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emailking Intermediate Crude


Joined: Mar 11, 2006 Posts: 747
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Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 11:52 pm Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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| I honestly don't think at this point there's always a clean explanation for a swing of a couple bucks. Maybe back at $20/barrel this would be the case. I know the media likes to do it but the explanations all seem so random. It seems like on any given day you could use a number of their favorite reasons to explain why it either should have gone up or gone down. |
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smallpoxgirl Moderator


Joined: Nov 08, 2004 Posts: 5210
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Posted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 1:10 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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With the price where it is, there's going to be a couple of dollars of push and shove in the market. I'm not sure that the stuff the news reporters give as explanations is necessarily wrong, but I'm also not sure it really matters. Maybe a butterfly flapping it's wings in Borneo really did cause prices to rise $0.50. Why should anyone really care? _________________ "I was born in a deep forest
I wish I could live here all my life
I am made from stones and roots
My home, these woods and roads
All my life I loved this sound
Of the woods all around
Eagles fly where the winds blow free" -Korpiklaani |
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idiom Heavy Crude


Joined: Aug 23, 2004 Posts: 369 Location: New Zealand
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Posted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 2:43 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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| Where did the $10 swings go? It is like the market is accepting Peak Oil and its just slowly working its way up with much smaller swings now. |
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ReducedToZero Tar Sands


Joined: Jun 29, 2008 Posts: 82 Location: San Luis Obispo, CA / San Jose, CA
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Posted: Sat Jul 05, 2008 3:29 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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i think Mr Bill mentioned the Positive Feedbacks of oil...
Conflict Feedback
Speculative Feedback (possibly)
Production Feedback (think EROEI)
we might begin to see smaller swings... |
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Duende Heavy Crude


Joined: Nov 27, 2004 Posts: 175 Location: Federal City, USA
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Posted: Sun Jul 06, 2008 5:40 pm Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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| idiom wrote: | | Where did the $10 swings go? |
Lest we forget that, up until a few years ago, that was the price of oil!  _________________ Business as usual is about to get unusual. |
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lowem Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Jul 19, 2004 Posts: 1118 Location: Singapore
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Posted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 2:57 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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Kind of quiet in the oil markets today, drifting around the $143 level.
The proverbial calm before the storm? _________________ Live quotes - crude oil, gold and currencies
http://www.post1.net/lowem/page/livequotes |
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simontay78 Heavy Crude


Joined: May 01, 2006 Posts: 183 Location: SG
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LGW Tar Sands


Joined: Aug 31, 2005 Posts: 23 Location: Sweden
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Posted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 4:47 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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| Down at $143. What a bargain. Praise the Lord, our Salvation has come! |
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lowem Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Jul 19, 2004 Posts: 1118 Location: Singapore
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Posted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 9:24 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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Back to $140 support.
Crude oil tumbles. Peak Oil is cancelled.  _________________ Live quotes - crude oil, gold and currencies
http://www.post1.net/lowem/page/livequotes |
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Sketh Tar Sands


Joined: Jul 02, 2005 Posts: 60
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Posted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 10:04 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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| lowem wrote: | Back to $140 support.
Crude oil tumbles. Peak Oil is cancelled.  |
It's dipped below $140, so I think the correct word is 'collapses'.  |
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lowem Light Sweet Crude


Joined: Jul 19, 2004 Posts: 1118 Location: Singapore
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Posted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 10:14 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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| Sketh wrote: | It's dipped below $140, so I think the correct word is 'collapses'.  |
Ah yes - "falls off the cliff" also comes to mind.  _________________ Live quotes - crude oil, gold and currencies
http://www.post1.net/lowem/page/livequotes |
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Sketh Tar Sands


Joined: Jul 02, 2005 Posts: 60
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Posted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 10:26 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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| lowem wrote: | Ah yes - "falls off the cliff" also comes to mind.  |
My apologies, lowem - you were right first time.
CNN - Oil prices tumble more than $5 |
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Sys1 Intermediate Crude


Joined: Feb 25, 2005 Posts: 606
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Posted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 5:34 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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| I would like to see oil getting down to 90 something $ a barrel. A this time, I would put at least 60% of my bank account on oil for the next rally to 200. |
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Dan1195 Heavy Crude


Joined: Mar 19, 2005 Posts: 245
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Posted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 6:53 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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| Probably a pullback to 40 dma. Not sure where that is at the moment, I am guessing 130-135. |
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chuck6877 Intermediate Crude


Joined: May 16, 2005 Posts: 510
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Posted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 7:14 am Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) |
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I was thinking the same thing about it going to the 40 day moving average which the oil price has been above since early February. It's currently at $132.64 as shown by the blue line below.
If we go below the blue 40dma we could witness the major correction a lot of us have been expecting back to the red 200 day moving average. I don't see it correcting there until after the summer though and only very, very briefly........
I just edited this to add the 20 day moving average as seen in green. Smallpoxgirl you always mention this average and it was support throughout that last consolidation and may be support now before we run up to $150....
Chuck |
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