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Peakoil.com :: View topic - When do we hit $150 oil?
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When do we hit $150 oil?
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When do we hit $150 oil?
Next year
3%
 3%  [ 5 ]
Next quarter
18%
 18%  [ 25 ]
Next month
35%
 35%  [ 49 ]
Next week
16%
 16%  [ 22 ]
Next trading day
0%
 0%  [ 1 ]
ANY TIME NOW!!!
25%
 25%  [ 35 ]
Total Votes : 137

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misterno
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Joined: Mar 07, 2007
Posts: 301
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PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 8:13 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Russian and Mexican production are definitely dropping. Yet there is no demand destruction in India and China.

In the long run, oil will go up. It should go up.
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DantesPeak
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PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 9:06 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Six months ago most were amazed that oil reached $100, now the question is whether it will stay less than $150 the remainder of 2008. How far we have come.

My opinion is that the economic weakness will cause world central bankers/governments to increase inflation. Thereby prices will actually rise faster when the economy is weakening faster.

Didn't anyone notice the official CBO projection is for a federal deficit of $400 billion this fiscal year - and the recession has hardly got going? That $400 billion will be financed by inflationary Fed policies, and next year, there will be an even bigger deficit to finance.
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Niagara
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 11, 2008 7:35 am    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Niagara wrote:
I'll crawl out onto the limb. Someone has to.

I'll say 2010.

Demand destruction is really kicking in now, the US is officially in a recession and in a 'bear' market now.


I'm retracting my prediction. All bets are off now due to geo-political concerns namely the heightened threat of an invasion of Iran.

While demand destruction should depress oil prices, this is overshadowed by far more serious supply concerns.

The limb is creaking, I'm backing out Sad
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smallpoxgirl
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 11, 2008 7:42 am    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I'm betting today is the day we hit $150. If not, it will stop just short at 149 something and wait a week or two to break through.
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KevO
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 11, 2008 7:52 am    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

could be today
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mobil1
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 11, 2008 8:02 am    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

smallpoxgirl wrote:
I'm betting today is the day we hit $150. If not, it will stop just short at 149 something and wait a week or two to break through.


Yeah, could be 149.95 today, or higher. 147.30 already this AM. Only 1.8% more to go ! Smile
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funzone36
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 11, 2008 6:46 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

by the end of the week, we're get owned by $150/barrel
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sevenrd
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Joined: May 19, 2007
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 11, 2008 10:55 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

funzone36 wrote:
by the end of the week, we're get owned by $150/barrel


Agreed. The brief $10 dip was so incredibly short-lived and we're right back at record territory.
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sameu
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Joined: Aug 18, 2005
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 12, 2008 4:32 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

DantesPeak wrote:
Six months ago most were amazed that oil reached $100, now the question is whether it will stay less than $150 the remainder of 2008. How far we have come.



just came across of this youtube clip
added October 02, 2007
oil was at $70 and CIBC World Markets chief economist predicts a price of $100 for 2008
very funny to watch the interviewers faces when he makes that predicting, knowing we're now already at 147

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Ed9jsKAOHU
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alpha480v
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 12, 2008 5:48 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

$150 next week. $200 by winter.
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3aidlillahi
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 12, 2008 6:10 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

A couple of weeks ago when I saw this thread, I predicted we'd have $150/barrel by next week (week of July 14th). I still stand by that prediction. I think it will be either Tu or Wed. I'm not expecting great numbers from the government on reserves after what we've been hearing about Cantarell and thus Mexican exports. That will cause a great amount of bullishness in the oil sector so that, if we aren't at $150 by Tuesday, then this news will send it over and beyond on Wednesday.

My two copper pennies.
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kpeavey
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 12, 2008 10:19 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

The volitility of the markets has increased substantially over the last year. A $10/day swing is not unheard of. A price rise in the 5% range is $7.50. This puts $200/barrel possible with a week of bad news.

I will miss these days of cheap oil.
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hironegro
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Joined: Apr 08, 2008
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 6:18 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Not to be contrarian, but does it really matter?
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Revi
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 7:54 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I think it matters to those of us who buy the stuff. The price of gas and heating oil seem to be on an ever increasing upwards trend.

We live in a state that has long, cold winters and lots of people who have to drive long distances to get to any kind of work.

The price of oil could make the difference between life and death for a lot of elderly people on fixed incomes.

I don't think $150 means that much, but the high cost matters to people here in Maine.
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DantesPeak
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 8:03 pm    Post subject: Re: When do we hit $150 oil? Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

3aidlillahi wrote:
A couple of weeks ago when I saw this thread, I predicted we'd have $150/barrel by next week (week of July 14th). I still stand by that prediction. I think it will be either Tu or Wed. I'm not expecting great numbers from the government on reserves after what we've been hearing about Cantarell and thus Mexican exports. That will cause a great amount of bullishness in the oil sector so that, if we aren't at $150 by Tuesday, then this news will send it over and beyond on Wednesday.

My two copper pennies.


I think it may take two more inventory reports, that is the one on July 23, for most to tealize just how bad the oil inventory/import situation is. Could get to $150 then (even without Iran war talk)

By bad, I mean refineries reducing output due to lack of supplies.
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