Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 10:59 am Post subject: Environmental Services Industry Booming
So I have been tracking the activities of industries directly related to peak oil, including associated environmental remediation markets as an indicator of where we really stand in confronting the massive environmental challenges ahead of us.
If there is anything that the so called "free market" system does well, it's getting on top of potentially profitable trends. By examining these commercial efforts we can deduce the level of engagement on a variety of environmental topics, as well as make some meaningful predictions about the future based on the trend analysis.
I like to examine primarily environmental remediation & disaster prevention companies which I consider to have much more real-world impact than stuff like indoor mold remediation for example. These industrial caliber outfits handle things like cleaning up hazardous material sites, radioactive remediation, environmental compliance monitoring etc...
While the governmental side of environmental services is an influential and useful contribution, it can never match the power the market has to transform the landscape of a given market.
Make almost anything profitable, and business will make it happen... guaranteed.
Peak Oil means the smart money goes into oil-alternative businesses, for very obvious reasons. A person could look at Peak Oil, and conclude that there are significant opportunities in environmental services, based on the idea of servicing the needs of oil-alternative companies, who in many cases, will have painful environmental challenges to handle.
Imagine the scope of what is happening to the global energy business as companies & governments struggle with ever increasing prices for conventional oil. We will strip-mine Canada for oil... level the rocky mountains for shale... exploit our nature preserves... convert coal into oil... and on and on.
All these activities have terrible environmental consequences both in terms of destroying ecosystems, and accelerating greenhouse gas emissions from these very dirty fuel sources. Even gentle solar businesses use heroic amounts of electricity in manufacturing.
So, if my theory is correct about the market following trends, then we should see many new ventures into markets to serve these needs.
Sure enough... amazing growth in new companies & new initiatives from existing companies. There is a buying, merging, partnering frenzy going on that reminds me of the DOT com days, where an entire new market was being born in months rather than years.
Fluor, (a giant energy company), is well ahead of the curve looking at co2 sequestration technology for coal power plants, in anticipation of future demand.
Quote:
The primary focus of this partnership is to enhance the technology and to demonstrate its application to safely separate carbon from the flue gas of a coal-fired power plant. This will be the first demonstration of the technology on a coal-fired power plant. Both companies, in applying the Econamine FG+ process, will demonstrate an optimized adaptation of the CO2 scrubbing process that complies with U.S. and EU environmental requirements. E.ON brings essential experience in the operation and engineering of coal-fired power plants to this strategic partnership.
Small & medium sized companies are re-capitalizing to expand their services in anticipation of mounting demand. USA Environment just partnered with an investment firm for exactly this reason...
Quote:
Wingate Partners and USA Environment LP (USA) have joined forces in a recapitalization of USA.
USA is a full-service environmental contractor that provides a full range of high-end environmental services. The company is a licensed contractor in 30 states that specializes in turnkey solutions for any environmental construction, remediation, industrial services, radioactive material handling, disposal, transportation or spill problem.
And so forth & so on... too many to really track, but a very clear indicator that despite their silent treatment of peak oil, many seem quite aware of what's coming.
It would be interesting to see some gross statistics showing percent growth broken down by service I think.
Your dog wants remediation. _________________ "When you understand why you dismiss all the other possible gods, you will understand why I dismiss yours." - Stephen F Roberts.
Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 11:35 am Post subject: Re: Environmental Services Industry Booming
I climb smokestacks and measure pollution emissions for a living. Stack testing is one of the most expensive environmental services out there, and business has been booming for 10+years.
Anything air pollution related is on fire, and has been for 10 years. Engineering, permitting, compliance, controls, etd.
Air remidiation is a recent phenomenon, and if the air business follows the water and soil business, it will be a huge growth opportunity. I have several clients working on pilot capture/storage systems, with plans for commercial CO2 disposal systems. Surprisingly, these are the same energy companies that deny global warming. I guess the potential to make another dollar from the carbon they dredge out of the ground and sell to the rest of us to burn is pretty appealing.
Of course, if the economy collapses, there will be no way to pay for this.
Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 11:44 am Post subject: Re: Environmental Services Industry Booming
This is the kind of thread that I would like to see more of on this site. I realize that there are a bunch of people here who think that we're headed towards a huge cliff that make such interests totally futile. But I don't believe that anymore than I believed my Merrill Lynch broker.
I've been reading a little about FLR too. It's a good solid stock to own in times of expensive oil/gas.
I thought OilFinder's threads were useful. He/she was pointing out the tremedous profitability of the Barnett and Marcellus Shales for cracking out natural gas.
Well, CHK and REXX and all that group of companies have been putting on a real tear since about the time OilFinder was first posting on the subject. Everybody else on the thread just ganged up on OilFinder, though, because they weren't interested in investing - they were only interested in maintaining their "Nothing can save us" point-of-view.
I just bought some REXX. Gonna buy some more as soon as I can.
Also, InvestcoPowerShares just came out with a Global Wind Energy Exchange Traded Fund (PWND). It's more narrowly focused on wind energy than the other one they've come out with (FAN) which is more diversified.
I am NOT some kind of genius stockpicker. My ascent is based upon sector picks. Essentially here's what I did: I went long on energy, especially oil related stocks, also natural gas, some utilities, renewables (selectively). I went long railways, short airlines. To a lesser extent I went long precious metals, especially after the correction. I grabbed a few ultrashorts.
Rudolph Steiner wrote:
Why did I make these sector choices? This is where it gets more interesting, I think. Here are my investment assumptions, which I have been working with for about 2 years in real life and 1.5 years in CAPS.
1) Conventional oil is at or nearing a global production peak. If you are not aware of peak oil then you should read this and/or visit http://www.energybulletin.net/ to learn more. Natural gas may be nearing a peak, coal is not as limitless as previously assumed (the energy content in particular is declining), and even nuclear will have a limited supply (neighbourhood of 50-100 years) of fuel if it is seriously ramped up globally. In short, the supply demand equation for energy is fundamentally changing because supply cannot continue to grow much more, and many of todays sources of energy will begin to decline, certainly within our lifetimes and likely much sooner.
2) Energy demand growth, and commodities growth in general, is being driven...
Joined: Jun 28, 2005 Posts: 352 Location: san jose CA
Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 4:11 pm Post subject: Re: Environmental Services Industry Booming
You guys might want to look into TMEN too for a stock play. They apparently have developed or so they claim at least some cutting edge clean coal/coal to liquids technology. They also have water sanitation tech too.
Joined: Apr 27, 2007 Posts: 4353 Location: The Great Sonoran Desert
Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 4:20 pm Post subject: Re: Environmental Services Industry Booming
URS, Tetra Tech, Bechtel, EDAW, etc are big dogs in this field...
I have news for "environmental" remediation/mit compliance/NEPA firms...
And I posted this here about a year ago...
Quote:
Title 40 CFR
§ 1506.11 Emergencies.
[b]Where emergency circumstances make it necessary to take an action with significant environmental impact without observing the provisions of these regulations, the Federal agency taking the action should consult with the Council about alternative arrangements.[/b] Agencies and the Council will limit such arrangements to actions necessary to control the immediate impacts of the emergency. Other actions remain subject to NEPA review.
NEPA and environmental compliance/remediation is going away because of these 3 sentences.
Hmmmm - wonder what "alternative arrangements" are...
I will tell you what they are...
Screw the environment and build the power plant.
Savvy? _________________ "There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins
"... hope is a rotten-thighed whore" Niko Kazantzakis
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