesar salad, poisoned cat food and lead based paint on babies' pacifiers. Like the illusion that money would come from thin air to always push housing prices higher, China has spent a generation pursuing its illusion. Pursuing an unattainable dream to be like the West, while 6000 years of its carefully shepherded top soil blows into the sea.

shortonoil

Suggest Quote

 
ICM
Cisco & Net App Training
 
Peak Oil News: Forums

Peakoil.com :: View topic - THE Fortis Thread (merged) ( was Fortis chairman predicts
 Forum FAQForum FAQ   SearchSearch   UsergroupsUsergroups   ProfileProfile   Log in to check your private messagesLog in to check your private messages   Log inLog in 

THE Fortis Thread (merged) ( was Fortis chairman predicts
Goto page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next
 
Post new topic   Reply to topic   Printer-friendly version    Peakoil.com Forum Index -> Current Events
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
socrates1fan
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Jun 04, 2008
Posts: 284

PostPosted: Tue Jul 01, 2008 11:06 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

lorenzo wrote:
something_awfull wrote:
Are we there yet?
He said: within a few days. They predict stormy weather by Friday over here.

I'm probably too poor to notice the affects lol. Why haven't we felt it yet? I mean, we are all facing these tough economic times but it doesn't feel like this week is changing any faster than last week.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Mesuge
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: Nov 01, 2005
Posts: 846
Location: Euro high horse bastard on the run

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 3:53 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Socrates> remember the end of roaring 1920s ? And that crash came about relatively fast both in the US/Europe/Worldwide, now it can play out only that much faster.

The signs are all there, rising energy demand/no supply, no new rafineries, oil company investment funds not proping up the free falling stock of Detroit anymore, ... , writing is on the wall..

The "positive message" is in the proportionality, as an example if the U.S. economy gets hit by 80% destruction, the E.U. only by 55% etc.. hah
_________________
DOOMerotron: at all-time high [8.1] out of 10..
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
lorenzo
Fission
Fission


Joined: Jan 01, 2005
Posts: 2231

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 7:32 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

socrates1fan wrote:
lorenzo wrote:
something_awfull wrote:
Are we there yet?
He said: within a few days. They predict stormy weather by Friday over here.
I'm probably too poor to notice the affects lol. Why haven't we felt it yet? I mean, we are all facing these tough economic times but it doesn't feel like this week is changing any faster than last week.

Maybe the proverbial cartoon character just ran off the cliff, and is now running in mid air. It has to fall some time soon now. In any case, you do have a point: ordinary citizens like you and me don't seem to feel much of all these "crises".

Gas prices are up, yes, but they don't really hurt. I don't drive less. My tiny investments aren't doing all that well, but luckily I put them in a portfolio that more or less guarantees modest returns. So here too, I don't really stress about things.

The problem is that a "crash" is a pretty violent event that happens suddenly, is unstoppable, and leaves nobody immune. So we'll have to wait and see. The good thing is that many people are at least prepared psychologically. They know something could be coming.
_________________
The Beginning is Near!
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
DantesPeak
Expert
Expert


Joined: Oct 23, 2004
Posts: 5928
Location: New Jersey

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 8:13 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I have tried to find out more details about Fortis said, without much success. Anyway someone else agrees with what they said about General Motors:
Quote:
GM Bankruptcy `Not Impossible,' Merrill Analyst Says By Adam Haigh and Jeff Green
July 2 (Bloomberg) -- General Motors Corp. was cut to ``underperform'' from ``buy'' by Merrill Lynch & Co., which said ``bankruptcy is not impossible'' for the largest U.S. automaker.
``The key change in our outlook is a much lower forecast for U.S. auto sales that is driving a higher cash burn necessitating a much larger capital raise than the market is currently anticipating,'' New York-based analyst John Murphy wrote in a note to clients today.
Bloomberg
_________________
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
jdmartin
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: May 19, 2005
Posts: 812
Location: Merry Ol' USA

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 12:30 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I searched and it appears to be a hoax as far as I can see. I suspected as much, because I don't believe for a second that CEOs are going to make public any kind of knowledge they might have or suspect about a global economic meltdown. They're going to save their own asses first, and that doesn't include making your stock options worthless.

My guess is people won't know what's hitting them until it's already hit them - they're not going to get an "Oh, by the way" from some CEO somewhere...
_________________
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Gerben
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Mar 07, 2007
Posts: 391
Location: Holland, Belgica Foederata (Republic of the Seven United Netherlands)

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 1:48 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

jdmartin wrote:
I searched and it appears to be a hoax as far as I can see. I suspected as much, because I don't believe for a second that CEOs are going to make public any kind of knowledge they might have or suspect about a global economic meltdown.

You mean you believe the article is a hoax? I have it in writing. Front page of the financial section in a large Dutch newspaper. (Yes I read Dutch) It doesn't have to happen that way. The article exists.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
JustaGirl
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Apr 09, 2008
Posts: 139
Location: Petoria

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 2:31 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Well just look at the Dow right now, down 166. This is bad, real bad Sad
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
DantesPeak
Expert
Expert


Joined: Oct 23, 2004
Posts: 5928
Location: New Jersey

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 2:38 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Gerben wrote:
jdmartin wrote:
I searched and it appears to be a hoax as far as I can see. I suspected as much, because I don't believe for a second that CEOs are going to make public any kind of knowledge they might have or suspect about a global economic meltdown.
You mean you believe the article is a hoax? I have it in writing. Front page of the financial section in a large Dutch newspaper. (Yes I read Dutch) It doesn't have to happen that way. The article exists.

It's no hoax, and the basic story was repeated in several other publications, such as the Economist. Other than some minor translation problems, this thread fairly accurately represents the theme of what Fortis is saying.
_________________
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Fences
Coal
Coal


Joined: Mar 25, 2006
Posts: 10

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 3:01 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I second Gerben and Lorenzo, this is true, not a hoax at all. I am Belgian, this story has been all over the main quality newspapers and state TV for the last couple of days.

As far as I understand, Votron (CEO of Fortis) is hedging against an expected financial meltdown in the US, and he is backed by Lippens, the chairman. And they're even taking an 68% free-fall in shares value as an acceptible consequence. Still seems credible to me.

I double checked the link and can confirm everything Lorenzo states in his post about the newsitem on Belgian (actually flemmish) state TV. Seems like some sensible people (a ceo and a chairman of a major Belgian-Dutch bank) have finally made a stand.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
JJ
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Aug 07, 2007
Posts: 430

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 8:51 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

{quote abbreviated per CoC}
Quote:
July 2, 2008 at 13:05:33 Fortis Prediction of US Bank Meltdown a Net Hoax: The Making of an Urban Legend by Paul Haughey Page 1 of 1 page(s) link

This article documents how an urban legend got started the weekend of June 28-29, 2008, how and why urban legends spread virally, and what you can do to spot them and stop them. On Sunday, June 29, I received several forwarded articles alleging a large European banking conglomerate predicted a United States financial "meltdown" within coming weeks.

The forwarded story led me to a blog, not a news site, which alleged to provide a one paragraph abbreviation of the story, introduced by the statement "I was shocked to read the following, which was posted 4 hours ago...". The article alleges that Fortis chairman, Maurice Lippens, expects 6,000 US banks to file for bankruptcy in coming weeks. It mentions that even large financial institutions, such as Citigroup and General Motors, will also be affected, and these events will start a complete financial meltdown in the United States.

STORY DOES NOT HOLD UP TO SCRUTINY
A quick internet search revealed the same abbreviated "article" -- only one paragraph long, with the exact same introductory statement -- has been posted on 269 other blogs and discussion boards. Most of these discussion boards allow anonymous posts, with no accountability required by the poster or author (such as the Sean Hannity fan site, the Ron Paul discussion board, etc). The story can also be found on Digg and other viral marketing and web ring sites, and I predict that you will probably see this many more times, on discussion boards or in emails, for months or years to come.

Most posts also claim that the original story was written in Dutch, and a few even contained a dead link to the alleged original story on Da Telegraaf, a Dutch news submission site. After searching the Da Telegraaf site, I was able to find the original story, which was submitted anonymously. It had no author, it sited no source, it came from no news syndicate (such as Reuters or Associated Press), and it was submitted to no news syndicates.

My first reaction to the story was that it contained all the elements of a net rumor or an urban legend, the kind my grandfather likes to forward to me: Bill Gates will give you $1,000 for forwarding his email; Obama isn't really a US citizen; undocumented Mexican laborers are going to get $1 trillion in free US health care but you are not; car jackers are going to steal your car by putting a flyer on your window; etc.
I next searched every legitimate news site I could think of, including press release sites, blogs or personal web sites by Fortis directors or employees, interviews, oral or written public statements, etc. I found no predictions of 6,000 bankruptcies.
THE REAL FORTIS STORY ...
link and link
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Homesteader
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Apr 12, 2007
Posts: 1198
Location: Central NC

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 9:23 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Anything is possible I suppose. However here are a few more links:

AMSTERDAM (Thomson Financial) - Expectations at Fortis that the U.S. markets are on the verge of "meltdown" were behind the Benelux bank's decision last week to launch a sweeping recapitalisation programme, said chairman Maurice Lippens. "We were saved at the last minute. Things in the U.S. are going far worse that people think," Lippens said in an interview with De Telegraaf. link

" AMSTERDAM: The supervisory board chairman of Fortis defended the Dutch-Belgian bank's measure to shore up its finances, saying they were taken because banks would likely face more trouble ahead.
Chairman Maurice Lippens said on Friday the bank had taken extraordinary measures due to the exceptional circumstances. "We do it because the economic circumstances and what we see in America make us think it will get a lot worse before it gets better," Lippens told Dutch broadcaster RTL Z in an interview." link

Has Fortis denied the statement?
_________________
"The era of procrastination, of half-measures, of soothing and baffling expedients, of delays, is coming to a close. In its place we are entering a period of consequences…"
Sir Winston Churchill
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
DantesPeak
Expert
Expert


Joined: Oct 23, 2004
Posts: 5928
Location: New Jersey

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 9:33 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

JJ - no offense but first we are not allowed to quote a story - or perhaps a blog - at length. Just give part of the article and the link.

Secondly, I have checked various news sources (for which I lack time to find all over again) that did confirm the basic premise of this thread. So the blog complaining about other bloggers is basically wrong, except for the long winded explanation that some blogs can blow things out of proportion. That may be true sometimes, but not this time.

Anyway I posted on the credit collapse thread before all these predictions came out with essentially the same comments. So whether Fortis or someone else says we are having a financial collapse of some sort or not, we are still going to have one - like it or not.
_________________
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
SchroedingersCat
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude


Joined: May 26, 2005
Posts: 536

PostPosted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 9:59 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

When the credit crunch started all the players had each others' backs. News was kept to a minimum. Everyone was saying this is only a blip, things will turn around soon.

Things have taken an ugly turn as it has become apparent that it's not getting better, and won't anytime soon. Rating agencies are slashing ratings to try and keep some shred of credibility. Banks are pointing out the liabilities of each other in an attempt to keep their stock above water.

I think what Fortis has done is just such a move. They are in trouble and are trying to re-capitalize to save their skins and are trash-talking the rest of the industry to divert suspicion. I think we will see more of this behavior from the big players.
_________________
Civilization is a personal choice.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
JJ
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude


Joined: Aug 07, 2007
Posts: 430

PostPosted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 4:46 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

DantesPeak wrote:
JJ - no offense but first we are not allowed to quote a story - or perhaps a blog - at length. Just give part of the article and the link.
Secondly, I have checked various news sources (for which I lack time to find all over again) that did confirm the basic premise of this thread. So the blog complaining about other bloggers is basically wrong, except for the long winded explanation that some blogs can blow things out of proportion. That may be true sometimes, but not this time.
Anyway I posted on the credit collapse thread before all these predictions came out with essentially the same comments. So whether Fortis or someone else says we are having a financial collapse of some sort or not, we are still going to have one - like it or not.

a) sorry, didn't realize it was against coc

and
b) thank you for taking the time to respond. I am not a naysayer; I most certainly believe everything is going to collapse. There has been a great deal of interest in my circle about this subject, someone sent me this article so I posted it.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
eXpat
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Jun 08, 2006
Posts: 1075

PostPosted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 6:29 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

lorenzo wrote:
something_awfull wrote:
Are we there yet?
He said: within a few days. They predict stormy weather by Friday over here.
Certainly today is not looking good, link
Quote:
LONDON (Reuters) - A global sell-off knocked world shares to a five-month low on Thursday as surging oil fanned concerns about inflation and slowing growth, just hours ahead of an expected euro zone interest rate hike and a key U.S. jobs report. The gloom was rampant everywhere with Tokyo stocks setting their longest losing streak in more than half a century while the dollar hit a two-month low against the euro. Government bonds largely benefited from a global risk aversion.

The European Central Bank is set to become the first G7 central bank to raise interest rates since the credit crisis erupted in August. The decision is due at 12:45 p.m. At 1:30 p.m., ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet gives a news conference and at the same time the U.S. non-farm payrolls data is due.

Tightening comes as the global economy struggles with the chilling effects of an almost one-year-old financial turmoil. "This has been a summer of thunder storms that have been building up for some time," said Justin Urquhart Stewart, investment director at Seven Investment Management.

"Only now are people beginning to realise quite how dark this particular storm is looking, but it's been a long time coming. The FTSEurofirst 300 index was down 1.5 percent, hitting a level not seen since July 2005. MSCI main world equity index fell 0.7 percent to its lowest since January 23, breaching the low set during the height of Bear Stearns crisis in March.

_________________
Stocking up on popcorn Smile
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic   Printer-friendly version    Peakoil.com Forum Index -> Current Events All times are GMT - 6 Hours
Goto page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next
Page 3 of 5

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum

Atom News FeedRSS 1.0 News FeedRSS 2.0 News FeedRSS Forums Feed