2008 Hurricane / Typhoon / Cyclone Season

idiom

Not that it has any relevance, but hurricane fausto is having a grand old time out in the Pacific.

Peleg · Heavy Crude Joined: May 20, 2008 Posts: 391

no_name · Tar Sands Joined: May 08, 2006 Posts: 40

Heres a radar showing the gap between cuba and the yucatan, if the storm can squeeze through the gap we may see an eye open up soon.

Radar

And another storm for next week maybe?

A VIGOROUS AND WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER WESTERN
AFRICA A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF DAKAR SENEGAL. THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE VERY QUICKLY AFTER IT
EMERGES INTO THE EASTERN ATLANTIC ON TUESDAY.

Hogan · Light Sweet Crude Joined: Oct 25, 2004 Posts: 1298

Are you people tracking this storm? It looks like it might be heading straight for Louisiana.

NOAA link

f2tornado · Tar Sands Joined: Jun 21, 2008 Posts: 50

I'm no tropics expert but am a meteorologist. The center appears to have reformed north of previous. Eye appears to be forming east of Cozumel. Satellite presentation suggests some solid strengthening of the system tonight. This thing may just brush the Yucatan and continue gathering strength in the west GoMex. New model guidance has shifted west GoMex landfall further north and I would not be suprised if the track gets nudged even further north. Possible Texas landfall in 72 hours. People simply do not have much time to prepare. If I lived in the Brownsville to Corpus area I'd be getting my plywood now. Houston to Corpus should check in the morning to see if the track indeed has shifted north. Off shore oil and gas evacuation decisions will need to be made within 36 hours.

Hogan · Light Sweet Crude Joined: Oct 25, 2004 Posts: 1298

Eli

They have to be shutting everything in by now out in the Gulf.

Time to bug out.

Peleg · Heavy Crude Joined: May 20, 2008 Posts: 391

Peleg · Heavy Crude Joined: May 20, 2008 Posts: 391

eastbay

I think so too. But if you look right away at the NOAA NHC website you can see the data is from 8 hours ago. They may be adjusting the trajectory with the next reports.
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Everything is Impermanent. Shakyamuni Buddha

no_name · Tar Sands Joined: May 08, 2006 Posts: 40

Hogan · Light Sweet Crude Joined: Oct 25, 2004 Posts: 1298

Let's not forget how many oil platforms are located off the coast of Louisiana:

link

Peleg · Heavy Crude Joined: May 20, 2008 Posts: 391

Thanks no-name,

That looks like a nice forum. I'll visit there often. Someone earlier mentioned that NHC was not forecasting hurricane strength. Well now it is,

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200804.html

The models are lagging the events in real time. Would any of you old salts be surprised if we don't see cat 2 coming into the forecast by tomorrow afternoon?

Unless there is something that is going to jog it back to the west later in the week, we are going to see 'Hello Dolly!' as a headline all over the place by tomorrow's evening news.

It is too bad these things are so destructive because it is one of the most amazing natural events.

TonisD

Atleast for me it seems quite clear: MSM are downplaying it for today/tomorrow as to not stop the "oil plunge". Considering weather buffs at Storm2k are talking about a possible hit to Lousiana....

Mad

eastbay

Now the NHC shows it most likely smashing into Brownsville as an 'H'. A bit more north than before.
_________________
Everything is Impermanent. Shakyamuni Buddha