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Peakoil.com :: View topic - The great oil bubble has burst
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The great oil bubble has burst
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Twilight
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 2:40 pm    Post subject: Re: The great oil bubble has burst Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Graeme wrote:
Notice that near the end of the article, the author also says this:

Quote:
That's not to say it won't go up again when the signals change and all those long-term factors loom large once more.


Yes, I was expecting a drop this year, but unlike the professional pundits I was not expecting the fundamental problems to go away. I bet they will be as surprised the next time. And the time after that.
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Gazzatrone
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 5:05 pm    Post subject: Re: The great oil bubble has burst Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

What do you expect from this guy? He is a business writer after, sticking with the tried and tested business model that has been around for years.

That one where all business is powered by a cheap, limitless supply of a finite resource.

I mean seriously.....

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But for the time being, a return to a relatively "normal" oil price in the $60 to $80 range would take the sting out of the current inflationary surge, and that in turn would allow the Bank of England to contemplate cutting interest rates to stave off recession and help the housing market. Keep your fingers crossed, and keep your eye on how oil traders react to titbits of bad news.

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DantesPeak
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 6:38 pm    Post subject: Re: The great oil bubble has burst Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

This is the third or fourth 20 to 30% drop in the last three years. So what makes it a bubble this time?

Also when prices drop, demand destruction reverses and disappears. Dah!
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yesplease
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 9:43 pm    Post subject: Re: The great oil bubble has burst Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

DantesPeak wrote:
Also when prices drop, demand destruction reverses and disappears. Dah!
Well it certainly won't continue forever if prices drop! Wink That being said, there's a pretty big lag between short and long run elasticity, and I think the recent drop in demand and price has to do w/ long run elasticity that some were not counting on, or at least were speculating wouldn't happen.
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