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Peakoil.com :: View topic - Another Record ($147.27)
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Another Record ($147.27)
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emailking
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Mar 11, 2006
Posts: 747

PostPosted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 11:52 pm    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I honestly don't think at this point there's always a clean explanation for a swing of a couple bucks. Maybe back at $20/barrel this would be the case. I know the media likes to do it but the explanations all seem so random. It seems like on any given day you could use a number of their favorite reasons to explain why it either should have gone up or gone down.
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smallpoxgirl
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 1:10 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

With the price where it is, there's going to be a couple of dollars of push and shove in the market. I'm not sure that the stuff the news reporters give as explanations is necessarily wrong, but I'm also not sure it really matters. Maybe a butterfly flapping it's wings in Borneo really did cause prices to rise $0.50. Why should anyone really care?
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idiom
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Joined: Aug 23, 2004
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 2:43 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Where did the $10 swings go? It is like the market is accepting Peak Oil and its just slowly working its way up with much smaller swings now.
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ReducedToZero
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Joined: Jun 29, 2008
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Location: San Luis Obispo, CA / San Jose, CA

PostPosted: Sat Jul 05, 2008 3:29 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

i think Mr Bill mentioned the Positive Feedbacks of oil...
Conflict Feedback
Speculative Feedback (possibly)
Production Feedback (think EROEI)
we might begin to see smaller swings...
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Duende
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Joined: Nov 27, 2004
Posts: 175
Location: Federal City, USA

PostPosted: Sun Jul 06, 2008 5:40 pm    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

idiom wrote:
Where did the $10 swings go?

Lest we forget that, up until a few years ago, that was the price of oil! Smile
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lowem
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 2:57 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Kind of quiet in the oil markets today, drifting around the $143 level.

The proverbial calm before the storm?
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simontay78
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Joined: May 01, 2006
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 3:08 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

We just entered the eye of the storm...very eerily quite.
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LGW
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Joined: Aug 31, 2005
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 4:47 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Down at $143. What a bargain. Praise the Lord, our Salvation has come!
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lowem
Light Sweet Crude
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 9:24 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Back to $140 support.

Crude oil tumbles. Peak Oil is cancelled. Laughing
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Sketh
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 10:04 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

lowem wrote:
Back to $140 support.
Crude oil tumbles. Peak Oil is cancelled. Laughing

It's dipped below $140, so I think the correct word is 'collapses'. Wink
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lowem
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 10:14 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Sketh wrote:
It's dipped below $140, so I think the correct word is 'collapses'. Wink

Ah yes - "falls off the cliff" also comes to mind. Laughing
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Sketh
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Joined: Jul 02, 2005
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PostPosted: Mon Jul 07, 2008 10:26 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

lowem wrote:
Ah yes - "falls off the cliff" also comes to mind. Laughing

My apologies, lowem - you were right first time.
CNN - Oil prices tumble more than $5
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Sys1
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: Feb 25, 2005
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PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 5:34 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I would like to see oil getting down to 90 something $ a barrel. A this time, I would put at least 60% of my bank account on oil for the next rally to 200.
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Dan1195
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Joined: Mar 19, 2005
Posts: 245

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 6:53 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Probably a pullback to 40 dma. Not sure where that is at the moment, I am guessing 130-135.
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chuck6877
Intermediate Crude
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Joined: May 16, 2005
Posts: 510

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 7:14 am    Post subject: Re: Another Record ($145.85) Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I was thinking the same thing about it going to the 40 day moving average which the oil price has been above since early February. It's currently at $132.64 as shown by the blue line below.


If we go below the blue 40dma we could witness the major correction a lot of us have been expecting back to the red 200 day moving average. I don't see it correcting there until after the summer though and only very, very briefly........

I just edited this to add the 20 day moving average as seen in green. Smallpoxgirl you always mention this average and it was support throughout that last consolidation and may be support now before we run up to $150....

Chuck
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