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Peakoil.com :: View topic - THE Fortis Thread (merged) ( was Fortis chairman predicts
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THE Fortis Thread (merged) ( was Fortis chairman predicts
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eXpat
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 6:29 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

lorenzo wrote:
something_awfull wrote:
Are we there yet?
He said: within a few days. They predict stormy weather by Friday over here.
Certainly today is not looking good, link
Quote:
LONDON (Reuters) - A global sell-off knocked world shares to a five-month low on Thursday as surging oil fanned concerns about inflation and slowing growth, just hours ahead of an expected euro zone interest rate hike and a key U.S. jobs report. The gloom was rampant everywhere with Tokyo stocks setting their longest losing streak in more than half a century while the dollar hit a two-month low against the euro. Government bonds largely benefited from a global risk aversion.

The European Central Bank is set to become the first G7 central bank to raise interest rates since the credit crisis erupted in August. The decision is due at 12:45 p.m. At 1:30 p.m., ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet gives a news conference and at the same time the U.S. non-farm payrolls data is due.

Tightening comes as the global economy struggles with the chilling effects of an almost one-year-old financial turmoil. "This has been a summer of thunder storms that have been building up for some time," said Justin Urquhart Stewart, investment director at Seven Investment Management.

"Only now are people beginning to realise quite how dark this particular storm is looking, but it's been a long time coming. The FTSEurofirst 300 index was down 1.5 percent, hitting a level not seen since July 2005. MSCI main world equity index fell 0.7 percent to its lowest since January 23, breaching the low set during the height of Bear Stearns crisis in March.

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lorenzo
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 6:53 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

jdmartin wrote:
I searched and it appears to be a hoax as far as I can see. I suspected as much, because I don't believe for a second that CEOs are going to make public any kind of knowledge they might have or suspect about a global economic meltdown. They're going to save their own asses first, and that doesn't include making your stock options worthless. My guess is people won't know what's hitting them until it's already hit them - they're not going to get an "Oh, by the way" from some CEO somewhere...

Hey, it's not a hoax. You can WATCH Lippens say the words. Check my post on page 2, referring to the television interview.
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sameu
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 9:43 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Yep I confirm. It was in various newspapers here in Belgium as well as on flemisch tv.

The only remark to make here is the fact that critics say that Lippens said those things only to justify the unexpected emission of more fortis-stock.
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lorenzo
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:10 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

sameu wrote:
The only remark to make here is the fact that critics say that Lippens said those things only to justify the unexpected emission of more fortis-stock

Exactly. But the mere fact that he uttered these desperate words is highly significant as well: Fortis has to accept money from dirty people, poor money, maffia money even, to stay afloat. He has to sell scraps and bits of his bank to Russian oil dealers and other shady figures. For a big bank, that's not a good sign. (For a nobel man that's a serious humiliation). So he tries to camouflage his own bank's meltdown, by predicting a general meltdown of the financial system.

By the way, how are u doing sameu? Long time no see. Any news from peakoil.be?
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sameu
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:36 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis chairman predicts total financial meltdown in wee Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

working for a respectable oil company Smile
stockpiling
entertaining girlfriend
not really time for peakoil.be (noch de goesting in feite)
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jdmartin
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 12, 2008 9:28 pm    Post subject: Fortis CEO gets the boot Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Votron gets the boot

Wasn't this the guy that we had the post in here on a couple of weeks ago talking about half the US banks failing?
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eXpat
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 12, 2008 10:41 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis CEO gets the boot Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

He may get vindicated very soon (if the US economy tanks).
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IslandCrow
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 1:52 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis CEO gets the boot Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

One problem was that he did not come clean early enough with the shareholders about the problems the bank was facing and had earlier said everything was fine.
Quote:
Jean-Paul Votron's resignation comes after he proposed a controversial plan to raise cash that involves cutting the shareholder dividend. ... But the plan has angered investors who were shocked by the sudden change of heart after Fortis previously said the dividend was safe and its capital reserves were healthy.
The Link (BBC report)
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Nano
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 4:11 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis CEO gets the boot Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

IslandCrow wrote:
One problem was that he did not come clean early enough with the shareholders about the problems the bank was facing and had earlier said everything was fine.

That's right. Last year, Fortis bought a part of ABN Amro bank for 24 billion euro's (about 30G$ I think, at the time.) I guess they suffered extra now because they are having to find the funding for this in the middle of the credit crisis. The problems of Fortis are very different from most other large banks.

I don't think Votron made mistakes that other CEO's didn't make. I bet the other CEO's were just as foolishly oblivous to the current, not unpredictable implosion in the financial sector. His 'mistake' was not to publicise the specifics of Fortis' unique predicament, which I imagine has favourable for investors during the recent scramble for affordable credit, I suspect, although I am no expert on the subject.
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sameu
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 6:02 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis CEO gets the boot Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

jdmartin wrote:
Votron gets the boot Wasn't this the guy that we had the post in here on a couple of weeks ago talking about half the US banks failing?

no, Votron is the CEO of Fortis. The guy that predicted a 'financial meltdown' the coming days to weeks is Lippens, the chairman of Fortis
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bl00k
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 13, 2008 3:50 pm    Post subject: Re: Fortis CEO gets the boot Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I read that Fortis as a whole (including recently bought ABN Amro Bank) is now worth less than what Fortis paid for ABN Amro. Razz
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Southpaw
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 6:23 am    Post subject: Maurice lippens of fortis was right afterall Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Maurice lippens was the former ceo of fortis i believe and he said a month or 2 ago that the us will go into an financial meltdown. in the belgian times you can read the full article link it's dutch so most of you probably don't understand it here is the translation:
Quote:
The glass sphere of Maurice Lippens
Maurice Lippens justified the end of June the capital increase of Fortis by an impending financial tsunami in the United States. He got criticism for firing. De Tijd published mid-July, after another wave bad news from the financial sector following the text. The current crisis on Wall Street makes these statements again topical.
(time) - Does Fortis chairman Maurice Lippens on a glass bulb? At the end of June, he justified the recapitalization of the bank-insurer by an impending financial tsunami in the U.S.. That was not thank him declined. But after the perikelen of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the nationalization of IndyMac and concerns about Lehman Brothers to the ball he seems to have not completely wrong.

'Two months ago we knew not so bad that it is in America. And it will be much worse. There begins a complete meltdown (collapse) in the U.S.. We expect bankruptcies among the 6,000 U.S. banks, but also Citigroup and General Motors at risk. "

Maurice Lippens said that ominous predictions just after the capital increase of Fortis. That bad blood continued to analysts, shareholders, investors and, allegedly, even when the supervisor CBFA. There he was accused that he wanted the problems of Fortis and declare the attention of the bank-insurer wanted to distract.

Lippens' kritikasters be two weeks later, however, admit that the Fortis Chair at least partly right.

Numerous difficulties: Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said yesterday that the U.S. economy suffers from "numerous difficulties" that the growth of the U.S. economy worsened and that inflation "unusually uncertain '.

The American consumer has never been so bleak. The U.S. consumer confidence fell to its lowest level since 1964, the activity in the service sector declined yet again and the figures for the Retail Trade - an indication for the consumption of households - are worse than expected.

Mortgage: The heaviest blows fall on the U.S. mortgage market. A few days ago, the Bush administration mortgage bank IndyMac nationalise. A 'run' on the bank had exhausted the cashvoorraad. There is also concern about the financial position of Washington Mutual, the sixth American hypotheekverstrekker.

The government and the U.S. central bank had last weekend also facilitate hypotheekreuzen Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Minister of Finance Henry Paulson asked the permission for an unlimited amount of shares of Fannie and Freddie to buy and borrow money to both groups. Fannie and Freddie are crucial for the U.S. property market, and thus for the economy.

And that does not stop the agony in the financial sector includes Lehman Brothers, there would be a bad stand. The fear exists that Lehman same path as his true sectorgenoot Bear Stearns, which almost went bankrupt in March.

The crisis in the United States also has repercussions in Europe. Deutsche Bank is listed on the lowest level in years because they are heavily reliant on the U.S. market. Dexia also announced in the fold, because the group is active in the U.S. through the obligatieverzekeraar FSA.

For those still has a AAA rating and thus a competitive advantage over MBIA and Ambac, which already lost the top. But it is uncertain whether the FSA will retain top. Some analysts do not rule out that Dexia the most risky activities of FSA stop and that the group must collect additional capital. FSA publishes its results in mid-August, but that date may be brought forward.

Resultatenseizoen: Meanwhile pay the U.S. car market further. General Motors yesterday announced a broad restructuring in which the dividend is deleted and payroll should fall by 20 percent. Some observers conclude a bankruptcy not matter, but the car manufacturer says that he firmly enough. Will the resultatenseizoen that these days, gaining momentum Maurice Lippens more equal? That is likely to happen. There is at least in the financial markets no longer discern ounce of optimism.

apolagies for the errors in this topic but i translated it with google
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Gerben
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 9:04 am    Post subject: Fortis bank in the BeNeLux in trouble Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Quote:
Belgian and Dutch central banks and regulators were discussing measures to restore confidence in Fortis, the financial-services company whose stock plunged 35 percent in Brussels trading last week.
... Brussels and Amsterdam-based Fortis needs more capital after spending 24 billion euros ($35 billion) on ABN Amro Holding NV assets last year just as the U.S. subprime-mortgage market started to collapse.
... "Fortis failed to restore confidence on its own and that can only be done now with the help of the regulatory institutions or rivals,'' said Corne van Zeijl, a senior portfolio manager at SNS Asset Management
... Talks about a takeover of Fortis by ING Groep NV and BNP Paribas SA stalled late yesterday amid demands for state guarantees, De Standaard reported on its Web site, without saying where it got the information. The Sunday Times reported the Belgian central bank and regulator are preparing to bail out Fortis. The newspaper didn't say where it got the information.
... Fortis last week said it had earmarked for sale banking and insurance businesses that may be valued as high as 10 billion euros. The Belgian company said it won't sell assets at fire-sale prices and doesn't have an urgent need for funds.

Bloomberg
Quote:
Fortis ranks among Europe’s top 20 financial institutions, with a market capitalisation of EUR 40 billion at year-end 2007. Together with ABN AMRO, we have a presence in over 50 countries and a dedicated, professional workforce of more than 85,000. All this makes us a leader in financial services in Europe, a top 3 private banker and a top tier asset manager.
link

They control my pension. Good that I have most in savings. Cash is king.
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roccman
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 9:36 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis bank in the BeNeLux in trouble Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Gerben wrote:
They control my pension. Good that I have most in savings. Cash is king.

As long as it is not FRN you may be ok.
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benzoil
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 28, 2008 9:39 am    Post subject: Re: Fortis bank in the BeNeLux in trouble Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Interesting. They own ABN Ambro, who owns LaSalle Bank - a large regional bank in the US Midwest. I wonder how a parent bank's woes affect its subsidiaries...

I'm guessing now that the US bailout won't be enough. This is now way too big. I hope I'm wrong, but dang.
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